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AC Milan vs Napoli Result & Analysis

Date: 29/10/2024
Time: 19:45
Final 0-2
AC Milan
AC Milan
Vs
39%
29%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Napoli
Napoli
Italy: Serie A
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AC Milan win✗ Miss
39.0%
Avg Implied 38.2% · @ 2.51
Edge
+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.0%
Avg Implied 28.3% · @ 3.39
Edge
+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Napoli win✓ Hit
32.0%
Avg Implied 33.5% · @ 2.86
Edge
-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L22D40W13L21W30W01L12L10W31WA·PAR24/08A·LAZ31/08H·VEN14/09H·LIV17/09A·INT22/09H·LEC27/09A·BAY01/10A·FIO06/10H·UDI19/10H·CLU22/10
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.971.502.331.271.601.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.501.441.671.671.401.30
vs Weaker (14)2.501.572.781.002.002.60
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Napoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NapoliNapoli

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D03L30W21W40W00D20W31W10W10WH·LEC26/05A·HEL18/08H·BOL25/08H·PAR31/08A·CAG15/09A·JUV21/09H·MON29/09H·COM04/10A·EMP20/10H·LEC26/10
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.101.501.061.501.14
vs Stronger (2)1.002.001.001.001.003.00
vs Similar (7)0.711.141.332.000.250.50
vs Weaker (21)1.811.001.580.832.111.22
Clean sheet %27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%017%127%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.9%
Under 1.5
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.4%
@ 1.91-2.8%
Under 2.5
52.6%
@ 1.93+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.8%
Under 3.5
74.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.4%
No
46.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
1-0
9.1%
0-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.1%
0-2 ✓
5.6%
AC Milan goals ↓
Napoli goals →
01234
08.9%8.0%5.6%2.3%0.7%
19.1%14%7.6%3.1%0.9%
27.1%8.6%5.2%2.1%0.6%
33.2%3.9%2.4%0.9%0.3%
41.1%1.3%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AC Milan goals (down), columns = Napoli goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Napoli
2.16
Inter
2.13
Atalanta
1.95
Juventus
1.84
AS Roma
1.82
Fiorentina
1.71
Lazio
1.71
AC Milan
1.66
Bologna
1.63
Como
1.29
Udinese
1.16
Torino
1.16
Genoa
1.13
Hellas Verona
0.97
Cagliari
0.95
Parma
0.95
Lecce
0.89
Empoli
0.82
Venezia
0.76
Monza
0.47
AC Milan is 0.50 points worse than Napoli in terms of average points per game (1.66 vs 2.16).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter
2.08
Atalanta
2.05
Lazio
1.61
AC Milan
1.61
Fiorentina
1.58
Napoli
1.55
Juventus
1.53
Bologna
1.50
AS Roma
1.47
Como
1.29
Parma
1.16
Udinese
1.08
Cagliari
1.05
Torino
1.03
Genoa
0.97
Hellas Verona
0.89
Empoli
0.87
Venezia
0.84
Monza
0.74
Lecce
0.71
AC Milan is 0.05 goals better than Napoli in terms of goals scored per game (1.61 vs 1.55).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Napoli
0.71
Inter
0.92
Juventus
0.92
AS Roma
0.92
Atalanta
0.97
Fiorentina
1.08
AC Milan
1.13
Torino
1.18
Bologna
1.24
Genoa
1.29
Lazio
1.29
Como
1.37
Udinese
1.47
Venezia
1.47
Cagliari
1.47
Lecce
1.53
Parma
1.53
Empoli
1.55
Hellas Verona
1.74
Monza
1.82
AC Milan is 0.42 goals worse than Napoli in terms of goals conceded per game (1.13 vs 0.71).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Inter
59%
Bologna
59%
Juventus
58%
Atalanta
55%
Lazio
55%
Como
55%
Napoli
55%
AC Milan
54%
AS Roma
54%
Fiorentina
51%
Monza
49%
Torino
47%
Udinese
47%
Genoa
46%
Venezia
45%
Cagliari
45%
Parma
44%
Lecce
44%
Empoli
41%
Hellas Verona
38%
AC Milan is 0.5 percentage points worse than Napoli in terms of average possession (54% vs 55%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AC MilanAC Milan

