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Vukovar vs Croatia Zmijavci Result & Analysis

Date: 17/09/2022
Time: 14:30
Final 0-1
Vukovar
Vukovar
Vs
57%
26%
18%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Croatia Zmijavci
Croatia Zmijavci
Croatia: First NL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vukovar win✗ Miss
56.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci win✓ Hit
17.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

VukovarVukovar

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D41W11D10W11DA·DUB13/08H·JAR20/08A·BSK27/08H·HNK03/09A·DUG10/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.400.602.500.500.670.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Weaker (4)1.500.754.001.000.670.67
Clean sheet %40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Croatia Zmijavci) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W04L11D11D21WA·DUG13/08A·SOL20/08H·KUS28/08A·HRV02/09H·RUD11/09
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.401.501.001.001.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)1.251.502.001.001.001.67
vs Weaker (1)1.001.001.001.00--
Clean sheet %20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Vukovar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
74.7%
Under 1.5
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.6%
Under 2.5
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.8%
Under 3.5
73.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.3%
No
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.4%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
5.6%
0-1 ✓
5.3%
Vukovar goals ↓
Croatia Zmijavci goals →
01234
08.4%5.3%2.8%0.8%0.2%
112%12%4.9%1.4%0.3%
211%9.7%4.3%1.2%0.3%
36.4%5.6%2.5%0.7%0.2%
42.8%2.4%1.1%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vukovar goals (down), columns = Croatia Zmijavci goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vukovar
1.91
Rudes
1.85
HNK Cibalia
1.64
Zrinski Jurjevac
1.50
Jarun
1.33
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.33
Croatia Zmijavci
1.30
Orijent 1919
1.30
Solin
1.30
Dubrava Zagreb
1.27
Dugopolje
1.24
Kustosija
1.06
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
0.76
Vukovar is 0.61 points better than Croatia Zmijavci in terms of average points per game (1.91 vs 1.30).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vukovar
1.73
Rudes
1.61
Solin
1.42
Orijent 1919
1.36
Jarun
1.30
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.24
Dubrava Zagreb
1.15
Croatia Zmijavci
1.12
HNK Cibalia
1.12
Kustosija
1.06
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
1.00
Zrinski Jurjevac
1.00
Dugopolje
0.91
Vukovar is 0.61 goals better than Croatia Zmijavci in terms of goals scored per game (1.73 vs 1.12).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vukovar
0.76
HNK Cibalia
0.79
Rudes
0.82
Zrinski Jurjevac
1.00
Dugopolje
1.06
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.12
Dubrava Zagreb
1.18
Croatia Zmijavci
1.33
Orijent 1919
1.36
Kustosija
1.49
Solin
1.67
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
1.70
Jarun
1.73
Vukovar is 0.58 goals better than Croatia Zmijavci in terms of goals conceded per game (0.76 vs 1.33).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

VukovarVukovar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D11D01L00D01LA·DUB13/08H·JAR20/08A·BSK27/08H·HNK03/09A·DUG10/09
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.200.600.500.500.000.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Weaker (4)0.250.751.001.000.000.67
Clean sheet %40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Croatia Zmijavci) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W02L01L01L21WA·DUG13/08A·SOL20/08H·KUS28/08A·HRV02/09H·RUD11/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.001.001.000.671.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)1.001.002.001.000.671.00
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Vukovar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vukovar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vukovar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vukovar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

