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AC Milan vs Napoli Result & Analysis

Date: 11/02/2024
Time: 19:45
Final 1-0
AC Milan
AC Milan
Vs
36%
31%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Napoli
Napoli
Italy: Serie A
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AC Milan win✓ Hit
36.2%
Avg Implied 48.9% · @ 1.95
Edge
-12.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.0%
Avg Implied 25.8% · @ 3.69
Edge
+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Napoli win✗ Miss
32.7%
Avg Implied 25.2% · @ 3.78
Edge
+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-423L21W30W22D10W30W31W32W22D32WA·ATA09/12A·NEW13/12H·MON17/12A·SAL22/12H·SAS30/12A·EMP07/01H·AS 14/01A·UDI20/01H·BOL27/01A·FRO03/02
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.801.201.730.801.871.60
vs Stronger (2)1.002.002.001.000.003.00
vs Similar (12)1.331.421.170.831.502.00
vs Weaker (16)2.250.942.120.752.381.12
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Napoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NapoliNapoli

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L01L20W21W02L00D03L21W00D21WH·INT03/12A·JUV08/12H·SC 12/12H·CAG16/12A·AS 23/12H·MON29/12A·TOR07/01H·SAL13/01A·LAZ28/01H·HEL04/02
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.231.531.271.531.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.181.731.402.001.001.50
vs Weaker (19)1.740.951.600.901.891.00
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
68.1%
Under 1.5
31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.3%
@ 1.79-13.0%
Under 2.5
59.7%
@ 2.04+13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.0%
Under 3.5
80.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.9%
No
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.4%
1-0 ✓
10.6%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.2%
AC Milan goals ↓
Napoli goals →
01234
011%9.9%6.2%2.3%0.6%
111%15%7.4%2.7%0.8%
27.1%7.8%4.4%1.6%0.4%
32.8%3.1%1.7%0.6%0.2%
40.8%0.9%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AC Milan goals (down), columns = Napoli goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Inter
2.47
AC Milan
1.97
Juventus
1.87
Atalanta
1.82
Bologna
1.79
AS Roma
1.66
Lazio
1.61
Fiorentina
1.58
Napoli
1.39
Torino
1.39
Genoa
1.29
Monza
1.18
Lecce
1.00
Hellas Verona
1.00
Udinese
0.97
Cagliari
0.95
Empoli
0.95
Frosinone
0.92
Sassuolo
0.79
Salernitana
0.45
AC Milan is 0.58 points better than Napoli in terms of average points per game (1.97 vs 1.39).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter
2.34
AC Milan
2.00
Atalanta
1.89
AS Roma
1.71
Fiorentina
1.61
Napoli
1.45
Bologna
1.42
Juventus
1.42
Lazio
1.29
Genoa
1.18
Frosinone
1.16
Sassuolo
1.13
Cagliari
1.11
Monza
1.03
Hellas Verona
1.00
Udinese
0.97
Torino
0.95
Salernitana
0.84
Lecce
0.84
Empoli
0.76
AC Milan is 0.55 goals better than Napoli in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.45).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Inter
0.58
Juventus
0.82
Bologna
0.84
Torino
0.95
Lazio
1.03
Atalanta
1.11
Genoa
1.18
Fiorentina
1.21
AS Roma
1.21
Napoli
1.26
AC Milan
1.29
Monza
1.34
Hellas Verona
1.34
Udinese
1.39
Lecce
1.42
Empoli
1.42
Cagliari
1.79
Frosinone
1.82
Sassuolo
1.97
Salernitana
2.13
AC Milan is 0.03 goals worse than Napoli in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 1.26).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Napoli
61%
Bologna
58%
Fiorentina
58%
Inter
57%
AC Milan
57%
AS Roma
55%
Monza
54%
Lazio
53%
Torino
52%
Atalanta
51%
Frosinone
50%
Juventus
48%
Lecce
45%
Hellas Verona
44%
Salernitana
44%
Genoa
44%
Empoli
44%
Sassuolo
44%
Cagliari
42%
Udinese
39%
AC Milan is 4.0 percentage points worse than Napoli in terms of average possession (57% vs 61%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AC MilanAC Milan

