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AC Milan vs Napoli Result & Analysis

Date: 28/09/2025
Time: 18:45
Final 2-1
AC Milan
AC Milan
Vs
26%
31%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Napoli
Napoli
Italy: Serie A
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AC Milan win✓ Hit
26.0%
Avg Implied 39.9% · @ 2.36
Edge
-13.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.9%
Avg Implied 29.5% · @ 3.19
Edge
+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Napoli win✗ Miss
43.1%
Avg Implied 30.6% · @ 3.08
Edge
+12.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L20W21W31W13L20W12L20W10W30WH·ATA20/04A·VEN27/04A·GEN05/05H·BOL09/05A·AS 18/05H·MON24/05H·CRE23/08A·LEC29/08H·BOL14/09A·UDI20/09
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.101.401.001.671.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.001.541.141.290.831.83
vs Weaker (17)1.940.761.620.752.220.78
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Napoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NapoliNapoli

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W10W22D00D20W20W10W31W02L32WH·TOR27/04A·LEC03/05H·GEN11/05A·PAR18/05H·CAG23/05A·SAS23/08H·CAG30/08A·FIO13/09A·MAN18/09H·PIS22/09
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.600.771.710.711.500.81
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (7)1.571.291.251.002.001.67
vs Weaker (22)1.680.551.900.601.500.50
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.8%
Under 1.5
33.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
38.8%
@ 2.12-5.4%
Under 2.5
61.2%
@ 1.68+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.8%
Under 3.5
81.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.7%
No
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
0-1
12.5%
0-0
12.0%
0-2
8.9%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-1 ✓
6.2%
2-0
4.8%
AC Milan goals ↓
Napoli goals →
01234
012%12%8.9%3.8%1.2%
18.8%14%8.4%3.6%1.2%
24.8%6.2%4.0%1.7%0.6%
31.5%2.0%1.3%0.5%0.2%
40.4%0.5%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AC Milan goals (down), columns = Napoli goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Inter
2.29
Napoli
2.00
AS Roma
1.92
Como
1.87
AC Milan
1.84
Juventus
1.82
Atalanta
1.55
Bologna
1.47
Lazio
1.42
Udinese
1.32
Sassuolo
1.29
Torino
1.18
Parma
1.18
Cagliari
1.13
Fiorentina
1.11
Genoa
1.08
Lecce
1.00
Cremonese
0.89
Hellas Verona
0.55
Pisa
0.47
AC Milan is 0.16 points worse than Napoli in terms of average points per game (1.84 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter
2.34
Como
1.71
Juventus
1.61
AS Roma
1.55
Napoli
1.53
AC Milan
1.39
Atalanta
1.34
Bologna
1.29
Sassuolo
1.21
Udinese
1.18
Torino
1.16
Genoa
1.08
Fiorentina
1.08
Lazio
1.08
Cagliari
1.05
Cremonese
0.84
Lecce
0.74
Parma
0.74
Pisa
0.68
Hellas Verona
0.66
AC Milan is 0.13 goals worse than Napoli in terms of goals scored per game (1.39 vs 1.53).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Como
0.76
AS Roma
0.82
Juventus
0.89
Inter
0.92
AC Milan
0.92
Napoli
0.95
Atalanta
0.95
Lazio
1.05
Bologna
1.21
Parma
1.21
Udinese
1.26
Fiorentina
1.32
Lecce
1.32
Sassuolo
1.32
Genoa
1.34
Cagliari
1.39
Cremonese
1.50
Hellas Verona
1.61
Torino
1.66
Pisa
1.87
AC Milan is 0.03 goals better than Napoli in terms of goals conceded per game (0.92 vs 0.95).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Como
62%
Inter
60%
Napoli
59%
Juventus
58%
AS Roma
56%
Atalanta
55%
Bologna
55%
AC Milan
52%
Fiorentina
51%
Lazio
50%
Genoa
49%
Cremonese
46%
Sassuolo
46%
Udinese
46%
Cagliari
46%
Torino
44%
Parma
44%
Lecce
42%
Pisa
40%
Hellas Verona
40%
AC Milan is 7.0 percentage points worse than Napoli in terms of average possession (52% vs 59%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AC MilanAC Milan

