This opponent (Ried) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ried
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.89
1.57
1.14
1.71
0.64
1.43
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
1.38
0.75
1.25
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (14)
0.79
1.71
0.86
1.86
0.71
1.57
vs Weaker (6)
1.50
1.50
2.33
2.00
0.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
14% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.7%
Under 1.5
27.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.8%
Under 2.5
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.4%
Under 3.5
75.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.0%
No
49.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.7%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
4.7%
WSG Wattens goals ↓
Ried goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.4%
7.2%
4.4%
1.5%
0.4%
1
11%
14%
6.5%
2.2%
0.6%
2
8.8%
9.1%
4.7%
1.6%
0.4%
3
4.3%
4.5%
2.3%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.6%
1.6%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = WSG Wattens goals (down), columns = Ried goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Red Bull Salzburg
2.41
Sturm Graz
2.06
Lask Linz
1.69
Austria Vienna
1.38
Rapid Vienna
1.31
Wolfsberger AC
1.30
Austria Lustenau
1.29
Austria Klagenfurt
1.19
WSG Wattens
1.19
TSV Hartberg
1.03
SCR Altach
0.88
Ried
0.72
WSG Wattens is 0.47 points better than Ried in terms of average points per game (1.19 vs 0.72).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Red Bull Salzburg
2.09
Austria Vienna
1.79
Sturm Graz
1.78
Lask Linz
1.69
Wolfsberger AC
1.58
Rapid Vienna
1.56
Austria Lustenau
1.49
Austria Klagenfurt
1.41
WSG Wattens
1.38
TSV Hartberg
1.22
SCR Altach
0.91
Ried
0.84
WSG Wattens is 0.53 goals better than Ried in terms of goals scored per game (1.38 vs 0.84).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Red Bull Salzburg
0.69
Sturm Graz
0.91
Lask Linz
1.19
Rapid Vienna
1.47
Austria Vienna
1.56
Ried
1.56
Wolfsberger AC
1.58
WSG Wattens
1.66
SCR Altach
1.66
Austria Lustenau
1.74
TSV Hartberg
1.75
Austria Klagenfurt
1.97
WSG Wattens is 0.09 goals worse than Ried in terms of goals conceded per game (1.66 vs 1.56).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Red Bull Salzburg
56%
Lask Linz
55%
Austria Vienna
53%
Rapid Vienna
52%
Sturm Graz
49%
Wolfsberger AC
49%
WSG Wattens
49%
SCR Altach
49%
Austria Lustenau
48%
TSV Hartberg
47%
Austria Klagenfurt
46%
Ried
46%
WSG Wattens is 3.3 percentage points better than Ried in terms of average possession (49% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
WSG Wattens
For 5.2 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 12.4 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ried
For 4.7 · Against 7.0 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 12.2 · Total 23.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
WSG Wattens
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (28)
9.6
9.5
9.8
3.9
4.1
3.6
23.3
22.3
24.3
vs Stronger (13)
10.2
10.7
9.5
3.2
3.0
3.3
23.2
21.0
25.7
vs Similar (15)
9.2
8.3
10.0
4.5
5.1
3.9
23.4
23.6
23.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
46%
43%
50%
54%
50%
57%
61%
50%
71%
% under line
54%
57%
50%
46%
50%
43%
39%
50%
29%
This opponent (Ried) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ried
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (28)
10.6
11.0
10.2
4.0
4.4
3.6
24.0
25.4
22.6
vs Stronger (8)
10.9
9.5
12.2
4.8
5.8
3.8
24.9
26.0
23.8
vs Similar (14)
10.2
10.7
9.7
3.8
4.1
3.4
23.1
24.4
21.7
vs Weaker (6)
11.2
13.7
8.7
3.7
3.3
4.0
25.2
27.0
23.3
% over line
61%
57%
64%
46%
57%
36%
79%
93%
64%
% under line
39%
43%
36%
54%
43%
64%
21%
7%
36%
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Wolfsberger AC
11.3
Rapid Vienna
10.6
Ried
10.6
Austria Vienna
10.1
Austria Lustenau
10.1
Red Bull Salzburg
9.8
Lask Linz
9.8
WSG Wattens
9.6
Sturm Graz
9.6
SCR Altach
9.4
Austria Klagenfurt
9.2
TSV Hartberg
