This opponent (Amiens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Amiens
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.23
0.87
0.73
1.13
1.73
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
2.00
0.67
1.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (23)
1.04
1.09
0.91
0.73
1.17
1.42
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajaccio) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.2%
Under 1.5
30.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
41.6%
@ 2.20-1.3%
Under 2.5
58.4%
@ 1.65+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
21.0%
Under 3.5
79.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.3%
No
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
1-0
12.1%
0-0
10.9%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.4%
Ajaccio goals ↓
Amiens goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
7.8%
4.3%
1.4%
0.3%
1
12%
14%
6.0%
1.9%
0.4%
2
9.4%
8.9%
4.2%
1.3%
0.3%
3
4.4%
4.1%
2.0%
0.6%
0.1%
4
1.5%
1.4%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ajaccio goals (down), columns = Amiens goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Toulouse
2.08
Ajaccio
1.97
Auxerre
1.95
Paris FC
1.84
Sochaux
1.79
Guingamp
1.53
Le Havre
1.32
Caen
1.32
Nimes
1.29
PAU
1.29
Dijon
1.24
Niort
1.21
Bastia
1.21
Valenciennes
1.16
Amiens
1.16
Grenoble
1.16
Rodez
1.13
Rouen
1.05
Dunkerque
0.82
Nancy
0.71
Ajaccio is 0.82 points better than Amiens in terms of average points per game (1.97 vs 1.16).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Toulouse
2.16
Auxerre
1.61
Paris FC
1.42
Guingamp
1.37
Caen
1.34
Dijon
1.26
Sochaux
1.24
Nimes
1.16
Amiens
1.13
PAU
1.08
Niort
1.03
Ajaccio
1.03
Le Havre
1.00
Bastia
1.00
Valenciennes
0.89
Rouen
0.87
Nancy
0.84
Rodez
0.84
Grenoble
0.84
Dunkerque
0.74
Ajaccio is 0.11 goals worse than Amiens in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.13).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ajaccio
0.50
Toulouse
0.87
Sochaux
0.89
Paris FC
0.92
Bastia
0.95
Auxerre
1.03
Le Havre
1.08
Amiens
1.08
Niort
1.11
Caen
1.11
Rodez
1.11
Grenoble
1.16
Valenciennes
1.24
Guingamp
1.26
PAU
1.29
Rouen
1.32
Nimes
1.34
Dunkerque
1.39
Dijon
1.39
Nancy
1.82
Ajaccio is 0.58 goals better than Amiens in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 1.08).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Ajaccio
For 4.6 · Against 4.1 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.1 · Against 11.9 · Total 26.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Amiens
For 3.9 · Against 3.7 · Total 7.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.1 · Against 17.2 · Total 32.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ajaccio
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
8.3
9.4
3.7
4.1
3.2
28.0
29.6
26.3
vs Stronger (18)
10.1
8.8
11.3
4.6
4.8
4.4
28.2
28.2
28.1
vs Similar (32)
8.2
8.1
8.3
3.1
3.8
2.5
27.9
30.4
25.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
40%
32%
48%
42%
40%
44%
82%
76%
88%
% under line
60%
68%
52%
58%
60%
56%
18%
24%
12%
This opponent (Amiens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Amiens
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.4
8.0
8.8
4.4
4.3
4.5
32.2
32.7
31.6
vs Stronger (19)
9.6
9.8
9.4
4.3
4.0
4.7
30.7
31.4
29.9
vs Similar (29)
7.4
6.5
8.5
4.5
4.5
4.5
32.9
33.7
32.1
vs Weaker (2)
10.0
12.0
8.0
4.5
5.0
4.0
35.0
31.0
39.0
% over line
34%
27%
42%
68%
69%
67%
98%
96%
100%
% under line
66%
73%
58%
32%
31%
33%
2%
4%
0%
This opponent (Ajaccio) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rouen
10.7
Auxerre
10.1
PAU
9.8
Toulouse
9.8
Nimes
9.5
Dijon
9.5
Guingamp
9.4
Bastia
9.2
Caen
8.9
Ajaccio
8.9
Grenoble
8.6
Valenciennes
8.6
Niort
8.6
Nancy
8.5
Amiens
8.4
Sochaux
8.3
Rodez
8.0
Paris FC
7.9
Le Havre
7.8
Dunkerque
7.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Paris FC
4.7
Caen
