This opponent (Cardiff) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cardiff
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.10
1.62
1.06
1.00
1.14
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
-
-
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (22)
1.36
1.23
1.50
1.25
1.20
1.20
vs Weaker (6)
1.50
0.33
2.00
0.50
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Wrexham) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.3%
Under 1.5
18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.8%
Under 2.5
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.4%
Under 3.5
64.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.7%
No
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-0
7.2%
1-2 ✓
7.2%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
6.0%
0-1
5.3%
Wrexham goals ↓
Cardiff goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.0%
5.3%
4.2%
1.8%
0.6%
1
7.3%
12%
7.2%
3.1%
1.0%
2
7.2%
9.4%
6.1%
2.6%
0.9%
3
4.1%
5.3%
3.5%
1.5%
0.5%
4
1.7%
2.3%
1.5%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Wrexham goals (down), columns = Cardiff goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Newcastle
2.71
Sheffield Weds
2.50
Tottenham
2.40
Fleetwood Town
2.33
Crystal Palace
2.25
Coventry
2.00
Blackpool
2.00
Fulham
2.00
Wycombe
2.00
Watford
2.00
Leyton Orient
2.00
Everton
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Derby
2.00
Liverpool
2.00
Brighton
2.00
Arsenal
1.80
Southampton
1.75
Stoke
1.75
Preston
1.75
Brentford
1.75
Walsall
1.67
Cardiff
1.50
Doncaster
1.50
Sheffield United
1.50
West Ham
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Birmingham
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Crawley Town
1.50
Chelsea
1.50
Swansea
1.50
Millwall
1.50
Norwich
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Harrogate
1.50
Oxford
1.50
Tranmere
1.50
Huddersfield
1.50
Wolves
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Barnsley
1.33
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Barrow
1.33
Leicester
1.33
Bolton
1.33
Exeter
1.00
Reading
1.00
Notts County
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Luton
1.00
Ipswich
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Barnet
0.76
Oldham
0.70
Grimsby
0.50
Shrewsbury
0.50
Colchester
0.50
Bristol City
0.00
Cheltenham
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Salford
0.00
Port Vale
0.00
Wrexham
0.00
Leeds
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Burton
0.00
Stockport
0.00
Stevenage
0.00
Cambridge
0.00
Accrington
0.00
West Brom
0.00
Bromley
0.00
Bournemouth
0.00
Gillingham
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Hull
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Chesterfield
0.00
Swindon
0.00
Newport County
0.00
Crewe
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
Lincoln
0.00
Burnley
0.00
Charlton
0.00
Sunderland
0.00
Wrexham is 1.50 points worse than Cardiff in terms of average points per game (0.00 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester United
5.00
Blackburn
3.50
Stevenage
3.00
Notts County
3.00
Brighton
3.00
Watford
2.67
Cardiff
2.50
Southampton
2.50
Chelsea
2.50
Stoke
2.50
Huddersfield
2.50
Crystal Palace
2.50
Liverpool
2.50
Sheffield Weds
2.25
Arsenal
2.20
Sheffield United
2.00
Port Vale
2.00
Wrexham
2.00
Blackpool
2.00
Reading
2.00
Crawley Town
2.00
Leicester
2.00
Leyton Orient
2.00
Everton
2.00
Norwich
2.00
Swindon
2.00
Preston
2.00
Wolves
2.00
Ipswich
2.00
Newcastle
1.86
Tottenham
1.80
Fleetwood Town
1.67
Rotherham
1.50
Shrewsbury
1.50
Fulham
1.50
Swansea
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Tranmere
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Brentford
1.50
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Wycombe
1.33
Walsall
1.33
Bolton
1.33
Coventry
1.00
Doncaster