For 5.0 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.5

🚩 Corners

15041745492462434782775511911106715912A·UDIH·BOLA·LECH·CREH·MONA·AS H·BOLA·GENA·VENH·ATA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.2

🟨 Cards

602321141332251112515164611A·UDIH·BOLA·LECH·CREH·MONA·AS H·BOLA·GENA·VENH·ATA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 11.9 · Total 22.3

⚠️ Fouls

3307917168101014891612514121413148716331824172819262715A·UDIH·BOLA·LECH·CREH·MONA·AS H·BOLA·GENA·VENH·ATA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NapoliNapoli

For 4.9 · Against 3.7 · Total 8.6

🚩 Corners

130532958132183238252581113133115877H·PISA·MANA·FIOH·CAGA·SASH·CAGA·PARH·GENA·LECH·TOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

60122211421221223243235343236H·PISA·MANH·CAGA·SASH·CAGA·PARH·GENA·LECH·TORA·MON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 12.9 · Total 24.1

⚠️ Fouls

3401018431414161217171414161312144115132872828342829261518H·PISA·MANA·FIOH·CAGA·SASH·CAGA·PARH·GENA·LECH·TOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AC MilanAC Milan

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.79.99.54.34.64.022.822.023.6
vs Stronger (1)13.0-13.06.0-6.020.0-20.0
vs Similar (23)8.89.28.54.95.04.722.321.123.7
vs Weaker (26)10.310.510.13.84.33.223.322.923.7
% over line48%60%36%58%72%44%48%44%52%
% under line52%40%64%42%28%56%52%56%48%
This opponent (Napoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NapoliNapoli

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.410.08.83.03.03.023.721.825.5
vs Stronger (1)11.0-11.02.0-2.07.0-7.0
vs Similar (13)8.19.96.02.83.02.722.120.024.5
vs Weaker (36)9.910.19.73.12.93.224.722.626.8
% over line52%52%52%36%28%44%70%56%84%
% under line48%48%48%64%72%56%30%44%16%
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Udinese
10.3
Lecce
10.1
Parma
10.0
Lazio
9.7
Juventus
9.7
AC Milan
9.7
Cagliari
9.6
Inter
9.5
Napoli
9.4
Hellas Verona
9.2
Genoa
9.2
Torino
9.1
Cremonese
9.0
Sassuolo
8.8
Atalanta
8.8
AS Roma
8.8
Como
8.5
Bologna
8.5
Pisa
8.4
Fiorentina
8.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Lazio
6.2
Como
5.1
Cremonese
5.1
Fiorentina
5.0
Bologna
4.9
AS Roma
4.6
Pisa
4.6
Udinese
4.4
Hellas Verona
4.4
Parma
4.4
AC Milan
4.3
Sassuolo
4.2
Cagliari
4.0
Genoa
4.0
Lecce
4.0
Torino
3.9
Juventus
3.7
Inter
3.7
Napoli
3.3
Atalanta
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Cremonese
30.7
Bologna
30.4
Pisa
28.1
Como
27.7
Fiorentina
27.2
Genoa
25.5
Hellas Verona
25.5
Sassuolo
25.3
Lazio
24.9
Udinese
24.8
Cagliari
24.7
AS Roma
24.5
Lecce
24.3
Torino
24.2
Parma
24.0
Napoli
23.7
AC Milan
22.8
Juventus
22.7
Inter
22.4
Atalanta
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
45.4%
Under 9.5
54.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
56.3%
Under 3.5
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
71.3%
Under 21.5
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AC MilanAC Milan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D10W00D00D11D00D11D00D00D10WH·ATA20/04A·VEN27/04A·GEN05/05H·BOL09/05A·AS 18/05H·MON24/05H·CRE23/08A·LEC29/08H·BOL14/09A·UDI20/09
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.470.470.470.400.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.380.770.570.710.170.83
vs Weaker (17)0.470.240.380.250.560.22
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Napoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NapoliNapoli