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Sturm Graz
5.1
Rapid Vienna
4.9
TSV Hartberg
4.7
SCR Altach
4.6
Austria Klagenfurt
4.5
Austria Lustenau
4.4
Red Bull Salzburg
4.4
Lask Linz
4.2
Austria Vienna
4.2
Ried
4.0
WSG Wattens
4.0
Wolfsberger AC
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rapid Vienna
27.6
Austria Lustenau
27.1
SCR Altach
26.2
Sturm Graz
25.8
Austria Vienna
25.5
Lask Linz
25.5
Austria Klagenfurt
25.4
Wolfsberger AC
25.3
TSV Hartberg
24.9
Ried
24.0
Red Bull Salzburg
24.0
WSG Wattens
23.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
56.3%
Under 9.5
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
53.4%
Under 3.5
46.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
63.1%
Under 21.5
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
WSG Wattens
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.82
0.71
1.00
0.43
0.64
1.00
vs Stronger (13)
0.69
0.77
0.71
0.71
0.67
0.83
vs Similar (15)
0.93
0.67
1.29
0.14
0.62
1.12
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
46% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Ried) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ried
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.64
0.64
0.71
0.21
0.57
vs Stronger (8)
0.12
0.75
0.25
0.75
0.00
0.75
vs Similar (14)
0.57
0.57
0.71
0.57
0.43
0.57
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.67
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
WSG Wattens over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ried over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ried over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ried over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
WSG Wattens
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.54
0.96
0.29
1.29
0.79
0.64
vs Stronger (13)
0.54
1.23
0.43
1.57
0.67
0.83
vs Similar (15)
0.53
0.73
0.14
1.00
0.88
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
39% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Ried) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ried
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.46
0.93
0.50
1.00
0.43
0.86
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
0.62
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.75
vs Similar (14)
0.21
1.14
0.14
1.29
0.29
1.00
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.83
1.33
1.00
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
32% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
WSG Wattens over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ried over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ried over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ried over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
WSG Wattens
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tim Prica24%
Nik Prelec23%
Thomas Sabitzer18%
Sandi Ogrinec17%
Alexander Ranacher11%
Julius Ertlthaler11%
Žan Rogelj10%
Valentino Müller10%
Lautaro Rinaldi8%
Kofi Schulz7%
Dominik Stumberger6%
Denis Tomić6%
Lukas Sulzbacher4%
Johannes Naschberger4%
Justin Forst4%
Felix Bacher3%
Raffael Behounek3%
Ferdinand Oswald0%
Osarenren Okungbowa0%
Benjamin Ožegović0%
Bror Blume Jensen0%
David Jaunegg0%
Cem Üstündag0%
Stefan Skrbo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cem Üstündag33%
Julius Ertlthaler28%
Lukas Sulzbacher27%
Raffael Behounek26%
Nik Prelec23%
Osarenren Okungbowa20%
Benjamin Ožegović20%
Dominik Stumberger18%
Felix Bacher17%
Valentino Müller17%
Lautaro Rinaldi17%
Sandi Ogrinec17%
Stefan Skrbo12%
Bror Blume Jensen12%
Johannes Naschberger12%
Alexander Ranacher11%
Tim Prica10%
Thomas Sabitzer9%
Kofi Schulz7%
Žan Rogelj7%
Denis Tomić6%
Ferdinand Oswald4%
David Jaunegg0%
Justin Forst0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sandi Ogrinec28%
Stefan Skrbo25%
Bror Blume Jensen16%
Lukas Sulzbacher15%
Thomas Sabitzer14%
Lautaro Rinaldi8%
Kofi Schulz7%
Tim Prica7%
Valentino Müller7%
Dominik Stumberger6%
Justin Forst4%
Žan Rogelj3%
Felix Bacher3%
Ferdinand Oswald0%