For 5.4 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.3

🚩 Corners

120538474547262561759381279118771212H·CLUH·UDIA·FIOA·BAYH·LECA·INTH·LIVH·VENA·LAZA·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.1

🟨 Cards

8044334232211422142438665354563H·CLUH·UDIA·FIOA·BAYH·LECA·INTH·LIVH·VENA·LAZA·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.7 · Against 11.5 · Total 20.2

⚠️ Fouls

32079314211141558413912121291213916173219131721242122H·CLUH·UDIA·FIOA·BAYH·LECA·INTH·LIVH·VENA·LAZA·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NapoliNapoli

For 5.7 · Against 3.8 · Total 9.5

🚩 Corners

210165774113344764755141211454711101265H·LECA·EMPH·COMH·MONA·JUVA·CAGH·PARH·BOLA·HELH·LEC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

7032221112121252214215423137453H·LECA·EMPH·COMH·MONA·JUVA·CAGH·PARH·BOLA·HELA·FIO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 12.6 · Total 24.5

⚠️ Fouls

33013713147101681310112212611171315101720271724233318282827H·LECA·EMPH·COMH·MONA·JUVA·CAGH·PARH·BOLA·HELH·LEC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AC MilanAC Milan

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.910.09.84.84.05.721.619.923.5
vs Stronger (2)12.511.014.06.06.06.023.018.028.0
vs Similar (24)9.59.19.85.24.16.222.220.623.5
vs Weaker (24)10.210.69.54.23.84.921.019.523.1
% over line56%54%58%62%46%79%44%27%62%
% under line44%46%42%38%54%21%56%73%38%
This opponent (Napoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NapoliNapoli

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.211.19.24.24.34.023.122.523.9
vs Stronger (2)10.011.09.04.03.05.024.025.023.0
vs Similar (15)9.010.77.54.34.14.522.120.323.6
vs Weaker (33)10.811.310.14.14.43.723.623.224.1
% over line58%73%42%62%65%58%68%62%75%
% under line42%27%58%38%35%42%32%38%25%
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Empoli
11.1
Cagliari
10.7
Udinese
10.5
Parma
10.3
Napoli
10.2
AC Milan
9.9
Lecce
9.9
Venezia
9.9
Lazio
9.6
Hellas Verona
9.6
Inter
9.6
Juventus
9.6
Monza
9.3
Bologna
9.2
Genoa
9.1
Como
8.9
Fiorentina
8.8
Torino
8.8
AS Roma
8.7
Atalanta
8.6

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Lazio
5.5
Parma
5.2
Bologna
5.2
Fiorentina
5.1
AS Roma
5.0
Lecce
4.9
AC Milan
4.8
Udinese
4.8
Hellas Verona
4.7
Monza
4.7
Venezia
4.7
Como
4.7
Genoa
4.6
Torino
4.5
Cagliari
4.5
Napoli
4.4
Juventus
4.3
Empoli
4.1
Atalanta
3.7
Inter
3.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Como
27.9
Empoli
27.4
Lecce
26.2
Bologna
26.1
Hellas Verona
25.9
Fiorentina
25.8
Parma
25.2
Monza
24.9
Udinese
24.9
Venezia
24.9
Lazio
24.3
Cagliari
24.2
Atalanta
24.0
AS Roma
24.0
Genoa
24.0
Torino
23.6
Napoli
23.1
Juventus
22.7
Inter
22.6
AC Milan
21.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
48.6%
Under 9.5
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
62.6%
Under 3.5
37.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
61.2%
Under 21.5
38.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AC MilanAC Milan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L10W40W12L11D30W00D01L10W10WA·PAR24/08A·LAZ31/08H·VEN14/09H·LIV17/09A·INT22/09H·LEC27/09A·BAY01/10A·FIO06/10H·UDI19/10H·CLU22/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.671.400.530.530.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.750.691.001.000.600.50
vs Weaker (14)1.210.641.670.220.401.40
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Napoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NapoliNapoli

