This opponent (Levante) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levante
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.10
1.33
1.13
0.73
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
1.12
1.31
1.67
1.33
0.80
1.30
vs Weaker (14)
0.93
0.86
1.11
1.00
0.60
0.60
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Villarreal II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
58.7%
Under 1.5
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
30.4%
@ 1.82-21.5%
Under 2.5
69.6%
@ 1.96+21.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
13.0%
Under 3.5
87.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
39.5%
No
60.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
15.9%
1-1
14.8%
0-1
13.4%
1-0
11.9%
0-2
7.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
6.1%
Villarreal II goals ↓
Levante goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
16%
13%
7.5%
2.5%
0.6%
1
12%
15%
6.8%
2.3%
0.6%
2
6.1%
6.2%
3.1%
1.1%
0.3%
3
1.8%
1.9%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Villarreal II goals (down), columns = Levante goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leganes
1.76
Valladolid
1.71
Espanyol
1.65
Eibar
1.64
Oviedo
1.54
Racing Santander
1.52
Sporting Gijon
1.50
Burgos
1.40
Levante
1.40
Elche
1.40
Racing Ferrol
1.40
Tenerife
1.33
FC Cartagena
1.21
Zaragoza
1.21
Albacete
1.21
Eldense
1.19
Huesca
1.17
Mirandes
1.17
Amorebieta
1.07
Alcorcon
1.05
Villarreal II
1.02
FC Andorra
1.02
Villarreal II is 0.38 points worse than Levante in terms of average points per game (1.02 vs 1.40).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Eibar
1.64
Racing Santander
1.50
Espanyol
1.35
Leganes
1.33
Oviedo
1.26
Burgos
1.24
Valladolid
1.21
Albacete
1.19
Levante
1.17
Racing Ferrol
1.17
Sporting Gijon
1.16
Mirandes
1.12
Eldense
1.10
Elche
1.02
Zaragoza
1.00
Villarreal II
0.98
Tenerife
0.90
Amorebieta
0.88
FC Cartagena
0.88
Huesca
0.86
FC Andorra
0.79
Alcorcon
0.76
Villarreal II is 0.19 goals worse than Levante in terms of goals scored per game (0.98 vs 1.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leganes
0.64
Huesca
0.79
Valladolid
0.86
Oviedo
0.89
Espanyol
0.89
Tenerife
0.98
Sporting Gijon
0.98
Zaragoza
1.00
Levante
1.07
Elche
1.10
Eibar
1.14
FC Cartagena
1.21
Racing Ferrol
1.24
Amorebieta
1.26
FC Andorra
1.26
Alcorcon
1.26
Burgos
1.29
Racing Santander
1.31
Mirandes
1.31
Eldense
1.33
Albacete
1.33
Villarreal II
1.48
Villarreal II is 0.40 goals worse than Levante in terms of goals conceded per game (1.48 vs 1.07).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Andorra
63%
Elche
58%
Valladolid
56%
Eibar
55%
Oviedo
54%
Sporting Gijon
54%
Levante
52%
Racing Ferrol
52%
Espanyol
51%
Zaragoza
50%
Villarreal II
50%
Tenerife
50%
Albacete
49%
Racing Santander
47%
Burgos
47%
Amorebieta
46%
Leganes
46%
Eldense
45%
Huesca
45%
Mirandes
45%
FC Cartagena
44%
Alcorcon
42%
Villarreal II is 2.5 percentage points worse than Levante in terms of average possession (50% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Villarreal II
For 4.8 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 12.0 · Total 24.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Levante
For 4.8 · Against 4.1 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.7 · Against 11.3 · Total 26.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Villarreal II
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.3
9.3
3.5
3.2
3.7
25.2
25.7
24.8
vs Stronger (31)
9.6
10.1
9.2
3.1
2.7
3.4
24.9
24.8
25.0
vs Similar (19)
8.8
8.1
9.4
4.1
3.9
4.3
25.8
27.0
24.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
41%
33%
47%
58%
48%
68%
76%
78%
74%
% under line
59%
67%
53%
42%
52%
32%
24%
22%
26%
This opponent (Levante) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levante
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
8.5
10.7
3.4
3.2
3.7
27.1
27.7
26.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
10.8
9.8
11.7
3.5
3.5
3.4
26.8
27.9
25.9
vs Weaker (24)
8.2
7.2
9.4
3.4
2.8
4.0
27.5
27.6
27.4
% over line
42%
33%
50%
48%
46%
50%
83%
89%
78%
% under line
58%
67%
50%
52%
54%
50%
17%
11%
22%
This opponent (Villarreal II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Oviedo
10.1
Mirandes
10.0
Espanyol
10.0
Burgos
9.9
Sporting Gijon
9.9
Racing Santander
9.8
Huesca
9.6
Levante
9.5
Valladolid
9.5
Eldense
9.5
Eibar
9.5
Elche
9.5
Villarreal II
9.3
Tenerife
9.3
FC Cartagena
9.0
Leganes
9.0
Amorebieta
8.9
Alcorcon
8.9
Zaragoza
8.8
Albacete
8.8
FC Andorra
8.8
Racing Ferrol
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Racing Santander
6.0
Espanyol
5.6
Tenerife
5.6
Oviedo
5.3
Elche
5.3
Huesca
5.3
Leganes
5.3
Sporting Gijon
5.3
FC Cartagena
5.2
Valladolid
5.2
Levante
5.1
Mirandes
5.0
Alcorcon
4.9
Eibar
4.9
FC Andorra
4.8
Zaragoza
4.8
Villarreal II
4.8
Albacete
4.7
Burgos
4.7
Amorebieta
4.6
Racing Ferrol
4.2
Eldense
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Racing Santander
30.4
Espanyol
28.2
Leganes
27.6
Oviedo
27.5
Tenerife
26.9
Elche
26.8
Valladolid
26.8
Albacete
26.4
Huesca
26.3
Eldense
26.2
Levante
26.1
Zaragoza
25.9
FC Cartagena
25.7
Racing Ferrol
25.5
Villarreal II
25.2
FC Andorra
25.0
Alcorcon
24.9
Amorebieta
24.5
Mirandes
24.0
Eibar
23.8
Sporting Gijon
23.5
Burgos
23.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
52.1%
Under 9.5
47.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
73.0%
Under 3.5
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
78.0%
Under 21.5
22.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Villarreal II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.50
0.53
0.47
0.40
0.53
vs Stronger (21)
0.52
0.52
0.64
0.36
0.40
0.70
vs Similar (9)
0.33
0.44
0.25
0.75
0.40
0.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Levante) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levante
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.33
0.67
0.33
0.33
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.50
0.56
0.83
0.67
0.30
0.50
vs Weaker (14)
0.50
0.07
0.56
0.11
0.40
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Villarreal II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Villarreal II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levante over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levante over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levante over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Villarreal II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.87
0.40
0.53
0.33
1.20
vs Stronger (21)
0.33
0.86
0.18
0.73
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (9)
0.44
0.89
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Levante) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levante
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.77
0.67
0.80
0.40
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.62
0.75
0.83
0.67
0.50
0.80
vs Weaker (14)
0.43
0.79
0.56
0.89
0.20
0.60
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Villarreal II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Villarreal II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levante over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levante over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levante over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
88.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Villarreal II
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Álex Forés38%
Javier Ontiveros21%
Víctor Moreno11%
Stefan Leković10%
Jorge Pascual8%
Pau Navarro8%
Alberto del Moral5%
Lanchi4%
Andrés Ferrari3%
Dani Tasende3%
Diego Collado3%
Daniel Requena3%
Miguel Ángel Morro0%
Pablo Íñiguez0%
Adrià Altimira0%
Hugo Novoa Ramos0%
Iker Álvarez0%
Carlo Adriano García0%
Carlos Romero0%
Abraham Rando0%
Aitor Gelardo Vegara0%
Hugo Pérez0%
