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Zrinski Jurjevac vs Croatia Zmijavci Result & Analysis

Date: 14/10/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 4-0
Zrinski Jurjevac
Zrinski Jurjevac
Vs
58%
27%
15%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Croatia Zmijavci
Croatia Zmijavci
Croatia: First NL
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Zrinski Jurjevac win✓ Hit
57.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci win✗ Miss
15.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Zrinski JurjevacZrinski Jurjevac

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W20W21W30W03L10W12L41W22D00DH·KUS17/06H·JAR14/08A·VUK18/08H·SOL26/08A·SIB01/09H·BSK09/09H·ORI15/09A·HNK23/09H·SES29/09A·DUG07/10
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.551.001.670.671.401.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.671.001.800.801.501.25
vs Weaker (2)1.001.001.000.001.002.00
Clean sheet %45% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Croatia Zmijavci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W01L00D11D00D12L25L22D00D00DH·SOL03/06A·HNK12/08H·SES20/08A·DUG25/08A·BSK02/09H·DUB10/09A·JAR16/09H·VUK24/09A·SOL30/09H·SIB08/10
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.171.430.790.691.50
vs Stronger (3)1.671.671.671.67--
vs Similar (25)0.921.081.360.550.571.50
vs Weaker (2)1.501.50--1.501.50
Clean sheet %40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Zrinski Jurjevac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%021%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.1%
Under 1.5
31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
40.4%
Under 2.5
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
20.1%
Under 3.5
79.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
41.5%
No
58.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.8%
2-0
12.7%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
11.1%
2-1
9.0%
3-0
6.8%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
4.8%
Zrinski Jurjevac goals ↓
Croatia Zmijavci goals →
01234
011%5.9%2.5%0.6%0.1%
115%12%4.0%0.9%0.2%
213%9.0%3.2%0.7%0.1%
36.8%4.8%1.7%0.4%0.1%
42.7%1.9%0.7%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zrinski Jurjevac goals (down), columns = Croatia Zmijavci goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sibenik
2.48
Zrinski Jurjevac
2.45
Vukovar
1.76
Sesvete
1.27
Jarun
1.21
Dubrava Zagreb
1.15
HNK Cibalia
1.12
Dugopolje
1.12
Orijent 1919
1.11
Croatia Zmijavci
1.09
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.03
Solin
0.73
Kustosija
0.00
Zrinski Jurjevac is 1.36 points better than Croatia Zmijavci in terms of average points per game (2.45 vs 1.09).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sibenik
2.06
Vukovar
1.70
Zrinski Jurjevac
1.61
Croatia Zmijavci
1.18
Dugopolje
1.15
HNK Cibalia
1.12
Sesvete
1.09
Dubrava Zagreb
1.09
Orijent 1919
1.09
Jarun
1.06
Solin
1.00
Kustosija
1.00
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
Zrinski Jurjevac is 0.42 goals better than Croatia Zmijavci in terms of goals scored per game (1.61 vs 1.18).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sibenik
0.55
Zrinski Jurjevac
0.55
Vukovar
1.09
Sesvete
1.24
Dubrava Zagreb
1.33
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.33
Dugopolje
1.36
Jarun
1.39
Orijent 1919
1.43
Croatia Zmijavci
1.45
Solin
1.52
HNK Cibalia
1.73
Kustosija
2.00
Zrinski Jurjevac is 0.91 goals better than Croatia Zmijavci in terms of goals conceded per game (0.55 vs 1.45).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Zrinski JurjevacZrinski Jurjevac

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D20W00D02L10W00D21W10W00DH·KUS17/06H·JAR14/08A·VUK18/08H·SOL26/08A·SIB01/09H·BSK09/09H·ORI15/09A·HNK23/09H·SES29/09A·DUG07/10
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.550.270.330.000.800.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.670.330.400.001.000.75
vs Weaker (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %82% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Croatia Zmijavci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L00D10W00D00D21W11D00D00DH·SOL03/06A·HNK12/08H·SES20/08A·DUG25/08A·BSK02/09H·DUB10/09A·JAR16/09H·VUK24/09A·SOL30/09H·SIB08/10
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.500.570.430.440.56
vs Stronger (3)0.671.000.671.00--
vs Similar (25)0.440.440.550.270.360.57
vs Weaker (2)1.000.50--1.000.50
Clean sheet %60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Zrinski Jurjevac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zrinski Jurjevac over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zrinski Jurjevac over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zrinski Jurjevac over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Zrinski JurjevacZrinski Jurjevac