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W11D00D10W10W00D20W00D10WH·TOR27/04A·LEC03/05H·GEN11/05A·PAR18/05H·CAG23/05A·SAS23/08H·CAG30/08A·FIO13/09A·MAN18/09H·PIS22/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.270.790.290.880.25
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (7)0.860.570.500.501.330.67
vs Weaker (22)0.860.180.900.200.830.17
Clean sheet %73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Napoli over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Napoli over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Napoli over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AC MilanAC Milan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W21W31W02L20W01L20W10W20WH·ATA20/04A·VEN27/04A·GEN05/05H·BOL09/05A·AS 18/05H·MON24/05H·CRE23/08A·LEC29/08H·BOL14/09A·UDI20/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.630.930.531.270.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.620.770.570.570.671.00
vs Weaker (17)1.470.531.250.501.670.56
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Napoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NapoliNapoli

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D11D00D10W10W10W11D02L22DH·TOR27/04A·LEC03/05H·GEN11/05A·PAR18/05H·CAG23/05A·SAS23/08H·CAG30/08A·FIO13/09A·MAN18/09H·PIS22/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.500.930.430.620.56
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (7)0.710.710.750.500.671.00
vs Weaker (22)0.820.361.000.400.670.33
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Napoli over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Napoli over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Napoli over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls83.9%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.581.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards78.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners77.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards75.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls71.3%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

AC Milan
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rafael Leão29%
Christian Pulišić24%
Christopher Nkunku21%
Adrien Rabiot16%
Strahinja Pavlović14%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek10%
Alexis Saelemaekers8%
Zachary Athekame7%
Youssouf Fofana6%
Luka Modrić6%
Santiago Giménez6%
Niclas Füllkrug5%
Pervis Estupiñán5%
Koni De Winter4%
Davide Bartesaghi3%
Samuele Ricci3%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Mike Maignan0%
Matteo Gabbia0%
Ardon Jashari0%
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien0%
David Odogu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pervis Estupiñán29%
Fikayo Tomori19%
Strahinja Pavlović16%
Adrien Rabiot16%
Rafael Leão16%
Alexis Saelemaekers13%
Matteo Gabbia13%
Samuele Ricci12%
Youssouf Fofana11%
Luka Modrić11%
Santiago Giménez11%
Zachary Athekame11%
Mike Maignan10%
Davide Bartesaghi9%
Koni De Winter7%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek6%
Christian Pulišić0%
Christopher Nkunku0%
Niclas Füllkrug0%
Ardon Jashari0%
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien0%
David Odogu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Adrien Rabiot13%
Christian Pulišić12%
Samuele Ricci12%
Youssouf Fofana11%
Santiago Giménez11%
Alexis Saelemaekers11%
Rafael Leão10%
Christopher Nkunku9%
Luka Modrić8%
Fikayo Tomori8%
Zachary Athekame7%
Ardon Jashari6%
Pervis Estupiñán5%
Koni De Winter4%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek3%
Davide Bartesaghi3%
Strahinja Pavlović3%
Mike Maignan0%
Niclas Füllkrug0%
Matteo Gabbia0%
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien0%
David Odogu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rafael Leão26%
Christian Pulišić21%
Santiago Giménez17%
Adrien Rabiot13%
Christopher Nkunku12%
Youssouf Fofana11%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek10%
Matteo Gabbia6%
Ardon Jashari6%
Alexis Saelemaekers5%
Samuele Ricci3%
Strahinja Pavlović3%
Luka Modrić0%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Mike Maignan0%
Niclas Füllkrug0%
Pervis Estupiñán0%
Koni De Winter0%
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
David Odogu0%
Zachary Athekame0%
Napoli
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Scott McTominay29%
Alisson Santos27%
Rasmus Højlund26%
Kevin De Bruyne24%
Frank Anguissa18%
Antonio Vergara17%
Romelu Lukaku14%
Lorenzo Lucca9%
David Neres9%
Amir Rrahmani8%
Leonardo Spinazzola8%
Sam Beukema6%
Giovanni Di Lorenzo6%
Billy Gilmour5%
Matteo Politano5%
Noa Lang4%
Miguel Gutiérrez3%
Stanislav Lobotka3%
Eljif Elmas2%
Alex Meret0%
Juan Jesus0%
Vanja Milinković-Savić0%
Alessandro Buongiorno0%
Pasquale Mazzocchi0%
Mathías Olivera0%
Giovane0%
Giuseppe Ambrosino0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Juan Jesus30%
Antonio Vergara17%
Noa Lang16%
Romelu Lukaku14%
David Neres13%
Amir Rrahmani12%
Matteo Politano12%
Eljif Elmas12%
Mathías Olivera9%
Alex Meret8%
Stanislav Lobotka8%
Leonardo Spinazzola8%
Alessandro Buongiorno7%
Alisson Santos7%
Sam Beukema6%
Giovanni Di Lorenzo6%
Billy Gilmour5%
Kevin De Bruyne5%
Rasmus Højlund5%
Frank Anguissa5%
Lorenzo Lucca5%
Scott McTominay2%
Vanja Milinković-Savić0%
Pasquale Mazzocchi0%
Miguel Gutiérrez0%
Giovane0%
Giuseppe Ambrosino0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
David Neres17%
Antonio Vergara17%
Kevin De Bruyne14%
Rasmus Højlund14%
Leonardo Spinazzola10%
Matteo Politano10%
Eljif Elmas10%
Alex Meret8%
Noa Lang8%
Giovane8%
Scott McTominay7%
Pasquale Mazzocchi6%
Frank Anguissa5%
Amir Rrahmani4%
Giovanni Di Lorenzo3%
Mathías Olivera3%
Miguel Gutiérrez3%
Vanja Milinković-Savić3%
Stanislav Lobotka3%
Alessandro Buongiorno2%
Juan Jesus0%
Romelu Lukaku0%
Sam Beukema0%
Billy Gilmour0%
Lorenzo Lucca0%
Alisson Santos0%
Giuseppe Ambrosino0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Scott McTominay36%
Alisson Santos27%
Frank Anguissa18%
Rasmus Højlund14%
Matteo Politano10%
Antonio Vergara6%
Leonardo Spinazzola5%
Giovanni Di Lorenzo3%
Alex Meret0%
Noa Lang0%
David Neres0%
Kevin De Bruyne0%
Juan Jesus0%
Romelu Lukaku0%
Amir Rrahmani0%
Eljif Elmas0%
Vanja Milinković-Savić0%
Alessandro Buongiorno0%
Pasquale Mazzocchi0%
Sam Beukema0%
Mathías Olivera0%
Stanislav Lobotka0%
Billy Gilmour0%
Miguel Gutiérrez0%
Lorenzo Lucca0%
Giovane0%
Giuseppe Ambrosino0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (25)
€694m
AM (33)
€585m
JUV (28)
€569m
COM (34)
€488m
AR (29)
€471m
NAP (33)
€459m
ATA (26)
€438m
FIO (28)
€330m
LAZ (35)
€240m
BOL (25)
€218m
SAS (38)
€194m
GEN (32)
€182m
UDI (30)
€157m
TOR (31)
€144m
PAR (28)
€142m
CAG (31)
€134m
LEC (31)
€72m
PIS (36)
€71m
HV (34)
€57m
CRE (30)
€49m
AC Milan's squad is €126m more valuable than Napoli's (€585m vs €459m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (13)
€261m
JUV (10)
€240m
AM (8)
€223m
INT (5)
€220m
NAP (12)
€206m
ATA (7)
€158m
AR (6)
€138m
FIO (9)
€125m
BOL (8)
€104m
SAS (12)
€90m
LAZ (9)
€60m
GEN (9)
€54m
CAG (11)
€51m
UDI (8)
€46m
TOR (10)
€43m
PAR (8)
€35m
PIS (13)
€24m
LEC (9)
€20m
HV (10)
€13m
CRE (7)
€12m
AC Milan's attack is €17m more valuable than Napoli's (€223m vs €206m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€232m
AM (11)
€153m
JUV (6)
€140m
ATA (10)
€128m
AR (5)
€118m
FIO (6)
€107m
NAP (7)
€101m
LAZ (8)
€86m
COM (7)
€83m
PAR (8)
€60m
SAS (9)
€53m
TOR (8)
€46m
GEN (6)
€44m
UDI (8)
€39m
BOL (5)
€34m
CAG (9)
€31m
PIS (9)
€26m
LEC (8)
€16m
CRE (10)
€15m
HV (9)
€14m
AC Milan's midfield is €52m more valuable than Napoli's (€153m vs €101m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€242m
AR (18)
€215m
AM (14)
€209m
JUV (12)
€189m
ATA (9)
€153m
NAP (14)
€152m
COM (14)
€144m
FIO (13)
€98m
LAZ (18)
€93m
GEN (17)
€84m
BOL (12)
€79m
UDI (14)
€72m
TOR (13)
€54m
SAS (17)
€52m
CAG (11)
€52m
PAR (12)
€46m
LEC (14)
€37m
HV (15)
€30m
CRE (13)
€22m
PIS (14)
€22m
AC Milan's defence is €57m more valuable than Napoli's (€209m vs €152m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
AM wins
2
Draws
3
NAP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

AC Milan vs Napoli · H/A from AM
DateH/AGameScore
30/03/25ANapoli Vs AM2-1
29/10/24HAM Vs Napoli0-2
11/02/24HAM Vs Napoli1-0
29/10/23ANapoli Vs AM2-2
18/04/23ANapoli Vs AM1-1
12/04/23HAM Vs Napoli1-0
02/04/23ANapoli Vs AM0-4
18/09/22HAM Vs Napoli1-2

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/09/25AUdinese Vs AM0-3
14/09/25HAM Vs Bologna1-0
29/08/25ALecce Vs AM0-2
23/08/25HAM Vs Cremonese1-2
24/05/25HAM Vs Monza2-0
18/05/25AAS Roma Vs AM3-1
09/05/25HAM Vs Bologna3-1
05/05/25AGenoa Vs AM1-2
27/04/25AVenezia Vs AM0-2
20/04/25HAM Vs Atalanta0-1

NapoliNapoli

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/09/25HNAP Vs Pisa3-2
18/09/25AManchester City Vs NAP2-0
13/09/25AFiorentina Vs NAP1-3
30/08/25HNAP Vs Cagliari1-0
23/08/25ASassuolo Vs NAP0-2
23/05/25HNAP Vs Cagliari2-0
18/05/25AParma Vs NAP0-0
11/05/25HNAP Vs Genoa2-2
03/05/25ALecce Vs NAP0-1
27/04/25HNAP Vs Torino2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AC Milan
AC Milan
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW1.74
HomeLWWLW1.84
AwayWWLWW1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%52%52%
AVG goals2.682.402.96
Over 1.5 %78%72%84%
Over 2.5 %58%48%68%
Over 3.5 %26%24%28%
Scored1.601.521.68
Conceded1.080.881.28
BTTS56%52%60%
Clean Sheet34%40%28%
Corners9.689.889.48
Cards4.324.644.00
Napoli
Napoli
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLW1.98
HomeWDWWW2.16
AwayWDWWL1.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%64%48%
AVG goals2.342.442.24
Over 1.5 %72%76%68%
Over 2.5 %44%48%40%
Over 3.5 %22%20%24%
Scored1.501.601.40
Conceded0.840.840.84
BTTS44%44%44%
Clean Sheet44%44%44%
Corners9.4210.008.84
Cards3.263.223.30

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1InterInter3887
71%
2.3
8935+54
3.3
84%
55%
37%
9.2
55%
3.5
38%
24.2
58%
694
2202322422.30.9
60%
2NapoliNapoli3876
61%
2.0
5836+22
2.5
68%
53%
26%
8.2
26%
3.5
42%
23.4
61%
459
2061011521.50.9
59%
3AS RomaAS Roma3873
61%
1.9
5931+28
2.4
66%
37%
18%
8.6
34%
4.1
66%
27.8
89%
471
1381182151.60.8
56%
4ComoComo3871
53%
1.9
6529+36
2.5
71%
45%
24%
7.7
24%
4.6
68%
25.9
79%
488
261831441.70.8
62%
5AC MilanAC Milan3870
53%
1.8
5335+18
2.3
66%
45%
18%
8.6
42%
3.8
58%
21.9
58%
585
2231532091.40.9
52%
6JuventusJuventus3869
50%
1.8
6134+27
2.5
74%
39%
24%
9.2
37%
3.7
59%
22.3
61%
569
2401401891.60.9
58%
7AtalantaAtalanta3859
39%
1.6
5136+15
2.3
74%
37%
18%
9.8
50%
3.4
47%
22.1
53%
438
1581281531.30.9
55%
8BolognaBologna3856
42%
1.5
4946+3
2.5
71%
45%
26%
8.7
34%
4.1
51%
27.8
89%
218
10434791.31.2
55%
9LazioLazio3854
37%
1.4
4140+1
2.1
66%
32%
16%
7.9
29%
4.9
76%
25.1
68%
240
6086931.11.1
50%
10UdineseUdinese3850
37%
1.3
4548-3
2.4
68%
45%
21%
9.3
39%
3.7
53%
25.1
79%
157
4639721.21.3
46%
11SassuoloSassuolo3849
37%
1.3
4650-4
2.5
74%
55%
21%
8.7
50%
4.5
65%
24.9
68%
194
9053521.21.3
46%
12ParmaParma3845
29%
1.2
2846-18
1.9
58%
29%
16%
8.8
37%
3.9
61%
24.3
79%
142
3560460.71.2
44%
13TorinoTorino3845
32%
1.2
4463-19
2.8
74%
63%
29%
8.5
42%
3.5
44%
24.5
68%
144
4346541.21.7
44%
14CagliariCagliari3843
29%
1.1
4053-13
2.4
76%
50%
18%
8.9
37%
4.1
58%
28.6
89%
134
5131521.11.4
46%
15FiorentinaFiorentina3842
24%
1.1
4150-9
2.4
71%
50%
24%
9.0
47%
4.8
78%
28.1
92%
330
125107981.11.3
51%
16GenoaGenoa3841
26%
1.1
4151-10
2.4
76%
53%
16%
8.6
37%
4.5
76%
27.4
87%
182
5444841.11.3
49%
17LecceLecce3838
26%
1.0
2850-22
2.1
61%
37%
13%
9.6
58%
3.8
50%
26.7
74%
72
2016370.71.3
42%
18CremoneseCremonese3834
21%
0.9
3257-25
2.3
68%
45%
24%
9.5
47%
3.8
46%
26.4
84%
49
1215220.81.5
46%
19Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3821
8%
0.6
2561-36
2.3
68%
50%
21%
9.0
42%
4.1
54%
25.3
74%
57
1314300.71.6
40%
20PisaPisa3818
5%
0.5
2671-45
2.6
66%
53%
32%
8.4
37%
3.8
53%
24.7
79%
71
2426220.71.9
40%
Italy: Serie A 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie A stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches