This opponent (Grazer AK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grazer AK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.50
1.27
1.33
0.73
1.67
vs Stronger (9)
0.78
1.78
0.80
1.40
0.75
2.25
vs Similar (20)
1.15
1.40
1.50
1.30
0.80
1.50
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.6%
Under 1.5
26.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.1%
Under 2.5
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
25.5%
Under 3.5
74.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.9%
No
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.9%
3-0
6.1%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.4%
WSG Wattens goals ↓
Grazer AK goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.9%
5.7%
3.0%
0.9%
0.2%
1
12%
13%
5.1%
1.5%
0.3%
2
11%
9.6%
4.2%
1.3%
0.3%
3
6.1%
5.4%
2.4%
0.7%
0.2%
4
2.5%
2.2%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = WSG Wattens goals (down), columns = Grazer AK goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lask Linz
1.81
Sturm Graz
1.75
Red Bull Salzburg
1.50
Austria Vienna
1.47
Rapid Vienna
1.38
Ried
1.37
TSV Hartberg
1.31
SCR Altach
1.31
WSG Wattens
1.25
Wolfsberger AC
1.24
Grazer AK
1.16
FC BW Linz
0.91
WSG Wattens is 0.09 points better than Grazer AK in terms of average points per game (1.25 vs 1.16).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lask Linz
1.75
Red Bull Salzburg
1.75
Sturm Graz
1.59
Austria Vienna
1.41
Grazer AK
1.31
Wolfsberger AC
1.27
TSV Hartberg
1.25
WSG Wattens
1.25
Ried
1.20
Rapid Vienna
1.18
FC BW Linz
1.16
SCR Altach
1.12
WSG Wattens is 0.06 goals worse than Grazer AK in terms of goals scored per game (1.25 vs 1.31).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sturm Graz
1.09
SCR Altach
1.22
TSV Hartberg
1.25
Rapid Vienna
1.26
Red Bull Salzburg
1.28
Lask Linz
1.31
Wolfsberger AC
1.33
Ried
1.34
Grazer AK
1.41
FC BW Linz
1.53
Austria Vienna
1.56
WSG Wattens
1.62
WSG Wattens is 0.22 goals worse than Grazer AK in terms of goals conceded per game (1.62 vs 1.41).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Red Bull Salzburg
60%
Rapid Vienna
56%
Sturm Graz
54%
SCR Altach
52%
Wolfsberger AC
51%
FC BW Linz
50%
Ried
49%
Lask Linz
49%
Austria Vienna
49%
Grazer AK
48%
WSG Wattens
44%
TSV Hartberg
39%
WSG Wattens is 3.2 percentage points worse than Grazer AK in terms of average possession (44% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
WSG Wattens
For 4.8 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 12.6 · Total 24.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Grazer AK
For 4.3 · Against 5.6 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 12.4 · Total 25.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
WSG Wattens
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.2
9.7
4.2
4.1
4.2
22.2
20.3
24.2
vs Stronger (24)
10.9
11.4
10.3
3.7
3.8
3.7
21.2
20.2
22.4
vs Similar (26)
9.1
8.8
9.3
4.6
4.5
4.6
23.2
20.4
25.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
57%
43%
56%
48%
63%
54%
48%
61%
% under line
50%
43%
57%
44%
52%
37%
46%
52%
39%
This opponent (Grazer AK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grazer AK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.4
9.3
5.1
5.8
4.4
23.8
24.0
23.5
vs Stronger (16)
10.3
10.6
10.0
5.2
5.5
5.0
23.1
23.1
23.1
vs Similar (32)
8.9
8.8
8.9
5.3
5.9
4.7
24.1
24.4
23.7
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
48%
36%
61%
72%
88%
56%
71%
76%
65%
% under line
52%
64%
39%
28%
12%
44%
29%
24%
35%
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rapid Vienna
10.4
Austria Vienna
10.3
Lask Linz
10.1
WSG Wattens
9.8
TSV Hartberg
9.4
Grazer AK
9.3
Sturm Graz
9.2
Wolfsberger AC
9.2
Red Bull Salzburg
9.1
FC BW Linz
9.0
SCR Altach
8.6
Ried
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SCR Altach
5.7
Grazer AK
5.5
TSV Hartberg
5.1
Wolfsberger AC
5.0
Ried
5.0
Sturm Graz
4.9
Austria Vienna
4.8
Rapid Vienna
4.7
FC BW Linz
4.6
WSG Wattens
4.5
Lask Linz
4.2
Red Bull Salzburg
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SCR Altach
24.9
Rapid Vienna
24.9
Sturm Graz
24.3
Grazer AK
23.9
Austria Vienna
23.3
Ried
23.0
TSV Hartberg
22.7
Wolfsberger AC
22.6
FC BW Linz
22.4
WSG Wattens
22.4
Lask Linz
20.9
Red Bull Salzburg
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
51.7%
Under 9.5
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
63.8%
Under 3.5
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
54.2%
Under 21.5
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
WSG Wattens
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.67
0.85
0.77
0.59
0.59
vs Stronger (14)
0.36
0.71
0.71
0.57
0.00
0.86
vs Similar (16)
1.00
0.62
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Grazer AK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grazer AK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.77
0.67
0.67
0.33
0.87
vs Stronger (9)
0.22
0.78
0.40
1.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.75
0.80
0.50
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
WSG Wattens over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grazer AK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grazer AK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grazer AK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
WSG Wattens
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.73
0.69
0.62
1.06
0.82
vs Stronger (14)
0.93
0.71
0.71
1.00
1.14
0.43
vs Similar (16)
0.88
0.75
0.67
0.17
1.00
1.10
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Grazer AK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grazer AK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.73
0.60
0.67
0.40
0.80
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
1.00
0.40
0.40
0.75
1.75
vs Similar (20)
0.50
0.65
0.70
0.80
0.30
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
WSG Wattens over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grazer AK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grazer AK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grazer AK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
WSG Wattens
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Valentino Müller26%
Nikolai Frederiksen24%
Moritz Wels17%
Ademola Ola-Adebomi12%
Lukas Hinterseer7%
Benjamin Böckle7%
Marco Boras7%
Jamie Lawrence6%
Tobias Anselm5%
David Kubatta4%
Matthäus Taferner4%
David Gugganig0%
Thomas Sabitzer0%
Adam Stejskal0%
Quincy Butler0%
Lukas Sulzbacher0%
Johannes Naschberger0%
Thomas Geris0%
David Jaunegg0%
Yannick Votter0%
Christian Huetz0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
David Kubatta32%
Marco Boras30%
Matthäus Taferner23%
Quincy Butler22%
Ademola Ola-Adebomi21%
Moritz Wels20%
Christian Huetz18%
Johannes Naschberger17%
Valentino Müller16%
Nikolai Frederiksen16%
Jamie Lawrence16%
Thomas Sabitzer15%
Yannick Votter15%
David Gugganig12%
Benjamin Böckle10%
David Jaunegg9%
Lukas Sulzbacher8%
Lukas Hinterseer7%
Adam Stejskal3%
Tobias Anselm0%
Thomas Geris0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lukas Sulzbacher17%
Valentino Müller13%
Nikolai Frederiksen12%
Quincy Butler11%
Marco Boras10%
Ademola Ola-Adebomi8%
Matthäus Taferner8%
Thomas Sabitzer8%
Benjamin Böckle7%
Moritz Wels7%
Tobias Anselm5%
David Kubatta4%
Johannes Naschberger3%
David Gugganig0%
Adam Stejskal0%
Lukas Hinterseer0%
Jamie Lawrence0%
Thomas Geris0%
David Jaunegg0%
Yannick Votter0%
Christian Huetz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nikolai Frederiksen40%
Moritz Wels17%
Lukas Hinterseer7%
Valentino Müller6%
David Gugganig6%
Ademola Ola-Adebomi4%
Thomas Sabitzer4%
Marco Boras3%
Jamie Lawrence3%
Matthäus Taferner0%
Adam Stejskal0%
Tobias Anselm0%
Quincy Butler0%
Benjamin Böckle0%
Lukas Sulzbacher0%
Johannes Naschberger0%
Thomas Geris0%
David Jaunegg0%
David Kubatta0%
Yannick Votter0%
Christian Huetz0%
Grazer AK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Daniel Maderner32%
Ramiz Harakate30%
Mark Große18%
Alexander Hofleitner18%
Christian Lichtenberger10%
Jacob Italiano8%
Murat Satin7%
Leon Klassen7%
Mathias Olesen7%
Tio Cipot7%
Donovan Pines3%
Beres Owusu3%
Martin Kreuzriegler0%
Franz Stolz0%
Thorsten Schriebl0%
Dominik Frieser0%
Tobias Koch0%
Jakob Meierhofer0%
Lukas Graf0%
Thomas Schiestl0%
Yannick Oberleitner0%
Sadik Fofana0%
Tim Paumgartner0%
Ludwig Vraa-Jensen0%
Zétény Jánó0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Thorsten Schriebl27%
Tobias Koch26%
Ramiz Harakate23%
Beres Owusu23%
Daniel Maderner20%
Zétény Jánó18%
Alexander Hofleitner18%
Tim Paumgartner17%
Martin Kreuzriegler15%
Murat Satin14%
Yannick Oberleitner14%
Franz Stolz13%
Leon Klassen13%
Mathias Olesen13%
Tio Cipot13%
Donovan Pines10%
Lukas Graf9%
Dominik Frieser7%
Christian Lichtenberger7%
Jacob Italiano4%
Mark Große0%
Jakob Meierhofer0%
Thomas Schiestl0%
Sadik Fofana0%
Ludwig Vraa-Jensen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mark Große18%
Ramiz Harakate13%
Tobias Koch11%
Alexander Hofleitner11%
Thorsten Schriebl9%
Daniel Maderner8%
Murat Satin7%
Leon Klassen7%
Mathias Olesen7%
Tio Cipot7%
Ludwig Vraa-Jensen4%
Dominik Frieser4%
Christian Lichtenberger3%
Jacob Italiano0%
Martin Kreuzriegler0%
Franz Stolz0%
Donovan Pines0%
Jakob Meierhofer0%
Lukas Graf0%
Thomas Schiestl0%
Yannick Oberleitner0%
Sadik Fofana0%
Tim Paumgartner0%
Beres Owusu0%
Zétény Jánó0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ramiz Harakate23%
Alexander Hofleitner11%
Daniel Maderner8%
Tio Cipot7%
Jacob Italiano4%
Murat Satin4%
Christian Lichtenberger3%
Martin Kreuzriegler0%
Franz Stolz0%
Thorsten Schriebl0%
Dominik Frieser0%
Tobias Koch0%
Leon Klassen0%
Donovan Pines0%
Mark Große0%
Jakob Meierhofer0%
Lukas Graf0%
Mathias Olesen0%
Thomas Schiestl0%
Yannick Oberleitner0%
Sadik Fofana0%
Tim Paumgartner0%
Beres Owusu0%
Ludwig Vraa-Jensen0%
Zétény Jánó0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (31)
€105m
SG (26)
€52m
RV (33)
€46m
LL (22)
€44m
AV (30)
€23m
WA (28)
€12m
TH (27)
€10m
GA (23)
€9m
SA (23)
€9m
RIE (24)
€7m
WW (22)
€7m
FBL (21)
€5m
WSG Wattens's squad is €2m less valuable than Grazer AK's (€7m vs €9m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (11)
€47m
SG (11)
€26m
RV (11)
€16m
LL (5)
€13m
AV (11)
€9m
SA (9)
€4m
WA (9)
€3m
WW (7)
€3m
TH (9)
€3m
RIE (7)
€2m
GA (7)
€2m
FBL (9)
€2m
WSG Wattens and Grazer AK have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (6)
€29m
SG (4)
€14m
LL (6)
€11m
RV (6)
€10m
AV (5)
€7m
WA (5)
€3m
TH (7)
€3m
RIE (8)
€3m
WW (7)
€2m
FBL (4)
€1m
SA (3)
€1m
GA (3)
€1m
WSG Wattens and Grazer AK have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (14)
€29m
LL (11)
€20m
RV (16)
€19m
SG (11)
€13m
AV (14)
€7m
WA (14)
€6m
GA (13)
€6m
TH (11)
€5m
SA (11)
€4m
WW (8)
€3m
RIE (9)
€3m
FBL (8)
€2m
WSG Wattens's defence is €3m less valuable than Grazer AK's (€3m vs €6m).
Austria: Bundesliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: Bundesliga stats & trends →
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Lask Linz
Sturm Graz
Red Bull Salzburg
Ried
Rapid Vienna
Austria Vienna
TSV Hartberg
SCR Altach
Wolfsberger AC
FC BW Linz