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W01L10W00D20W11D00D00DH·LEC26/05A·HEL18/08H·BOL25/08H·PAR31/08A·CAG15/09A·JUV21/09H·MON29/09H·COM04/10A·EMP20/10H·LEC26/10
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.530.440.440.430.64
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.000.001.002.00
vs Similar (7)0.140.570.330.670.000.50
vs Weaker (21)0.520.480.500.420.560.56
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Napoli over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Napoli over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Napoli over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AC MilanAC Milan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D12L00D01L10W00D01L11D00D21WA·PAR24/08A·LAZ31/08H·VEN14/09H·LIV17/09A·INT22/09H·LEC27/09A·BAY01/10A·FIO06/10H·UDI19/10H·CLU22/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.830.930.731.070.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.750.750.670.670.800.80
vs Weaker (14)1.290.931.110.781.601.20
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Napoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NapoliNapoli

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D03L20W20W30W00D00D20W10W10WH·LEC26/05A·HEL18/08H·BOL25/08H·PAR31/08A·CAG15/09A·JUV21/09H·MON29/09H·COM04/10A·EMP20/10H·LEC26/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.571.060.621.070.50
vs Stronger (2)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (7)0.570.571.001.330.250.00
vs Weaker (21)1.290.521.080.421.560.67
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Napoli over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Napoli over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Napoli over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards80.5%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls76.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners74.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.574.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards73.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls70.7%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