For 4.6 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.2

🚩 Corners

12042417525666566453546651271211129810A·FROH·BOLA·UDIH·AS A·EMPH·SASA·SALH·MONA·NEWA·ATA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.0

🟨 Cards

8031531623211141252614875315377A·FROH·BOLA·UDIH·AS A·EMPH·SASA·SALH·MONA·NEWA·ATA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 11.1 · Total 22.6

⚠️ Fouls

31013101612912129139871116881417111123282121221527163122A·FROH·BOLA·UDIH·AS A·EMPH·SASA·SALH·MONA·NEWA·ATA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NapoliNapoli

For 5.7 · Against 3.2 · Total 8.9

🚩 Corners

11092348352101453566364117117114811910H·HELA·LAZH·SALA·TORH·MONA·AS H·CAGH·SC A·JUVH·INT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.8 · Total 6.0

🟨 Cards

13032233234567532422255539138264H·HELA·LAZH·SALA·TORH·MONA·AS H·CAGH·SC A·JUVH·INT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 12.9 · Total 23.3

⚠️ Fouls

310111411111510107102112199101213121121325222517313119252315H·HELA·LAZH·SALA·TORH·MONA·AS H·CAGH·SC A·JUVH·INT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AC MilanAC Milan

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.29.29.33.63.04.224.122.825.4
vs Stronger (2)12.511.014.06.06.06.023.018.028.0
vs Similar (23)9.49.29.44.03.94.226.124.028.0
vs Weaker (25)8.78.98.53.02.24.022.122.022.1
% over line44%44%44%52%38%65%68%50%83%
% under line56%56%56%48%62%35%32%50%17%
This opponent (Napoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NapoliNapoli

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.112.210.13.32.83.723.722.624.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (18)11.312.510.34.12.46.123.321.325.0
vs Weaker (32)11.012.09.92.83.12.524.023.424.7
% over line66%81%50%48%44%52%69%56%81%
% under line34%19%50%52%56%48%31%44%19%
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Salernitana
10.9
Empoli
10.8
Sassuolo
10.6
Udinese
10.6
Napoli
10.5
Monza
10.2
Frosinone
10.0
Juventus
9.9
Cagliari
9.8
Inter
9.8
Atalanta
9.7
Hellas Verona
9.4
Lazio
9.1
Lecce
9.0
Bologna
9.0
AC Milan
9.0
Fiorentina
8.8
Torino
8.8
Genoa
8.7
AS Roma
8.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Lecce
5.7
AS Roma
5.6
Lazio
5.5
Udinese
5.3
Monza
5.2
Frosinone
5.2
Salernitana
5.2
Bologna
5.1
Napoli
5.1
Fiorentina
5.0
Hellas Verona
4.9
AC Milan
4.9
Genoa
4.9
Torino
4.8
Cagliari
4.6
Juventus
4.5
Sassuolo
4.5
Empoli
4.5
Atalanta
4.3
Inter
3.7

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Lecce
30.0
Monza
27.2
Frosinone
27.0
Udinese
26.9
Hellas Verona
26.5
Salernitana
26.4
Genoa
26.3
Cagliari
26.2
Torino
26.2
Empoli
26.1
Fiorentina
26.0
AS Roma
25.3
Bologna
25.2
AC Milan
24.4
Juventus
24.3
Atalanta
24.2
Napoli
24.1
Lazio
23.9
Sassuolo
23.2
Inter
22.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
46.8%
Under 9.5
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
73.6%
Under 3.5
26.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
66.0%
Under 21.5
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AC MilanAC Milan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L20W11D00D20W10W11D11D11DA·ATA09/12A·NEW13/12H·MON17/12A·SAL22/12H·SAS30/12A·EMP07/01H·AS 14/01A·UDI20/01H·BOL27/01A·FRO03/02
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.430.870.271.000.60
vs Stronger (2)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (12)0.580.420.500.170.670.67
vs Weaker (16)1.250.381.120.251.380.50
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Napoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NapoliNapoli