1.00
West Ham
1.00
Exeter
1.00
Grimsby
1.00
Stockport
1.00
Cambridge
1.00
West Brom
1.00
Barrow
1.00
Bromley
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Harrogate
1.00
Hull
1.00
Oxford
1.00
Derby
1.00
Chesterfield
1.00
Newport County
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Luton
1.00
Crewe
1.00
Lincoln
1.00
Colchester
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Barnet
0.99
Oldham
0.92
Barnsley
0.67
Birmingham
0.50
Millwall
0.50
Bristol City
0.00
Cheltenham
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Salford
0.00
Leeds
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Burton
0.00
Accrington
0.00
Bournemouth
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
Burnley
0.00
Charlton
0.00
Sunderland
0.00
Wrexham is 0.50 goals worse than Cardiff in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 2.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.43
Fulham
0.50
Everton
0.50
Millwall
0.50
Oxford
0.50
Derby
0.50
Coventry
0.67
Blackpool
0.67
Wycombe
0.67
Watford
0.67
Sheffield Weds
0.75
Bristol City
1.00
Exeter
1.00
Birmingham
1.00
Fleetwood Town
1.00
Chelsea
1.00
Bournemouth
1.00
Swansea
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Plymouth
1.00
Stoke
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Portsmouth
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Walsall
1.00
Preston
1.00
Luton
1.00
Charlton
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Liverpool
1.17
Crystal Palace
1.25
Brentford
1.25
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Leyton Orient
1.33
Arsenal
1.40
Doncaster
1.50
Sheffield United
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Huddersfield
1.50
Wolves
1.50
Colchester
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Leicester
1.67
Brighton
1.67
Tottenham
1.80
Bristol Rvs
2.00
Salford
2.00
Southampton
2.00
Reading
2.00
Northampton
2.00
Cambridge
2.00
West Brom
2.00
Bromley
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Hull
2.00
Chesterfield
2.00
Tranmere
2.00
Crewe
2.00
Peterboro
2.00
Bolton
2.00
Lincoln
2.00
Burnley
2.00
Sunderland
2.00
Ipswich
2.00
Barrow
2.33
Cardiff
2.50
West Ham
2.50
Shrewsbury
2.50
Middlesbrough
2.50
Barnet
2.54
Barnsley
2.67
Oldham
2.73
Cheltenham
3.00
Grimsby
3.00
Port Vale
3.00
Leeds
3.00
Crawley Town
3.00
Accrington
3.00
Notts County
3.00
Gillingham
3.00
Harrogate
3.00
Norwich
3.50
Wrexham
4.00
Burton
4.00
Stevenage
4.00
Swindon
4.00
Newport County
4.00
Milton Keynes Dons
5.00
Stockport
6.00
Wrexham is 1.50 goals worse than Cardiff in terms of goals conceded per game (4.00 vs 2.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Wrexham
For 4.4 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.1 · Against 9.8 · Total 18.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cardiff
For 4.9 · Against 5.9 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 12.5 · Total 23.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Wrexham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.8
9.0
3.3
3.3
3.4
20.2
19.8
20.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
8.8
10.0
7.8
3.2
2.0
4.2
18.9
16.5
20.8
vs Weaker (41)
9.5
9.7
9.3
3.3
3.5
3.1
20.6
20.4
20.7
% over line
51%
52%
50%
46%
48%
44%
41%
36%
46%
% under line
49%
48%
50%
54%
52%
56%
59%
64%
54%
This opponent (Cardiff) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cardiff
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
10.5
8.8
3.3
3.8
2.9
22.9
23.4
22.5
vs Stronger (6)
10.2
15.0
9.0
3.2
3.0
3.2
23.8
17.0
25.5
vs Similar (38)
9.6
10.2
8.8
3.2
3.6
2.7
22.5
22.8
22.1
vs Weaker (6)
9.7
10.5
8.0
4.3
4.5
4.0
25.0
27.5
20.0
% over line
47%
58%
35%
46%
58%
35%
57%
58%
57%
% under line
53%
42%
65%
54%
42%
65%
43%
42%
43%
This opponent (Wrexham) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Coventry
11.3
Tottenham
11.0
Newcastle
11.0
Huddersfield
10.8
Sheffield Weds
10.8
Oldham
10.8
Portsmouth
10.7
Doncaster
10.6
Harrogate
10.6
Liverpool
10.6
Bournemouth
10.6
Ipswich
10.5
Luton
10.5
Brentford
10.5
Wigan
10.4
Crawley Town
10.4
Nottingham Forest
10.4
Bromley
10.4
Aston Villa
10.4
Barrow
10.3
Barnsley
10.3
Oxford
10.3
Barnet
10.2
West Ham
10.2
Millwall
10.2
Stoke
10.1
Shrewsbury
10.1
QPR
10.1
Sheffield United
10.1
Cheltenham
10.1
Norwich
10.1
Leyton Orient
10.1
Hull
10.0
Crystal Palace
10.0
Watford
10.0
Chesterfield
10.0
Grimsby
10.0
Leicester
10.0
Fulham
10.0
Southampton
10.0
Middlesbrough
9.9
West Brom
9.9
Walsall
9.9
Reading
9.9
Everton
9.9
Newport County
9.8
Bradford
9.8
Swindon
9.8
Bristol Rvs
9.8
Plymouth
9.8
Blackburn
9.8
Burton
9.8
Cardiff
9.7
Sunderland
9.7
Port Vale
9.7
Derby
9.7
Bolton
9.7
Brighton
9.6
Rotherham
9.6
Arsenal
9.6
Crewe
9.6
Wolves
9.6
Fleetwood Town
9.6
Leeds
9.6
Salford
9.6
Bristol City
9.5
Exeter
9.5
Chelsea
9.5
Northampton
9.4
Peterboro
9.4
Mansfield
9.4
Cambridge
9.3
Wrexham
9.3
Manchester United
9.3
Preston
9.3
Colchester
9.3
Lincoln
9.3
Manchester City
9.3
Burnley
9.2
Stevenage
9.2
Charlton
9.2
AFC Wimbledon
9.2
Notts County
9.1
Swansea
9.1
Birmingham
9.0
Wycombe
8.9
Accrington
8.9
Blackpool
8.9
Tranmere
8.8
Milton Keynes Dons
8.8
Stockport
8.7
Gillingham
7.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
5.0
Accrington
4.9
Bolton
4.8
Gillingham
4.7
Nottingham Forest
4.7
Watford
4.6
Bradford
4.6
Crewe
4.5
Brighton
4.4
Chelsea
4.4
Colchester
4.4
Chesterfield
4.3
Grimsby
4.3
Portsmouth
4.2
Southampton
4.2
Crystal Palace
4.2
Salford
4.2
Sunderland
4.2
Tranmere
4.2
Crawley Town
4.2
Ipswich
4.1
Manchester United
4.1
Newcastle
4.1
Bristol Rvs
4.0
Lincoln
4.0
Wolves
4.0
Peterboro
4.0
Milton Keynes Dons
4.0
Cambridge
4.0
Brentford
4.0
Barrow
4.0
Birmingham
3.9
Shrewsbury
3.9
Notts County
3.9
Walsall
3.9
Bromley
3.9
Aston Villa
3.9
Oldham
3.9
QPR
3.9
Stoke
3.9
Norwich
3.8
Exeter
3.8
Fulham
3.8
Leicester
3.7
Sheffield United
3.7
Blackburn
3.7
Barnet
3.7
Charlton
3.7
Mansfield
3.7
Preston
3.7
Swansea
3.7
Liverpool
3.7
Swindon
3.7
Burton
3.7
Port Vale
3.7
Fleetwood Town
3.7
Manchester City
3.7
Derby
3.6
Luton
3.6
Coventry
3.6
Middlesbrough
3.6
Wigan
3.6
Huddersfield
3.6
Stevenage
3.6
Doncaster
3.6
Stockport
3.6
Oxford
3.6
AFC Wimbledon
3.6
Cheltenham
3.6
Everton
3.6
West Brom
3.6
Newport County
3.6
Wycombe
3.6
Barnsley
3.6
Cardiff
3.5
Hull
3.5
Tottenham
3.5
Bristol City
3.5
Rotherham
3.5
Leyton Orient
3.5
West Ham
3.5
Plymouth
3.4
Northampton
3.4
Arsenal
3.4
Wrexham
3.4
Sheffield Weds
3.4
Burnley
3.4
Reading
3.3
Blackpool
3.1
Harrogate
3.1
Leeds
3.1
Millwall
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Oldham
26.1
Salford
25.7
Cheltenham
25.6
Crewe
25.5
Colchester
25.3
Grimsby
24.9
Bolton
24.9
Accrington
24.8
Gillingham
24.7
Rotherham
24.6
Milton Keynes Dons
24.6
Stevenage
24.6
Bradford
24.4
Exeter
24.3
Cambridge
24.2
Birmingham
24.1
Mansfield
24.1
Barnet
24.1
Bournemouth
24.1
Wycombe
23.9
Wolves
23.9
Millwall
23.9
Crawley Town
23.8
Peterboro
23.8
Blackburn
23.8
Southampton
23.8
Lincoln
23.7
Stockport
23.7
Swansea
23.7
Luton
23.5
Tranmere
23.4
Doncaster
23.4
Portsmouth
23.3
Sheffield Weds
23.2
AFC Wimbledon
23.2
Wigan
23.1
Charlton
23.1
Fleetwood Town
23.1
Bristol Rvs
23.0
Shrewsbury
23.0
Newport County
23.0
Cardiff
22.9
Plymouth
22.9
QPR
22.9
Aston Villa
22.9
Brighton
22.9
Northampton
22.8
Ipswich
22.8
Notts County
22.8
Huddersfield
22.8
Chesterfield
22.7
Watford
22.7
Newcastle
22.6
Sunderland
22.6
Sheffield United
22.6
Tottenham
22.5
Reading
22.5
Preston
22.4
Norwich
22.4
Chelsea
22.3
Blackpool
22.2
Nottingham Forest
22.2
Burnley
22.1
Swindon
22.1
West Ham
22.0
Leeds
21.9
Fulham
21.9
Bromley
21.8
Walsall
21.7
Port Vale
21.7
Manchester United
21.7
Everton
21.6
