Walsall vs Swindon Result & Analysis

Walsall are tipped to win, with a 47% chance of a home victory, 25% for a draw and 27% for Swindon. The match is expected to see about 3.1 goals, but the most likely total is 2, a 23% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 11.8% chance. Walsall, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, average 2.46 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Swindon, on the road, average 1.07 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 8.5 corners (83.2%), Over 1.5 goals (82.2% but likely to miss), Under 25.5 fouls (78.8%), Under 5.5 cards (78.2%), Over 2.5 cards (76.4%) and Over 9.5 corners (74.1%). Walsall have been unbeaten in their last five matches, while Swindon come off a win. The predicted outcome is a home win, though the actual result was an away victory.

The upset came early as Swindon snatched a 0-1 away win, ending Walsall’s unbeaten run of five games that had seen them keep a clean sheet against Crewe. The pre-match favourite, a Home win, had a 47% chance and the model’s call was wrong. The model’s other selections were mixed: Over 8.5 corners hit at 83.2%, Over 1.5 missed at 82.2%, Under 25.5 fouls hit at 78.8%, Under 5.5 cards hit at 78.2%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 76.4%, and Over 9.5 corners hit at 74.1%. The match’s final score of 0-1 matched the actual result of an Away win.