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D20W00D00D00D01L11D00D00DH·INT03/12A·JUV08/12H·SC 12/12H·CAG16/12A·AS 23/12H·MON29/12A·TOR07/01H·SAL13/01A·LAZ28/01H·HEL04/02
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.430.670.530.670.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.640.730.801.200.500.33
vs Weaker (19)0.680.260.600.200.780.33
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Napoli over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Napoli over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Napoli over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AC MilanAC Milan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L20W10W11D10W10W21W21W11D21WA·ATA09/12A·NEW13/12H·MON17/12A·SAL22/12H·SAS30/12A·EMP07/01H·AS 14/01A·UDI20/01H·BOL27/01A·FRO03/02
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.770.870.530.871.00
vs Stronger (2)0.501.001.000.000.002.00
vs Similar (12)0.751.000.670.670.831.33
vs Weaker (16)1.000.561.000.501.000.62
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Napoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NapoliNapoli

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L00D21W02L00D02L10W00D21WH·INT03/12A·JUV08/12H·SC 12/12H·CAG16/12A·AS 23/12H·MON29/12A·TOR07/01H·SAL13/01A·LAZ28/01H·HEL04/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.800.870.730.870.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.551.000.600.800.501.17
vs Weaker (19)1.050.681.000.701.110.67
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Napoli over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Napoli over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Napoli over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards87.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.580.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls80.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners76.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards73.6%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