Hull
21.6
Leicester
21.6
Harrogate
21.5
Burton
21.5
Barrow
21.5
West Brom
21.4
Barnsley
21.3
Middlesbrough
21.3
Crystal Palace
21.2
Oxford
21.2
Leyton Orient
21.1
Derby
21.0
Arsenal
20.9
Stoke
20.8
Coventry
20.7
Bristol City
20.4
Liverpool
20.3
Wrexham
20.2
Brentford
18.9
Manchester City
18.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
47.3%
Under 9.5
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.6%
Under 3.5
69.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
38.6%
Under 21.5
61.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Wrexham or Draw✗ Miss
71.7%
Avg Implied -
46%
26%
28%
covers Wrexham + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Wrexham or Cardiff✓ Hit
74.1%
Avg Implied -
46%
26%
28%
covers Wrexham + Cardiff
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Cardiff✓ Hit
54.2%
Avg Implied -
46%
26%
28%
covers Draw + Cardiff
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Wrexham over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
81.8%
Under
18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wrexham over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
50.8%
Under
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wrexham over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
24.4%
Under
75.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wrexham over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
9.4%
Under
90.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
72.8%
Under
27.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
37.4%
Under
62.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.4%
Under
85.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.3%
Under
95.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Wrexham, so a minus line means Wrexham give that many goals of a start and Cardiff receive them. At -1, Wrexham must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Wrexham win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Wrexham)Actual: Cardiff
Wrexham -2
10.7%
Draw -2
14.2%
Cardiff +2
75.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Wrexham)Actual: Cardiff
Wrexham -1
24.9%
Draw -1
20.9%
Cardiff +1
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Wrexham)Actual: Draw
Wrexham +1
71.7%
Draw +1
15.7%
Cardiff -1
12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Wrexham)Actual: Wrexham
Wrexham +2
87.4%
Draw +2
8.3%
Cardiff -2
4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Wrexham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.40
0.64
0.36
0.38
0.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.62
0.50
1.00
0.67
0.40
0.40
vs Weaker (22)
0.45
0.36
0.55
0.27
0.36
0.45
Clean sheet %
67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cardiff
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.50
0.62
0.44
0.36
0.57
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
-
-
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (22)
0.41
0.64
0.42
0.58
0.40
0.70
vs Weaker (6)
0.83
0.00
1.25
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Wrexham) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Wrexham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wrexham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wrexham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Wrexham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.57
0.93
0.64
1.06
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.12
1.12
1.00
1.67
1.20
0.80
vs Weaker (22)
0.95
0.36
0.91
0.36
1.00
0.36
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cardiff
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.60
1.00
0.62
0.64
0.57
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
-
-
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (22)
0.95
0.59
1.08
0.67
0.80
0.50
vs Weaker (6)
0.67
0.33
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Wrexham) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Wrexham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wrexham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wrexham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
93.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
91.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Wrexham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Elliot Lee33%
Harry Ashfield33%
Josh Windass33%
Oliver Rathbone27%
Kieffer Moore21%
Nathan Broadhead20%
Sam Smith19%
Ryan Hardie10%
Lewis O'Brien9%
Liberato Cacace8%
Callum Doyle8%
Max Cleworth7%
George Thomason5%
Ryan Longman5%
George Dobson4%
Matty James3%
Dominic Hyam2%
Danny Ward0%
Conor Coady0%
Jay Rodriguez0%
James McClean0%
Zak Vyner0%
Ryan Barnett0%
Dan Scarr0%
Davis Keillor-Dunn0%
Ben Sheaf0%
Lewis Brunt0%
Issa Kaboré0%
Arthur Okonkwo0%
Bailey Cadamarteri0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Elliot Lee33%
George Dobson17%
Dan Scarr17%
Ben Sheaf17%
Callum Doyle15%
Oliver Rathbone13%
Max Cleworth13%
Kieffer Moore12%
Lewis O'Brien11%
Sam Smith11%
James McClean11%
Matty James10%
George Thomason10%
Ryan Longman10%
Issa Kaboré9%
Dominic Hyam9%
Lewis Brunt8%
Josh Windass7%
Arthur Okonkwo2%
Liberato Cacace0%
Danny Ward0%
Conor Coady0%
Jay Rodriguez0%
Zak Vyner0%
Ryan Barnett0%
Ryan Hardie0%
Davis Keillor-Dunn0%
Nathan Broadhead0%
Bailey Cadamarteri0%
Harry Ashfield0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Elliot Lee33%
Issa Kaboré22%
James McClean16%
Nathan Broadhead12%
Ryan Barnett11%
Callum Doyle10%
Kieffer Moore9%
Lewis O'Brien9%
Max Cleworth9%
Josh Windass9%
George Thomason8%
George Dobson7%
Matty James5%
Ryan Longman5%
Sam Smith4%
Dan Scarr4%
Oliver Rathbone3%
Liberato Cacace0%
Danny Ward0%
Conor Coady0%
Jay Rodriguez0%
Zak Vyner0%
Dominic Hyam0%
Ryan Hardie0%
Davis Keillor-Dunn0%
Ben Sheaf0%
Lewis Brunt0%
Arthur Okonkwo0%
Bailey Cadamarteri0%
Harry Ashfield0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kieffer Moore19%
Josh Windass15%
Nathan Broadhead12%
Oliver Rathbone10%
Ryan Hardie10%
Sam Smith9%
George Thomason3%
Callum Doyle3%
Ryan Longman2%
Lewis O'Brien2%
Max Cleworth2%
George Dobson2%
Liberato Cacace0%
Danny Ward0%
Conor Coady0%
Matty James0%
Jay Rodriguez0%
James McClean0%
Zak Vyner0%
Elliot Lee0%
Dominic Hyam0%
Ryan Barnett0%
Dan Scarr0%
Davis Keillor-Dunn0%
Ben Sheaf0%
Lewis Brunt0%
Issa Kaboré0%
Arthur Okonkwo0%
Bailey Cadamarteri0%
Harry Ashfield0%
Cardiff
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yousef Saleh36%
Omari Kellyman24%
Rubin Colwill23%
Callum Robinson18%
Isaak Davies18%
Joel Colwill16%
Perry Ng15%
Chris Willock15%
Alex Robertson14%
Cian Ashford12%
Calum Chambers10%
Ollie Tanner7%
David Turnbull7%
Dylan Lawlor6%
Ronan Kpakio6%
William Fish5%
Ryan Wintle2%
Joel Bagan2%
Gabriel Osho0%
Nathan Trott0%
Matthew Turner0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Tanatswa Nyakuhwa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alex Robertson25%
Ronan Kpakio19%
Joel Bagan18%
Dylan Lawlor18%
Calum Chambers17%
Joel Colwill16%
Gabriel Osho15%
Ryan Wintle14%
Perry Ng13%
Omari Kellyman11%
Ollie Tanner10%
William Fish10%
David Turnbull9%
Rubin Colwill9%
Yousef Saleh8%
Chris Willock7%
Isaak Davies6%
Callum Robinson5%
Nathan Trott4%
Matthew Turner0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Tanatswa Nyakuhwa0%
Cian Ashford0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ollie Tanner34%
Rubin Colwill23%
Chris Willock15%
Ryan Wintle14%
Perry Ng13%
Ronan Kpakio11%
Yousef Saleh10%
Joel Bagan10%
Isaak Davies9%
Alex Robertson8%
Cian Ashford7%
Callum Robinson7%
David Turnbull7%
Dylan Lawlor6%
Omari Kellyman5%
Joel Colwill5%
Calum Chambers3%
Gabriel Osho0%
Nathan Trott0%
William Fish0%
Matthew Turner0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Tanatswa Nyakuhwa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yousef Saleh38%
Rubin Colwill29%
Omari Kellyman21%
Tanatswa Nyakuhwa20%
Ollie Tanner17%
Callum Robinson9%
Cian Ashford7%
Alex Robertson6%
Ryan Wintle5%
Chris Willock4%
Calum Chambers3%
Isaak Davies3%
Ronan Kpakio3%
Perry Ng3%
William Fish2%
David Turnbull2%
Gabriel Osho0%
Nathan Trott0%
Joel Bagan0%
Matthew Turner0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Joel Colwill0%
Dylan Lawlor0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
BOL (22)
€17m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
SAL (26)
€8m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
CHE (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
BR (24)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
BRO (19)
€4m
BAR (15)
€4m
SWI (22)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
TRA (21)
€4m
COL (20)
€4m
SHR (17)
€3m
CT (19)
€3m
NOR (18)
€3m
GIL (16)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
WAL (20)
€3m
OLD (21)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
NC (16)
€2m
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
Wrexham's squad is €48m more valuable than Cardiff's (€77m vs €29m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
CHE (9)
€3m
SAL (9)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BR (10)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
SWI (8)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
CT (7)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
COL (7)
€1m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
GRI (8)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
TRA (7)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
WAL (4)
€1m
BAR (2)
€0m
BAR (3)
€0m
SHR (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
Wrexham and Cardiff have a similar attack value (both €15m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
FUL (3)
€28m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
MKD (6)
€7m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
LUT (6)
€4m
BOL (4)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
SAL (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
TRA (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CT (7)
€1m
BAR (5)
€1m
WAL (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
BR (4)
€0m
COL (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
Wrexham's midfield is €19m more valuable than Cardiff's (€23m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
BUR (11)
€37m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CHA (13)
€10m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
SAL (12)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
BAR (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
CHE (10)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
COL (10)
€2m
WAL (11)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
NC (10)
€1m
TRA (8)
€1m
FT (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
CT (5)
€1m
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
Wrexham's defence is €29m more valuable than Cardiff's (€39m vs €10m).
England: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →
England: League One 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Coventry
Ipswich
Millwall
Southampton
Middlesbrough
Hull
Derby
Norwich
Birmingham
Swansea
Bristol City
Sheffield United
Preston
QPR
Watford
Stoke
Portsmouth
West Brom
Charlton
Leicester
Blackburn
Oxford
Sheffield Weds
Lincoln
Bolton
Stockport
Bradford
Stevenage
Luton
Plymouth
Huddersfield
Mansfield
Wycombe
Reading
Blackpool
Doncaster
Barnsley
Wigan
Burton
Peterboro
AFC Wimbledon
Leyton Orient
Exeter
Port Vale
Rotherham
Northampton