AC Milan
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Christian Pulišić29%
Santiago Giménez26%
Álvaro Morata26%
Tijjani Reijnders25%
Rafael Leão22%
Tammy Abraham19%
Luka Jović18%
João Félix14%
Samuel Chukwueze11%
Theo Hernández9%
Davide Calabria8%
Noah Okafor6%
Strahinja Pavlović6%
Matteo Gabbia6%
Malick Thiaw3%
Youssouf Fofana2%
Kyle Walker0%
Emerson Royal0%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek0%
Ismaël Bennacer0%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Mike Maignan0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Riccardo Sottil0%
Yunus Musah0%
Filippo Terracciano0%
Warren Bondo0%
Álex Jiménez0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Francesco Camarda0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Álvaro Morata35%
Ismaël Bennacer29%
Filippo Terracciano25%
Davide Calabria23%
Álex Jiménez23%
Fikayo Tomori21%
Emerson Royal21%
Warren Bondo20%
João Félix19%
Yunus Musah18%
Theo Hernández17%
Santiago Giménez16%
Rafael Leão14%
Matteo Gabbia14%
Youssouf Fofana14%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek11%
Malick Thiaw10%
Strahinja Pavlović9%
Francesco Camarda7%
Christian Pulišić6%
Kyle Walker6%
Luka Jović6%
Tijjani Reijnders6%
Samuel Chukwueze6%
Mike Maignan4%
Tammy Abraham2%
Marco Sportiello0%
Riccardo Sottil0%
Noah Okafor0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rafael Leão20%
Christian Pulišić19%
Youssouf Fofana18%
Santiago Giménez16%
Ismaël Bennacer14%
Tammy Abraham14%
Noah Okafor12%
Theo Hernández9%
Samuel Chukwueze8%
Tijjani Reijnders8%
Álex Jiménez8%
Fikayo Tomori6%
Yunus Musah5%
Álvaro Morata4%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek4%
Malick Thiaw3%
Strahinja Pavlović3%
João Félix0%
Kyle Walker0%
Emerson Royal0%
Davide Calabria0%
Luka Jović0%
Mike Maignan0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Riccardo Sottil0%
Matteo Gabbia0%
Filippo Terracciano0%
Warren Bondo0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Francesco Camarda0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
João Félix29%
Rafael Leão14%
Tijjani Reijnders13%
Álvaro Morata13%
Theo Hernández11%
Santiago Giménez11%
Christian Pulišić10%
Tammy Abraham7%
Youssouf Fofana4%
Álex Jiménez4%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek4%
Matteo Gabbia3%
Samuel Chukwueze3%
Yunus Musah3%
Kyle Walker0%
Emerson Royal0%
Davide Calabria0%
Luka Jović0%
Ismaël Bennacer0%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Mike Maignan0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Riccardo Sottil0%
Strahinja Pavlović0%
Noah Okafor0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Filippo Terracciano0%
Warren Bondo0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Francesco Camarda0%
Napoli
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Romelu Lukaku37%
Scott McTominay31%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia26%
Giacomo Raspadori21%
Frank Anguissa16%
David Neres10%
Philip Billing10%
Matteo Politano8%
Giovanni Di Lorenzo8%
Giovanni Simeone6%
Juan Jesus6%
Cyril Ngonge5%
Alessandro Buongiorno4%
Leonardo Spinazzola3%
Amir Rrahmani3%
Alex Meret0%
Elia Caprile0%
Alessio Zerbin0%
Pasquale Mazzocchi0%
Mathías Olivera0%
Stanislav Lobotka0%
Noah Okafor0%
Michael Folorunsho0%
Billy Gilmour0%
Rafa Marín0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rafa Marín50%
Frank Anguissa16%
Giovanni Di Lorenzo15%
Pasquale Mazzocchi14%
Mathías Olivera12%
Juan Jesus12%
Romelu Lukaku11%
Philip Billing10%
Cyril Ngonge10%
Alessandro Buongiorno9%
Stanislav Lobotka9%
Scott McTominay8%
Matteo Politano8%
David Neres7%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia5%
Amir Rrahmani5%
Giacomo Raspadori3%
Leonardo Spinazzola3%
Giovanni Simeone3%
Alex Meret0%
Elia Caprile0%
Alessio Zerbin0%
Noah Okafor0%
Michael Folorunsho0%
Billy Gilmour0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Romelu Lukaku21%
David Neres17%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia16%
Matteo Politano10%
Scott McTominay8%
Frank Anguissa8%
Amir Rrahmani8%
Giacomo Raspadori7%
Giovanni Simeone6%
Mathías Olivera6%
Juan Jesus6%
Stanislav Lobotka6%
Giovanni Di Lorenzo5%
Billy Gilmour4%
Leonardo Spinazzola3%
Cyril Ngonge0%
Alex Meret0%
Philip Billing0%
Elia Caprile0%
Alessio Zerbin0%
Alessandro Buongiorno0%
Pasquale Mazzocchi0%
Noah Okafor0%
Michael Folorunsho0%
Rafa Marín0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia26%
Scott McTominay19%
Giacomo Raspadori10%
David Neres10%
Frank Anguissa8%
Romelu Lukaku5%
Matteo Politano5%
Cyril Ngonge5%
Pasquale Mazzocchi5%
Giovanni Simeone3%
Giovanni Di Lorenzo3%
Alex Meret0%
Juan Jesus0%
Leonardo Spinazzola0%
Amir Rrahmani0%
Philip Billing0%
Elia Caprile0%
Alessio Zerbin0%
Alessandro Buongiorno0%
Mathías Olivera0%
Stanislav Lobotka0%
Noah Okafor0%
Michael Folorunsho0%
Billy Gilmour0%
Rafa Marín0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (25)
€694m
AM (33)
€585m
JUV (28)
€569m
COM (34)
€488m
AR (29)
€471m
NAP (33)
€459m
ATA (26)
€438m
FIO (28)
€330m
LAZ (35)
€240m
BOL (25)
€218m
GEN (32)
€182m
UDI (30)
€157m
TOR (31)
€144m
PAR (28)
€142m
CAG (31)
€134m
VEN (36)
€117m
LEC (31)
€72m
MON (29)
€70m
HV (34)
€57m
EMP (27)
€20m
AC Milan's squad is €126m more valuable than Napoli's (€585m vs €459m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (13)
€261m
JUV (10)
€240m
AM (8)
€223m
INT (5)
€220m
NAP (12)
€206m
ATA (7)
€158m
AR (6)
€138m
FIO (9)
€125m
BOL (8)
€104m
LAZ (9)
€60m
GEN (9)
€54m
CAG (11)
€51m
UDI (8)
€46m
TOR (10)
€43m
VEN (9)
€39m
PAR (8)
€35m
MON (11)
€26m
LEC (9)
€20m
HV (10)
€13m
EMP (9)
€11m
AC Milan's attack is €17m more valuable than Napoli's (€223m vs €206m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€232m
AM (11)
€153m
JUV (6)
€140m
ATA (10)
€128m
AR (5)
€118m
FIO (6)
€107m
NAP (7)
€101m
LAZ (8)
€86m
COM (7)
€83m
PAR (8)
€60m
TOR (8)
€46m
GEN (6)
€44m
UDI (8)
€39m
BOL (5)
€34m
VEN (11)
€31m
CAG (9)
€31m
MON (7)
€24m
LEC (8)
€16m
HV (9)
€14m
EMP (9)
€6m
AC Milan's midfield is €52m more valuable than Napoli's (€153m vs €101m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€242m
AR (18)
€215m
AM (14)
€209m
JUV (12)
€189m
ATA (9)
€153m
NAP (14)
€152m
COM (14)
€144m
FIO (13)
€98m
LAZ (18)
€93m
GEN (17)
€84m
BOL (12)
€79m
UDI (14)
€72m
TOR (13)
€54m
CAG (11)
€52m
VEN (16)
€47m
PAR (12)
€46m
LEC (14)
€37m
HV (15)
€30m
MON (11)
€20m
EMP (9)
€4m
AC Milan's defence is €57m more valuable than Napoli's (€209m vs €152m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
AM wins
2
Draws
2
NAP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