4.5
Valenciennes
4.4
PAU
4.4
Amiens
4.4
Toulouse
4.4
Nimes
4.4
Rodez
4.4
Bastia
4.3
Rouen
4.2
Grenoble
4.1
Nancy
4.1
Dunkerque
4.1
Niort
4.1
Sochaux
4.0
Le Havre
3.9
Guingamp
3.8
Ajaccio
3.7
Auxerre
3.7
Dijon
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rouen
45.0
Amiens
32.2
Valenciennes
31.6
Dunkerque
31.2
Nancy
31.2
Niort
30.8
Toulouse
30.8
Rodez
30.1
Paris FC
29.7
Caen
29.2
PAU
29.1
Sochaux
29.0
Guingamp
28.5
Ajaccio
28.0
Le Havre
28.0
Grenoble
27.6
Bastia
27.4
Nimes
26.8
Dijon
25.5
Auxerre
24.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
34.3%
Under 9.5
65.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
59.0%
Under 3.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
95.3%
Under 21.5
4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ajaccio
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.33
0.64
0.36
0.31
0.31
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
0.78
0.33
0.67
0.33
0.83
vs Similar (21)
0.52
0.14
0.73
0.27
0.30
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Amiens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Amiens
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.70
0.40
0.33
0.47
1.07
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.17
0.67
0.33
0.33
2.00
vs Similar (23)
0.39
0.61
0.27
0.36
0.50
0.83
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajaccio) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ajaccio over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajaccio over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajaccio over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amiens over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amiens over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amiens over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ajaccio
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.67
0.71
0.36
0.44
0.94
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
0.67
0.33
0.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.62
0.67
0.82
0.45
0.40
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Amiens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Amiens
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.53
0.47
0.40
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.83
0.00
0.67
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.65
0.48
0.64
0.36
0.67
0.58
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajaccio) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ajaccio over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajaccio over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajaccio over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amiens over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amiens over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amiens over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
95.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ajaccio · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aboubakary Kanté25%
Ben Touré15%
Moussa Soumano15%
Yoann Touzghar11%
Christopher Ibayi11%
Axel Bamba10%
Everson Junior10%
Julien Anziani9%
Mickaël Barreto8%
Tim Jabol-Folcarelli7%
Benjamin Santelli4%
Tony Strata4%
Valentin Jacob0%
Francois-Joseph Sollacaro0%
Mohamed Youssouf0%
Thomas Mangani0%
Clement Vidal0%
Stephen Quemper0%
Matthieu Huard0%
Ghjuvanni Quilichini0%
Jesah Ayessa0%
Mehdi Puch-Herrantz0%
Ivane Chegra0%
Kan Guy Arsène Kouassi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Stephen Quemper40%
Everson Junior29%
Thomas Mangani26%
Mickaël Barreto25%
Clement Vidal22%
Benjamin Santelli22%
Christopher Ibayi21%
Tim Jabol-Folcarelli20%
Jesah Ayessa20%
Matthieu Huard18%
Ivane Chegra16%
Mohamed Youssouf15%
Francois-Joseph Sollacaro14%
Axel Bamba13%
Kan Guy Arsène Kouassi13%
Julien Anziani12%
Ben Touré10%
Mehdi Puch-Herrantz9%
Moussa Soumano7%