AC Milan
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Chaka Traorè33%
Olivier Giroud33%
Christian Pulišić29%
Rafael Leão29%
Luka Jović25%
Jan-Carlo Simić25%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek21%
Noah Okafor17%
Matteo Gabbia12%
Fikayo Tomori11%
Theo Hernández11%
Samuel Chukwueze9%
Tijjani Reijnders8%
Ismaël Bennacer8%
Yacine Adli3%
Alessandro Florenzi3%
Davide Calabria3%
Simon Kjær0%
Mike Maignan0%
Rade Krunić0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Tommaso Pobega0%
Yunus Musah0%
Pierre Kalulu0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Luka Romero0%
Filippo Terracciano0%
Álex Jiménez0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Kevin Zeroli0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rade Krunić36%
Álex Jiménez33%
Fikayo Tomori31%
Matteo Gabbia29%
Theo Hernández27%
Luka Romero25%
Yunus Musah23%
Alessandro Florenzi21%
Malick Thiaw20%
Filippo Terracciano20%
Tijjani Reijnders19%
Davide Calabria18%
Yacine Adli16%
Rafael Leão16%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek15%
Luka Jović14%
Pierre Kalulu9%
Ismaël Bennacer8%
Mike Maignan7%
Christian Pulišić6%
Olivier Giroud4%
Simon Kjær4%
Samuel Chukwueze3%
Noah Okafor3%
Marco Sportiello0%
Tommaso Pobega0%
Chaka Traorè0%
Jan-Carlo Simić0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Kevin Zeroli0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rafael Leão24%
Olivier Giroud20%
Christian Pulišić19%
Theo Hernández18%
Alessandro Florenzi15%
Davide Calabria10%
Samuel Chukwueze9%
Noah Okafor8%
Ismaël Bennacer8%
Tijjani Reijnders6%
Yunus Musah5%
Simon Kjær4%
Matteo Gabbia4%
Luka Jović4%
Malick Thiaw3%
Yacine Adli3%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek3%
Mike Maignan2%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Rade Krunić0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Tommaso Pobega0%
Pierre Kalulu0%
Luka Romero0%
Filippo Terracciano0%
Chaka Traorè0%
Álex Jiménez0%
Jan-Carlo Simić0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Kevin Zeroli0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Olivier Giroud35%
Rafael Leão20%
Alessandro Florenzi13%
Theo Hernández11%
Christian Pulišić8%
Noah Okafor6%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek5%
Luka Jović4%
Tijjani Reijnders2%
Yacine Adli0%
Davide Calabria0%
Samuel Chukwueze0%
Simon Kjær0%
Ismaël Bennacer0%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Mike Maignan0%
Rade Krunić0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Tommaso Pobega0%
Matteo Gabbia0%
Yunus Musah0%
Pierre Kalulu0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Luka Romero0%
Filippo Terracciano0%
Chaka Traorè0%
Álex Jiménez0%
Jan-Carlo Simić0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Kevin Zeroli0%
Napoli
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Victor Osimhen45%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia21%
Matteo Politano20%
Giacomo Raspadori13%
Eljif Elmas12%
Piotr Zieliński12%
Amir Rrahmani11%
Gianluca Gaetano10%
Cyril Ngonge7%
Leo Østigård7%
Giovanni Simeone6%
Giovanni Di Lorenzo5%
Juan Jesus3%
Mathías Olivera3%
Frank Anguissa2%
Alex Meret0%
Mário Rui0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Jens Cajuste0%
Jesper Lindstrøm0%
Pierluigi Gollini0%
Hamed Junior Traorè0%
Alessio Zerbin0%
Pasquale Mazzocchi0%
Stanislav Lobotka0%
Alessandro Zanoli0%
Natan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Juan Jesus31%
Jens Cajuste25%
Mário Rui24%
Alessandro Zanoli20%
Victor Osimhen19%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia19%
Hamed Junior Traorè18%
Mathías Olivera17%
Amir Rrahmani16%
Natan15%
Cyril Ngonge14%
Giovanni Di Lorenzo14%
Eljif Elmas12%
Giovanni Simeone12%
Leo Østigård10%
Gianluca Gaetano10%
Stanislav Lobotka9%
Jesper Lindstrøm8%
Frank Anguissa7%
Matteo Politano7%
Piotr Zieliński6%
Giacomo Raspadori2%
Alex Meret0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Pierluigi Gollini0%
Alessio Zerbin0%
Pasquale Mazzocchi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia17%
Giovanni Di Lorenzo14%
Matteo Politano13%
Pasquale Mazzocchi10%
Victor Osimhen10%
Mário Rui8%
Frank Anguissa7%
Giacomo Raspadori7%
Jens Cajuste6%
Piotr Zieliński6%
Natan5%
Mathías Olivera3%
Stanislav Lobotka2%
Cyril Ngonge0%
Alex Meret0%
Gianluca Gaetano0%
Juan Jesus0%
Amir Rrahmani0%
Eljif Elmas0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Jesper Lindstrøm0%
Leo Østigård0%
Giovanni Simeone0%
Pierluigi Gollini0%
Hamed Junior Traorè0%
Alessio Zerbin0%
Alessandro Zanoli0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Victor Osimhen42%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia36%
Giacomo Raspadori13%
Matteo Politano11%
Hamed Junior Traorè9%
Giovanni Simeone9%
Cyril Ngonge7%
Giovanni Di Lorenzo7%
Amir Rrahmani5%
Leo Østigård3%
Piotr Zieliński3%
Frank Anguissa2%
Alex Meret0%
Mário Rui0%
Gianluca Gaetano0%
Juan Jesus0%
Eljif Elmas0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Jens Cajuste0%
Jesper Lindstrøm0%
Pierluigi Gollini0%
Alessio Zerbin0%
Pasquale Mazzocchi0%
Mathías Olivera0%
Stanislav Lobotka0%
Alessandro Zanoli0%
Natan0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (25)
€694m
AM (33)
€585m
JUV (28)
€569m
AR (29)
€471m
NAP (33)
€459m
ATA (26)
€438m
FIO (28)
€330m
LAZ (35)
€240m
BOL (25)
€218m
SAS (38)
€194m
GEN (32)
€182m
UDI (30)
€157m
TOR (31)
€144m
CAG (31)
€134m
FRO (33)
€84m
LEC (31)
€72m
MON (29)
€70m
HV (34)
€57m
EMP (27)
€20m
AC Milan's squad is €126m more valuable than Napoli's (€585m vs €459m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JUV (10)
€240m
AM (8)
€223m
INT (5)
€220m
NAP (12)
€206m
ATA (7)
€158m
AR (6)
€138m
FIO (9)
€125m
BOL (8)
€104m
SAS (12)
€90m
LAZ (9)
€60m
GEN (9)
€54m
CAG (11)
€51m
UDI (8)
€46m
TOR (10)
€43m
FRO (8)
€34m
MON (11)
€26m
LEC (9)
€20m
HV (10)
€13m
EMP (9)
€11m
AC Milan's attack is €17m more valuable than Napoli's (€223m vs €206m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€232m
AM (11)
€153m
JUV (6)
€140m
ATA (10)
€128m
AR (5)
€118m
FIO (6)
€107m
NAP (7)
€101m
LAZ (8)
€86m
SAS (9)
€53m
TOR (8)
€46m
GEN (6)
€44m
UDI (8)
€39m
BOL (5)
€34m
CAG (9)
€31m
FRO (11)
€27m
MON (7)
€24m
LEC (8)
€16m
HV (9)
€14m
EMP (9)
€6m
AC Milan's midfield is €52m more valuable than Napoli's (€153m vs €101m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€242m
AR (18)
€215m
AM (14)
€209m
JUV (12)
€189m
ATA (9)
€153m
NAP (14)
€152m
FIO (13)
€98m
LAZ (18)
€93m
GEN (17)
€84m
BOL (12)
€79m
UDI (14)
€72m
TOR (13)
€54m
SAS (17)
€52m
CAG (11)
€52m
LEC (14)
€37m
HV (15)
€30m
FRO (14)
€24m
MON (11)
€20m
EMP (9)
€4m
AC Milan's defence is €57m more valuable than Napoli's (€209m vs €152m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
AM wins
2
Draws
3
NAP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

