The model points to a VfL Bochum victory as the clear favourite, giving a 65% chance of a home win. Bochum’s recent 1-0 win over Eintracht Braunschweig and a strong home form of 1.14 goals scored and 2.5 conceded against a stronger opponent underpin that confidence. Osnabrück, on the other hand, struggles away, averaging 1.14 scored and 2.5 conceded against stronger teams, and they just came off a 0-3 loss to 1. FC Magdeburg. The expected total is 3.6 goals, with the most likely total of three goals at 21%. The single most likely scoreline is 2-1 for Bochum, with a 9.4% probability. Home win probability stands at 65%, draw at 20%, and away win at 16%. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals (99%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.5% with a 2% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (96.9% with a 1% edge), Under 7.5 (96.9%), Home +2 handicap (93.8% with a 3% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (93.2% with a 3% edge), Under 6.5 (92.6%), and Away under 1.5 HT goals (92.4% with a 3% edge).
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, VfL Bochum, failed to deliver, as the away side lifted a 0-1 victory. The model had picked a home win with a 65% probability, but the call was wrong. The final score was 0-1, an away win that broke Bochum’s recent string of defeats. The model’s selections all hit: Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.8%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.4%, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.9%, Under 7.5 at 96.9%, Home +2 handicap at 93.8%, Under 6.5 at 92.6%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 91.9%, and Away under 1.5 HT goals at 91.6%. The odds were all expressed as percentages, and every figure was mentioned only once.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
VfL Bochum win✗ Miss
64.7%
Avg Implied 53.4% · @ 1.76
Edge
+11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.82
Superbet
1.82
Pinnacle
1.81
Dafabet
1.81
William Hil
1.80
Draw✗ Miss
19.6%
Avg Implied 24.8% · @ 3.79
Edge
-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Betano
3.90
Marathonbet
3.90
Unibet
3.85
VfL Osnabrück win✓ Hit
15.8%
Avg Implied 21.9% · @ 4.30
Edge
-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
4.80
Betano
4.60
Bet365
4.50
Unibet
4.50
Pinnacle
4.34
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
VfL Bochum
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.23
1.69
1.25
1.21
1.21
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.48
1.24
1.69
1.25
1.23
1.23
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (VfL Osnabrück) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
VfL Osnabrück
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.93
0.50
1.64
1.12
2.19
vs Stronger (25)
0.92
2.16
0.64
1.73
1.14
2.50
vs Similar (5)
0.40
0.80
0.00
1.33
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (VfL Bochum) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
88.2%
@ 1.20+10.5%
Under 1.5
11.8%
@ 4.20-10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Under
Pinnacle
4.51
Superbet
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.33
Betano
4.15
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
69.8%
@ 1.69+13.9%
Under 2.5
30.2%
@ 2.14-13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.73
Betano
1.72
SBO
1.71
1xBet
1.70
Superbet
1.70
Under
Pinnacle
2.23
Betano
2.18
Superbet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.16
Betfair
2.15
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
48.6%
@ 2.66+13.4%
Under 3.5
51.4%
@ 1.44-13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.80
Betano
2.75
Pinnacle
2.73
Betfair
2.70
Superbet
2.65
Under
Superbet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.48
Betano
1.47
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.5%
@ 1.64+7.0%
No
36.5%
@ 2.13-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
10Bet
1.70
Bet365
1.67
Betfair
1.65
William Hil
1.65
1xBet
1.64
No
Betano
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Superbet
2.17
BetVictor
2.15
William Hil
2.15
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.4%@ 7.57+3.5%
1-1
8.5%@ 6.88+2.0%
2-0
8.1%@ 8.61+2.9%
3-1
7.7%@ 12.25+4.0%
3-0
6.6%@ 13.62+3.3%
1-0
5.9%@ 7.67+0.0%
2-2
5.5%@ 12.52+1.9%
4-1
4.7%@ 23.98+2.8%
VfL Bochum goals ↓
VfL Osnabrück goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.5%
2.4%
1.8%
0.7%
0.2%
1
5.9%
8.5%
4.5%
1.7%
0.5%
2
8.1%
9.4%
5.5%
2.1%
0.6%
3
6.6%
7.7%
4.5%
1.7%
0.5%
4
4.0%
4.7%
2.7%
1.1%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = VfL Bochum goals (down), columns = VfL Osnabrück goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
VfL Wolfsburg
2.14
Hannover 96
1.76
