Vukovar’s recent win over Segesta Sisak and a 2-0 scoreline give the home side a sharp lift, while Dinamo Zagreb U21’s two consecutive defeats and a 0-3 loss to Orijent 1919 leave them struggling away. The model therefore names a home win as the clear favourite, assigning a 77% probability to Vukovar’s victory, 17% to a draw and 6% to an away win. The expected total goals hover at 2.9, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 24%. The single most probable scoreline is 2-0, with a 15.1% chance. Vukovar’s home form shows they average 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded against stronger opponents, whereas Dinamo Zagreb U21 average 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on the road. The model’s suggested picks include Away under 3.5 goals at 99.7%, Under 7.5 at 99.0%, Home +2 handicap at 98.5% with a 7% edge, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.4%, Away under 2.5 goals at 98.1%, Under 6.5 at 97.0% with a 3% edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.6%, and Home or Draw at 93.7% with a 12% edge.
Results analysis
The upset came early as Dinamo Zagreb U21 overturned expectations, winning 6-2 after Vukovar’s recent run of losses. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was assigned a 77% probability, but the model was wrong. The final score of 2-6 produced an away victory, a clear reversal of the predicted outcome. The model’s selections were largely missed: Away under 3.5 goals (99.7%) missed, Under 7.5 (99.0%) missed, Home +2 handicap (98.5%) missed, Away under 2.5 goals (98.1%) missed, Under 6.5 (97.0%) missed, Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.7%) missed, Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.7%) missed, while Home under 2.5 HT goals (95.5%) hit. The game delivered a stark contrast to the model’s predictions.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Vukovar win✗ Miss
77.0%
Avg Implied 56.2% · @ 1.62
Edge
+20.9%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.70
Betano
1.70
Superbet
1.69
1xBet
1.58
Bet365
1.57
Draw✗ Miss
16.7%
Avg Implied 25.3% · @ 3.60
Edge
-8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.75
Dafabet
3.65
1xBet
3.64
Marathonbet
3.62
Betfair
3.60
Dinamo Zagreb U21 win✓ Hit
6.3%
Avg Implied 18.6% · @ 4.90
Edge
-12.3%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
5.18
Marathonbet
5.10
10Bet
5.10
Betfair
5.00
Dafabet
4.80
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Vukovar
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.90
1.13
1.60
1.00
2.20
vs Stronger (10)
0.80
2.90
0.40
2.40
1.20
3.40
vs Similar (19)
1.21
1.42
1.50
1.20
0.89
1.67
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb U21) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo Zagreb U21
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
0% (-31pp vs league)
This opponent (Vukovar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.5%
@ 1.28+8.4%
Under 1.5
20.5%
@ 3.17-8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Under
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.30
Marathonbet
3.20
1xBet
3.20
Superbet
3.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.8%
@ 1.95+8.6%
Under 2.5
44.2%
@ 1.75-8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.93
Under
Bet365
1.85
Marathonbet
1.76
1xBet
1.76
Betfair
1.73
Superbet
1.72
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
33.4%
@ 3.33+6.0%
Under 3.5
66.6%
@ 1.26-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.34
Superbet
3.30
Bet365
3.25
Under
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.26
Betfair
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
39.4%
@ 1.92-8.4%
No
60.6%
@ 1.76+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.95
Betfair
1.95
Bet365
1.91
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.90
No
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.78
Superbet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.75
Betfair
1.75
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
15.1%@ 6.94+9.8%
1-0
12.0%@ 5.94+5.9%
3-0
11.8%@ 11.50+8.7%
2-1
8.4%@ 7.75+3.7%
1-1
7.8%@ 6.94+2.6%
4-0
7.0%@ 21.50+5.3%
3-1
6.6%@ 12.50+3.7%
0-0
6.1%@ 9.43+2.3%
Vukovar goals ↓
Dinamo Zagreb U21 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.1%
2.3%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
1
12%
7.8%
2.0%
0.4%
0.1%
2
15%
8.4%
2.3%
0.4%
0.1%
3
12%
6.6%
1.8%
0.3%
0.0%
4
7.0%
3.9%
1.1%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vukovar goals (down), columns = Dinamo Zagreb U21 goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
HNK Cibalia
1.76
Sesvete
1.73
Vukovar
1.68
Dugopolje
1.64
Dubrava Zagreb
1.42
Dinamo Zagreb U21
1.39
Segesta Sisak
1.38
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.27
Karlovac 1919
1.27
Opatija
1.21
Orijent 1919
1.15
Jadran LP
1.14
Hrvace
1.09
Croatia Zmijavci
1.06
Kustosija
1.02
Mladost Ždralovi
0.51
Vukovar is 0.29 points better than Dinamo Zagreb U21 in terms of average points per game (1.68 vs 1.39).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
HNK Cibalia
1.55
Vukovar
1.43
Sesvete
1.27
Dugopolje
1.21
Karlovac 1919
1.21
Orijent 1919
1.21
Dubrava Zagreb
1.18
Dinamo Zagreb U21
1.18
Segesta Sisak
1.17
Hrvace
1.09
Croatia Zmijavci
0.97
Jadran LP
0.97
Opatija
0.94
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
Kustosija
0.86
Mladost Ždralovi
0.43
Vukovar is 0.25 goals better than Dinamo Zagreb U21 in terms of goals scored per game (1.43 vs 1.18).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sesvete
0.85
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
Vukovar
0.96
HNK Cibalia
1.00
Dugopolje
1.15
Opatija
1.15
Dinamo Zagreb U21
1.17
Segesta Sisak
1.17
Orijent 1919
1.24
Karlovac 1919
1.36
Dubrava Zagreb
1.39
Croatia Zmijavci
1.39
Jadran LP
1.42
Hrvace
1.45
Kustosija
1.59
Mladost Ždralovi
3.18
Vukovar is 0.20 goals better than Dinamo Zagreb U21 in terms of goals conceded per game (0.96 vs 1.17).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Vukovar or Draw✗ Miss
93.7%
Avg Implied 81.9% · @ 1.12
Edge
+11.8%
77%
17%
6%
covers Vukovar + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.09
Vukovar or Dinamo Zagreb U21✓ Hit
83.3%
Avg Implied 75.1% · @ 1.22
Edge
+8.3%
77%
17%
6%
covers Vukovar + Dinamo Zagreb U21
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
Draw or Dinamo Zagreb U21✓ Hit
23.0%
Avg Implied 43.0% · @ 2.13
Edge
-20.1%
77%
17%
6%
covers Draw + Dinamo Zagreb U21
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Bet365
2.15
Marathonbet
2.13
1xBet
2.13
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Vukovar over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
90.6%
@ 1.16+11.3%
Under
9.4%
@ 4.43-11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Under
1xBet
4.70
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.10
Vukovar over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
68.3%
@ 1.82+17.4%
Under
31.7%
@ 1.89-17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
Superbet
1.87
1xBet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.79
Bet365
1.73
Under
Bet365
2.00
Marathonbet
1.90
1xBet
1.87
Betano
1.83
Superbet
1.83
Vukovar over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
42.0%
@ 3.50+15.7%
Under
58.0%
@ 1.25-15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.60
Superbet
3.50
Bet365
3.40
Under
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.24
Superbet
1.21
Vukovar over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
21.3%
@ 7.55+9.0%
Under
78.7%
@ 1.05-9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.10
Bet365
7.00
Under
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.03
Dinamo Zagreb U21 over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
42.8%
@ 1.62-13.8%
Under
57.2%
@ 2.12+13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Superbet
1.61
Marathonbet
1.61
Under
Betano
2.15
Superbet
2.15
Bet365
2.10
Marathonbet
2.09
1xBet
2.09
Dinamo Zagreb U21 over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
10.8%
@ 3.96-12.3%
Under
89.2%
@ 1.19+12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.30
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
3.80
Superbet
3.75
Under
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Superbet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
Dinamo Zagreb U21 over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
1.9%
@ 9.10-8.3%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.04+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
9.20
Bet365
9.00
Under
Bet365
1.04
Dinamo Zagreb U21 over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
0.3%
@ 17.00-99.7%
Under
99.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Vukovar, so a minus line means Vukovar give that many goals of a start and Dinamo Zagreb U21 receive them. At -1, Vukovar must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Vukovar win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Vukovar)Actual: Dinamo Zagreb U21
Vukovar -2
31.7%
@ 5.55+15.4%
Draw -2
22.8%
@ 4.67+3.5%
Dinamo Zagreb U21 +2
45.5%
@ 1.40-19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
5.60
Bet365
5.50
Draw
Marathonbet
4.85
Bet365
4.50
Away
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.36
Handicap -1 (Vukovar)Actual: Dinamo Zagreb U21
Vukovar -1
54.5%
@ 2.72+21.8%
Draw -1
22.5%
@ 3.38-3.8%
Dinamo Zagreb U21 +1
23.0%
@ 2.17-18.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.80
10Bet
2.75
Marathonbet
2.70
Bet365
2.62
Draw
Bet365
3.60
Marathonbet
3.34
Betfair
3.30
10Bet
3.30
Away
Bet365
2.25
10Bet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.13
Betfair
2.10
Handicap +1 (Vukovar)Actual: Dinamo Zagreb U21
Vukovar +1
93.7%
@ 1.17+15.0%
Draw +1
4.8%
@ 6.50-9.4%
Dinamo Zagreb U21 -1
1.5%
@ 13.00-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.17
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Away
Bet365
13.00
Handicap +2 (Vukovar)Actual: Dinamo Zagreb U21
Vukovar +2
98.5%
@ 1.04+6.9%
Draw +2
1.3%
@ 17.00-4.3%
Dinamo Zagreb U21 -2
0.2%
@ 34.00-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.04
Draw
Bet365
17.00
Away
Bet365
34.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Vukovar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.77
0.27
0.53
0.47
1.00
vs Stronger (10)
0.20
1.10
0.00
0.60
0.40
1.60
vs Similar (19)
0.42
0.58
0.40
0.50
0.44
0.67
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb U21) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo Zagreb U21
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.00
1.50
-
-
0.00
1.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
0.00
1.50
-
-
0.00
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
0% (-31pp vs league)
This opponent (Vukovar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
71.1%
@ 1.38+4.8%
Under 0.5
28.9%
@ 2.71-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.41
1xBet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Under
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
2.88
Marathonbet
2.73
1xBet
2.71
10Bet
2.62
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
33.1%
@ 2.84+0.9%
Under 1.5
66.9%
@ 1.35-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.90
Betfair
2.88
1xBet
2.83
Marathonbet
2.83
Bet365
2.75
Under
Bet365
1.40
Betfair
1.36
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
Superbet
1.32
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
18.5%
@ 7.00+5.4%
Under 2.5
81.5%
@ 1.06-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
8.00
1xBet
6.90
Superbet
6.60
Bet365
6.50
Under
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Superbet
1.04
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vukovar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
53.6%
@ 1.79+2.0%
Under
46.4%
@ 1.91-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.82
Superbet
1.82
1xBet
1.74
Under
1xBet
1.98
Superbet
1.88
Betano
1.88
Vukovar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
19.0%
@ 4.60-0.9%
Under
81.0%
@ 1.14+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.60
Under
1xBet
1.14
Vukovar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.5%
Under
95.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Zagreb U21 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
31.8%
@ 2.79-1.2%
Under
68.2%
@ 1.37+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.82
Superbet
2.80
1xBet
2.75
Under
1xBet
1.40
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.34
Dinamo Zagreb U21 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
7.7%
Under
92.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Zagreb U21 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
3.3%
Under
96.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Vukovar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
1.13
0.87
1.07
0.53
1.20
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
1.80
0.40
1.80
0.80
1.80
vs Similar (19)
0.79
0.84
1.10
0.70
0.44
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb U21) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo Zagreb U21
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.00
0.50
-
-
0.00
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
0.00
0.50
-
-
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Vukovar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
82.7%
@ 1.24+8.6%
Under 0.5
17.3%
@ 3.54-8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.22
Under
1xBet
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.28
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
47.9%
@ 2.14+4.9%
Under 1.5
52.1%
@ 1.62-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.15
1xBet
2.15
Betano
2.12
Bet365
2.10
Under
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
1xBet
1.61
Superbet
1.58
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
26.3%
@ 4.50+5.9%
Under 2.5
73.7%
@ 1.15-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.50
1xBet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Under
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.15
Superbet
1.12
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vukovar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
60.2%
@ 1.52-0.3%
Under
39.8%
@ 2.33+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.54
1xBet
1.51
Under
1xBet
2.40
Superbet
2.27
Vukovar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
37.1%
@ 3.40+10.1%
Under
62.9%
@ 1.26-10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.40
Under
1xBet
1.26
Vukovar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.8%
@ 9.50+4.2%
Under
86.2%
@ 1.01-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.50
Under
1xBet
1.01
Dinamo Zagreb U21 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
39.4%
@ 2.33-0.0%
Under
60.6%
@ 1.52+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.34
Superbet
2.32
Under
1xBet
1.53
Superbet
1.51
Dinamo Zagreb U21 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
10.3%
@ 8.20-0.9%
Under
89.7%
@ 1.03+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.20
Under
1xBet
1.03
Dinamo Zagreb U21 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
3.3%
Under
96.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 3.5 goals
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 7.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
98.5%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+6.9%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
98.1%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+8.3%
✗ Miss
Under 6.5
97.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.4%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
93.7%
1.12
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.09
+11.8%
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
93.7%
1.17
Bet365
1.17
-
-
-
-
+15.0%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5
92.4%
1.03
1xBet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.01
-
-
+1.5%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
90.6%
1.16
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
-
-
+11.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
89.7%
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-
-
+0.9%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 goals
89.2%
1.19
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Superbet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
-
+12.3%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 2H goals
86.2%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
-4.2%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
83.3%
1.22
Betfair
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
+8.3%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
82.9%
1.07
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-
-3.0%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
82.7%
1.24
Marathonbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.22
-
+8.6%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
81.5%
1.06
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Superbet
1.04
-
-5.4%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
81.0%
1.14
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
-
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.5%
1.28
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.26
+8.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
78.7%
1.05
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-
-9.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
73.7%
1.15
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.15
Superbet
1.12
-
-
-5.9%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.1%
1.38
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.41
1xBet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.36
+4.8%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Vukovar · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jakov Puljić48%
Robin González14%
Lovro Banovec12%
Šimun Butić6%
Jakov Gurlica6%
Mario Tadić5%
Alen Jurilj5%
Kerim Çalhanoğlu5%
Vito Čaić4%
Rafael Camacho0%
Marin Pilj0%
Josip Špoljarić0%
Antonio Bosec0%
Antonio Đaković0%
Josip Elez0%
Jakov Biljan0%
Kristijan Pavičić0%
Denis Pintol0%
Dominik Mulac0%
Nikita Vlasenko0%
Eniss Shabani0%
Marino Bulat0%
Moreno Živković0%
Paul Bismarck Tabinas0%
David Mejía0%
Pocholo Bugas0%
Kristijan Čabrajić0%
Lovre Kulušić0%
Luka Klanac0%
Mario Tičinović0%
Josip Špoljarić0%
Niko Pajvančić0%
Danijel Vinković0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marin Pilj80%
Lovre Kulušić43%
David Mejía30%
Moreno Živković29%
Jakov Biljan27%
Jakov Puljić22%
Rafael Camacho20%
Josip Elez20%
Lovro Banovec20%
Luka Klanac20%
Eniss Shabani18%
Robin González17%
Kristijan Pavičić17%
Vito Čaić17%
Jakov Gurlica17%
Mario Tadić16%
Mario Tičinović15%
Marino Bulat13%
Antonio Bosec10%
Alen Jurilj10%
Kerim Çalhanoğlu10%
Kristijan Čabrajić10%
Josip Špoljarić0%
Antonio Đaković0%
Denis Pintol0%
Dominik Mulac0%
Nikita Vlasenko0%
Paul Bismarck Tabinas0%
Pocholo Bugas0%
Šimun Butić0%
Josip Špoljarić0%
Niko Pajvančić0%
Danijel Vinković0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lovro Banovec16%
Robin González14%
Kerim Çalhanoğlu10%
Mario Tičinović10%
Eniss Shabani9%
Moreno Živković7%
Alen Jurilj5%
Kristijan Čabrajić5%
Rafael Camacho0%
Jakov Puljić0%
Marin Pilj0%
Josip Špoljarić0%
Antonio Bosec0%
Antonio Đaković0%
Josip Elez0%
Jakov Biljan0%
Kristijan Pavičić0%
Mario Tadić0%
Denis Pintol0%
Dominik Mulac0%
Nikita Vlasenko0%
Marino Bulat0%
Paul Bismarck Tabinas0%
David Mejía0%
Pocholo Bugas0%
Vito Čaić0%
Jakov Gurlica0%
Lovre Kulušić0%
Šimun Butić0%
Luka Klanac0%
Josip Špoljarić0%
Niko Pajvančić0%
Danijel Vinković0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jakov Puljić30%
Robin González7%
Šimun Butić6%
Mario Tadić5%
Alen Jurilj5%
Kerim Çalhanoğlu5%
Lovro Banovec4%
Rafael Camacho0%
Marin Pilj0%
Josip Špoljarić0%
Antonio Bosec0%
Antonio Đaković0%
Josip Elez0%
Jakov Biljan0%
Kristijan Pavičić0%
Denis Pintol0%
Dominik Mulac0%
Nikita Vlasenko0%
Eniss Shabani0%
Marino Bulat0%
Moreno Živković0%
Paul Bismarck Tabinas0%
David Mejía0%
Pocholo Bugas0%
Vito Čaić0%
Jakov Gurlica0%
Kristijan Čabrajić0%
Lovre Kulušić0%
Luka Klanac0%
Mario Tičinović0%
Josip Špoljarić0%
Niko Pajvančić0%
Danijel Vinković0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
K1 (26)
€4m
SES (22)
€3m
VUK (13)
€2m
DUG (22)
€2m
OPA (22)
€2m
BBB (18)
€2m
DZ (15)
€2m
O1 (19)
€2m
HRV (20)
€2m
KUS (12)
€2m
JL (9)
€2m
CZ (14)
€2m
HC (19)
€2m
DZU (2)
€1m
MŽ (4)
€0m
Vukovar's squad is €2m more valuable than Dinamo Zagreb U21's (€2m vs €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
K1 (10)
€2m
VUK (6)
€1m
HRV (8)
€1m
JL (4)
€1m
O1 (4)
€1m
SES (7)
€1m
DUG (10)
€1m
BBB (7)
€1m
CZ (7)
€1m
KUS (3)
€1m
DZU (1)
€0m
HC (6)
€0m
MŽ (4)
€0m
OPA (7)
€0m
DZ (4)
€0m
Vukovar and Dinamo Zagreb U21 have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (4)
€1m
DZ (3)
€1m
DUG (4)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
K1 (5)
€0m
HC (6)
€0m
BBB (2)
€0m
KUS (2)
€0m
VUK (2)
€0m
CZ (2)
€0m
DZU (1)
€0m
O1 (2)
€0m
HRV (3)
€0m
JL (1)
€0m
MŽ (0)
€0m
Vukovar and Dinamo Zagreb U21 have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (11)
€2m
OPA (10)
€1m
O1 (13)
€1m
DZ (8)
€1m
HRV (9)
€1m
KUS (7)
€1m
BBB (9)
€1m
VUK (5)
€1m
K1 (11)
€1m
DUG (8)
€1m
CZ (5)
€1m
HC (7)
€1m
JL (4)
€1m
MŽ (0)
€0m
DZU (0)
€0m
Vukovar and Dinamo Zagreb U21 have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Croatia: First NL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →