Zalaegerszegi TE vs Kisvarda FC Result & Analysis

The match between Zalaegerszegi TE and Kisvarda FC sits on a razor-thin edge, with the model favouring an away win. Home and away win probabilities are 34% and 36% respectively, with a draw at 30%. The expected goal count is 2.5, and the most likely total is two goals, a 27% chance. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 14.2% probability.

Zalaegerszegi TE, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.21 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Kisvarda FC, on the road against a comparable side, averages 1.86 goals scored and 1.07 conceded.

The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls (89%), Over 2.5 cards (86.8%), Over 21.5 fouls (78.9%), Under 3.5 (76.5%), Over 3.5 cards (72.3%), and Over 1.5 (71.8%). Each selection is presented with its own probability, separate from the match-result chances.

After a string of four defeats, Zalaegerszegi TE’s home form remains shaky, while Kisvarda FC, fresh from a draw, carried momentum into the away fixture. The model’s prediction of an Away win at 36% probability proved accurate, as the final score was 1-2 in favour of Kisvarda. The model’s favourite was correct, and the expected total of 2.5 goals was close to the actual 3. Each suggested pick also hit: Over 19.5 fouls at 89%, Over 2.5 cards at 86.8%, Over 21.5 fouls at 78.9%, Under 3.5 at 76.5%, Over 3.5 cards at 72.3%, and Over 1.5 at 71.8%. The selections largely came through, confirming the model’s overall accuracy.