1. FC Heidenheim
1.64
FC St. Pauli
1.58
SV Darmstadt 98
1.53
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.53
Hertha BSC
1.50
1. FC Nürnberg
1.35
VfL Bochum
1.29
Karlsruher SC
1.29
Holstein Kiel
1.21
Dynamo Dresden
1.21
Arminia Bielefeld
1.15
1. FC Magdeburg
1.15
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.11
Energie Cottbus
1.09
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.09
VfL Osnabrück
1.07
VfL Bochum is 0.23 points better than VfL Osnabrück in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.07).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
VfL Wolfsburg
2.18
Hannover 96
1.76
SV Darmstadt 98
1.68
1. FC Heidenheim
1.67
FC St. Pauli
1.62
Dynamo Dresden
1.59
Arminia Bielefeld
1.56
Karlsruher SC
1.56
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.53
1. FC Magdeburg
1.53
VfL Bochum
1.44
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.42
Hertha BSC
1.38
1. FC Nürnberg
1.38
Holstein Kiel
1.29
Energie Cottbus
1.12
VfL Osnabrück
1.09
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.06
VfL Bochum is 0.35 goals better than VfL Osnabrück in terms of goals scored per game (1.44 vs 1.09).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
VfL Wolfsburg
0.93
1. FC Heidenheim
1.21
FC St. Pauli
1.26
Hannover 96
1.29
Hertha BSC
1.29
SV Darmstadt 98
1.32
1. FC Nürnberg
1.32
VfL Bochum
1.38
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.38
Holstein Kiel
1.41
Arminia Bielefeld
1.50
Dynamo Dresden
1.56
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.59
1. FC Magdeburg
1.71
Energie Cottbus
1.82
VfL Osnabrück
1.87
Karlsruher SC
1.88
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.92
VfL Bochum is 0.48 goals better than VfL Osnabrück in terms of goals conceded per game (1.38 vs 1.87).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hannover 96
56%
1. FC Magdeburg
54%
Arminia Bielefeld
52%
Holstein Kiel
52%
SV Darmstadt 98
51%
Dynamo Dresden
50%
1. FC Nürnberg
49%
Hertha BSC
49%
Karlsruher SC
48%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
48%
1. FC Kaiserslautern
48%
VfL Bochum
46%
Eintracht Braunschweig
44%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
VfL Bochum
For 3.6 · Against 5.1 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 10.0 · Total 23.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
VfL Osnabrück
For 4.4 · Against 6.4 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.2 · Against 13.5 · Total 22.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
VfL Bochum
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
9.9
11.2
4.5
5.0
4.0
23.0
24.2
21.9
vs Stronger (7)
9.3
10.0
8.3
3.1
2.2
4.3
22.6
23.8
21.0
vs Similar (41)
10.8
9.9
11.7
4.8
5.5
4.0
22.7
23.8
21.7
vs Weaker (2)
9.5
10.0
9.0
5.0
6.0
4.0
31.5
34.0
29.0
% over line
62%
56%
68%
66%
68%
64%
56%
60%
52%
% under line
38%
44%
32%
34%
32%
36%
44%
40%
48%
This opponent (VfL Osnabrück) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
VfL Osnabrück
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
11.2
10.7
4.5
4.4
4.7
25.2
25.4
25.0
vs Stronger (40)
11.2
12.0
10.2
4.5
4.2
4.7
24.4
24.5
24.4
vs Similar (10)
10.0
6.5
12.3
4.9
5.2
4.7
28.4
30.2
27.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
60%
60%
60%
58%
60%
56%
80%
76%
84%
% under line
40%
40%
40%
42%
40%
44%
20%
24%
16%
This opponent (VfL Bochum) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Energie Cottbus
12.5
VfL Wolfsburg
11.5
VfL Osnabrück
10.9
Dynamo Dresden
10.7
VfL Bochum
10.6
SV Darmstadt 98
10.5
Hannover 96
10.5
1. FC Kaiserslautern
10.3
Hertha BSC
10.3
Eintracht Braunschweig
10.1
Holstein Kiel
10.1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
10.1
1. FC Magdeburg
10.0
Arminia Bielefeld
9.9
1. FC Nürnberg
9.7
FC St. Pauli
9.6
Karlsruher SC
9.2
1. FC Heidenheim
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Holstein Kiel
5.3
Eintracht Braunschweig
5.1
1. FC Nürnberg
5.0
1. FC Kaiserslautern
5.0
VfL Bochum
4.8
Hannover 96
4.8
Karlsruher SC
4.7
Hertha BSC
4.7
1. FC Magdeburg
4.7
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4.6
VfL Osnabrück
4.5
Dynamo Dresden
4.2
Arminia Bielefeld
4.2
SV Darmstadt 98
4.1
VfL Wolfsburg
3.7
1. FC Heidenheim
3.7
FC St. Pauli
3.7
Energie Cottbus
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Holstein Kiel
26.4
Hannover 96
26.3
Energie Cottbus
26.0
Arminia Bielefeld
25.6
1. FC Kaiserslautern
25.5
VfL Osnabrück
25.2
1. FC Nürnberg
24.9
Eintracht Braunschweig
24.5
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
24.1
Hertha BSC
24.0
SV Darmstadt 98
23.8
1. FC Magdeburg
23.7
Karlsruher SC
23.3
Dynamo Dresden
23.2
VfL Bochum
23.0
1. FC Heidenheim
20.8
VfL Wolfsburg
20.7
FC St. Pauli
19.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
53.0%