AC Milan vs Napoli · H/A from AM
DateH/AGameScore
11/02/24HAM Vs Napoli1-0
29/10/23ANapoli Vs AM2-2
18/04/23ANapoli Vs AM1-1
12/04/23HAM Vs Napoli1-0
02/04/23ANapoli Vs AM0-4
18/09/22HAM Vs Napoli1-2
06/03/22ANapoli Vs AM0-1
19/12/21HAM Vs Napoli0-1

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/10/24HAM Vs Club Brugge KV3-1
19/10/24HAM Vs Udinese1-0
06/10/24AFiorentina Vs AM2-1
01/10/24ABayer Leverkusen Vs AM1-0
27/09/24HAM Vs Lecce3-0
22/09/24AInter Vs AM1-2
17/09/24HAM Vs Liverpool1-3
14/09/24HAM Vs Venezia4-0
31/08/24ALazio Vs AM2-2
24/08/24AParma Vs AM2-1

NapoliNapoli

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/10/24HNAP Vs Lecce1-0
20/10/24AEmpoli Vs NAP0-1
04/10/24HNAP Vs Como3-1
29/09/24HNAP Vs Monza2-0
21/09/24AJuventus Vs NAP0-0
15/09/24ACagliari Vs NAP0-4
31/08/24HNAP Vs Parma2-1
25/08/24HNAP Vs Bologna3-0
18/08/24AHellas Verona Vs NAP3-0
26/05/24HNAP Vs Lecce0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AC Milan
AC Milan
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWW1.72
HomeWLWWW2.04
AwayLDWLL1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%62%38%
AVG goals3.383.193.58
Over 1.5 %80%73%88%
Over 2.5 %78%69%88%
Over 3.5 %50%46%54%
Scored1.962.121.79
Conceded1.421.081.79
BTTS66%54%79%
Clean Sheet26%38%12%
Corners9.9210.009.83
Cards4.804.005.67
Napoli
Napoli
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWW1.52
HomeWWWWW1.62
AwayDLWDW1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%42%38%
AVG goals2.662.692.62
Over 1.5 %76%85%67%
Over 2.5 %52%58%46%
Over 3.5 %30%27%33%
Scored1.461.461.46
Conceded1.201.231.17
BTTS52%62%42%
Clean Sheet28%23%33%
Corners10.2011.129.21
Cards4.434.444.41

