This opponent (FC Midtjylland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Midtjylland
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
3.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.60
0.77
3.33
0.87
1.87
0.67
vs Stronger (1)
3.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (9)
2.67
0.89
4.33
0.33
1.83
1.17
vs Weaker (20)
2.55
0.70
3.09
1.00
1.89
0.33
Clean sheet %
47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Viborg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.0%
Under 1.5
16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
62.3%
Under 2.5
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
40.0%
Under 3.5
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.2%
No
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
7.3%
0-1
6.6%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
1-3
6.0%
0-0
5.0%
Viborg goals ↓
FC Midtjylland goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.0%
6.6%
7.3%
4.6%
2.2%
1
4.3%
11%
9.5%
6.0%
2.9%
2
3.5%
6.6%
6.3%
4.0%
1.9%
3
1.5%
2.9%
2.7%
1.7%
0.8%
4
0.5%
0.9%
0.9%
0.6%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Viborg goals (down), columns = FC Midtjylland goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Aarhus
2.09
FC Midtjylland
1.88
FC Copenhagen
1.58
FC Nordsjaelland
1.56
Brondby
1.39
Viborg
1.38
Sonderjyske
1.38
Odense
1.28
Silkeborg
1.12
Randers FC
1.09
FC Fredericia
1.06
Vejle
0.75
Viborg is 0.50 points worse than FC Midtjylland in terms of average points per game (1.38 vs 1.88).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Midtjylland
2.25
FC Copenhagen
2.06
Aarhus
1.94
FC Nordsjaelland
1.59
Odense
1.59
Viborg
1.53
FC Fredericia
1.41
Sonderjyske
1.38
Brondby
1.36
Silkeborg
1.28
Vejle
1.12
Randers FC
1.03
Viborg is 0.72 goals worse than FC Midtjylland in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 2.25).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Aarhus
1.00
Brondby
1.09
FC Midtjylland
1.12
FC Copenhagen
1.36
FC Nordsjaelland
1.44
Randers FC
1.47
Sonderjyske
1.53
Viborg
1.59
Odense
1.88
Vejle
1.88
Silkeborg
2.09
FC Fredericia
2.12
Viborg is 0.47 goals worse than FC Midtjylland in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 1.12).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
57%
FC Copenhagen
55%
FC Midtjylland
54%
Aarhus
54%
Odense
51%
Brondby
51%
Silkeborg
49%
Randers FC
48%
Viborg
48%
Vejle
45%
FC Fredericia
44%
Sonderjyske
44%
Viborg is 6.2 percentage points worse than FC Midtjylland in terms of average possession (48% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Viborg
For 5.9 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 13.9 · Total 24.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Midtjylland
For 5.5 · Against 4.9 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 11.9 · Total 24.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Viborg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
11.1
9.7
3.0
2.8
3.2
23.4
22.3
24.6
vs Stronger (10)
9.8
11.3
8.8
2.8
1.8
3.5
22.8
17.7
25.8
vs Similar (36)
10.2
11.1
9.2
3.0
3.1
2.9
23.8
23.3
24.3
vs Weaker (4)
14.0
11.0
15.5
3.8
2.0
4.3
22.3
20.0
23.5
% over line
62%
70%
55%
40%
30%
48%
57%
45%
70%
% under line
38%
30%
45%
60%
70%
52%
43%
55%
30%
This opponent (FC Midtjylland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Midtjylland
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.5
10.8
3.7
3.2
4.3
23.7
24.7
22.6
vs Stronger (2)
6.5
6.5
-
3.0
3.0
-
26.0
26.0
-
vs Similar (20)
10.6
10.9
10.5
4.2
2.9
5.1
24.4
25.1
23.9
vs Weaker (28)
10.0
9.2
11.1
3.5
3.4
3.5
22.9
24.3
20.8
% over line
53%
36%
71%
54%
35%
75%
60%
64%
57%
% under line
47%
64%
29%
46%
65%
25%
40%
36%
43%
This opponent (Viborg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC Fredericia
11.2
Vejle
10.8
Viborg
10.5
FC Midtjylland
10.3
Odense
10.1
Randers FC
9.9
Sonderjyske
9.9
Aarhus
9.8
Brondby
9.5
Silkeborg
9.0
FC Nordsjaelland
8.3
FC Copenhagen
7.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Copenhagen
4.0
Brondby
4.0
Aarhus
4.0
FC Midtjylland
3.9
Sonderjyske
3.8
Viborg
3.8
Randers FC
3.8
Odense
3.7
FC Nordsjaelland
3.4
Vejle
3.2
Silkeborg
3.1
FC Fredericia
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Midtjylland
23.5
FC Copenhagen
23.1
Viborg
22.7
Aarhus
22.1
Odense
22.0
Randers FC
21.5
Sonderjyske
21.4
Vejle
21.1
Brondby
20.8
FC Nordsjaelland
20.3
Silkeborg
19.8
FC Fredericia
19.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
60.8%
Under 9.5
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
48.7%
Under 3.5
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
52.7%
Under 21.5
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Viborg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.73
1.15
0.77
0.65
0.71
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (22)
1.09
0.86
1.30
0.90
0.92
0.83
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Midtjylland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Midtjylland
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.30
1.67
0.33
0.60
0.27
vs Stronger (1)
3.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.33
0.33
2.67
0.00
0.67
0.50
vs Weaker (20)
0.95
0.30
1.27
0.45
0.56
0.11
Clean sheet %
70% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Viborg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Viborg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viborg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viborg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Viborg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.60
0.77
0.77
0.94
0.47
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
0.83
0.50
1.50
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (22)
1.14
0.55
0.90
0.60
1.33
0.50
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Midtjylland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Midtjylland
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
0.47
1.67
0.53
1.27
0.40
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.33
0.56
1.67
0.33
1.17
0.67
vs Weaker (20)
1.60
0.40
1.82
0.55
1.33
0.22
Clean sheet %
57% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Viborg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Viborg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viborg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viborg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Viborg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anosike Ementa33%
Osman Addo25%
Mads Søndergaard22%
Yonis Njoh20%
Tim Freriks17%
Charly Nouck17%
Srđan Kuzmić15%
Jakob Vester13%
Lukas Kirkegaard13%
Thomas Jørgensen13%
Bilal Brahimi12%
Dorian Hanza10%
Sami Jalal10%
Stipe Radić5%
Mees Hoedemakers5%
Hjalte Bidstrup4%
Daniel Anyembe3%
Jeppe Grønning3%
Asker Beck3%
Lucas Lund0%
Jean-Manuel Mbom0%
Ísak Andri Sigurgeirsson0%
Ivan Näsberg0%
Oliver Bundgaard0%
Žan Zaletel0%
Frederik Damkjer0%
Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Srđan Kuzmić31%
Jeppe Grønning30%
Mads Søndergaard26%
Jean-Manuel Mbom22%
Sami Jalal16%
Thomas Jørgensen16%
Mees Hoedemakers16%
Daniel Anyembe10%
Dorian Hanza10%
Yonis Njoh10%
Hjalte Bidstrup7%
Stipe Radić5%
Charly Nouck3%
Lucas Lund0%
Ísak Andri Sigurgeirsson0%
Ivan Näsberg0%
Oliver Bundgaard0%
Tim Freriks0%
Žan Zaletel0%
Bilal Brahimi0%
Anosike Ementa0%
Asker Beck0%
Jakob Vester0%
Lukas Kirkegaard0%
Frederik Damkjer0%
Osman Addo0%
Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Anosike Ementa67%
Thomas Jørgensen19%
Jean-Manuel Mbom17%
Charly Nouck10%
Yonis Njoh10%
Hjalte Bidstrup7%