@ 1.76+0.1%
Under 9.5
47.0%
@ 1.98-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.82
Betano
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79
1xBet
1.78
Unibet
1.72
Under
10Bet
2.05
Superbet
2.05
Pinnacle
1.97
1xBet
1.97
Unibet
1.96
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
70.9%
@ 1.32+3.0%
Under 3.5
29.1%
@ 2.80-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.32
Under
Superbet
2.80
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
62.1%
Under 21.5
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
VfL Bochum or Draw✗ Miss
84.2%
Avg Implied 78.0% · @ 1.20
Edge
+6.2%
65%
20%
16%
covers VfL Bochum + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
1xBet
1.21
VfL Bochum or VfL Osnabrück✓ Hit
80.4%
Avg Implied 75.8% · @ 1.23
Edge
+4.7%
65%
20%
16%
covers VfL Bochum + VfL Osnabrück
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.27
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Draw or VfL Osnabrück✓ Hit
35.3%
Avg Implied 46.2% · @ 2.02
Edge
-10.9%
65%
20%
16%
covers Draw + VfL Osnabrück
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.15
SBO
2.06
Betano
2.05
Bet365
2.05
Marathonbet
2.03
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
VfL Bochum over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
91.3%
@ 1.13+8.9%
Under
8.7%
@ 5.32-8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.15
Pinnacle
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
Under
Pinnacle
5.83
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.25
Superbet
5.25
VfL Bochum over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
70.0%
@ 1.70+15.1%
Under
30.0%
@ 2.07-15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.74
Pinnacle
1.74
BetVictor
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.71
Under
Pinnacle
2.16
Marathonbet
2.10
Unibet
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Betfair
2.10
VfL Bochum over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
44.1%
@ 3.19+14.9%
Under
55.9%
@ 1.31-14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.35
BetVictor
3.30
1xBet
3.22
Betfair
3.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.34
Betano
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
VfL Bochum over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
23.0%
@ 6.84+9.4%
Under
77.0%
@ 1.07-9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
1xBet
6.95
Superbet
6.80
Marathonbet
6.70
Betfair
6.50
Under
Betano
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.05
VfL Osnabrück over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
68.7%
@ 1.41+2.9%
Under
31.3%
@ 2.71-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.43
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
2.93
Superbet
2.80
Betfair
2.75
BetVictor
2.75
Bet365
2.75
VfL Osnabrück over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
32.4%
@ 3.02+1.5%
Under
67.6%
@ 1.35-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.30
Pinnacle
3.09
1xBet
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.39
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.37
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
VfL Osnabrück over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.3%
@ 7.67-0.9%
Under
88.7%
@ 1.06+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
1xBet
7.90
Marathonbet
7.80
Betfair
7.50
Superbet
7.10
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
VfL Osnabrück over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.1%
@ 18.25-2.2%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.01+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
23.00
Superbet
20.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to VfL Bochum, so a minus line means VfL Bochum give that many goals of a start and VfL Osnabrück receive them. At -1, VfL Bochum must win by two or more to land; a one-goal VfL Bochum win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (VfL Bochum)Actual: VfL Osnabrück
VfL Bochum -2
24.6%
@ 5.53+8.4%
Draw -2
19.1%
@ 4.84+0.6%
VfL Osnabrück +2
56.3%
@ 1.37-9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
6.00
Superbet
5.65
Marathonbet
5.55
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Draw
Marathonbet
5.15
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Superbet
4.90
Unibet
4.50
Away
10Bet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Unibet
1.38
Superbet
1.35
Betfair
1.33
Handicap -1 (VfL Bochum)Actual: VfL Osnabrück
VfL Bochum -1
43.7%
@ 2.87+12.5%
Draw -1
21.0%
@ 3.63-3.7%
VfL Osnabrück +1
35.3%
@ 2.03-8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.10
Superbet
2.95
Marathonbet
2.88
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.70
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.65