Alexander Ranacher0%
Raffael Behounek0%
Osarenren Okungbowa0%
Julius Ertlthaler0%
Benjamin Ožegović0%
Johannes Naschberger0%
Denis Tomić0%
Nik Prelec0%
David Jaunegg0%
Cem Üstündag0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nik Prelec31%
Tim Prica21%
Thomas Sabitzer14%
Lautaro Rinaldi8%
Valentino Müller7%
Sandi Ogrinec6%
Johannes Naschberger4%
Justin Forst4%
Alexander Ranacher4%
Raffael Behounek3%
Ferdinand Oswald0%
Felix Bacher0%
Dominik Stumberger0%
Osarenren Okungbowa0%
Julius Ertlthaler0%
Benjamin Ožegović0%
Bror Blume Jensen0%
Kofi Schulz0%
Žan Rogelj0%
Lukas Sulzbacher0%
Denis Tomić0%
David Jaunegg0%
Cem Üstündag0%
Stefan Skrbo0%
Ried
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Christoph Lang20%
Tin Plavotić14%
Gontie Junior Diomande12%
Christoph Monschein12%
Seifedin Chabbi12%
Matthias Gragger11%
Stefan Nutz10%
Diego Madritsch9%
Belmin Beganovic8%
Leo Mikić7%
Philipp Pomer7%
Julian Wiessmeier5%
Marcel Ziegl0%
Nikola Stošić0%
Markus Lackner0%
Roko Jurišić0%
Samuel Sahin-Radlinger0%
Kingsley Michael0%
Oliver Kragl0%
Aleksandar Lutovac0%
Josef Weberbauer0%
Jonas Wendlinger0%
Julian Turi0%
Luca Kronberger0%
Michael Martin0%
David Ungar0%
Denizcan Cosgun0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marcel Ziegl29%
Roko Jurišić29%
Denizcan Cosgun27%
Diego Madritsch27%
Nikola Stošić25%
Luca Kronberger25%
Markus Lackner24%
Michael Martin21%
David Ungar19%
Josef Weberbauer18%
Jonas Wendlinger17%
Kingsley Michael15%
Christoph Lang13%
Christoph Monschein12%
Philipp Pomer11%
Seifedin Chabbi8%
Samuel Sahin-Radlinger8%
Aleksandar Lutovac8%
Leo Mikić7%
Matthias Gragger6%
Julian Wiessmeier5%
Stefan Nutz5%
Tin Plavotić3%
Oliver Kragl0%
Julian Turi0%
Gontie Junior Diomande0%
Belmin Beganovic0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Stefan Nutz14%
Philipp Pomer11%
Belmin Beganovic8%
Roko Jurišić7%
Christoph Lang7%
Julian Wiessmeier5%
Seifedin Chabbi4%
Michael Martin4%
Tin Plavotić3%
Marcel Ziegl0%
Nikola Stošić0%
Christoph Monschein0%
Markus Lackner0%
Samuel Sahin-Radlinger0%
Kingsley Michael0%
Oliver Kragl0%
Aleksandar Lutovac0%
Josef Weberbauer0%
Leo Mikić0%
Jonas Wendlinger0%
Julian Turi0%
Luca Kronberger0%
Matthias Gragger0%
David Ungar0%
Denizcan Cosgun0%
Gontie Junior Diomande0%
Diego Madritsch0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Seifedin Chabbi24%
Aleksandar Lutovac15%
Stefan Nutz10%
Christoph Monschein8%
Leo Mikić7%
Philipp Pomer7%
Christoph Lang7%
Julian Wiessmeier5%
David Ungar4%
Marcel Ziegl0%
Nikola Stošić0%
Tin Plavotić0%
Markus Lackner0%
Roko Jurišić0%
Samuel Sahin-Radlinger0%
Kingsley Michael0%
Oliver Kragl0%
Josef Weberbauer0%
Jonas Wendlinger0%
Julian Turi0%
Luca Kronberger0%
Matthias Gragger0%
Michael Martin0%
Denizcan Cosgun0%
Gontie Junior Diomande0%
Belmin Beganovic0%
Diego Madritsch0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (31)
€105m
SG (26)
€52m
RV (33)
€46m
LL (22)
€44m
AV (30)
€23m
WA (28)
€12m
TH (27)
€10m
SA (23)
€9m
RIE (24)
€7m
WW (22)
€7m
AL (22)
€5m
WSG Wattens and Ried have a similar squad value (both €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (11)
€47m
SG (11)
€26m
RV (11)
€16m
LL (5)
€13m
AV (11)
€9m
SA (9)
€4m
WA (9)
€3m
WW (7)
€3m
TH (9)
€3m
AL (10)
€2m
RIE (7)
€2m
WSG Wattens and Ried have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (6)
€29m
SG (4)
€14m
LL (6)
€11m
RV (6)
€10m
AV (5)
€7m
WA (5)
€3m
TH (7)
€3m
RIE (8)
€3m
WW (7)
€2m
SA (3)
€1m
AL (3)
€1m
WSG Wattens and Ried have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (14)
€29m
LL (11)
€20m
RV (16)
€19m
SG (11)
€13m
AV (14)
€7m
WA (14)
€6m
TH (11)
€5m
SA (11)
€4m
WW (8)
€3m
RIE (9)
€3m
AL (9)
€2m
WSG Wattens and Ried have a similar defence value (both €3m).
Austria: Bundesliga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: Bundesliga stats & trends →
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Red Bull Salzburg
Sturm Graz
Lask Linz
Austria Vienna
Austria Lustenau
Wolfsberger AC
Rapid Vienna
Austria Klagenfurt
TSV Hartberg
SCR Altach