Warta Poznań vs Puszcza Niepołomice Result & Analysis

Warta Poznań are tipped to win, with a 53% chance of taking the points, 26% for a draw and 22% for Puszcza Niepołomice. The match is expected to see 2.8 goals on average, but the most likely total is 2 goals, with a 25% chance. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, at 12.2%. Warta, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 1.27 goals scored and 0.87 conceded, while Puszcza’s away form against this tier is not listed. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 94.4%, Over 21.5 fouls at 87.9%, Over 2.5 cards at 80.8%, Over 1.5 goals at 78.3%, Over 23.5 fouls at 77.8%, Under 5.5 cards at 72.9% and Under 11.5 corners at 72.3%. The final result was an away win, 0-2.

The upset came early as Puszcza Niepołomice overturned the pre-match favourite, winning 2-0. The model had tipped a home win with a 53% probability, but its pick was wrong. The suggested selections all hit except the Under 11.5 corners, which missed. Over 19.5 fouls, over 21.5 fouls, over 2.5 cards, over 1.5 goals, and over 23.5 fouls were all correct, with probabilities of 94.4%, 87.9%, 80.8%, 78.3% and 77.8% respectively. The Under 5.5 cards hit at 72.9%. The match ended 0-2, a result that defied the model’s expectation and highlighted the unpredictability of this fixture.