Marcos Sánchez0%
Tiago Geralnik0%
Rodrigo Alonso0%
Antonio Espigares0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Javier Ontiveros39%
Stefan Leković24%
Abraham Rando24%
Dani Tasende21%
Lanchi20%
Marcos Sánchez20%
Daniel Requena18%
Carlos Romero18%
Pablo Íñiguez18%
Rodrigo Alonso17%
Jorge Pascual15%
Alberto del Moral14%
Tiago Geralnik12%
Adrià Altimira11%
Carlo Adriano García11%
Antonio Espigares10%
Iker Álvarez9%
Pau Navarro8%
Andrés Ferrari6%
Álex Forés5%
Diego Collado3%
Miguel Ángel Morro0%
Hugo Novoa Ramos0%
Aitor Gelardo Vegara0%
Hugo Pérez0%
Víctor Moreno0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Carlos Romero18%
Dani Tasende12%
Javier Ontiveros11%
Jorge Pascual10%
Hugo Novoa Ramos9%
Carlo Adriano García6%
Lanchi4%
Adrià Altimira4%
Rodrigo Alonso3%
Álex Forés3%
Miguel Ángel Morro0%
Pablo Íñiguez0%
Iker Álvarez0%
Alberto del Moral0%
Diego Collado0%
Abraham Rando0%
Aitor Gelardo Vegara0%
Hugo Pérez0%
Marcos Sánchez0%
Tiago Geralnik0%
Antonio Espigares0%
Stefan Leković0%
Andrés Ferrari0%
Víctor Moreno0%
Daniel Requena0%
Pau Navarro0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Javier Ontiveros39%
Álex Forés26%
Jorge Pascual8%
Diego Collado6%
Carlo Adriano García6%
Carlos Romero5%
Lanchi4%
Tiago Geralnik4%
Adrià Altimira4%
Andrés Ferrari3%
Dani Tasende3%
Daniel Requena3%
Miguel Ángel Morro0%
Pablo Íñiguez0%
Hugo Novoa Ramos0%
Iker Álvarez0%
Alberto del Moral0%
Abraham Rando0%
Aitor Gelardo Vegara0%
Hugo Pérez0%
Marcos Sánchez0%
Rodrigo Alonso0%
Antonio Espigares0%
Stefan Leković0%
Víctor Moreno0%
Pau Navarro0%
Levante
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Bouldini19%
Roger Brugué17%
Pablo Martínez17%
Fabrício Santos15%
Dani Gómez15%
Adrián de la Fuente14%
Carlos Álvarez10%
Giorgi Kochorashvili8%
Álex Muñoz6%
Iván Romero5%
Ángel Algobia5%
Óscar Clemente5%
Álejandro Cantero4%
Andrés García4%
Oriol Rey3%
Sergio Lozano3%
Andrés Fernández0%
Nikola Maraš0%
Rober Ibáñez0%
Ander Capa0%
Rúben Vezo0%
Sergio Postigo0%
Joan Femenías0%
Alex Valle0%
Xavi Grande0%
Jorge Cabello0%
Marcos Navarro0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ander Capa33%
Mohamed Bouldini28%
Álex Muñoz27%
Adrián de la Fuente26%
Sergio Lozano22%
Oriol Rey19%
Carlos Álvarez14%
Sergio Postigo13%
Nikola Maraš12%
Giorgi Kochorashvili12%
Álejandro Cantero12%
Dani Gómez12%
Joan Femenías11%
Rúben Vezo11%
Ángel Algobia10%
Andrés Fernández9%
Pablo Martínez8%
Fabrício Santos8%
Alex Valle7%
Rober Ibáñez6%
Roger Brugué3%
Óscar Clemente0%
Iván Romero0%
Xavi Grande0%
Andrés García0%
Jorge Cabello0%
Marcos Navarro0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sergio Lozano19%
Pablo Martínez14%
Andrés García12%
Rúben Vezo11%
Ángel Algobia10%
Roger Brugué8%
Álejandro Cantero8%
Carlos Álvarez7%
Adrián de la Fuente6%
Óscar Clemente5%
Dani Gómez3%
Oriol Rey3%
Andrés Fernández0%
Fabrício Santos0%
Nikola Maraš0%
Rober Ibáñez0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Ander Capa0%
Sergio Postigo0%
Mohamed Bouldini0%
Giorgi Kochorashvili0%
Joan Femenías0%
Iván Romero0%
Alex Valle0%
Xavi Grande0%
Jorge Cabello0%
Marcos Navarro0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dani Gómez21%
Mohamed Bouldini14%
Giorgi Kochorashvili12%
Fabrício Santos12%
Sergio Lozano11%
Adrián de la Fuente6%
Pablo Martínez6%
Rúben Vezo5%
Iván Romero5%
Ángel Algobia5%
Álejandro Cantero4%
Álex Muñoz3%
Roger Brugué3%
Oriol Rey3%
Andrés Fernández0%
Nikola Maraš0%
Rober Ibáñez0%
Ander Capa0%
Sergio Postigo0%
Joan Femenías0%
Óscar Clemente0%
Carlos Álvarez0%
Alex Valle0%
Xavi Grande0%
Andrés García0%
Jorge Cabello0%
Marcos Navarro0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
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Espanyol
Leganes
Eibar
Valladolid
Oviedo
Sporting Gijon
Racing Santander
Burgos
Racing Ferrol
Elche
Tenerife
Zaragoza
Albacete
FC Cartagena
Eldense
Huesca
Mirandes
Amorebieta
Alcorcon
FC Andorra