FC Copenhagen is the clear favourite to win, with a 65% chance of victory, as the model rates them highly due to Viborg's struggles at home, particularly against stronger opponents. The expected total goals is 3.3, with the most likely total goals being 3. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a probability of 9.7%.
Viborg has struggled at home, scoring an average of 1.75 goals and conceding 1.25 goals against stronger opponents. In contrast, FC Copenhagen has excelled on the road, scoring 2.36 goals and conceding 1.27 goals against weaker opponents.
The model's selection is the away win, with a 65% chance of occurrence. The suggested picks include Over 1.5, with a 85.4% probability, Draw or Away, with a 77.3% probability, Home or Away, with a 76.4% probability, and Over 21.5 fouls, with a 72.5% probability.
The home win percentage is 14%, the draw percentage is 20%, and the away win percentage is 65%.
Results analysis
The upset came early as Viborg, riding a two-game winning run, overturned expectations with a 4-0 triumph over FC Copenhagen. The pre-match favourite, the model’s pick of an away win at 60 % probability, proved wrong. The model’s selection of Under 7.5, hit at 98.2 %, and Home under 2.5 2H goals, hit at 97.1 %, were correct, while Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.9 % missed, Home under 3.5 goals at 96.2 % missed, Under 6.5 at 95.3 % hit, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 93.9 % hit, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 92.2 % hit, and Away +2 handicap at 90.4 % missed. The final score of 4-0 confirmed the home side’s dominance, leaving the model’s favourite on the wrong side of the outcome.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Viborg winâś“ Hit
18.3%
Avg Implied 32.4% · @ 2.89
Edge
-14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.10
Unibet
3.00
Superbet
2.95
Dafabet
2.95
Betano
2.95
Drawâś— Miss
22.1%
Avg Implied 26.3% · @ 3.56
Edge
-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
3.80
10Bet
3.75
Pinnacle
3.73
Betfair
3.60
1xBet
3.56
FC Copenhagen winâś— Miss
59.6%
Avg Implied 41.3% · @ 2.27
Edge
+18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.36
Betano
2.32
Dafabet
2.32
Superbet
2.32
Bet365
2.30
âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis
Viborg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.43
1.73
1.27
1.33
1.60
vs Stronger (9)
1.44
1.56
1.60
1.40
1.25
1.75
vs Similar (21)
1.57
1.38
1.80
1.20
1.36
1.55
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Copenhagen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Copenhagen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.37
1.23
2.36
1.07
2.38
1.38
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
4.00
vs Similar (5)
1.20
1.60
0.50
1.50
1.67
1.67
vs Weaker (23)
2.74
1.04
2.82
1.00
2.67
1.08
Clean sheet %
27% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Viborg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.7%
@ 1.19+5.7%
Under 1.5
15.3%
@ 4.46-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Under
10Bet
5.00
888Sport
5.00
Pinnacle
4.64
Superbet
4.55
Betfair
4.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.5%
@ 1.63+5.9%
Under 2.5
36.5%
@ 2.21-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.71
Betano
1.70
Bet365
1.70
Superbet
1.67
SBO
1.67
Under
10Bet
2.45
888Sport
2.45
Unibet
2.25
Pinnacle
2.23
Betano
2.22
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
41.4%
@ 2.56+4.6%
Under 3.5
58.6%
@ 1.49-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.73
Betano
2.67
BetVictor
2.63
Superbet
2.62
Marathonbet
2.62
Under
10Bet
1.60
888Sport
1.57
Unibet
1.50
Superbet
1.50
Betano
1.50
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.7%
@ 1.51-0.5%
No
39.3%
@ 2.38+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.57
Betano
1.55
Superbet
1.55
BetVictor
1.53
1xBet
1.53
No
10Bet
2.50
888Sport
2.50
Unibet
2.43
Betfair
2.40
Bet365
2.38
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.1%@ 6.66+3.3%
1-2
9.8%@ 8.57+4.5%
0-2
8.7%@ 12.18+5.0%
0-1
7.2%@ 9.54+2.5%
1-3
7.0%@ 15.01+4.0%
0-3
6.2%@ 21.40+4.1%
2-2
5.6%@ 10.93+1.4%
2-1
5.2%@ 9.74+0.5%
Viborg goals ↓
FC Copenhagen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.7%
7.2%
8.7%
6.2%
3.3%
1
3.4%
10%
9.8%
7.0%
3.8%
2
2.4%
5.2%
5.6%
4.0%
2.1%
3
0.9%
2.0%
2.1%
1.5%
0.8%
4
0.3%
0.6%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Viborg goals (down), columns = FC Copenhagen goals (across).