AC Milan vs Napoli · H/A from AM
DateH/AGameScore
29/10/23ANapoli Vs AM2-2
18/04/23ANapoli Vs AM1-1
12/04/23HAM Vs Napoli1-0
02/04/23ANapoli Vs AM0-4
18/09/22HAM Vs Napoli1-2
06/03/22ANapoli Vs AM0-1
19/12/21HAM Vs Napoli0-1
14/03/21HAM Vs Napoli0-1

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/02/24AFrosinone Vs AM2-3
27/01/24HAM Vs Bologna2-2
20/01/24AUdinese Vs AM2-3
14/01/24HAM Vs AS Roma3-1
07/01/24AEmpoli Vs AM0-3
30/12/23HAM Vs Sassuolo1-0
22/12/23ASalernitana Vs AM2-2
17/12/23HAM Vs Monza3-0
13/12/23ANewcastle Vs AM1-2
09/12/23AAtalanta Vs AM3-2

NapoliNapoli

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/02/24HNAP Vs Hellas Verona2-1
28/01/24ALazio Vs NAP0-0
13/01/24HNAP Vs Salernitana2-1
07/01/24ATorino Vs NAP3-0
29/12/23HNAP Vs Monza0-0
23/12/23AAS Roma Vs NAP2-0
16/12/23HNAP Vs Cagliari2-1
12/12/23HNAP Vs SC Braga2-0
08/12/23AJuventus Vs NAP1-0
03/12/23HNAP Vs Inter0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AC Milan
AC Milan
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDW1.82
HomeWWWWD2.08
AwayWDWWW1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%62%42%
AVG goals2.622.382.85
Over 1.5 %72%67%77%
Over 2.5 %48%38%58%
Over 3.5 %34%29%38%
Scored1.581.671.50
Conceded1.040.711.35
BTTS50%42%58%
Clean Sheet38%46%31%
Corners9.249.199.28
Cards5.324.566.00
Napoli
Napoli
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWDW1.78
HomeWWDWW1.68
AwayLLLLD1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%48%56%
AVG goals2.542.562.52
Over 1.5 %78%80%76%
Over 2.5 %50%52%48%
Over 3.5 %26%24%28%
Scored1.541.481.60
Conceded1.001.080.92
BTTS42%48%36%
Clean Sheet40%36%44%
Corners11.1212.1910.06
Cards5.094.445.75