Asker Beck7%
Jakob Vester7%
Bilal Brahimi6%
Tim Freriks4%
Mads Søndergaard4%
Jeppe Grønning3%
Dorian Hanza3%
Sami Jalal3%
Stipe Radić0%
Daniel Anyembe0%
Lucas Lund0%
Ísak Andri Sigurgeirsson0%
Mees Hoedemakers0%
Ivan Näsberg0%
Oliver Bundgaard0%
Žan Zaletel0%
Srđan Kuzmić0%
Lukas Kirkegaard0%
Frederik Damkjer0%
Osman Addo0%
Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Charly Nouck28%
Thomas Jørgensen19%
Sami Jalal16%
Dorian Hanza13%
Mads Søndergaard13%
Tim Freriks9%
Asker Beck7%
Bilal Brahimi6%
Srđan Kuzmić4%
Daniel Anyembe3%
Jeppe Grønning3%
Stipe Radić0%
Lucas Lund0%
Jean-Manuel Mbom0%
Ísak Andri Sigurgeirsson0%
Mees Hoedemakers0%
Ivan Näsberg0%
Oliver Bundgaard0%
Žan Zaletel0%
Anosike Ementa0%
Yonis Njoh0%
Jakob Vester0%
Hjalte Bidstrup0%
Lukas Kirkegaard0%
Frederik Damkjer0%
Osman Addo0%
Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen0%
FC Midtjylland
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Franculino Djú54%
Adam Buksa33%
Julius Emefile25%
Aral Şimşir22%
Martin Erlić19%
Valdemar Byskov18%
Darío Osorio17%
Mikel Gogorza15%
Gue-sung Cho14%
Júnior Brumado13%
Paulinho12%
Denil Castillo11%
Philip Billing10%
Adam Gabriel10%
Ousmane Diao10%
Mads Bech Sørensen8%
Edward Chilufya6%
Victor Bak Jensen5%
Pedro Bravo3%
Kevin Mbabu0%
Jonas Lössl0%
Mikael Uhre0%
Dani Silva0%
Elías Ólafsson0%
Oliver Sørensen0%
Han-Beom Lee0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Philip Billing31%
Martin Erlić27%
Júnior Brumado27%
Darío Osorio25%
Julius Emefile25%
Kevin Mbabu24%
Franculino Djú23%
Ousmane Diao19%
Mikel Gogorza19%
Denil Castillo17%
Mads Bech Sørensen15%
Gue-sung Cho14%
Pedro Bravo13%
Han-Beom Lee11%
Dani Silva9%
Valdemar Byskov8%
Edward Chilufya6%
Victor Bak Jensen5%
Aral Şimşir2%
Jonas Lössl0%
Paulinho0%
Mikael Uhre0%
Adam Buksa0%
Elías Ólafsson0%
Oliver Sørensen0%
Adam Gabriel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aral Şimşir32%
Darío Osorio19%
Dani Silva18%
Philip Billing14%
Franculino Djú12%
Valdemar Byskov11%
Júnior Brumado10%
Adam Gabriel10%
Ousmane Diao10%
Denil Castillo8%
Mads Bech Sørensen8%
Edward Chilufya6%
Paulinho6%
Victor Bak Jensen5%
Martin Erlić4%
Mikel Gogorza4%
Kevin Mbabu3%
Gue-sung Cho3%
Han-Beom Lee3%
Jonas Lössl0%
Mikael Uhre0%
Adam Buksa0%
Elías Ólafsson0%
Oliver Sørensen0%
Pedro Bravo0%
Julius Emefile0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Franculino Djú31%
Darío Osorio31%
Gue-sung Cho23%
Aral Şimşir10%
Valdemar Byskov8%
Júnior Brumado7%
Mikel Gogorza4%
Denil Castillo3%
Han-Beom Lee3%
Kevin Mbabu0%
Jonas Lössl0%
Philip Billing0%
Paulinho0%
Mikael Uhre0%
Mads Bech Sørensen0%
Martin Erlić0%
Adam Buksa0%
Dani Silva0%
Edward Chilufya0%
Elías Ólafsson0%
Oliver Sørensen0%
Victor Bak Jensen0%
Adam Gabriel0%
Pedro Bravo0%
Ousmane Diao0%
Julius Emefile0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
SON (26)
€13m
VEJ (22)
€9m
FF (17)
€8m
Viborg's squad is €89m less valuable than FC Midtjylland's (€19m vs €108m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
VEJ (7)
€3m
SON (6)
€3m
FF (5)
€2m
Viborg's attack is €42m less valuable than FC Midtjylland's (€6m vs €47m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
SON (7)
€3m
RF (5)
€3m
FF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
VEJ (6)
€2m
Viborg's midfield is €22m less valuable than FC Midtjylland's (€2m vs €24m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
SON (13)
€6m
RF (10)
€6m
VEJ (9)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
Viborg's defence is €26m less valuable than FC Midtjylland's (€11m vs €37m).
Denmark: Superliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
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Aarhus
FC Copenhagen
FC Nordsjaelland
Brondby
Sonderjyske
Odense
Silkeborg
Randers FC
FC Fredericia
Vejle