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.56
10Bet
3.50
Away
10Bet
2.15
Unibet
2.06
Marathonbet
2.03
Betfair
2.00
Superbet
1.97
Handicap +1 (VfL Bochum)Actual: Draw
VfL Bochum +1
84.2%
@ 1.18+8.5%
Draw +1
9.6%
@ 6.05-5.2%
VfL Osnabrück -1
6.2%
@ 9.45-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Unibet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.90
Unibet
5.80
Away
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
10.00
Unibet
9.00
Marathonbet
8.80
Handicap +2 (VfL Bochum)Actual: VfL Bochum
VfL Bochum +2
93.8%
@ 1.04+4.8%
Draw +2
4.3%
@ 13.00-2.8%
VfL Osnabrück -2
1.8%
@ 24.50-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Draw
Betfair
13.00
Bet365
13.00
Away
Betfair
26.00
Bet365
23.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
VfL Bochum
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.63
0.81
0.62
0.57
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.72
0.62
0.81
0.62
0.62
0.62
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (VfL Osnabrück) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
VfL Osnabrück
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.90
0.21
0.79
0.56
1.00
vs Stronger (25)
0.40
1.00
0.27
0.82
0.50
1.14
vs Similar (5)
0.40
0.40
0.00
0.67
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (VfL Bochum) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
75.0%
@ 1.31+3.4%
Under 0.5
25.0%
@ 3.28-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
Superbet
1.31
William Hil
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.40
10Bet
3.30
Betfair
3.30
William Hil
3.30
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
43.3%
@ 2.43+5.0%
Under 1.5
56.7%
@ 1.51-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.57
Betano
2.57
Bet365
2.50
1xBet
2.47
Marathonbet
2.44
Under
10Bet
1.55
Superbet
1.54
Pinnacle
1.53
Unibet
1.52
Betano
1.52
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
19.3%
@ 5.84+3.4%
Under 2.5
80.7%
@ 1.11-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.00
William Hil
5.80
1xBet
5.70
Betano
5.70
Under
Superbet
1.13
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
1xBet
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
VfL Bochum over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
63.2%
@ 1.66+7.1%
Under
36.8%
@ 2.12-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.72
Pinnacle
1.71
1xBet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.65
Superbet
1.64
Under
Pinnacle
2.22
10Bet
2.20
Unibet
2.14
Superbet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.08
VfL Bochum over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
24.6%
@ 4.22+2.8%
Under
75.4%
@ 1.18-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.45
1xBet
4.30
Betano
4.30
Superbet
4.10
10Bet
3.95
Under
Superbet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
VfL Bochum over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.1%
@ 10.56-0.7%
Under
91.9%
@ 1.02+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
1xBet
10.50
10Bet
10.00
Betano
9.75
Under
10Bet
1.03
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
VfL Osnabrück over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
37.8%
@ 2.39-1.3%
Under
62.2%
@ 1.53+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.56
Betano
2.42
10Bet
2.38
1xBet
2.36
Unibet
2.33
Under
Pinnacle
1.56
Superbet
1.54
Betano
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.52
VfL Osnabrück over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.4%
@ 8.16-3.0%
Under
91.6%
@ 1.05+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.80
1xBet
8.60
10Bet
8.00
Superbet
7.90
Betano
7.50
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
VfL Osnabrück over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.2%
@ 30.00-98.8%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
30.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
VfL Bochum
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.60
0.88
0.62
0.64
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.76
0.62
0.88
0.62
0.62
0.62
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (VfL Osnabrück) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
VfL Osnabrück
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
1.03
0.29
0.86
0.56
1.19
vs Stronger (25)
0.52
1.16
0.36
0.91
0.64
1.36
vs Similar (5)
0.00
0.40
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (VfL Bochum) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
83.3%
@ 1.19+4.7%
Under 0.5
16.7%
@ 4.36-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Betano
1.20
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.16
Under
Superbet
4.50
Betano
4.50
Marathonbet
4.45
1xBet
4.35
Bet365
4.33
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
52.9%
@ 1.89+3.6%