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1InterInter3894
76%
2.5
8922+67
2.9
84%
55%
34%
9.8
47%
3.4
41%
22.1
58%
694
2202322422.30.6
57%
2AC MilanAC Milan3875
58%
2.0
7649+27
3.3
74%
66%
50%
9.0
39%
4.9
66%
22.6
50%
585
2231532092.01.3
57%
3JuventusJuventus3871
50%
1.9
5431+23
2.2
63%
39%
18%
9.6
53%
4.3
59%
23.1
63%
569
2401401891.40.8
48%
4AtalantaAtalanta3869
55%
1.8
7242+30
3.0
89%
66%
29%
9.4
42%
4.0
56%
23.2
63%
438
1581281531.91.1
51%
5BolognaBologna3868
47%
1.8
5432+22
2.3
74%
42%
16%
8.7
34%
5.5
82%
25.3
74%
218
10434791.40.8
58%
6AS RomaAS Roma3863
47%
1.7
6546+19
2.9
79%
61%
34%
8.8
42%
5.2
71%
24.0
66%
471
1381182151.71.2
55%
7LazioLazio3861
47%
1.6
4939+10
2.3
68%
39%
21%
9.8
39%
5.4
79%
24.5
71%
240
6086931.31.0
53%
8FiorentinaFiorentina3860
45%
1.6
6146+15
2.8
74%
53%
34%
8.3
32%
4.3
63%
24.7
76%
330
125107981.61.2
58%
9NapoliNapoli3853
34%
1.4
5548+7
2.7
79%
55%
32%
9.8
58%
4.7
69%
22.6
66%
459
2061011521.41.3
61%
10TorinoTorino3853
34%
1.4
3636+0
1.9
63%
32%
11%
8.4
42%
4.3
68%
23.8
66%
144
4346540.90.9
52%
11GenoaGenoa3849
32%
1.3
4545+0
2.4
68%
42%
18%
9.1
45%
4.7
68%
23.7
74%
182
5444841.21.2
44%
12MonzaMonza3845
29%
1.2
3951-12
2.4
66%
39%
21%
9.5
50%
4.6
62%
23.4
53%
70
2624201.01.3
54%
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3838
24%
1.0
3851-13
2.3
63%
50%
24%
9.4
45%
4.7
76%
26.8
76%
57
1314301.01.3
44%
14LecceLecce3838
21%
1.0
3254-22
2.3
74%
37%
18%
9.5
47%
5.1
70%
26.6
87%
72
2016370.81.4
45%
15UdineseUdinese3837
16%
1.0
3753-16
2.4
79%
37%
21%
10.7
68%
5.0
70%
24.8
79%
157
4639721.01.4
39%
16EmpoliEmpoli3836
24%
0.9
2954-25
2.2
63%
32%
13%
10.8
68%
4.3
71%
27.7
89%
20
11640.81.4
44%
17CagliariCagliari3836
21%
0.9
4268-26
2.9
84%
58%
32%
10.3
53%
4.5
58%
23.8
66%
134
5131521.11.8
42%
18FrosinoneFrosinone3835
21%
0.9
4469-25
3.0
79%
61%
37%
10.3
66%
4.2
70%
22.9
63%
84
3427241.21.8
50%
19SassuoloSassuolo3830
18%
0.8
4375-32
3.1
79%
55%
32%
10.7
66%
4.1
65%
21.3
39%
194
9053521.12.0
44%
20SalernitanaSalernitana3817
5%
0.4
3281-49
3.0
87%
66%
32%
10.9
68%
4.6
63%
24.9
84%
0
0000.82.1
44%
Italy: Serie A 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie A stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches