This opponent (Grenoble) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grenoble
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.20
1.33
1.13
1.07
1.27
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.33
0.33
1.00
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (20)
1.20
1.30
1.55
1.18
0.78
1.44
vs Weaker (4)
2.50
0.50
2.00
1.00
2.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajaccio) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
64.8%
Under 1.5
35.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
36.6%
@ 2.57+0.0%
Under 2.5
63.4%
@ 1.48-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.2%
Under 3.5
82.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.5%
No
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
1-0
13.5%
0-0
12.9%
2-0 ✓
9.4%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
4.5%
Ajaccio goals ↓
Grenoble goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
8.9%
4.5%
1.3%
0.3%
1
13%
14%
5.7%
1.7%
0.4%
2
9.4%
8.3%
3.6%
1.1%
0.2%
3
4.0%
3.5%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
4
1.3%
1.1%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ajaccio goals (down), columns = Grenoble goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lorient
2.14
Paris FC
2.08
Metz
1.86
Dunkerque
1.66
Annecy
1.58
Boulogne
1.50
Laval
1.50
Guingamp
1.49
Bastia
1.44
Estac Troyes
1.33
PAU
1.33
Grenoble
1.31
Amiens
1.28
Ajaccio
1.25
Red Star
1.12
RED Star FC 93
1.12
Rodez
1.11
Clermont Foot
1.00
Martigues
0.89
Caen
0.67
Ajaccio is 0.06 points worse than Grenoble in terms of average points per game (1.25 vs 1.31).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lorient
2.00
Metz
1.81
Paris FC
1.72
Guingamp
1.65
Rodez
1.58
Boulogne
1.50
Dunkerque
1.34
Laval
1.33
PAU
1.28
Grenoble
1.22
Bastia
1.22
Annecy
1.22
Amiens
1.14
Estac Troyes
1.14
Red Star
1.09
RED Star FC 93
1.09
Clermont Foot
0.95
Caen
0.94
Ajaccio
0.89
Martigues
0.81
Ajaccio is 0.33 goals worse than Grenoble in terms of goals scored per game (0.89 vs 1.22).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lorient
0.92
Paris FC
0.97
Estac Troyes
1.00
Metz
1.00
Bastia
1.03
Laval
1.08
Dunkerque
1.11
Annecy
1.19
Ajaccio
1.22
Grenoble
1.31
Clermont Foot
1.34
Guingamp
1.43
Amiens
1.44
Red Star
1.50
RED Star FC 93
1.50
PAU
1.53
Rodez
1.58
Martigues
1.61
Caen
1.69
Boulogne
2.00
Ajaccio is 0.08 goals better than Grenoble in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 1.31).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Paris FC
61%
Metz
58%
Dunkerque
57%
Lorient
56%
Guingamp
55%
Caen
54%
RED Star FC 93
52%
Bastia
52%
Clermont Foot
51%
Boulogne
50%
PAU
49%
Ajaccio
46%
Grenoble
45%
Estac Troyes
45%
Amiens
44%
Martigues
44%
Laval
44%
Annecy
43%
Rodez
43%
Ajaccio is 0.9 percentage points better than Grenoble in terms of average possession (46% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Ajaccio
For 5.7 · Against 4.4 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.2 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 13.4 · Total 26.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Grenoble
For 5.8 · Against 5.9 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 11.3 · Total 22.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ajaccio
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.4
7.0
7.9
3.4
3.2
3.6
27.7
26.3
28.9
vs Stronger (17)
7.3
7.6
7.0
3.1
3.6
2.6
27.5
28.9
26.0
vs Similar (33)
7.5
6.7
8.2
3.6
3.1
4.1
27.7
25.1
29.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
24%
18%
29%
46%
46%
46%
85%
82%
88%
% under line
76%
82%
71%
54%
54%
54%
15%
18%
12%
This opponent (Grenoble) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grenoble
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.7
9.3
2.8
2.9
2.6
23.2
21.9
24.6
vs Stronger (10)
10.1
10.2
10.0
2.5
3.2
2.0
21.4
21.8
21.2
vs Similar (35)
9.5
9.6
9.3
2.9
2.8
3.0
23.9
22.1
26.1
vs Weaker (5)
8.6
9.0
8.3
2.2
3.0
1.7
22.2
20.5
23.3
% over line
44%
52%
36%
36%
40%
32%
62%
43%
82%
% under line
56%
48%
64%
64%
60%
68%
38%
57%
18%
This opponent (Ajaccio) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Martigues
12.2
Rodez
10.5
RED Star FC 93
10.4
Lorient
10.1
Estac Troyes
9.8
Amiens
9.7
Dunkerque
9.6
Clermont Foot
9.6
Caen
9.5
Metz
9.5
Annecy
9.5
Grenoble
9.4
Red Star
9.4
Bastia
9.3
Guingamp
9.3
PAU
9.2
Laval
9.2
Paris FC
9.1
Ajaccio
7.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bastia
4.6
Clermont Foot
4.4
Lorient
4.3
Laval
4.0
PAU
4.0
Metz
3.9
Dunkerque
3.9
Annecy
3.9
Estac Troyes
3.9
Caen
3.8
Amiens
3.8
Red Star
3.7
Ajaccio
3.7
Rodez
3.6
Martigues
3.5
Guingamp
3.5
Paris FC
3.5
Grenoble
3.4
RED Star FC 93
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Caen
28.7
Laval
27.6
Amiens
27.4
Ajaccio
27.1
Red Star
27.0
Bastia
27.0
Guingamp
26.8
Estac Troyes
26.6
Annecy
26.4
Martigues
26.2
PAU
25.9
Dunkerque
25.8
Metz
25.0
Paris FC
24.8
Lorient
24.6
Clermont Foot
24.4
Rodez
24.1
Grenoble
23.5
RED Star FC 93
22.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
42.1%
Under 9.5
57.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
45.8%
Under 3.5
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
76.2%
Under 21.5
23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ajaccio
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.73
0.67
0.53
0.27
0.93
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
0.89
0.75
0.75
0.40
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.43
0.67
0.64
0.45
0.20
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Grenoble) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grenoble
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.40
0.67
0.40
0.27
0.40
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.33
vs Similar (20)
0.45
0.45
0.64
0.36
0.22
0.56
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.25
2.00
1.00
0.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajaccio) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ajaccio over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajaccio over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajaccio over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grenoble over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grenoble over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grenoble over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ajaccio
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.53
0.67
0.27
0.07
0.80
vs Stronger (9)
0.22
0.78
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.40
vs Similar (21)
0.43
0.43
0.73
0.36
0.10
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Grenoble) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grenoble
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.80
0.67
0.73
0.80
0.87
vs Stronger (6)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.67
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.85
0.91
0.82
0.56
0.89
vs Weaker (4)
1.75
0.25
0.00
0.00
2.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajaccio) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ajaccio over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajaccio over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajaccio over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grenoble over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grenoble over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grenoble over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ajaccio
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aboubakary Kanté25%
Ben Touré15%
Moussa Soumano15%
Yoann Touzghar11%
Christopher Ibayi11%
Axel Bamba10%
Everson Junior10%
Julien Anziani9%
Mickaël Barreto8%
Tim Jabol-Folcarelli7%
Benjamin Santelli4%
Tony Strata4%
Valentin Jacob0%
Francois-Joseph Sollacaro0%