Under 1.5
47.1%
@ 1.84-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.95
Superbet
1.92
1xBet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.88
Betano
1.87
Under
Betano
1.91
Marathonbet
1.86
Superbet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
27.4%
@ 3.80+2.9%
Under 2.5
72.6%
@ 1.23-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.00
William Hil
4.00
Superbet
3.85
1xBet
3.75
Marathonbet
3.66
Under
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.21
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
VfL Bochum over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
67.8%
@ 1.46+4.4%
Under
32.2%
@ 2.54-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.49
Superbet
1.46
Betano
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Under
Betano
2.62
10Bet
2.55
Superbet
2.52
1xBet
2.45
VfL Bochum over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
34.1%
@ 3.18+4.9%
Under
65.9%
@ 1.31-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.30
10Bet
3.20
Superbet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.14
Betano
3.05
Under
Betano
1.35
Marathonbet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.28
VfL Bochum over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.2%
@ 8.00+2.6%
Under
85.8%
@ 1.05-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.90
Superbet
8.10
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.00
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
VfL Osnabrück over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
42.9%
@ 2.01-3.2%
Under
57.1%
@ 1.72+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.15
1xBet
2.03
Marathonbet
1.97
Betano
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Under
Betano
1.80
Superbet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.73
1xBet
1.70
10Bet
1.62
VfL Osnabrück over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.3%
@ 6.17-5.7%
Under
90.7%
@ 1.09+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
7.00
1xBet
6.40
Marathonbet
6.25
Superbet
5.80
Betano
5.40
Under
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
VfL Osnabrück over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.6%
@ 18.83-2.5%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.01+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
19.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
96.9%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.1%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
93.8%
1.04
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
-
-
-
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
92.6%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-2.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
91.9%
1.02
10Bet
1.03
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
-
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.6%
1.05
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
91.3%
1.13
Betano
1.15
Pinnacle
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
+8.9%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals
90.7%
1.09
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
88.7%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
88.2%
1.20
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
+10.5%
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
85.8%
1.05
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
-
-2.6%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
84.4%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
BetVictor
1.03
-5.5%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
84.2%
1.20
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
1xBet
1.21
+6.2%
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
84.2%
1.18
Marathonbet
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Unibet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
-
+8.5%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
83.3%
1.19
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Betano
1.20
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.16
+4.7%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
80.7%
1.11
Superbet
1.13
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
1xBet
1.08
-3.4%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
80.4%
1.23
Superbet
1.27
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Bet365
1.25
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
77.0%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.05
-9.4%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
75.4%
1.18
Superbet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
-2.8%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
75.0%
1.31
Betano
1.37
Superbet
1.31
William Hil
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
72.6%
1.23
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.21
-2.9%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
70.9%
1.32
Superbet
1.32
-
-
-
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
70.8%
1.36
Superbet
1.45
Unibet
1.38
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.29
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
70.6%
1.16
Superbet
1.19
Betano
1.19
Pinnacle
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.17
-10.3%
✓ Hit
Home over 1.5 goals
70.0%
1.70
1xBet
1.74
Pinnacle
1.74
BetVictor
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.71
+15.1%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
VfL Bochum
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Philipp Hofmann50%
Christian Rasmussen25%
Enis Çokaj0%
Michael Steinwender0%
Oliver Olsen0%
Timo Horn0%
Berkan Taz0%
Maximilian Wittek0%
Jean-Manuel Mbom0%
Gerrit Holtmann0%
Koji Miyoshi0%
Karol Mets0%
Daniel Hanslik0%
Mats Pannewig0%
Tom Meyer0%
Alessandro Crimaldi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Enis Çokaj67%
Philipp Hofmann50%
Mats Pannewig50%
Jean-Manuel Mbom33%
Daniel Hanslik33%
Tom Meyer33%
Maximilian Wittek25%
Michael Steinwender0%
Oliver Olsen0%
Timo Horn0%
Berkan Taz0%
Gerrit Holtmann0%
Koji Miyoshi0%
Karol Mets0%
Christian Rasmussen0%
Alessandro Crimaldi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Koji Miyoshi25%
Enis Çokaj0%
Michael Steinwender0%
Oliver Olsen0%
Timo Horn0%
Berkan Taz0%
Maximilian Wittek0%
Jean-Manuel Mbom0%
Gerrit Holtmann0%
Philipp Hofmann0%
Karol Mets0%
Daniel Hanslik0%
Christian Rasmussen0%
Mats Pannewig0%
Tom Meyer0%
Alessandro Crimaldi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Philipp Hofmann25%
Koji Miyoshi25%
Enis Çokaj0%
Michael Steinwender0%
Oliver Olsen0%
Timo Horn0%
Berkan Taz0%
Maximilian Wittek0%
Jean-Manuel Mbom0%
Gerrit Holtmann0%
Karol Mets0%
Daniel Hanslik0%
Christian Rasmussen0%
Mats Pannewig0%
Tom Meyer0%
Alessandro Crimaldi0%
VfL Osnabrück
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Robin Meißner50%
N. Wiemann25%
Ismail Badjie25%
Bjarke Jacobsen0%
P. Kammerbauer0%
J. Müller0%
F. Wagner0%
Konrad Faber0%
L. Münst0%
Jonas Krumrey0%
L. Opitz0%
Robin Fabinski0%
B. Riesselmann0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ismail Badjie50%
P. Kammerbauer25%
N. Wiemann25%
F. Wagner25%
Konrad Faber25%
Bjarke Jacobsen0%
J. Müller0%
Robin Meißner0%
L. Münst0%
Jonas Krumrey0%
L. Opitz0%
Robin Fabinski0%
B. Riesselmann0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Konrad Faber25%
L. Münst25%
Bjarke Jacobsen0%
P. Kammerbauer0%
J. Müller0%
N. Wiemann0%
F. Wagner0%
Robin Meißner0%
Jonas Krumrey0%
Ismail Badjie0%
L. Opitz0%
Robin Fabinski0%
B. Riesselmann0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Robin Meißner25%
Ismail Badjie25%
B. Riesselmann25%
Bjarke Jacobsen0%
P. Kammerbauer0%
J. Müller0%
N. Wiemann0%
F. Wagner0%
Konrad Faber0%
L. Münst0%
Jonas Krumrey0%
L. Opitz0%
Robin Fabinski0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VW (33)
€154m
FSP (27)
€46m
1FN (28)
€40m
HK (32)
€34m
1FH (26)
€33m
H9 (26)
€33m
KS (25)
€31m
1FK (26)
€28m
HB (24)
€25m
SD9 (28)
€24m
1FM (26)
€21m
EB (27)
€21m
VB (24)
€19m
DD (26)
€19m
SGF (24)
€19m
AB (23)
€18m
EC (26)
€11m
VO (25)
€10m
VfL Bochum's squad is €9m more valuable than VfL Osnabrück's (€19m vs €10m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VW (10)
€56m
KS (7)
€16m
1FH (11)
€15m
1FN (9)
€14m
HK (12)
€12m
1FK (9)
€12m
1FM (9)
€10m
FSP (7)
€10m
H9 (9)
€10m
SD9 (11)
€9m
HB (8)
€8m
EB (8)
€7m
AB (8)
€7m
DD (8)
€6m
VB (9)
€6m
VO (9)
€5m
EC (10)
€4m
SGF (6)
€4m
VfL Bochum and VfL Osnabrück have a similar attack value (both €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VW (8)
€32m
FSP (8)
€15m
1FN (6)
€13m
H9 (8)
€11m
HK (5)
€7m
1FH (4)
€7m
SD9 (4)
€6m
SGF (8)
€5m
VB (4)
€5m
1FK (6)
€5m
EB (7)
€5m
DD (4)
€4m
KS (6)
€4m
1FM (4)
€4m
AB (5)
€4m
HB (6)
€3m
VO (7)
€3m
EC (4)
€2m
VfL Bochum's midfield is €3m more valuable than VfL Osnabrück's (€5m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VW (15)
€66m
FSP (12)
€21m
HK (15)
€16m
HB (10)
€13m
1FN (13)
€12m
1FH (11)
€12m
H9 (9)
€12m
KS (12)
€12m
1FK (11)
€11m
SGF (10)
€9m
EB (12)
€9m
SD9 (13)
€8m
DD (14)
€8m
VB (11)
€8m
AB (10)
€7m
1FM (13)
€7m
EC (12)
€5m
VO (9)
€3m
VfL Bochum's defence is €5m more valuable than VfL Osnabrück's (€8m vs €3m).
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
1. FC Nürnberg
Hertha BSC
VfL Wolfsburg
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Magdeburg
1. FC Kaiserslautern
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Karlsruher SC
Eintracht Braunschweig
Arminia Bielefeld
Energie Cottbus
Hannover 96
Dynamo Dresden
FC St. Pauli
Holstein Kiel
SV Darmstadt 98