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đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Copenhagen
2.50
FC Midtjylland
2.33
Viborg
2.17
FC Nordsjaelland
2.17
Brondby
2.17
Randers FC
1.17
AC Horsens
1.17
Silkeborg
0.83
Odense
0.83
Lyngby
0.50
Aarhus
0.50
Sonderjyske
0.17
Viborg is 0.33 points worse than FC Copenhagen in terms of average points per game (2.17 vs 2.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Copenhagen
2.50
Brondby
1.83
Viborg
1.67
FC Midtjylland
1.67
FC Nordsjaelland
1.50
AC Horsens
1.33
Lyngby
1.17
Aarhus
1.17
Silkeborg
0.83
Sonderjyske
0.83
Randers FC
0.83
Odense
0.83
Viborg is 0.83 goals worse than FC Copenhagen in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 2.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Viborg
0.67
FC Nordsjaelland
0.67
FC Midtjylland
0.83
Odense
1.17
Brondby
1.17
Randers FC
1.33
FC Copenhagen
1.33
Silkeborg
1.50
AC Horsens
1.67
Lyngby
1.83
Aarhus
1.83
Sonderjyske
2.17
Viborg is 0.67 goals better than FC Copenhagen in terms of goals conceded per game (0.67 vs 1.33).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
59%
Aarhus
58%
FC Midtjylland
55%
Brondby
55%
FC Copenhagen
52%
Lyngby
52%
Odense
51%
Silkeborg
47%
Viborg
47%
Randers FC
43%
AC Horsens
43%
Sonderjyske
39%
Viborg is 5.7 percentage points worse than FC Copenhagen in terms of average possession (47% vs 52%).
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Viborg or Drawâś“ Hit
46.3%
Avg Implied 58.0% · @ 1.62
Edge
-11.8%
18%
22%
60%
covers Viborg + Draw
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.67
Unibet
1.67
10Bet
1.65
William Hil
1.62
Betano
1.62
Viborg or FC Copenhagenâś“ Hit
76.4%
Avg Implied 74.1% · @ 1.27
Edge
+2.3%
18%
22%
60%
covers Viborg + FC Copenhagen
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Betano
1.29
Marathonbet
1.27
Draw or FC Copenhagenâś— Miss
77.3%
Avg Implied 67.9% · @ 1.38
Edge
+9.5%
18%
22%
60%
covers Draw + FC Copenhagen
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.42
Betfair
1.40
888Sport
1.40
Superbet
1.40
10Bet
1.40
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Viborg over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
71.3%
@ 1.25-3.0%
Under
28.7%
@ 3.61+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.82
10Bet
3.80
888Sport
3.80
BetVictor
3.60
Superbet
3.60
Viborg over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
35.5%
@ 2.25-6.1%
Under
64.5%
@ 1.60+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.39
BetVictor
2.30
1xBet
2.29
Marathonbet
2.29
Unibet
2.25
Under
888Sport
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.61
1xBet
1.60
Superbet
1.60
Viborg over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
13.1%
@ 4.88-6.0%
Under
86.9%
@ 1.15+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.25
Marathonbet
5.10
1xBet
5.10
Superbet
5.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.21
888Sport
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Viborg over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
3.8%
@ 11.03-4.7%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.03+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
12.00
888Sport
11.00
Marathonbet
10.75
1xBet
10.50
Under
888Sport
1.04
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
FC Copenhagen over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
86.4%
@ 1.18+7.4%
Under
13.6%
@ 4.44-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Superbet
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
Under
888Sport
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Pinnacle
4.61
Unibet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
FC Copenhagen over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
59.3%
@ 1.93+10.8%
Under
40.7%
@ 1.81-10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.02
Betfair
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
1xBet
1.99
Betano
1.95
Under
888Sport
1.91
10Bet
1.91
Unibet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.83
Betano
1.80
FC Copenhagen over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
32.2%
@ 3.90+8.4%
Under
67.8%
@ 1.22-8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.22
BetVictor
4.20
Marathonbet
4.05
1xBet
4.05
Betfair
4.00
Under
10Bet
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
Superbet
1.22
FC Copenhagen over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
14.2%
@ 8.74+3.5%
Under
85.8%
@ 1.04-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
9.50
Superbet
8.90
Marathonbet
8.70
1xBet
8.70
Under
888Sport
1.06
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Unibet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Viborg, so a minus line means Viborg give that many goals of a start and FC Copenhagen receive them. At -1, Viborg must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Viborg win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Viborg)Actual: Viborg
Viborg -2
3.1%
@ 11.37-4.7%
Draw -2
6.5%
@ 7.61-5.2%
FC Copenhagen +2
90.4%
@ 1.11+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
14.00
Bet365
13.00
Unibet
12.00
Superbet
11.00
Marathonbet
6.85
Draw
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.50
