This opponent (Zlin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zlin
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.70
1.67
1.73
0.93
1.67
vs Stronger (11)
0.82
2.00
1.00
2.00
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (19)
1.58
1.53
2.25
1.50
1.09
1.55
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
10% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Zbrojovka Brno) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
80.0%
Under 1.5
20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.9%
Under 2.5
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.5%
Under 3.5
66.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.8%
No
40.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-0
6.6%
0-0 ✓
6.5%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
Zbrojovka Brno goals ↓
Zlin goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.5%
6.2%
4.9%
2.2%
0.8%
1
7.3%
13%
7.7%
3.5%
1.2%
2
6.6%
9.0%
6.1%
2.7%
0.9%
3
3.5%
4.7%
3.2%
1.4%
0.5%
4
1.4%
1.8%
1.2%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zbrojovka Brno goals (down), columns = Zlin goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slavia Praha
2.23
Sparta Praha
2.23
Plzen
1.74
Bohemians 1905
1.49
Slovácko
1.43
Sigma Olomouc
1.37
Hradec Králové
1.32
Slovan Liberec
1.29
Teplice
1.20
Baník Ostrava
1.20
Mlada Boleslav
1.19
České Budějovice
1.19
FK Jablonec
1.14
Pardubice
1.11
Zlin
1.03
Zbrojovka Brno
0.94
Příbram
0.50
Vyškov
0.50
Zbrojovka Brno is 0.08 points worse than Zlin in terms of average points per game (0.94 vs 1.03).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha
2.80
Sparta Praha
2.17
Plzen
1.71
Bohemians 1905
1.60
Sigma Olomouc
1.51
Baník Ostrava
1.51
Slovan Liberec
1.50
FK Jablonec
1.40
Teplice
1.29
Mlada Boleslav
1.22
Zlin
1.19
České Budějovice
1.19
Zbrojovka Brno
1.17
Hradec Králové
1.15
Slovácko
1.14
Pardubice
1.08
Příbram
0.00
Vyškov
0.00
Zbrojovka Brno is 0.02 goals worse than Zlin in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.19).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Vyškov
0.50
Slavia Praha
0.89
Sparta Praha
0.94
Příbram
1.00
Plzen
1.09
Slovácko
1.31
Sigma Olomouc
1.34
Hradec Králové
1.35
Mlada Boleslav
1.38
Baník Ostrava
1.43
Slovan Liberec
1.44
Zlin
1.62
Bohemians 1905
1.66
Pardubice
1.70
FK Jablonec
1.80
Zbrojovka Brno
1.83
České Budějovice
1.88
Teplice
1.91
Zbrojovka Brno is 0.21 goals worse than Zlin in terms of goals conceded per game (1.83 vs 1.62).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Slavia Praha
61%
České Budějovice
56%
Sigma Olomouc
55%
Mlada Boleslav
53%
Sparta Praha
53%
Zbrojovka Brno
52%
Pardubice
51%
Baník Ostrava
50%
FK Jablonec
50%
Plzen
50%
Slovan Liberec
48%
Slovácko
48%
Vyškov
47%
Teplice
46%
Zlin
44%
Bohemians 1905
44%
Hradec Králové
39%
Zbrojovka Brno is 7.5 percentage points better than Zlin in terms of average possession (52% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Zbrojovka Brno
For 5.2 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 12.3 · Total 23.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Zlin
For 5.2 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 13.1 · Total 25.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Zbrojovka Brno
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (34)
10.6
11.3
10.0
3.3
4.1
2.6
22.8
23.7
21.9
vs Stronger (6)
11.7
11.3
12.0
4.7
4.7
4.7
23.8
24.7
23.0
vs Similar (26)
10.3
11.2
9.4
3.0
4.0
2.2
22.9
23.8
22.0
vs Weaker (2)
12.0
13.0
11.0
3.0
4.0
2.0
18.5
19.0
18.0
% over line
58%
67%
50%
47%
62%
33%
53%
53%
53%
% under line
42%
33%
50%
53%
38%
67%
47%
47%
47%
This opponent (Zlin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zlin
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (34)
9.1
7.9
10.2
3.5
3.3
3.8
25.7
25.2
26.1
vs Stronger (13)
10.1
9.2
11.0
3.5
3.3
3.7
24.5
25.8
23.2
vs Similar (21)
8.6
7.2
9.8
3.6
3.3
3.8
26.4
24.9
27.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
45%
47%
44%
53%
47%
59%
86%
85%
87%
% under line
55%
53%
56%
47%
53%
41%
14%
15%
13%
This opponent (Zbrojovka Brno) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Pardubice
12.1
Plzen
11.5
Sigma Olomouc
11.2
Baník Ostrava
11.0
Slavia Praha
11.0
Slovan Liberec
10.7
Zbrojovka Brno
10.6
České Budějovice
10.6
Sparta Praha
10.4
Mlada Boleslav
10.3
FK Jablonec
10.2
Teplice
9.8
Slovácko
9.8
Hradec Králové
9.5
Bohemians 1905
9.4
Zlin
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Sparta Praha
5.6
Hradec Králové
5.1
Baník Ostrava
4.7
Slavia Praha
4.5
Slovan Liberec
4.3
Mlada Boleslav
4.2
Plzen
4.2
Sigma Olomouc
4.1
Teplice
4.1
FK Jablonec
4.1
Bohemians 1905
4.0
Pardubice
3.9
Zlin
3.9
Slovácko
3.8
Zbrojovka Brno
3.6
České Budějovice
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Mlada Boleslav
28.4
Hradec Králové
28.4
Slovan Liberec
25.8
Teplice
25.8
Slovácko
25.7
Zlin
25.7
Sparta Praha
25.4
Baník Ostrava
24.8
Sigma Olomouc
24.7
Slavia Praha
24.6
FK Jablonec
24.1
Pardubice
24.0
Bohemians 1905
23.5
České Budějovice
23.5
Zbrojovka Brno
22.8
Plzen
22.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
67.8%
Under 9.5
32.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
58.1%
Under 3.5
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
74.5%
Under 21.5
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Zbrojovka Brno
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.83
0.62
0.85
0.29
0.82
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.43
0.83
0.60
0.90
0.31
0.77
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Zlin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zlin
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.60
0.60
0.67
0.47
0.53
vs Stronger (11)
0.18
0.82
0.14
1.14
0.25
0.25
vs Similar (19)
0.74
0.47
1.00
0.25
0.55
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Zbrojovka Brno) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zlin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zlin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zlin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Zbrojovka Brno
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
1.07
0.69
1.00
0.71
1.12
vs Stronger (5)
0.00
2.20
0.00
2.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (23)
0.83
0.78
0.90
0.70
0.77
0.85
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.50
0.00
1.00
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Zlin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zlin
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.10
1.07
1.07
0.47
1.13
vs Stronger (11)
0.64
1.18
0.86
0.86
0.25
1.75
vs Similar (19)
0.84
1.05
1.25
1.25
0.55
0.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Zbrojovka Brno) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zlin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zlin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zlin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Zbrojovka Brno
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jiří Texl33%
Jakub Řezníček0%
Wale Musa Alli0%
Matěj Hrabina0%
Jakub Nečas0%
Šimon Falta0%
Adam Fousek0%
Jan Hladík0%
Jan Hlavica0%
Lukáš Endl0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jakub Řezníček0%
Wale Musa Alli0%
Matěj Hrabina0%
Jakub Nečas0%
Šimon Falta0%
Jiří Texl0%
Adam Fousek0%
Jan Hladík0%
Jan Hlavica0%
Lukáš Endl0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Wale Musa Alli33%
Jakub Řezníček0%
Matěj Hrabina0%
Jakub Nečas0%
Šimon Falta0%
Jiří Texl0%
Adam Fousek0%
Jan Hladík0%
Jan Hlavica0%
Lukáš Endl0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jakub Řezníček67%
Jan Hladík67%
Wale Musa Alli33%
Matěj Hrabina0%
Jakub Nečas0%
Šimon Falta0%
Jiří Texl0%
Adam Fousek0%
Jan Hlavica0%
Lukáš Endl0%
Zlin
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Antonin Fantis67%
Filip Balaj33%
Jakub Janetzky33%
Vukadin Vukadinović0%
Robert Hrubý0%
Dominik Simersky0%
Rudolf Reiter0%
Stanislav Dostal0%
Lukas Bartosak0%
Youba Drame0%
Joss Didiba0%
Neđeljko Kovinić0%
Tom Sloncik0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Filip Balaj33%
Stanislav Dostal33%
Joss Didiba33%
Vukadin Vukadinović0%
Robert Hrubý0%
Dominik Simersky0%
Jakub Janetzky0%
Rudolf Reiter0%
Antonin Fantis0%
Lukas Bartosak0%
Youba Drame0%
Neđeljko Kovinić0%
Tom Sloncik0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Robert Hrubý33%
Youba Drame33%
Tom Sloncik33%
Filip Balaj0%
Vukadin Vukadinović0%
Dominik Simersky0%
Jakub Janetzky0%
Rudolf Reiter0%
Antonin Fantis0%
Stanislav Dostal0%
Lukas Bartosak0%
Joss Didiba0%
Neđeljko Kovinić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Antonin Fantis67%
Filip Balaj33%
Vukadin Vukadinović33%
Tom Sloncik33%
Robert Hrubý0%
Dominik Simersky0%
Jakub Janetzky0%
Rudolf Reiter0%
Stanislav Dostal0%
Lukas Bartosak0%
Youba Drame0%
Joss Didiba0%
Neđeljko Kovinić0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (38)
€123m
SP (35)
€92m
PLZ (28)
€57m
SO (32)
€30m
SL (30)
€27m
BO (31)
€19m
HK (27)
€14m
FJ (28)
€14m
PAR (29)
€14m
MB (28)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
TEP (28)
€8m
SLO (29)
€8m
B1 (24)
€7m
ZLI (27)
€7m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
Zbrojovka Brno's squad is €3m more valuable than Zlin's (€10m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (14)
€43m
SP (10)
€27m
SL (10)
€17m
PLZ (8)
€15m
SO (10)
€7m
BO (10)
€5m
FJ (10)
€4m
HK (8)
€4m
PAR (9)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
TEP (10)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ZLI (8)
€2m
SLO (7)
€2m
B1 (6)
€2m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
Zbrojovka Brno and Zlin have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (8)
€35m
SP (10)
€27m
PLZ (8)
€22m
SO (9)
€10m
BO (9)
€7m
PAR (8)
€4m
FJ (6)
€4m
SL (7)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
HK (6)
€3m
SLO (9)
€3m
B1 (7)
€2m
ZLI (6)
€2m
TEP (8)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
Zbrojovka Brno and Zlin have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (20)
€61m
SP (11)
€22m
PLZ (12)
€20m
SO (13)
€12m
BO (12)
€7m
HK (13)
€7m
FJ (12)
€6m
PAR (12)
€5m
SL (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
SLO (13)
€4m
B1 (11)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
MB (10)
€3m
ZLI (13)
€2m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
Zbrojovka Brno's defence is €2m more valuable than Zlin's (€5m vs €2m).
Czech-Republic: Czech Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: Czech Liga stats & trends →
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