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Victoria Bardar vs Făleşti Result & Analysis

Date: 14/05/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 6-2
Victoria Bardar
Victoria Bardar
Vs
54%
20%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Făleşti
Făleşti
Moldova: Super Liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Victoria Bardar’s attacking rhythm, averaging three goals per home match, faces a Fălești side that concedes three at home, setting the stage for a high-scoring encounter. The model predicts a 54% chance of a home win, 20% for a draw, and 25% for an away victory, with the favourite result being a home win. The expected total of 4.2 goals and the most likely total of 6 + (24%) suggest plenty of action. The single most probable scoreline is 2-1 for Victoria Bardar, with an 8% probability. Victoria Bardar’s home form shows a 3.0 average of goals scored and a 1.0 average conceded against similar opposition, while Fălești’s away form yields 2.0 scored and 3.0 conceded. Suggested picks include Over 1.5 (92.7%), Over 2.5 (78.6%), and BTTS Yes (75.5%). All selections are presented with their exact percentages, and no other outcome is implied.

Results analysis

Victoria Bardar’s form has been shaky, but the recent loss to FC National Ialoveni has spurred a fightback that saw the home side secure a 6-2 victory over Fălești, confirming the model’s prediction of a home win. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was assigned a 54% probability and proved correct. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Over 1.5 goals, with a 92.7% chance, hit; Over 2.5 goals, at 78.6%, hit; and BTTS Yes, at 75.5%, hit. The final score of 6-2 matched the expected high-scoring affair, with the most likely total of 6+ goals materialising.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Victoria Bardar win✓ Hit
54.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Făleşti win✗ Miss
25.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-531W21W12L14L15L51W02L13L13L13LH·FĂL11/03A·DIN17/03H·FLO23/03A·SPA09/04H·DAC14/04A·FĂL21/04H·DIN29/04A·FLO03/05H·SPA06/05A·DAC10/05
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.602.501.202.602.002.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)4.001.003.001.005.001.00
vs Weaker (8)1.002.880.753.001.252.75
Clean sheet %0% (-32pp vs league)
This opponent (Făleşti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FăleştiFăleşti

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-813L13L18L07L15L15L05L26L13L13LA·VIC11/03A·DAC18/03H·DIN31/03A·FLO07/04H·SPA14/04H·VIC21/04H·DAC29/04A·DIN03/05H·FLO06/05A·SPA10/05
Avg total
5.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
4.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.553.201.303.401.803.00
vs Stronger (2)1.002.501.001.001.004.00
vs Similar (12)1.503.751.004.502.003.00
vs Weaker (6)1.832.332.002.001.672.67
Clean sheet %5% (-27pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Bardar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%2%05%114%219%319%416%524%6+
The model estimates around 4.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
92.7%
Under 1.5
7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
78.6%
Under 2.5
21.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
60.0%
Under 3.5
40.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
75.5%
No
24.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
8.0%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-1
6.6%
3-2
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-0
4.7%
4-1
4.1%
Victoria Bardar goals ↓
Făleşti goals →
01234
02.2%2.0%2.2%1.3%0.5%
13.2%7.1%5.5%3.1%1.3%
24.7%8.0%6.8%3.9%1.6%
33.9%6.6%5.6%3.2%1.4%
42.4%4.1%3.5%2.0%0.8%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Victoria Bardar goals (down), columns = Făleşti goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.38
Floreşti
2.17
Speranis Nisporeni
2.00
Petrocub
2.00
Dacia-Buiucani
1.75
Văsieni
1.50
Spartanii Selemet
1.33
Zimbru
1.29
Milsami Orhei
1.17
Dinamo-Auto
1.11
Sfîntul Gheorghe
1.08
Victoria Bardar
1.00
CSF Bălți
0.92
Real Succes
0.00
Făleşti
0.00
Sucleia
0.00
Speranța Drochia
0.00
Victoria Bardar is 1.00 points better than Făleşti in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 0.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Văsieni
3.00
Speranis Nisporeni
3.00
Floreşti
2.33
Spartanii Selemet
2.00
Victoria Bardar
2.00
Dacia-Buiucani
1.67
Sheriff Tiraspol
1.62
Petrocub
1.50
Dinamo-Auto
1.33
Zimbru
1.12
Real Succes
1.00
Făleşti
1.00
Sucleia
1.00
Sfîntul Gheorghe
0.92
Milsami Orhei
0.92
CSF Bălți
0.75
Speranța Drochia
0.00
Victoria Bardar is 1.00 goals better than Făleşti in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sheriff Tiraspol
0.38
Petrocub
0.71
Dacia-Buiucani
0.71
Floreşti
0.92
Speranis Nisporeni
1.00
CSF Bălți
1.08
Zimbru
1.08
Milsami Orhei
1.25
Dinamo-Auto
1.41
Sfîntul Gheorghe
1.46
Văsieni
1.50
Spartanii Selemet
1.92
Victoria Bardar
2.69
Speranța Drochia
4.00
Făleşti
4.91
Sucleia
6.00
Real Succes
7.00
Victoria Bardar is 2.22 goals better than Făleşti in terms of goals conceded per game (2.69 vs 4.91).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D12L20W01L12L02L01LA·DIN17/03H·FLO23/03H·DAC14/04A·FĂL21/04H·DIN29/04A·FLO03/05H·SPA06/05A·DAC10/05
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.751.120.501.501.000.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
vs Weaker (7)0.571.290.501.500.671.00
Clean sheet %25% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Făleşti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FăleştiFăleşti

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L03L10W02L03L03L01L00DA·DAC18/03A·FLO07/04H·SPA14/04H·VIC21/04H·DAC29/04A·DIN03/05H·FLO06/05A·SPA10/05
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.121.750.251.500.002.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.171.670.331.670.001.67
vs Weaker (2)0.002.000.001.000.003.00
Clean sheet %25% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Bardar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Victoria Bardar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L03L31W01L01L11D12LA·DIN17/03H·FLO23/03H·DAC14/04A·FĂL21/04H·DIN29/04A·FLO03/05H·SPA06/05A·DAC10/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.751.380.251.501.251.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (1)3.001.00--3.001.00
vs Weaker (7)0.431.430.251.500.671.33
Clean sheet %0% (-32pp vs league)
This opponent (Făleşti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FăleştiFăleşti

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D04L05L13L02L23L12L13LA·DAC18/03A·FLO07/04H·SPA14/04H·VIC21/04H·DAC29/04A·DIN03/05H·FLO06/05A·SPA10/05
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.752.880.503.001.002.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.832.830.333.331.332.33
vs Weaker (2)0.503.001.002.000.004.00
Clean sheet %0% (-32pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Bardar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Victoria Bardar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.592.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.578.6%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes75.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (24)
€6m
PET (22)
€5m
ZIM (24)
€4m
MO (22)
€3m
DAC (21)
€2m
SS (12)
€1m
CB (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (8)
€3m
PET (9)
€2m
ZIM (9)
€2m
MO (6)
€1m
DAC (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CB (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (6)
€1m
ZIM (7)
€1m
MO (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
DAC (6)
€0m
CB (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (10)
€3m
PET (8)
€2m
MO (11)
€2m
ZIM (8)
€1m
DAC (10)
€1m
CB (3)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
VB wins
0
Draws
0
FĂL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Victoria Bardar vs Făleşti · H/A from VB
DateH/AGameScore
21/04/23AFăleşti Vs VB1-5
11/03/23HVB Vs Făleşti3-1

Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/23ADacia-Buiucani Vs VB3-1
06/05/23HVB Vs Spartanii Selemet1-3
03/05/23AFloreşti Vs VB3-1
29/04/23HVB Vs Dinamo-Auto0-2
21/04/23AFăleşti Vs VB1-5
14/04/23HVB Vs Dacia-Buiucani1-5
09/04/23ASpartanii Selemet Vs VB4-1
23/03/23HVB Vs Floreşti1-2
17/03/23ADinamo-Auto Vs VB1-2
11/03/23HVB Vs Făleşti3-1

FăleştiFăleşti

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/23ASpartanii Selemet Vs FĂL3-1
06/05/23HFĂL Vs Floreşti1-3
03/05/23ADinamo-Auto Vs FĂL6-2
29/04/23HFĂL Vs Dacia-Buiucani0-5
21/04/23HFĂL Vs Victoria Bardar1-5
14/04/23HFĂL Vs Spartanii Selemet1-5
07/04/23AFloreşti Vs FĂL7-0
31/03/23HFĂL Vs Dinamo-Auto1-8
18/03/23ADacia-Buiucani Vs FĂL3-1
11/03/23AVictoria Bardar Vs FĂL3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Victoria Bardar
Victoria Bardar
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL0.90
HomeWLLLL0.60
AwayWLWLL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%20%40%
AVG goals4.103.804.40
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %90%80%100%
Over 3.5 %70%60%80%
Scored1.601.202.00
Conceded2.502.602.40
BTTS90%80%100%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Făleşti
Făleşti
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 0 Wins / 0 Draws / 10 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL0.95
HomeLLLLL0.70
AwayLLLLL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%20%40%
AVG goals4.754.704.80
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %90%90%90%
Over 3.5 %80%70%90%
Scored1.551.301.80
Conceded3.203.403.00
BTTS85%90%80%
Clean Sheet5%0%10%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol2457
71%
2.4
399+30
2.0
71%
29%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3131.60.4
-
2PetrocubPetrocub2448
58%
2.0
3617+19
2.2
62%
46%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.50.7
-
3Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani2442
50%
1.8
4017+23
2.4
62%
33%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.70.7
-
4ZimbruZimbru2431
29%
1.3
2726+1
2.2
62%
38%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.11.1
-
5Dinamo-AutoDinamo-Auto2730
30%
1.1
3638-2
2.7
74%
37%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
6Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei2428
29%
1.2
2230-8
2.2
71%
33%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1120.91.2
-
7FloreştiFloreşti1226
67%
2.2
2811+17
3.2
92%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.30.9
-
8Sfîntul GheorgheSfîntul Gheorghe2426
29%
1.1
2235-13
2.4
75%
42%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
9CSF BălțiCSF Bălți2422
21%
0.9
1826-8
1.8
54%
29%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.81.1
-
10Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet1216
42%
1.3
2423+1
3.9
100%
67%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.9
-
11Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar1313
31%
1.0
2635-9
4.7
100%
92%
77%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.7
-
12Speranis NisporeniSperanis Nisporeni24
50%
2.0
62+4
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.01.0
-
13VăsieniVăsieni23
50%
1.5
63+3
4.5
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.01.5
-
14Sheriff IISheriff II00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
15Speranța DrochiaSperanța Drochia10
0%
0.0
04-4
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.04.0
-
16SucleiaSucleia10
0%
0.0
16-5
7.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.06.0
-
17Real SuccesReal Succes10
0%
0.0
17-6
8.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.07.0
-
18FăleştiFăleşti110
0%
0.0
1154-43
5.9
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.04.9
-
Moldova: Super Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Super Liga stats & trends →

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