This opponent (HNK Cibalia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HNK Cibalia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.73
1.31
0.56
0.93
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
1.07
0.63
1.27
0.47
0.83
0.83
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
1.67
2.00
2.00
1.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Vukovar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
64.1%
Under 1.5
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
36.0%
Under 2.5
64.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.8%
Under 3.5
83.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
38.5%
No
61.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
16.2%
0-0
13.0%
2-0
12.8%
1-1 ✓
12.7%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
4.2%
Vukovar goals ↓
HNK Cibalia goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
6.7%
2.6%
0.6%
0.1%
1
16%
13%
3.8%
0.8%
0.1%
2
13%
8.5%
2.8%
0.6%
0.1%
3
6.3%
4.2%
1.4%
0.3%
0.1%
4
2.3%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vukovar goals (down), columns = HNK Cibalia goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Vukovar
1.91
Rudes
1.85
HNK Cibalia
1.64
Zrinski Jurjevac
1.50
Jarun
1.33
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.33
Croatia Zmijavci
1.30
Orijent 1919
1.30
Solin
1.30
Dubrava Zagreb
1.27
Dugopolje
1.24
Kustosija
1.06
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
0.76
Vukovar is 0.27 points better than HNK Cibalia in terms of average points per game (1.91 vs 1.64).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Vukovar
1.73
Rudes
1.61
Solin
1.42
Orijent 1919
1.36
Jarun
1.30
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.24
Dubrava Zagreb
1.15
Croatia Zmijavci
1.12
HNK Cibalia
1.12
Kustosija
1.06
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
1.00
Zrinski Jurjevac
1.00
Dugopolje
0.91
Vukovar is 0.61 goals better than HNK Cibalia in terms of goals scored per game (1.73 vs 1.12).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Vukovar
0.76
HNK Cibalia
0.79
Rudes
0.82
Zrinski Jurjevac
1.00
Dugopolje
1.06
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.12
Dubrava Zagreb
1.18
Croatia Zmijavci
1.33
Orijent 1919
1.36
Kustosija
1.49
Solin
1.67
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
1.70
Jarun
1.73
Vukovar is 0.03 goals better than HNK Cibalia in terms of goals conceded per game (0.76 vs 0.79).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Vukovar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.40
1.13
0.33
0.53
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (28)
0.86
0.43
1.21
0.36
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Cibalia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HNK Cibalia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.17
0.38
0.06
0.43
0.29
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.37
0.11
0.33
0.07
0.42
0.17
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
83% (+52pp vs league)
This opponent (Vukovar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vukovar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vukovar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vukovar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Cibalia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Cibalia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Cibalia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Vukovar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.37
0.93
0.13
0.87
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
vs Weaker (28)
0.89
0.32
0.93
0.14
0.86
0.50
Clean sheet %
73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Cibalia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HNK Cibalia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.57
0.94
0.50
0.50
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.70
0.52