Unibet
8.00
Superbet
7.50
Marathonbet
5.05
Away
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Unibet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Handicap -1 (Viborg)Actual: Viborg
Viborg -1
9.6%
@ 5.62-6.3%
Draw -1
13.1%
@ 4.64-6.2%
FC Copenhagen +1
77.3%
@ 1.38+12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
6.00
Unibet
5.80
10Bet
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.30
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Away
Betfair
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
Bet365
1.36
Unibet
1.35
Handicap +1 (Viborg)Actual: Viborg
Viborg +1
46.3%
@ 1.61-9.3%
Draw +1
21.5%
@ 4.04-0.7%
FC Copenhagen -1
32.2%
@ 4.03+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.66
10Bet
1.65
Bet365
1.62
Superbet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Marathonbet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Away
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
4.00
Superbet
4.00
Unibet
3.85
Handicap +2 (Viborg)Actual: Viborg
Viborg +2
67.8%
@ 1.19-7.4%
Draw +2
16.6%
@ 6.32+2.4%
FC Copenhagen -2
15.7%
@ 8.42+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Betfair
1.17
Draw
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.30
Superbet
6.10
Unibet
6.00
Away
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
9.00
Superbet
8.10
Unibet
8.00
Marathonbet
7.90
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Viborg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.57
1.07
0.47
0.40
0.67
vs Stronger (9)
1.00
0.56
1.00
0.20
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.62
0.57
1.10
0.60
0.18
0.55
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Copenhagen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Copenhagen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.53
1.14
0.64
1.19
0.44
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (5)
0.40
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.33
0.00
vs Weaker (23)
1.39
0.65
1.36
0.73
1.42
0.58
Clean sheet %
60% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Viborg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
75.2%
@ 1.30+3.4%
Under 0.5
24.8%
@ 3.31-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Superbet
1.31
William Hil
1.30
Under
10Bet
3.55
Bet365
3.50
Unibet
3.35
Superbet
3.35
Betfair
3.30
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
38.8%
@ 2.39-0.3%
Under 1.5
61.2%
@ 1.53+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.52
Pinnacle
2.51
William Hil
2.45
Superbet
2.42
1xBet
2.41
Under
10Bet
1.62
Bet365
1.57
Superbet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.54
Betano
1.53
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
18.4%
@ 5.49+1.4%
Under 2.5
81.6%
@ 1.12-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
5.80
Superbet
5.55
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Betano
5.50
Under
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Betano
1.14
William Hil
1.12
Unibet
1.12
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Viborg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
42.2%
@ 2.00-4.3%
Under
57.8%
@ 1.74+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.07
Betano
2.05
Unibet
2.02
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
1.99
Under
10Bet
1.83
Pinnacle
1.77
Betano
1.72
Superbet
1.72
1xBet
1.71
Viborg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
11.4%
@ 6.00-4.0%
Under
88.6%
@ 1.09+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.25
1xBet
6.25
Unibet
6.00
Superbet
6.00
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Unibet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Viborg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
2.1%
@ 16.33-3.8%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.01+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
20.00
10Bet
17.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
FC Copenhagen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
55.2%
@ 1.82+4.1%
Under
44.8%
@ 1.90-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.88
Pinnacle
1.88
1xBet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
Superbet
1.82
Under
10Bet
2.00
Pinnacle
1.93
Unibet
1.93
Superbet
1.88
Betano
1.87
FC Copenhagen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
20.8%
@ 5.00+2.2%
Under
79.2%
@ 1.14-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.30
Marathonbet
5.30
Betano
5.00
Superbet
5.00
Unibet
4.90
Under
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Unibet
1.14
1xBet
1.11
FC Copenhagen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.1%
@ 13.33-1.0%
Under
93.9%
@ 1.02+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
10Bet
13.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Viborg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.87
0.67
0.80
0.93
0.93
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
1.00
0.60
1.20
0.25
0.75
vs Similar (21)
0.95
0.81
0.70
0.60
1.18
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Copenhagen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Copenhagen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.70
1.21
0.43
1.19
0.94
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
4.00
vs Similar (5)
0.80
1.60
0.00
1.50
1.33
1.67
vs Weaker (23)
1.35
0.39
1.45
0.27
1.25
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Viborg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
82.5%
@ 1.18+3.3%
Under 0.5
17.5%
@ 4.48-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
Under
Unibet
4.70
Superbet
4.60
Betano
4.55
Bet365
4.50
1xBet
4.40
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
49.4%
@ 1.84-1.1%
Under 1.5
50.6%
@ 1.88+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.87
1xBet
1.87
William Hil
1.85
Betano
1.83
Under
Unibet
1.93
Betano
1.93
Superbet
1.88
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.87
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
26.0%
@ 3.62+0.3%
Under 2.5
74.0%
@ 1.25-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.80
Superbet
3.75
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.58
Marathonbet
3.58
Under
Betano
1.29
Unibet
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Viborg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
47.8%
@ 1.71-6.6%
Under
52.2%
@ 2.03+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.71
Superbet
1.71
Betano
1.70
Marathonbet
1.70
Under
Betano
2.07
1xBet
2.02
Superbet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.01
Viborg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.1%
@ 4.40-5.9%
Under
84.9%
@ 1.17+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.50
Superbet
4.40
Betano
4.20
Under
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Viborg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.9%
@ 11.25-5.4%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.03+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
FC Copenhagen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
67.2%
@ 1.57+8.2%
Under
32.8%
@ 2.26-8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.59
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.56
Under
Betano
2.30
1xBet
2.27
Superbet
2.22
FC Copenhagen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
30.1%
@ 3.71+5.2%
Under
69.9%
@ 1.23-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.74
1xBet
3.70
Betano
3.60
Under
Betano
1.26
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
FC Copenhagen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.8%
@ 9.38-2.1%
Under
92.2%
@ 1.03+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
10.00
1xBet
9.90
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.2%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.2%
âś“ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.8%
âś— Miss
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.1%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.4%
âś“ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
96.2%
1.03
888Sport
1.04
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
+4.7%
âś— Miss
Under 6.5
95.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Betfair
1.01
+0.6%
âś“ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
93.9%
1.02
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+1.0%
âś“ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
92.2%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+2.1%
âś“ Hit
Away +2 handicap
90.4%
1.11
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Unibet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
+9.9%
âś— Miss
Under 5.5
89.0%
1.05
888Sport
1.08
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Bet365
1.06
-0.1%
âś“ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.6%
1.09
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Unibet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
+4.0%
âś— Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
86.9%
1.15
Pinnacle
1.21
888Sport
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
+6.0%
âś— Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
86.4%
1.18
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Superbet
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
+7.4%
âś— Miss
Away under 3.5 goals
85.8%
1.04
888Sport
1.06
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Unibet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-3.5%
âś“ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
84.9%
1.17
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
-
+5.9%
âś“ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Over 1.5
84.7%
1.19
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.19
+5.7%
âś“ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
82.5%
1.18
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
+3.3%
âś“ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
81.6%
1.12
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Betano
1.14
William Hil
1.12
Unibet
1.12
-1.4%
âś— Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
79.2%
1.14
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Unibet
1.14
1xBet
1.11
-2.2%
âś“ Hit
Draw or Away
77.3%
1.38
Betano
1.42
Betfair
1.40
888Sport
1.40
Superbet
1.40
10Bet
1.40
+9.5%
âś— Miss
Away +1 handicap
77.3%
1.38
Betfair
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
Bet365
1.36
Unibet
1.35
+12.5%
âś— Miss
Under 4.5