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W20W01L30W01L00D12L20W12L00DH·KUS17/06H·JAR14/08A·VUK18/08H·SOL26/08A·SIB01/09H·BSK09/09H·ORI15/09A·HNK23/09H·SES29/09A·DUG07/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.731.330.670.600.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.000.671.400.800.500.50
vs Weaker (2)1.001.001.000.001.002.00
Clean sheet %55% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Croatia Zmijavci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D00D01L00D12L04L11D00D00DH·SOL03/06A·HNK12/08H·SES20/08A·DUG25/08A·BSK02/09H·DUB10/09A·JAR16/09H·VUK24/09A·SOL30/09H·SIB08/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.670.860.360.250.94
vs Stronger (3)1.000.671.000.67--
vs Similar (25)0.480.640.820.270.210.93
vs Weaker (2)0.501.00--0.501.00
Clean sheet %60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Zrinski Jurjevac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zrinski Jurjevac over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zrinski Jurjevac over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zrinski Jurjevac over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.579.9%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (22)
€3m
VUK (13)
€2m
DUG (22)
€2m
BBB (18)
€2m
DZ (15)
€2m
O1 (19)
€2m
KUS (12)
€2m
CZ (14)
€2m
HC (19)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VUK (6)
€1m
O1 (4)
€1m
SES (7)
€1m
DUG (10)
€1m
BBB (7)
€1m
CZ (7)
€1m
KUS (3)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
DZ (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (4)
€1m
DZ (3)
€1m
DUG (4)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
BBB (2)
€0m
KUS (2)
€0m
VUK (2)
€0m
CZ (2)
€0m
O1 (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (11)
€2m
O1 (13)
€1m
DZ (8)
€1m
KUS (7)
€1m
BBB (9)
€1m
VUK (5)
€1m
DUG (8)
€1m
CZ (5)
€1m
HC (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
ZJ wins
0
Draws
0
CZ wins

Head-to-head

Zrinski Jurjevac vs Croatia Zmijavci · H/A from ZJ
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Zrinski JurjevacZrinski Jurjevac

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/10/23ADugopolje Vs ZJ0-0
29/09/23HZJ Vs Sesvete2-2
23/09/23AHNK Cibalia Vs ZJ1-4
15/09/23HZJ Vs Orijent 19191-2
09/09/23HZJ Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo1-0
01/09/23ASibenik Vs ZJ3-0
26/08/23HZJ Vs Solin3-0
18/08/23AVukovar Vs ZJ1-2
14/08/23HZJ Vs Jarun2-0
17/06/23HZJ Vs Kustosija1-0

Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/10/23HCZ Vs Sibenik0-0
30/09/23ASolin Vs CZ0-0
24/09/23HCZ Vs Vukovar2-2
16/09/23AJarun Vs CZ5-2
10/09/23HCZ Vs Dubrava Zagreb1-2
02/09/23ABsk Bijelo Brdo Vs CZ0-0
25/08/23ADugopolje Vs CZ1-1
20/08/23HCZ Vs Sesvete0-0
12/08/23AHNK Cibalia Vs CZ1-0
03/06/23HCZ Vs Solin3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Zrinski Jurjevac
Zrinski Jurjevac
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDD1.82
HomeWWWLD2.17
AwayLWLWD1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %55%67%40%
AVG goals2.552.332.80
Over 1.5 %73%67%80%
Over 2.5 %64%50%80%
Over 3.5 %18%17%20%
Scored1.551.671.40
Conceded1.000.671.40
BTTS45%33%60%
Clean Sheet45%67%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Croatia Zmijavci
Croatia Zmijavci
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 1 Wins / 6 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDD1.17
HomeWDLDD1.60
AwayLDDLD0.77
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %29%45%14%
AVG goals2.332.352.32
Over 1.5 %71%80%64%
Over 2.5 %48%50%45%
Over 3.5 %21%15%27%
Scored1.021.350.73
Conceded1.311.001.59
BTTS48%50%45%
Clean Sheet33%35%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SibenikSibenik3382
79%
2.5
6818+50
2.6
73%
52%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.10.5
-
2Zrinski JurjevacZrinski Jurjevac3381
79%
2.5
5318+35
2.2
61%
42%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.60.5
-
3VukovarVukovar3358
48%
1.8
5636+20
2.8
79%
61%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.1
-
4SesveteSesvete3342
36%
1.3
3641-5
2.3
67%
42%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.11.2
-
5JarunJarun3340
33%
1.2
3546-11
2.5
70%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
6Orijent 1919Orijent 19193539
26%
1.1
3850-12
2.5
60%
43%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.4
-
7Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb3338
30%
1.2
3644-8
2.4
73%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.3
-
8DugopoljeDugopolje3337
24%
1.1
3845-7
2.5
82%
55%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.4
-
9HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia3337
33%
1.1
3757-20
2.8
76%
55%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.11.7
-
10Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci3336
24%
1.1
3948-9
2.6
76%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.5
-
11Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo3334
21%
1.0
3044-14
2.2
64%
42%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.3
-
12SolinSolin3324
12%
0.7
3350-17
2.5
73%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
13KustosijaKustosija20
0%
0.0
24-2
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.02.0
-
Croatia: First NL 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →

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