Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Aarhus
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.45
0.36
0.60
0.40
0.33
0.33
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (7)
0.43
0.57
0.50
0.50
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+50pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Midtjylland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Midtjylland
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.83
0.50
0.70
1.25
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (6)
1.00
0.83
1.33
1.00
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (10)
0.90
0.60
0.17
0.50
2.00
0.75
Clean sheet %
33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aarhus over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Aarhus
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.82
0.64
1.20
0.60
0.50
0.67
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
-
-
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (7)
1.00
0.57
1.50
0.75
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
45% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Midtjylland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Midtjylland
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.89
0.90
1.00
0.75
0.75
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.50
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (6)
1.00
0.17
1.67
0.33
0.33
0.00
vs Weaker (10)
0.70
1.20
0.50
1.17
1.00
1.25
Clean sheet %
44% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aarhus over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Over 1.5
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś— Miss
Under 5.5 cards
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś— Miss
Under 23.5 fouls
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś— Miss
Over 2.5 cards
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Aarhus
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Patrick Mortensen44%
Mikael Anderson19%
Mikkel Duelund17%
Sebastian Grønning17%
Jelle Duin13%
Yann Bisseck12%
Kevin Yakob12%
Peter Bjur9%
Mads Emil Madsen7%
Sigurd Haugen6%
Thomas Kristensen5%
Frederik Tingager3%
Sebastian Hausner0%
Benjamin Hvidt0%
Tobias Mølgaard0%
Nicolai Poulsen0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Frederik Brandhof0%
Felix Beijmo0%
Anthony D'Alberto0%
Gift Links0%
Dawid Kurminowski0%
Eric Kahl0%
Albert Grønbæk0%
Adam Daghim0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nicolai Poulsen36%
Adam Daghim33%
Felix Beijmo29%
Mikkel Duelund25%
Albert Grønbæk25%
Sebastian Hausner20%
Sebastian Grønning17%
Kevin Yakob17%
Mikael Anderson15%
Thomas Kristensen15%
Mads Emil Madsen15%
Sigurd Haugen13%
Tobias Mølgaard12%
Eric Kahl10%
Yann Bisseck9%
Peter Bjur9%
Frederik Brandhof8%
Anthony D'Alberto8%
Gift Links7%
Frederik Tingager7%
Jelle Duin7%
Patrick Mortensen6%
Jesper Hansen3%
Benjamin Hvidt0%
Dawid Kurminowski0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mikkel Duelund17%
Felix Beijmo14%
Nicolai Poulsen11%
Kevin Yakob8%
Mads Emil Madsen7%
Gift Links7%
Frederik Tingager7%
Tobias Mølgaard6%
Frederik Brandhof4%
Mikael Anderson4%
Sigurd Haugen3%
Patrick Mortensen3%
Yann Bisseck3%
Sebastian Hausner0%
Benjamin Hvidt0%
Sebastian Grønning0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Jelle Duin0%
Anthony D'Alberto0%
Dawid Kurminowski0%
Peter Bjur0%
Eric Kahl0%
Albert Grønbæk0%
Thomas Kristensen0%
Adam Daghim0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sebastian Grønning33%
Mikael Anderson31%
Patrick Mortensen22%
Mads Emil Madsen7%
Gift Links7%
Sigurd Haugen6%
Eric Kahl3%