0.93
0.40
0.42
0.67
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Vukovar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vukovar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vukovar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vukovar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Cibalia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Cibalia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Cibalia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Vukovar · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jakov Puljić48%
Robin González14%
Lovro Banovec12%
Šimun Butić6%
Jakov Gurlica6%
Mario Tadić5%
Alen Jurilj5%
Kerim Çalhanoğlu5%
Vito Čaić4%
Rafael Camacho0%
Marin Pilj0%
Josip Špoljarić0%
Antonio Bosec0%
Antonio Đaković0%
Josip Elez0%
Jakov Biljan0%
Kristijan Pavičić0%
Denis Pintol0%
Dominik Mulac0%
Nikita Vlasenko0%
Eniss Shabani0%
Marino Bulat0%
Moreno Živković0%
Paul Bismarck Tabinas0%
David Mejía0%
Pocholo Bugas0%
Kristijan Čabrajić0%
Lovre Kulušić0%
Luka Klanac0%
Mario Tičinović0%
Josip Špoljarić0%
Niko Pajvančić0%
Danijel Vinković0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marin Pilj80%
Lovre Kulušić43%
David Mejía30%
Moreno Živković29%
Jakov Biljan27%
Jakov Puljić22%
Rafael Camacho20%
Josip Elez20%
Lovro Banovec20%
Luka Klanac20%
Eniss Shabani18%
Robin González17%
Kristijan Pavičić17%
Vito Čaić17%
Jakov Gurlica17%
Mario Tadić16%
Mario Tičinović15%
Marino Bulat13%
Antonio Bosec10%
Alen Jurilj10%
Kerim Çalhanoğlu10%
Kristijan Čabrajić10%
Josip Špoljarić0%
Antonio Đaković0%
Denis Pintol0%
Dominik Mulac0%
Nikita Vlasenko0%
Paul Bismarck Tabinas0%
Pocholo Bugas0%
Šimun Butić0%
Josip Špoljarić0%
Niko Pajvančić0%
Danijel Vinković0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lovro Banovec16%
Robin González14%
Kerim Çalhanoğlu10%
Mario Tičinović10%
Eniss Shabani9%
Moreno Živković7%
Alen Jurilj5%
Kristijan Čabrajić5%
Rafael Camacho0%
Jakov Puljić0%
Marin Pilj0%
Josip Špoljarić0%
Antonio Bosec0%
Antonio Đaković0%
Josip Elez0%
Jakov Biljan0%
Kristijan Pavičić0%
Mario Tadić0%
Denis Pintol0%
Dominik Mulac0%
Nikita Vlasenko0%
Marino Bulat0%
Paul Bismarck Tabinas0%
David Mejía0%
Pocholo Bugas0%
Vito Čaić0%
Jakov Gurlica0%
Lovre Kulušić0%
Šimun Butić0%
Luka Klanac0%
Josip Špoljarić0%
Niko Pajvančić0%
Danijel Vinković0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jakov Puljić30%
Robin González7%
Šimun Butić6%
Mario Tadić5%
Alen Jurilj5%
Kerim Çalhanoğlu5%
Lovro Banovec4%
Rafael Camacho0%
Marin Pilj0%
Josip Špoljarić0%
Antonio Bosec0%
Antonio Đaković0%
Josip Elez0%
Jakov Biljan0%
Kristijan Pavičić0%
Denis Pintol0%
Dominik Mulac0%
Nikita Vlasenko0%
Eniss Shabani0%
Marino Bulat0%
Moreno Živković0%
Paul Bismarck Tabinas0%
David Mejía0%
Pocholo Bugas0%
Vito Čaić0%
Jakov Gurlica0%
Kristijan Čabrajić0%
Lovre Kulušić0%
Luka Klanac0%
Mario Tičinović0%
Josip Špoljarić0%
Niko Pajvančić0%
Danijel Vinković0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (27)
€5m
VUK (13)
€2m
DUG (22)
€2m
BBB (18)
€2m
DZ (15)
€2m
O1 (19)
€2m
KUS (12)
€2m
CZ (14)
€2m
HC (19)
€2m
Vukovar and HNK Cibalia have a similar squad value (both €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (13)
€3m
VUK (6)
€1m
O1 (4)
€1m
DUG (10)
€1m
BBB (7)
€1m
CZ (7)
€1m
KUS (3)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
DZ (4)
€0m
Vukovar and HNK Cibalia have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (3)
€1m
RUD (4)
€1m
DUG (4)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
BBB (2)
€0m
KUS (2)
€0m
VUK (2)
€0m
CZ (2)
€0m
O1 (2)
€0m
Vukovar and HNK Cibalia have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (10)
€1m
O1 (13)
€1m
DZ (8)
€1m
KUS (7)
€1m
BBB (9)
€1m
VUK (5)
€1m
DUG (8)
€1m
CZ (5)
€1m
HC (7)
€1m
Vukovar and HNK Cibalia have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Croatia: First NL 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →