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Zimbru vs Milsami Orhei Result & Analysis

Date: 30/04/2023
Time: 12:00
Final 0-1
Zimbru
Zimbru
Vs
37%
30%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Milsami Orhei
Milsami Orhei
Moldova: Super Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zimbru win✗ Miss
37.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei win✓ Hit
32.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ZimbruZimbru

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W00D11D10W00D30W02L23L10W20WH·PET16/10A·DAC22/10H·MIL27/10A·SFÎ09/11H·SFÎ11/03A·MIL18/03H·SHE01/04A·PET09/04H·CSF15/04A·SFÎ22/04
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.251.101.301.601.200.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.221.221.001.251.401.20
vs Weaker (11)1.271.001.501.831.000.00
Clean sheet %45% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Milsami Orhei) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L11D02L12L03L11D22D12L02LH·DAC15/10A·SFÎ23/10A·ZIM27/10H·SHE09/11A·PET11/03H·ZIM18/03A·SFÎ02/04A·CSF09/04A·SHE15/04H·PET22/04
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.921.330.821.361.001.31
vs Stronger (5)0.802.400.503.001.002.00
vs Similar (12)0.831.251.001.330.671.17
vs Weaker (7)1.140.710.670.331.501.00
Clean sheet %29% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
72.0%
Under 1.5
28.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.9%
Under 2.5
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.6%
Under 3.5
76.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.6%
No
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
0-0
9.7%
1-0
9.5%
0-1 ✓
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.0%
Zimbru goals ↓
Milsami Orhei goals →
01234
09.7%8.8%6.0%2.4%0.7%
19.5%14%7.7%3.0%0.9%
26.9%8.3%4.9%1.9%0.6%
33.0%3.5%2.1%0.8%0.2%
40.9%1.1%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zimbru goals (down), columns = Milsami Orhei goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.38
Floreşti
2.17
Petrocub
2.00
Speranis Nisporeni
2.00
Dacia-Buiucani
1.75
Văsieni
1.50
Spartanii Selemet
1.33
Zimbru
1.29
Milsami Orhei
1.17
Dinamo-Auto
1.11
Sfîntul Gheorghe
1.08
Victoria Bardar
1.00
CSF Bălți
0.92
Făleşti
0.00
Speranța Drochia
0.00
Real Succes
0.00
Sucleia
0.00
Zimbru is 0.12 points better than Milsami Orhei in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.17).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Speranis Nisporeni
3.00
Văsieni
3.00
Floreşti
2.33
Victoria Bardar
2.00
Spartanii Selemet
2.00
Dacia-Buiucani
1.67
Sheriff Tiraspol
1.62
Petrocub
1.50
Dinamo-Auto
1.33
Zimbru
1.12
Făleşti
1.00
Real Succes
1.00
Sucleia
1.00
Milsami Orhei
0.92
Sfîntul Gheorghe
0.92
CSF Bălți
0.75
Speranța Drochia
0.00
Zimbru is 0.21 goals better than Milsami Orhei in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 0.92).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sheriff Tiraspol
0.38
Petrocub
0.71
Dacia-Buiucani
0.71
Floreşti
0.92
Speranis Nisporeni
1.00
Zimbru
1.08
CSF Bălți
1.08
Milsami Orhei
1.25
Dinamo-Auto
1.41
Sfîntul Gheorghe
1.46
Văsieni
1.50
Spartanii Selemet
1.92
Victoria Bardar
2.69
Speranța Drochia
4.00
Făleşti
4.91
Sucleia
6.00
Real Succes
7.00
Zimbru is 0.17 goals better than Milsami Orhei in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 1.25).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ZimbruZimbru

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D00D10W00D10W01L13L10W10WH·PET16/10A·DAC22/10H·MIL27/10A·SFÎ09/11H·SFÎ11/03A·MIL18/03H·SHE01/04A·PET09/04H·CSF15/04A·SFÎ22/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.450.550.400.700.500.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.440.670.250.500.600.80
vs Weaker (11)0.450.450.500.830.400.00
Clean sheet %65% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Milsami Orhei) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D00D01L10W01L10W01L11D01LH·DAC15/10A·SFÎ23/10A·ZIM27/10H·SHE09/11A·PET11/03H·ZIM18/03A·SFÎ02/04A·CSF09/04A·SHE15/04H·PET22/04
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.380.550.450.460.31
vs Stronger (5)0.400.800.501.000.330.67
vs Similar (12)0.670.250.830.500.500.00
vs Weaker (7)0.290.290.000.000.500.50
Clean sheet %62% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zimbru over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ZimbruZimbru

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D11D00D00D20W01L10W00D10WH·PET16/10A·DAC22/10H·MIL27/10A·SFÎ09/11H·SFÎ11/03A·MIL18/03H·SHE01/04A·PET09/04H·CSF15/04A·SFÎ22/04
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.550.900.900.700.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.780.560.750.750.800.40
vs Weaker (11)0.820.551.001.000.600.00
Clean sheet %70% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Milsami Orhei) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L11D01L02L02L01L21W01L01LH·DAC15/10A·SFÎ23/10A·ZIM27/10H·SHE09/11A·PET11/03H·ZIM18/03A·SFÎ02/04A·CSF09/04A·SHE15/04H·PET22/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.420.960.270.910.541.00
vs Stronger (5)0.401.600.002.000.671.33
vs Similar (12)0.171.000.170.830.171.17
vs Weaker (7)0.860.430.670.331.000.50
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zimbru over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.576.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (24)
€6m
PET (22)
€5m
ZIM (24)
€4m
MO (22)
€3m
DAC (21)
€2m
SS (12)
€1m
CB (5)
€1m
Zimbru and Milsami Orhei have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (8)
€3m
PET (9)
€2m
ZIM (9)
€2m
MO (6)
€1m
DAC (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CB (2)
€0m
Zimbru's attack is €1m more valuable than Milsami Orhei's (€2m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (6)
€1m
ZIM (7)
€1m
MO (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
DAC (6)
€0m
CB (0)
€0m
Zimbru and Milsami Orhei have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (10)
€3m
PET (8)
€2m
MO (11)
€2m
ZIM (8)
€1m
DAC (10)
€1m
CB (3)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
Zimbru and Milsami Orhei have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
ZIM wins
1
Draws
1
MO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Zimbru vs Milsami Orhei · H/A from ZIM
DateH/AGameScore
18/03/23AMilsami Orhei Vs ZIM0-3
27/10/22HZIM Vs Milsami Orhei1-1
04/09/22AMilsami Orhei Vs ZIM1-0

ZimbruZimbru

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/04/23ASfîntul Gheorghe Vs ZIM0-2
15/04/23HZIM Vs CSF Bălți1-0
09/04/23APetrocub Vs ZIM3-2
01/04/23HZIM Vs Sheriff Tiraspol0-2
18/03/23AMilsami Orhei Vs ZIM0-3
11/03/23HZIM Vs Sfîntul Gheorghe0-0
09/11/22ASfîntul Gheorghe Vs ZIM0-1
27/10/22HZIM Vs Milsami Orhei1-1
22/10/22ADacia-Buiucani Vs ZIM0-0
16/10/22HZIM Vs Petrocub2-1

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/04/23HMO Vs Petrocub0-2
15/04/23ASheriff Tiraspol Vs MO2-1
09/04/23ACSF Bălți Vs MO2-2
02/04/23ASfîntul Gheorghe Vs MO1-1
18/03/23HMO Vs Zimbru0-3
11/03/23APetrocub Vs MO2-1
09/11/22HMO Vs Sheriff Tiraspol0-2
27/10/22AZimbru Vs MO1-1
23/10/22ASfîntul Gheorghe Vs MO1-0
15/10/22HMO Vs Dacia-Buiucani1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Zimbru
Zimbru
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWW1.45
HomeWDDLW1.30
AwayDWWLW1.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %35%30%40%
AVG goals2.352.901.80
Over 1.5 %65%80%50%
Over 2.5 %40%50%30%
Over 3.5 %20%20%20%
Scored1.251.301.20
Conceded1.101.600.60
BTTS40%60%20%
Clean Sheet45%20%70%
Corners---
Cards---
Milsami Orhei
Milsami Orhei
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 0 Wins / 4 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDLL1.00
HomeWDLLL1.27
AwayDLDDL0.77
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %21%36%8%
AVG goals2.252.182.31
Over 1.5 %75%64%85%
Over 2.5 %33%27%38%
Over 3.5 %17%18%15%
Scored0.920.821.00
Conceded1.331.361.31
BTTS50%27%69%
Clean Sheet29%45%15%
Corners8.5011.006.00
Cards4.004.00-

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol2457
71%
2.4
399+30
2.0
71%
29%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3131.60.4
-
2PetrocubPetrocub2448
58%
2.0
3617+19
2.2
62%
46%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.50.7
-
3Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani2442
50%
1.8
4017+23
2.4
62%
33%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.70.7
-
4ZimbruZimbru2431
29%
1.3
2726+1
2.2
62%
38%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.11.1
-
5Dinamo-AutoDinamo-Auto2730
30%
1.1
3638-2
2.7
74%
37%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
6Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei2428
29%
1.2
2230-8
2.2
71%
33%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1120.91.2
-
7FloreştiFloreşti1226
67%
2.2
2811+17
3.2
92%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.30.9
-
8Sfîntul GheorgheSfîntul Gheorghe2426
29%
1.1
2235-13
2.4
75%
42%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
9CSF BălțiCSF Bălți2422
21%
0.9
1826-8
1.8
54%
29%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.81.1
-
10Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet1216
42%
1.3
2423+1
3.9
100%
67%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.9
-
11Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar1313
31%
1.0
2635-9
4.7
100%
92%
77%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.7
-
12Speranis NisporeniSperanis Nisporeni24
50%
2.0
62+4
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.01.0
-
13VăsieniVăsieni23
50%
1.5
63+3
4.5
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.01.5
-
14Sheriff IISheriff II00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
15Speranța DrochiaSperanța Drochia10
0%
0.0
04-4
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.04.0
-
16SucleiaSucleia10
0%
0.0
16-5
7.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.06.0
-
17Real SuccesReal Succes10
0%
0.0
17-6
8.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.07.0
-
18FăleştiFăleşti110
0%
0.0
1154-43
5.9
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.04.9
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Moldova: Super Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Super Liga stats & trends →

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