Tony Strata7%
Yoann Touzghar0%
Valentin Jacob0%
Aboubakary Kanté0%
Ghjuvanni Quilichini0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mickaël Barreto17%
Valentin Jacob14%
Kan Guy Arsène Kouassi9%
Moussa Soumano7%
Tony Strata7%
Thomas Mangani5%
Christopher Ibayi5%
Matthieu Huard5%
Benjamin Santelli4%
Aboubakary Kanté4%
Julien Anziani3%
Yoann Touzghar0%
Axel Bamba0%
Francois-Joseph Sollacaro0%
Mohamed Youssouf0%
Clement Vidal0%
Tim Jabol-Folcarelli0%
Stephen Quemper0%
Ghjuvanni Quilichini0%
Jesah Ayessa0%
Everson Junior0%
Mehdi Puch-Herrantz0%
Ben Touré0%
Ivane Chegra0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Julien Anziani26%
Christopher Ibayi16%
Moussa Soumano11%
Aboubakary Kanté8%
Ben Touré5%
Yoann Touzghar0%
Axel Bamba0%
Valentin Jacob0%
Mickaël Barreto0%
Francois-Joseph Sollacaro0%
Mohamed Youssouf0%
Thomas Mangani0%
Benjamin Santelli0%
Clement Vidal0%
Tim Jabol-Folcarelli0%
Stephen Quemper0%
Matthieu Huard0%
Ghjuvanni Quilichini0%
Jesah Ayessa0%
Everson Junior0%
Mehdi Puch-Herrantz0%
Ivane Chegra0%
Tony Strata0%
Kan Guy Arsène Kouassi0%
Amiens · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ange Chibozo33%
Yoan Koré25%
Ibou Sane22%
Yvan Ikia Dimi22%
Yanis Rafii18%
Nordine Kandil16%
Samuel Ntamack Ndimba15%
Teddy Averlant15%
Ilyes Hamache13%
Rayan Lutin10%
Kylian Kaiboue9%
Antoine Leautey9%
Victor Lobry7%
Jan Mlakar7%
Aboubacar Lô4%
Siaka Bakayoko3%
Arvin Appiah0%
Thomas Monconduit0%
Paul Bernardoni0%
Alexis Sauvage0%
Jérôme Roussillon0%
Skelly Alvero0%
Joseph N'Duquidi0%
Ibrahim Fofana0%
Mathis Touho0%
Coleen Louis0%
Nathan Talbot0%
Amine Chabane0%
Messy Mubundu0%
Patrick Carraro Injai0%
Oscar Aïssat0%
Ilan Daf0%
Aly Traore0%
Enzo Somon0%
Ilies Abdelkrim0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yoan Koré50%
Kylian Kaiboue32%
Thomas Monconduit32%
Yvan Ikia Dimi30%
Amine Chabane30%
Ibrahim Fofana26%
Skelly Alvero25%
Aboubacar Lô19%
Jan Mlakar14%
Oscar Aïssat14%
Jérôme Roussillon12%
Coleen Louis11%
Rayan Lutin10%
Yanis Rafii9%
Teddy Averlant9%
Victor Lobry7%
Nordine Kandil5%
Antoine Leautey4%
Joseph N'Duquidi4%
Ilyes Hamache3%
Siaka Bakayoko3%
Arvin Appiah0%
Paul Bernardoni0%
Alexis Sauvage0%
Samuel Ntamack Ndimba0%
Ange Chibozo0%
Mathis Touho0%
Ibou Sane0%
Nathan Talbot0%
Messy Mubundu0%
Patrick Carraro Injai0%
Ilan Daf0%
Aly Traore0%
Enzo Somon0%
Ilies Abdelkrim0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nathan Talbot25%
Antoine Leautey17%
Nordine Kandil16%
Victor Lobry14%
Jérôme Roussillon12%
Skelly Alvero12%
Yanis Rafii9%
Yvan Ikia Dimi9%
Thomas Monconduit8%
Coleen Louis7%
Rayan Lutin7%
Kylian Kaiboue6%
Teddy Averlant6%
Ilyes Hamache3%
Ibrahim Fofana3%
Arvin Appiah0%
Paul Bernardoni0%
Alexis Sauvage0%
Jan Mlakar0%
Aboubacar Lô0%
Samuel Ntamack Ndimba0%
Ange Chibozo0%
Yoan Koré0%
Joseph N'Duquidi0%
Mathis Touho0%
Siaka Bakayoko0%
Ibou Sane0%
Amine Chabane0%
Messy Mubundu0%
Patrick Carraro Injai0%
Oscar Aïssat0%
Ilan Daf0%
Aly Traore0%
Enzo Somon0%
Ilies Abdelkrim0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Teddy Averlant24%
Samuel Ntamack Ndimba15%
Ibou Sane11%
Nordine Kandil11%
Yvan Ikia Dimi9%
Jan Mlakar7%
Antoine Leautey4%
Kylian Kaiboue3%
Arvin Appiah0%
Victor Lobry0%
Thomas Monconduit0%
Paul Bernardoni0%
Alexis Sauvage0%
Jérôme Roussillon0%
Aboubacar Lô0%
Skelly Alvero0%
Ange Chibozo0%
Ilyes Hamache0%
Yoan Koré0%
Joseph N'Duquidi0%
Ibrahim Fofana0%
Rayan Lutin0%
Mathis Touho0%
Siaka Bakayoko0%
Coleen Louis0%
Nathan Talbot0%
Amine Chabane0%
Messy Mubundu0%
Patrick Carraro Injai0%
Oscar Aïssat0%
Yanis Rafii0%
Ilan Daf0%
Aly Traore0%
Enzo Somon0%
Ilies Abdelkrim0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 2 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Toulouse
Auxerre
Paris FC
Sochaux
Guingamp
Caen
Le Havre
Nimes
PAU
Dijon
Bastia
Niort
Grenoble
Valenciennes
Rodez
Rouen
Dunkerque
Nancy