VukovarVukovar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W10W10W10WA·DUB13/08H·JAR20/08A·BSK27/08H·HNK03/09A·DUG10/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.002.000.000.670.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Weaker (4)1.250.003.000.000.670.00
Clean sheet %100% (+69pp vs league)
This opponent (Croatia Zmijavci) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L10W10W00DA·DUG13/08A·SOL20/08H·KUS28/08A·HRV02/09H·RUD11/09
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.400.500.000.330.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.250.500.000.000.330.67
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %80% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Vukovar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vukovar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vukovar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vukovar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.7%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.573.2%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Vukovar · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jakov Puljić48%
Robin González14%
Lovro Banovec12%
Šimun Butić6%
Jakov Gurlica6%
Mario Tadić5%
Alen Jurilj5%
Kerim Çalhanoğlu5%
Vito Čaić4%
Rafael Camacho0%
Marin Pilj0%
Josip Špoljarić0%
Antonio Bosec0%
Antonio Đaković0%
Josip Elez0%
Jakov Biljan0%
Kristijan Pavičić0%
Denis Pintol0%
Dominik Mulac0%
Nikita Vlasenko0%
Eniss Shabani0%
Marino Bulat0%
Moreno Živković0%
Paul Bismarck Tabinas0%
David Mejía0%
Pocholo Bugas0%
Kristijan Čabrajić0%
Lovre Kulušić0%
Luka Klanac0%
Mario Tičinović0%
Josip Špoljarić0%
Niko Pajvančić0%
Danijel Vinković0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marin Pilj80%
Lovre Kulušić43%
David Mejía30%
Moreno Živković29%
Jakov Biljan27%
Jakov Puljić22%
Rafael Camacho20%
Josip Elez20%
Lovro Banovec20%
Luka Klanac20%
Eniss Shabani18%
Robin González17%
Kristijan Pavičić17%
Vito Čaić17%
Jakov Gurlica17%
Mario Tadić16%
Mario Tičinović15%
Marino Bulat13%
Antonio Bosec10%
Alen Jurilj10%
Kerim Çalhanoğlu10%
Kristijan Čabrajić10%
Josip Špoljarić0%
Antonio Đaković0%
Denis Pintol0%
Dominik Mulac0%
Nikita Vlasenko0%
Paul Bismarck Tabinas0%
Pocholo Bugas0%
Šimun Butić0%
Josip Špoljarić0%
Niko Pajvančić0%
Danijel Vinković0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lovro Banovec16%
Robin González14%
Kerim Çalhanoğlu10%
Mario Tičinović10%
Eniss Shabani9%
Moreno Živković7%
Alen Jurilj5%
Kristijan Čabrajić5%
Rafael Camacho0%
Jakov Puljić0%
Marin Pilj0%
Josip Špoljarić0%
Antonio Bosec0%
Antonio Đaković0%
Josip Elez0%
Jakov Biljan0%
Kristijan Pavičić0%
Mario Tadić0%
Denis Pintol0%
Dominik Mulac0%
Nikita Vlasenko0%
Marino Bulat0%
Paul Bismarck Tabinas0%
David Mejía0%
Pocholo Bugas0%
Vito Čaić0%
Jakov Gurlica0%
Lovre Kulušić0%
Šimun Butić0%
Luka Klanac0%
Josip Špoljarić0%
Niko Pajvančić0%
Danijel Vinković0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jakov Puljić30%
Robin González7%
Šimun Butić6%
Mario Tadić5%
Alen Jurilj5%
Kerim Çalhanoğlu5%
Lovro Banovec4%
Rafael Camacho0%
Marin Pilj0%
Josip Špoljarić0%
Antonio Bosec0%
Antonio Đaković0%
Josip Elez0%
Jakov Biljan0%
Kristijan Pavičić0%
Denis Pintol0%
Dominik Mulac0%
Nikita Vlasenko0%
Eniss Shabani0%
Marino Bulat0%
Moreno Živković0%
Paul Bismarck Tabinas0%
David Mejía0%
Pocholo Bugas0%
Vito Čaić0%
Jakov Gurlica0%
Kristijan Čabrajić0%
Lovre Kulušić0%
Luka Klanac0%
Mario Tičinović0%
Josip Špoljarić0%
Niko Pajvančić0%
Danijel Vinković0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (27)
€5m
VUK (13)
€2m
DUG (22)
€2m
BBB (18)
€2m
DZ (15)
€2m
O1 (19)
€2m
KUS (12)
€2m
CZ (14)
€2m
HC (19)
€2m
Vukovar and Croatia Zmijavci have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (13)
€3m
VUK (6)
€1m
O1 (4)
€1m
DUG (10)
€1m
BBB (7)
€1m
CZ (7)
€1m
KUS (3)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
DZ (4)
€0m
Vukovar and Croatia Zmijavci have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (3)
€1m
RUD (4)
€1m
DUG (4)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
BBB (2)
€0m
KUS (2)
€0m
VUK (2)
€0m
CZ (2)
€0m
O1 (2)
€0m
Vukovar and Croatia Zmijavci have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (10)
€1m
O1 (13)
€1m
DZ (8)
€1m
KUS (7)
€1m
BBB (9)
€1m
VUK (5)
€1m
DUG (8)
€1m
CZ (5)
€1m
HC (7)
€1m
Vukovar and Croatia Zmijavci have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
VUK wins
0
Draws
0
CZ wins

Head-to-head

Vukovar vs Croatia Zmijavci · H/A from VUK
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

VukovarVukovar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/09/22ADugopolje Vs VUK1-1
03/09/22HVUK Vs HNK Cibalia1-0
27/08/22ABsk Bijelo Brdo Vs VUK1-1
20/08/22HVUK Vs Jarun4-1
13/08/22ADubrava Zagreb Vs VUK0-0

Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/09/22HCZ Vs Rudes2-1
02/09/22AHrvatski Dragovoljac Vs CZ1-1
28/08/22HCZ Vs Kustosija1-1
20/08/22ASolin Vs CZ4-0
13/08/22ADugopolje Vs CZ0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Vukovar
Vukovar
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWD1.80
HomeWW3.00
AwayDDD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%100%0%
AVG goals2.003.001.33
Over 1.5 %60%50%67%
Over 2.5 %20%50%0%
Over 3.5 %20%50%0%
Scored1.402.500.67
Conceded0.600.500.67
BTTS60%50%67%
Clean Sheet40%50%33%
Corners---
Cards---
Croatia Zmijavci
Croatia Zmijavci
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDDW1.60
HomeDW2.00
AwayWLD1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%50%33%
AVG goals2.602.502.67
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %40%50%33%
Over 3.5 %20%0%33%
Scored1.201.501.00
Conceded1.401.001.67
BTTS60%100%33%
Clean Sheet20%0%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VukovarVukovar3363
52%
1.9
5725+32
2.5
70%
42%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.70.8
-
2RudesRudes3361
55%
1.8
5327+26
2.4
70%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3111.60.8
-
3HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia3354
39%
1.6
3726+11
1.9
58%
30%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.10.8
-
4Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo3344
36%
1.3
4137+4
2.4
67%
45%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.1
-
5JarunJarun3344
39%
1.3
4357-14
3.0
73%
67%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
6Orijent 1919Orijent 19193343
30%
1.3
4545+0
2.7
73%
55%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.4
-
7Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci3343
36%
1.3
3744-7
2.5
79%
52%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.3
-
8SolinSolin3343
36%
1.3
4755-8
3.1
79%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
9Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb3342
33%
1.3
3839-1
2.3
67%
30%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.2
-
10DugopoljeDugopolje3341
27%
1.2
3035-5
2.0
70%
24%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.91.1
-
11KustosijaKustosija3537
29%
1.1
3752-15
2.5
69%
46%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.5
-
12Hrvatski DragovoljacHrvatski Dragovoljac3325
15%
0.8
3356-23
2.7
76%
52%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
13Zrinski JurjevacZrinski Jurjevac23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
14Inter ZaprešićInter Zaprešić00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Croatia: First NL 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →

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