77.3%
1.18
888Sport
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Pinnacle
1.19
-2.3%
âś“ Hit
Home or Away
76.4%
1.27
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Betano
1.29
Marathonbet
1.27
+2.3%
âś“ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
75.2%
1.30
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Superbet
1.31
William Hil
1.30
+3.4%
âś“ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
74.0%
1.25
Betano
1.29
Unibet
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
-0.3%
âś“ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
74.0%
1.37
Superbet
1.48
Unibet
1.38
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
+6.7%
âś— Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
71.3%
1.33
Unibet
1.37
Superbet
1.30
-
-
-
+2.8%
âś“ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
71.3%
1.25
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
-3.0%
âś“ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Viborg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dorian Hanza33%
Asker Beck33%
Charly Nouck33%
Thomas Jørgensen25%
Mads Søndergaard20%
Daniel Anyembe0%
Jeppe Grønning0%
Oliver Bundgaard0%
Žan Zaletel0%
Bilal Brahimi0%
Srđan Kuzmić0%
Kasper Kiilerich0%
Sami Jalal0%
Hjalte Bidstrup0%
Lukas Kirkegaard0%
Frederik Damkjer0%
Philip Keller0%
Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Bilal Brahimi20%
Jeppe Grønning17%
Oliver Bundgaard17%
Žan Zaletel17%
Sami Jalal17%
Lukas Kirkegaard17%
Daniel Anyembe0%
Mads Søndergaard0%
Srđan Kuzmić0%
Dorian Hanza0%
Asker Beck0%
Kasper Kiilerich0%
Charly Nouck0%
Thomas Jørgensen0%
Hjalte Bidstrup0%
Frederik Damkjer0%
Philip Keller0%
Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mads Søndergaard40%
Oliver Bundgaard33%
Žan Zaletel17%
Dorian Hanza17%
Charly Nouck17%
Daniel Anyembe0%
Jeppe Grønning0%
Bilal Brahimi0%
Srđan Kuzmić0%
Asker Beck0%
Kasper Kiilerich0%
Sami Jalal0%
Thomas Jørgensen0%
Hjalte Bidstrup0%
Lukas Kirkegaard0%
Frederik Damkjer0%
Philip Keller0%
Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dorian Hanza17%
Charly Nouck17%
Sami Jalal17%
Lukas Kirkegaard17%
Daniel Anyembe0%
Jeppe Grønning0%
Oliver Bundgaard0%
Žan Zaletel0%
Bilal Brahimi0%
Mads Søndergaard0%
Srđan Kuzmić0%
Asker Beck0%
Kasper Kiilerich0%
Thomas Jørgensen0%
Hjalte Bidstrup0%
Frederik Damkjer0%
Philip Keller0%
Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen0%
FC Copenhagen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Elyounoussi40%
M. Emil Madsen30%
B. Meling29%
Andreas Cornelius29%
Gabriel Pereira22%
Alex Král20%
Robert20%
M. LĂłpez11%
William Clem10%
Thomas Delaney0%
Dominik Kotarski0%
RĂşnar Alex RĂşnarsson0%
D. Ramaj0%
A. Sørensen0%
Felix Beijmo0%
Youssoufa Moukoko0%
Junnosuke Suzuki0%
T. Maseko0%
Viktor Bjarki Dadason0%
A. Markgráf0%
Marvin Nasnas0%
Geovanni Vianney0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
William Clem30%
B. Meling29%
M. LĂłpez22%
Mohamed Elyounoussi20%
Robert20%
Geovanni Vianney14%
Thomas Delaney10%
M. Emil Madsen10%
Dominik Kotarski0%
Alex Král0%
Andreas Cornelius0%
RĂşnar Alex RĂşnarsson0%
D. Ramaj0%
A. Sørensen0%
Felix Beijmo0%
Gabriel Pereira0%
Youssoufa Moukoko0%
Junnosuke Suzuki0%
T. Maseko0%
Viktor Bjarki Dadason0%
A. Markgráf0%
Marvin Nasnas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed Elyounoussi40%
M. LĂłpez22%
Alex Král20%
Andreas Cornelius14%
Marvin Nasnas14%
M. Emil Madsen10%
William Clem10%
Robert10%
Thomas Delaney0%
Dominik Kotarski0%
B. Meling0%
RĂşnar Alex RĂşnarsson0%
D. Ramaj0%
A. Sørensen0%
Felix Beijmo0%
Gabriel Pereira0%
Youssoufa Moukoko0%
Junnosuke Suzuki0%
T. Maseko0%
Viktor Bjarki Dadason0%
A. Markgráf0%
Geovanni Vianney0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Elyounoussi60%
Andreas Cornelius43%
Robert40%
M. Emil Madsen30%
Viktor Bjarki Dadason20%
M. LĂłpez11%
Thomas Delaney0%
Dominik Kotarski0%
B. Meling0%
Alex Král0%
RĂşnar Alex RĂşnarsson0%
D. Ramaj0%
A. Sørensen0%
Felix Beijmo0%
Gabriel Pereira0%
Youssoufa Moukoko0%
William Clem0%
Junnosuke Suzuki0%
T. Maseko0%
A. Markgráf0%
Marvin Nasnas0%
Geovanni Vianney0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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đź’° 14. Squad value
đź’° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
SON (26)
€13m
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
Viborg's squad is €54m less valuable than FC Copenhagen's (€19m vs €73m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
AH (9)
€4m
SON (6)
€3m
LYN (5)
€3m
Viborg's attack is €12m less valuable than FC Copenhagen's (€6m vs €17m).
🧠Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
SON (7)
€3m
RF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
AH (6)
€2m
Viborg's midfield is €14m less valuable than FC Copenhagen's (€2m vs €17m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
SON (13)
€6m
RF (10)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
Viborg's defence is €28m less valuable than FC Copenhagen's (€11m vs €39m).
Denmark: Superliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Midtjylland
FC Nordsjaelland
Brondby
AC Horsens
Randers FC
Odense
Silkeborg
Aarhus
Lyngby
Sonderjyske