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1NapoliNapoli3882
63%
2.2
5927+32
2.3
71%
45%
16%
9.4
50%
3.2
41%
23.3
66%
459
2061011521.60.7
55%
2InterInter3881
63%
2.1
7935+44
3.0
79%
55%
39%
9.5
43%
3.3
44%
22.5
49%
694
2202322422.10.9
59%
3AtalantaAtalanta3874
58%
1.9
7837+41
3.0
82%
55%
39%
8.4
24%
3.4
36%
22.4
55%
438
1581281532.11.0
55%
4JuventusJuventus3870
47%
1.8
5835+23
2.4
76%
42%
21%
9.5
53%
3.8
58%
22.9
71%
569
2401401891.50.9
58%
5AS RomaAS Roma3869
53%
1.8
5635+21
2.4
66%
39%
24%
8.5
39%
4.3
59%
24.0
68%
471
1381182151.50.9
54%
6FiorentinaFiorentina3865
50%
1.7
6041+19
2.7
71%
61%
24%
8.0
30%
4.9
81%
27.2
86%
330
125107981.61.1
51%
7LazioLazio3865
47%
1.7
6149+12
2.9
82%
61%
29%
10.4
50%
6.2
92%
24.5
76%
240
6086931.61.3
55%
8AC MilanAC Milan3863
47%
1.7
6143+18
2.7
82%
61%
26%
9.9
53%
4.1
50%
22.7
50%
585
2231532091.61.1
54%
9BolognaBologna3862
42%
1.6
5747+10
2.7
82%
53%
34%
8.2
34%
4.4
70%
31.0
97%
218
10434791.51.2
59%
10ComoComo3849
34%
1.3
4952-3
2.7
84%
45%
24%
8.3
39%
5.1
74%
27.6
95%
488
261831441.31.4
55%
11TorinoTorino3844
26%
1.2
3945-6
2.2
68%
26%
21%
9.3
50%
3.9
61%
23.6
63%
144
4346541.01.2
47%
12UdineseUdinese3844
32%
1.2
4156-15
2.6
74%
50%
24%
10.0
61%
4.3
65%
24.9
76%
157
4639721.11.5
47%
13GenoaGenoa3843
26%
1.1
3749-12
2.3
68%
39%
21%
9.4
42%
4.1
64%
25.7
79%
182
5444841.01.3
46%
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3837
26%
1.0
3466-32
2.6
68%
47%
26%
9.3
47%
4.4
65%
25.1
66%
57
1314300.91.7
38%
15ParmaParma3836
18%
0.9
4458-14
2.7
71%
55%
39%
10.3
68%
4.4
55%
23.4
61%
142
3560461.21.5
44%
16CagliariCagliari3836
24%
0.9
4056-16
2.5
76%
50%
21%
9.8
50%
3.8
53%
24.3
66%
134
5131521.11.5
45%
17LecceLecce3834
21%
0.9
2758-31
2.2
58%
39%
24%
10.4
47%
4.1
61%
24.2
68%
72
2016370.71.5
44%
18EmpoliEmpoli3831
16%
0.8
3359-26
2.4
74%
47%
21%
9.6
50%
3.9
46%
27.8
84%
20
11640.91.6
41%
19VeneziaVenezia3829
13%
0.8
3256-24
2.3
68%
42%
24%
9.6
47%
3.9
45%
26.3
79%
117
3931470.81.5
45%
20MonzaMonza3818
8%
0.5
2869-41
2.6
79%
50%
24%
8.7
45%
4.2
58%
28.3
84%
70
2624200.71.8
49%
Italy: Serie A 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie A stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches