Academico Viseu’s recent draw against Maritimo leaves the team still searching for a win, while FC Porto, riding a four-game winning streak, looks to extend their dominance. The model predicts an away win at 61 %, a draw at 27 %, and a home win at 12 %, making Porto the clear favourite. The expected total is 2.1 goals, with the most probable total being two goals at 28 %. The single most likely scoreline is 0-1, a 17.7 % chance of Porto scoring once and Academico failing to find the net. Porto’s away form against weaker opposition shows an average of 1.42 goals scored and 0.92 conceded, while Academico’s home performance against a stronger side is not listed, implying a modest threat. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.8 %), Home under 3.5 goals (99.7 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (99.4 %), Under 6.5 (99.4 % with a 6 % edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (98.4 %), Home under 2.5 goals (98.1 % with a 7 % edge), Under 5.5 (97.9 % with a 10 % edge), and Away +2 handicap (97.0 % with a 3 % edge).
Results analysis
The win extends Porto’s five-game winning run, while Viseu comes off a 0-3 defeat. The final score was 0-3, an away win that matched the model’s pick. The model called an away win with a 60% probability, and it was correct. Every suggested selection was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.9%; Home under 3.5 goals hit at 99.7%; Under 6.5 hit at 99.4%; Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.2%; Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.3%; Home under 2.5 goals hit at 98.0%; Under 5.5 hit at 98.0%; and Away +2 handicap hit at 96.8%. The model’s predictions were largely accurate, confirming its strong forecast.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Academico Viseu win✗ Miss
12.6%
Avg Implied 9.6% · @ 9.80
Edge
+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
11.00
1xBet
10.80
Pinnacle
10.26
Betano
10.25
Unibet
10.00
Draw✗ Miss
27.7%
Avg Implied 17.9% · @ 5.25
Edge
+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
5.80
Pinnacle
5.78
1xBet
5.74
Superbet
5.40
Betano
5.40
FC Porto win✓ Hit
59.8%
Avg Implied 72.5% · @ 1.29
Edge
-12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.32
10Bet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Unibet
1.30
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Academico Viseu
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
0.87
1.79
0.64
1.56
1.06
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
2.00
-
-
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (27)
1.59
0.78
1.62
0.62
1.57
0.93
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
1.50
4.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Porto
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
0.67
1.75
0.38
1.36
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.80
0.80
0.67
0.33
1.00
1.50
vs Weaker (25)
1.72
0.64
2.00
0.38
1.42
0.92
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Academico Viseu) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
63.0%
@ 1.20-15.0%
Under 1.5
37.0%
@ 4.25+15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.23
Pinnacle
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Under
Pinnacle
4.59
Betfair
4.33
BetVictor
4.33
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.25
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
34.9%
@ 1.67-21.6%
Under 2.5
65.1%
@ 2.17+21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.71
1xBet
1.71
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.70
SBO
1.69
Under
Pinnacle
2.25
1xBet
2.24
Betano
2.22
Marathonbet
2.18
Unibet
2.17
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.0%
@ 2.62-19.6%
Under 3.5
84.0%
@ 1.45+19.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.77
Betfair
2.70
Betano
2.70
Pinnacle
2.70
10Bet
2.70
Under
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
Unibet
1.46
Superbet
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
35.0%
@ 2.04-10.5%
No
65.0%
@ 1.70+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
2.12
Betfair
2.10
1xBet
2.06
Bet365
2.05
Betano
2.05
No
10Bet
1.75
William Hil
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Betano
1.72
Bet365
1.70
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
17.7%@ 6.35+10.7%
0-2
14.4%@ 5.86+6.7%
0-0
13.4%@ 12.58+9.8%
1-1
11.7%@ 9.28+6.9%
1-2
8.1%@ 7.97+2.5%
0-3 ✓
7.3%@ 7.71+1.5%
1-0
5.9%@ 20.72+3.8%
1-3
4.1%@ 10.39-0.2%
Academico Viseu goals ↓
FC Porto goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
18%
14%
7.3%
2.8%
1
5.9%
12%
8.1%
4.1%
1.6%
2
2.0%
3.0%
2.3%
1.2%
0.4%
3
0.4%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
4
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Academico Viseu goals (down), columns = FC Porto goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Porto
2.59
Sporting CP
2.41
Benfica
2.35
SC Braga
1.74
Famalicao
1.65
GIL Vicente
1.47
Moreirense
1.26
Arouca
1.24
Guimaraes
1.24
Estoril
1.15
Alverca
1.15
Maritimo
1.12
Academico Viseu
1.10
Rio Ave
1.06
Santa Clara
1.06
Nacional
1.00
Casa Pia
0.94
Estrela
0.88
Academico Viseu is 1.48 points worse than FC Porto in terms of average points per game (1.10 vs 2.59).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.62
Benfica
2.18
FC Porto
1.94
SC Braga
1.88
Estoril
1.59
Arouca
1.38
GIL Vicente
1.38
Famalicao
1.24
Guimaraes
1.15
Estrela
1.12
Moreirense
1.09
Nacional
1.09
Maritimo
1.08
Academico Viseu
1.06
Rio Ave
1.03
Alverca
1.03
Santa Clara
0.94
Casa Pia
0.92
Academico Viseu is 0.88 goals worse than FC Porto in terms of goals scored per game (1.06 vs 1.94).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Porto
0.53
Sporting CP
0.71
Benfica
0.74
Famalicao
0.85
SC Braga
1.06
GIL Vicente
1.12
Santa Clara
1.21
Nacional
1.32
Moreirense
1.44
Guimaraes
1.50
Alverca
1.53
Maritimo
1.55
Academico Viseu
1.58
Casa Pia
1.58
Estrela
1.65
Estoril
1.68
Rio Ave
1.68
Arouca
1.88
Academico Viseu is 1.05 goals worse than FC Porto in terms of goals conceded per game (1.58 vs 0.53).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
SC Braga
63%
Sporting CP
62%
Benfica
58%
FC Porto
55%
Estoril
53%
Guimaraes
51%
Famalicao
51%
Arouca
50%
GIL Vicente
50%
Moreirense
50%
Santa Clara
48%
Rio Ave
47%
Estrela
47%
Nacional
46%
Alverca
45%
Casa Pia
41%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Academico Viseu
For 4.3 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.8 · Against 2.7 · Total 6.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 15.1 · Total 29.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Porto
For 6.6 · Against 4.4 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 10.4 · Total 24.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Academico Viseu
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.6
10.2
5.1
5.0
5.2
25.1
23.9
26.6
vs Stronger (1)
12.0
-
12.0
6.0
-
6.0
26.0
-
26.0
vs Similar (41)
9.8
9.8
9.9
5.1
5.2
5.1
24.8
24.1
25.6
vs Weaker (8)
9.7
9.0
11.0
4.5
4.0
5.0
26.5
23.0
37.0
% over line
52%
45%
60%
78%
79%
77%
80%
79%
82%
% under line
48%
55%
40%
22%
21%
23%
20%
21%
18%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Porto
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
9.1
9.0
4.9
4.6
5.2
26.1
25.7
26.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
8.9
8.6
9.5
7.4
7.8
6.5
26.4
24.4
31.5
vs Weaker (43)
9.1
9.2
8.9
4.5
3.9
5.0
26.1
26.0
26.1
% over line
40%
40%
39%
70%
62%
79%
77%
76%
78%
% under line
60%
60%
61%
30%
38%
21%
23%
24%
22%
This opponent (Academico Viseu) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Famalicao
10.4
Rio Ave
10.4
Nacional
10.3
Benfica
10.1
Academico Viseu
9.9
Sporting CP
9.8
Casa Pia
9.7
Arouca
9.2
GIL Vicente
9.1
FC Porto
9.0
Estoril
9.0
Santa Clara
9.0
Estrela
9.0
Alverca
8.8
Guimaraes
8.6
Maritimo
8.2
SC Braga
8.2
Moreirense
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Santa Clara
6.0
Maritimo
5.9
Academico Viseu
5.8
Casa Pia
5.7
Arouca
5.6
Estrela
5.6
Nacional
5.4
FC Porto
5.4
Famalicao
5.4
Guimaraes
5.2
Moreirense
5.2
Benfica
5.1
Sporting CP
5.1
Rio Ave
5.0
SC Braga
4.9
GIL Vicente
4.8
Alverca
4.8
Estoril
4.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Famalicao
32.2
Santa Clara
30.2
Estrela
30.1
Moreirense
29.3
Casa Pia
29.1
Guimaraes
28.9
GIL Vicente
27.8
Nacional
27.1
Rio Ave
27.0
Estoril
26.8
Sporting CP
26.2
Arouca
26.0
FC Porto
25.9
Benfica
25.6
Academico Viseu
25.1
SC Braga
24.6
Maritimo
24.1
Alverca
23.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
38.3%
@ 1.70-16.3%
Under 9.5
61.7%
@ 2.04+16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.79
Marathonbet
1.75
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.71
Superbet
1.65
Under
Unibet
2.20
Superbet
2.10
Betano
2.05
Pinnacle
1.99
1xBet
1.97
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
79.1%
@ 1.40+13.6%
Under 3.5
20.9%
@ 2.66-13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
Superbet
1.35
Under
Superbet
2.67
Betano
2.65
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
88.9%
Under 21.5
11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Academico Viseu or Draw✗ Miss
40.2%
Avg Implied 27.8% · @ 3.39
Edge
+12.4%
13%
28%
60%
covers Academico Viseu + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.68
Betfair
3.60
William Hil
3.50
BetVictor
3.50
Betano
3.45
Academico Viseu or FC Porto✓ Hit
72.3%
Avg Implied 82.6% · @ 1.14
Edge
-10.3%
13%
28%
60%
covers Academico Viseu + FC Porto
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Draw or FC Porto✓ Hit
87.4%
Avg Implied 89.6% · @ 1.05
Edge
-2.2%
13%
28%
60%
covers Draw + FC Porto
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Bet365
1.06
William Hil
1.06
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Academico Viseu over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
43.3%
@ 1.89-5.9%
Under
56.7%
@ 1.83+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.96
Superbet
1.92
Betfair
1.91
Bet365
1.91
BetVictor
1.91
Under
Pinnacle
1.89
10Bet
1.85
Betano
1.85
Betfair
1.83
Unibet
1.83
Academico Viseu over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
11.1%
@ 5.52-5.8%
Under
88.9%
@ 1.12+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
1xBet
5.85
Marathonbet
5.65
Superbet
5.55
Under
Betano
1.15
Unibet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Academico Viseu over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 16.58-3.8%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.02+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Superbet
18.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Academico Viseu over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.3%
@ 58.00-99.7%
Under
99.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
65.00
Bet365
51.00
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Porto over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
78.3%
@ 1.07-9.7%
Under
21.7%
@ 7.84+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Under
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
9.00
1xBet
7.50
Superbet
7.10
Betano
6.60
FC Porto over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
45.1%
@ 1.42-20.8%
Under
54.9%
@ 2.75+20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Superbet
1.44
1xBet
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Under
Pinnacle
2.97
Marathonbet
2.75
Unibet
2.75
1xBet
2.75
Betfair
2.75
FC Porto over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
19.8%
@ 2.30-20.8%
Under
80.2%
@ 1.57+20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.41
Betfair
2.38
Superbet
2.35
Marathonbet
2.30
Betano
2.30
Under
Pinnacle
1.60
1xBet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.58
Unibet
1.58
Bet365
1.57
FC Porto over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.9%
@ 4.26-14.9%
Under
93.1%
@ 1.19+14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
Superbet
4.40
BetVictor
4.40
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.33
Under
Betano
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Academico Viseu, so a minus line means Academico Viseu give that many goals of a start and FC Porto receive them. At -1, Academico Viseu must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Academico Viseu win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Academico Viseu)Actual: FC Porto
Academico Viseu -2
0.5%
@ 104.00-0.4%
Draw -2
2.6%
@ 32.67-0.4%
FC Porto +2
96.8%
@ 1.01+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
151.00
Bet365
101.00
Superbet
60.00
Draw
Betfair
46.00
Bet365
29.00
Superbet
23.00
Away
Betfair
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Handicap -1 (Academico Viseu)Actual: FC Porto
Academico Viseu -1
3.2%
@ 25.75-0.4%
Draw -1
9.4%
@ 10.57+0.7%
FC Porto +1
87.4%
@ 1.05-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
36.00
Bet365
26.00
10Bet
21.00
Superbet
20.00
Draw
Betfair
13.00
Bet365
12.00
Superbet
8.80
10Bet
8.50
Away
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Handicap +1 (Academico Viseu)Actual: FC Porto
Academico Viseu +1
40.2%
@ 3.39+13.7%
Draw +1
27.1%
@ 3.60+2.1%
FC Porto -1
32.6%
@ 1.86-15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Marathonbet
3.38
Superbet
3.30
Unibet
3.30
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.60
Unibet
3.55
Betfair
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
Away
10Bet
1.91
Betfair
1.91
Marathonbet
1.87
Superbet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Handicap +2 (Academico Viseu)Actual: FC Porto
Academico Viseu +2
67.4%
@ 1.84+18.7%
Draw +2
19.0%
@ 3.83-4.4%
FC Porto -2
13.6%
@ 3.19-14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.87
Superbet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betfair
1.80
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.85
10Bet
3.85
Marathonbet
3.84
Betfair
3.75
Away
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.30
10Bet
3.30
Superbet
3.15
Marathonbet
3.04
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Academico Viseu
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.43
0.50
0.50
0.75
0.38
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.67
0.41
0.46
0.46
0.86
0.36
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Porto
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.27
0.94
0.12
0.64
0.43
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.60
0.00
0.33
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (25)
0.84
0.32
1.08
0.15
0.58
0.50
Clean sheet %
77% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Academico Viseu) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
71.3%
@ 1.30-0.6%
Under 0.5
28.7%
@ 3.32+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
William Hil
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Under
Betfair
3.60
Superbet
3.45
Bet365
3.40
William Hil
3.30
1xBet
3.22
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
33.9%
@ 2.41-4.7%
Under 1.5
66.1%
@ 1.52+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.55
Pinnacle
2.52
Superbet
2.42
1xBet
2.41
Marathonbet
2.41
Under
Superbet
1.55
Bet365
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
Unibet
1.53
Betano
1.52
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
13.2%
@ 5.64-3.3%
Under 2.5
86.8%
@ 1.11+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.00
Betano
5.60
Superbet
5.55
William Hil
5.50
Under
Superbet
1.14
Betano
1.14
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.12
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Academico Viseu over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
28.4%
@ 3.39+0.9%
Under
71.6%
@ 1.28-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.88
Superbet
3.35
Betano
3.35
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.30
Under
Betano
1.30
10Bet
1.30
1xBet
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Unibet
1.28
Academico Viseu over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.8%
@ 12.75-1.6%
Under
94.2%
@ 1.02+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
Academico Viseu over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.8%
@ 70.00-99.2%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
70.00
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Porto over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
62.2%
@ 1.47-1.0%
Under
37.8%
@ 2.53+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.52
10Bet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.48
1xBet
1.47
Superbet
1.46
Under
Pinnacle
2.69
Unibet
2.55
Superbet
2.52
1xBet
2.50
10Bet
2.50
FC Porto over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
21.3%
@ 3.25-7.1%
Under
78.7%
@ 1.29+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.35
10Bet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.26
1xBet
3.20
Superbet
3.15
Under
Superbet
1.31
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
FC Porto over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
4.8%
@ 8.10-6.6%
Under
95.2%
@ 1.04+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.70
Superbet
7.90
Betano
7.70
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Academico Viseu
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.43
1.29
0.14
0.81
0.69
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.93
0.37
1.15
0.15
0.71
0.57
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
1.00
3.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Porto
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.40
0.81
0.25
0.71
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.20
0.80
0.33
0.33
0.00
1.50
vs Weaker (25)
0.88
0.32
0.92
0.23
0.83
0.42
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Academico Viseu) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
78.7%
@ 1.18-0.1%
Under 0.5
21.3%
@ 4.39+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Under
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Betano
4.50
Superbet
4.45
1xBet
4.40
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
44.3%
@ 1.87-5.5%
Under 1.5
55.7%
@ 1.85+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.95
William Hil
1.95
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.87
Under
Betano
1.91
10Bet
1.90
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.87
Unibet
1.86
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
19.0%
@ 3.69-6.2%
Under 2.5
81.0%
@ 1.24+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.00
Superbet
3.90
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.58
Marathonbet
3.58
Under
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.23
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Academico Viseu over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
38.6%
@ 2.77+5.2%
Under
61.4%
@ 1.39-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.80
Superbet
2.80
1xBet
2.75
Betano
2.72
Under
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.40
Superbet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.37
Academico Viseu over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.4%
@ 10.06-1.9%
Under
92.6%
@ 1.03+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
11.00
Marathonbet
10.75
1xBet
10.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Academico Viseu over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 50.00-98.3%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
50.00
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Porto over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
65.2%
@ 1.32-5.0%
Under
34.8%
@ 3.12+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.33
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.31
Under
Betano
3.20
1xBet
3.10
Superbet
3.05
FC Porto over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
31.6%
@ 2.45-6.2%
Under
68.4%
@ 1.49+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.52
10Bet
2.45
1xBet
2.44
Marathonbet
2.43
Betano
2.40
Under
Betano
1.53
1xBet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.48
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.46
FC Porto over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.1%
@ 5.59-9.5%
Under
92.9%
@ 1.11+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.85
1xBet
5.80
10Bet
5.50
Betano
5.20
Under
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.9%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
98.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
98.0%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
BetVictor
1.03
+8.4%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
96.8%
1.01
Betfair
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
95.2%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+6.6%
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
94.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
94.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
93.8%
1.17
Betano
1.19
Pinnacle
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Unibet
1.17
+13.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
93.1%
1.19
Betano
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
+14.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
92.9%
1.11
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
-
+9.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
92.6%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
90.8%
1.19
Betano
1.19
-
-
-
-
+12.4%
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
88.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
88.9%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Unibet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
+5.8%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
87.4%
1.05
Betano
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Bet365
1.06
William Hil
1.06
-2.2%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
87.4%
1.05
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Betfair
1.04
-
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.8%
1.11
Superbet
1.14
Betano
1.14
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.12
+3.3%
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
84.0%
1.45
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
Unibet
1.46
Superbet
1.45
10Bet
1.45
+19.6%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
82.5%
1.40
Unibet
1.49
Superbet
1.48
Betano
1.37
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.31
+16.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.0%
1.24
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.23
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
79.1%
1.40
Betano
1.45
Superbet
1.35
-
-
-
+13.6%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
78.7%
1.29
Superbet
1.31
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
+7.1%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.7%
1.18
Superbet
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.17
-0.1%
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
78.3%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.05
-9.7%
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
73.3%
1.66
Unibet
1.76
Superbet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Pinnacle
1.65
Betano
1.62
+17.5%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
72.3%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.15
-10.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 0.5 HT goals
71.6%
1.28
Betano
1.30
10Bet
1.30
1xBet
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Unibet
1.28
-0.9%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.3%
1.30
Betano
1.35
William Hil
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
-0.6%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Academico Viseu
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
André Clóvis50%
Soufiane Messeguem25%
Robinho0%
André Ceitil0%
Anthony Correia0%
Ewerton0%
Cihan Kahraman0%
Dominik Steczyk0%
Pedro Barcelos0%
Álvaro Zamora0%
Nikolaos Michelis0%
João Guilherme0%
Lorougnon Gohi0%
Alejandro Mestanza0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
André Ceitil67%
Anthony Correia50%
Álvaro Zamora33%
Nikolaos Michelis33%
Cihan Kahraman25%
Soufiane Messeguem25%
Alejandro Mestanza25%
Robinho0%
André Clóvis0%
Ewerton0%
Dominik Steczyk0%
Pedro Barcelos0%
João Guilherme0%
Lorougnon Gohi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Robinho25%
Anthony Correia25%
Cihan Kahraman25%
André Ceitil0%
André Clóvis0%
Ewerton0%
Dominik Steczyk0%
Pedro Barcelos0%
Álvaro Zamora0%
Soufiane Messeguem0%
Nikolaos Michelis0%
João Guilherme0%
Lorougnon Gohi0%
Alejandro Mestanza0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
André Clóvis25%
João Guilherme25%
Robinho0%
André Ceitil0%
Anthony Correia0%
Ewerton0%
Cihan Kahraman0%
Dominik Steczyk0%
Pedro Barcelos0%
Álvaro Zamora0%
Soufiane Messeguem0%
Nikolaos Michelis0%
Lorougnon Gohi0%
Alejandro Mestanza0%
FC Porto
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gabri Veiga75%
André Silva50%
Borja Sainz50%
Nehuén Pérez25%
William Gomes25%
Pablo Rosario0%
Diogo Costa0%
Hwang In-beom0%
Jan Bednarek0%
Pepê0%
Jakub Kiwior0%
Zaidu Sanusi0%
Alberto Costa0%
Deniz Gül0%
Victor Froholdt0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Hwang In-beom33%
Nehuén Pérez0%
Pablo Rosario0%
Diogo Costa0%
André Silva0%
Jan Bednarek0%
Pepê0%
Jakub Kiwior0%
Zaidu Sanusi0%
Borja Sainz0%
Gabri Veiga0%
Alberto Costa0%
Deniz Gül0%
Victor Froholdt0%
William Gomes0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Pepê50%
Gabri Veiga50%
Hwang In-beom33%
William Gomes25%
Nehuén Pérez0%
Pablo Rosario0%
Diogo Costa0%
André Silva0%
Jan Bednarek0%
Jakub Kiwior0%
Zaidu Sanusi0%
Borja Sainz0%
Alberto Costa0%
Deniz Gül0%
Victor Froholdt0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Borja Sainz50%
Deniz Gül33%
Pepê25%
Gabri Veiga25%
Victor Froholdt25%
Nehuén Pérez0%
Pablo Rosario0%
Diogo Costa0%
André Silva0%
Hwang In-beom0%
Jan Bednarek0%
Jakub Kiwior0%
Zaidu Sanusi0%
Alberto Costa0%
William Gomes0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
ALV (30)
€39m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
AV (27)
€16m
MAR (27)
€16m
Academico Viseu's squad is €451m less valuable than FC Porto's (€16m vs €467m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ALV (8)
€15m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
AV (11)
€8m
MAR (10)
€7m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
MOR (5)
€5m
Academico Viseu's attack is €207m less valuable than FC Porto's (€8m vs €214m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
ALV (8)
€6m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
MAR (6)
€3m
EST (5)
€3m
AV (6)
€3m
Academico Viseu's midfield is €102m less valuable than FC Porto's (€3m vs €105m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
ALV (14)
€18m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
MAR (11)
€6m
AV (10)
€6m
Academico Viseu's defence is €141m less valuable than FC Porto's (€6m vs €148m).
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →
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Sporting CP
Arouca
Santa Clara
Benfica
GIL Vicente
Maritimo
Estrela
SC Braga
Nacional
Moreirense
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Famalicao
Alverca
Estoril
Casa Pia