Mohamed Youssouf0%
Thomas Mangani0%
Clement Vidal0%
Stephen Quemper0%
Matthieu Huard0%
Ghjuvanni Quilichini0%
Jesah Ayessa0%
Mehdi Puch-Herrantz0%
Ivane Chegra0%
Kan Guy Arsène Kouassi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Stephen Quemper40%
Everson Junior29%
Thomas Mangani26%
Mickaël Barreto25%
Clement Vidal22%
Benjamin Santelli22%
Christopher Ibayi21%
Tim Jabol-Folcarelli20%
Jesah Ayessa20%
Matthieu Huard18%
Ivane Chegra16%
Mohamed Youssouf15%
Francois-Joseph Sollacaro14%
Axel Bamba13%
Kan Guy Arsène Kouassi13%
Julien Anziani12%
Ben Touré10%
Mehdi Puch-Herrantz9%
Moussa Soumano7%
Tony Strata7%
Yoann Touzghar0%
Valentin Jacob0%
Aboubakary Kanté0%
Ghjuvanni Quilichini0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mickaël Barreto17%
Valentin Jacob14%
Kan Guy Arsène Kouassi9%
Moussa Soumano7%
Tony Strata7%
Thomas Mangani5%
Christopher Ibayi5%
Matthieu Huard5%
Benjamin Santelli4%
Aboubakary Kanté4%
Julien Anziani3%
Yoann Touzghar0%
Axel Bamba0%
Francois-Joseph Sollacaro0%
Mohamed Youssouf0%
Clement Vidal0%
Tim Jabol-Folcarelli0%
Stephen Quemper0%
Ghjuvanni Quilichini0%
Jesah Ayessa0%
Everson Junior0%
Mehdi Puch-Herrantz0%
Ben Touré0%
Ivane Chegra0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Julien Anziani26%
Christopher Ibayi16%
Moussa Soumano11%
Aboubakary Kanté8%
Ben Touré5%
Yoann Touzghar0%
Axel Bamba0%
Valentin Jacob0%
Mickaël Barreto0%
Francois-Joseph Sollacaro0%
Mohamed Youssouf0%
Thomas Mangani0%
Benjamin Santelli0%
Clement Vidal0%
Tim Jabol-Folcarelli0%
Stephen Quemper0%
Matthieu Huard0%
Ghjuvanni Quilichini0%
Jesah Ayessa0%
Everson Junior0%
Mehdi Puch-Herrantz0%
Ivane Chegra0%
Tony Strata0%
Kan Guy Arsène Kouassi0%
Grenoble
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pape Meissa Ba50%
Junior Olaitan17%
Eddy Sylvestre16%
Jessy Benet15%
Theo Valls14%
Lenny Joseph13%
Ayoub Jabbari12%
Mattheo Xantippe11%
Nolan Mbemba7%
Alan Kerouedan7%
Shaquil Delos6%
Mamadou Diarra5%
Dante Rigo4%
Loris Mouyokolo4%
Gaëtan Paquiez3%
Arial Mendy0%
Loïc Nestor0%
Saikou Touray0%
Mamadou Diop0%
Yadaly Diaby0%
Mamady Bangré0%
Allan Tchaptchet0%
Nesta Elphege0%
Nesta Zahui0%
Efe Sarıkaya0%
Samba Diba0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gaëtan Paquiez27%
Mamadou Diarra23%
Samba Diba20%
Pape Meissa Ba17%
Ayoub Jabbari15%
Saikou Touray14%
Arial Mendy14%
Lenny Joseph13%
Jessy Benet12%
Eddy Sylvestre12%
Mattheo Xantippe11%
Junior Olaitan8%
Allan Tchaptchet8%
Mamady Bangré7%
Nolan Mbemba7%
Alan Kerouedan7%
Shaquil Delos6%
Dante Rigo4%
Loris Mouyokolo4%
Theo Valls4%
Loïc Nestor0%
Mamadou Diop0%
Yadaly Diaby0%
Nesta Elphege0%
Nesta Zahui0%
Efe Sarıkaya0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Yadaly Diaby23%
Lenny Joseph13%
Junior Olaitan12%
Pape Meissa Ba11%
Mattheo Xantippe11%
Nesta Elphege11%
Theo Valls11%
Shaquil Delos10%
Arial Mendy9%
Jessy Benet9%
Gaëtan Paquiez7%
Nolan Mbemba7%
Alan Kerouedan3%
Dante Rigo0%
Loïc Nestor0%
Mamadou Diarra0%
Eddy Sylvestre0%
Saikou Touray0%
Mamadou Diop0%
Loris Mouyokolo0%
Mamady Bangré0%
Ayoub Jabbari0%
Allan Tchaptchet0%
Nesta Zahui0%
Efe Sarıkaya0%
Samba Diba0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Pape Meissa Ba39%
Samba Diba20%
Yadaly Diaby15%
Lenny Joseph13%
Ayoub Jabbari8%
Alan Kerouedan7%
Junior Olaitan4%
Eddy Sylvestre4%
Loris Mouyokolo4%
Theo Valls4%
Jessy Benet3%
Dante Rigo0%
Arial Mendy0%
Loïc Nestor0%
Gaëtan Paquiez0%
Nolan Mbemba0%
Shaquil Delos0%
Mamadou Diarra0%
Saikou Touray0%
Mamadou Diop0%
Mamady Bangré0%
Mattheo Xantippe0%
Allan Tchaptchet0%
Nesta Elphege0%
Nesta Zahui0%
Efe Sarıkaya0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 2 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Lorient
Paris FC
Metz
Dunkerque
Annecy
Guingamp
Laval
Bastia
Estac Troyes
PAU
Amiens
Rodez
RED Star FC 93
Clermont Foot
Martigues
Caen
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