Mikkel Duelund0%
Sebastian Hausner0%
Frederik Tingager0%
Benjamin Hvidt0%
Tobias Mølgaard0%
Nicolai Poulsen0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Frederik Brandhof0%
Yann Bisseck0%
Felix Beijmo0%
Jelle Duin0%
Anthony D'Alberto0%
Kevin Yakob0%
Dawid Kurminowski0%
Peter Bjur0%
Albert Grønbæk0%
Thomas Kristensen0%
Adam Daghim0%
FC Midtjylland
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Emam Ashour33%
Gustav Isaksen32%
Anders Dreyer31%
Evander28%
Pione Sisto25%
Aral ĹžimĹźir18%
Kristoffer Olsson16%
Erik Sviatchenko12%
Sory Kaba12%
Frederik Heiselberg9%
Stefan Gartenmann7%
Juninho6%
Henrik Dalsgaard6%
Nicolas Dyhr5%
Paulinho5%
Emiliano MartĂnez3%
Oliver Sørensen3%
Edward Chilufya3%
Jonas Lössl0%
Charles0%
Joel Andersson0%
Mads Thychosen0%
JĂşnior Brumado0%
Astrit Selmani0%
Chris Kouakou0%
Armin Gigović0%
ElĂas Ă“lafsson0%
Victor Lind0%
Victor Bak Jensen0%
Raphael Onyedika0%
Valdemar Andreasen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Raphael Onyedika56%
Erik Sviatchenko36%
Evander33%
Astrit Selmani25%
Victor Lind25%
Kristoffer Olsson23%
Juninho21%
Frederik Heiselberg18%
Mads Thychosen17%
Paulinho17%
Emam Ashour17%
Armin Gigović17%
Emiliano MartĂnez16%
JĂşnior Brumado15%
Henrik Dalsgaard14%
Charles12%
Joel Andersson12%
Sory Kaba12%
Stefan Gartenmann10%
Jonas Lössl9%
Gustav Isaksen9%
Nicolas Dyhr5%
Anders Dreyer4%
Oliver Sørensen3%
Pione Sisto0%
Edward Chilufya0%
Chris Kouakou0%
ElĂas Ă“lafsson0%
Aral ĹžimĹźir0%
Victor Bak Jensen0%
Valdemar Andreasen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aral ĹžimĹźir24%
Kristoffer Olsson19%
Evander17%
Sory Kaba16%
Gustav Isaksen14%
Joel Andersson12%
Anders Dreyer12%
Charles8%
Erik Sviatchenko8%
Juninho6%
Pione Sisto5%
Nicolas Dyhr5%
Paulinho5%
Stefan Gartenmann3%
Henrik Dalsgaard3%
Oliver Sørensen3%
Jonas Lössl0%
Mads Thychosen0%
JĂşnior Brumado0%
Emam Ashour0%
Astrit Selmani0%
Edward Chilufya0%
Chris Kouakou0%
Armin Gigović0%
ElĂas Ă“lafsson0%
Emiliano MartĂnez0%
Victor Lind0%
Victor Bak Jensen0%
Raphael Onyedika0%
Frederik Heiselberg0%
Valdemar Andreasen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gustav Isaksen39%
Emam Ashour33%
Evander28%
Anders Dreyer27%
Pione Sisto25%
Sory Kaba20%
Frederik Heiselberg18%
Raphael Onyedika11%
Edward Chilufya8%
JĂşnior Brumado8%
Kristoffer Olsson6%
Armin Gigović6%
Erik Sviatchenko4%
Stefan Gartenmann3%
Juninho3%
Henrik Dalsgaard3%
Jonas Lössl0%
Charles0%
Paulinho0%
Joel Andersson0%
Mads Thychosen0%
Astrit Selmani0%
Chris Kouakou0%
ElĂas Ă“lafsson0%
Nicolas Dyhr0%
Emiliano MartĂnez0%
Victor Lind0%
Oliver Sørensen0%
Aral ĹžimĹźir0%
Victor Bak Jensen0%
Valdemar Andreasen0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
đź’° 14. Squad value
đź’° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
AAL (24)
€10m
Aarhus's squad is €72m less valuable than FC Midtjylland's (€36m vs €108m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
AH (9)
€4m
LYN (5)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
Aarhus's attack is €33m less valuable than FC Midtjylland's (€14m vs €47m).
đź§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
RF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
AH (6)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
Aarhus's midfield is €10m less valuable than FC Midtjylland's (€14m vs €24m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
RF (10)
€6m
AAL (12)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
Aarhus's defence is €29m less valuable than FC Midtjylland's (€8m vs €37m).
Denmark: Superliga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →