This opponent (Valenciennes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Valenciennes
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.80
1.20
1.80
0.87
1.80
vs Stronger (9)
1.33
1.78
1.71
2.14
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (21)
0.90
1.81
0.75
1.50
1.00
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajaccio) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
63.2%
Under 1.5
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
35.0%
@ 2.70+0.0%
Under 2.5
65.0%
@ 1.45-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.1%
Under 3.5
83.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
39.1%
No
60.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
16.0%
0-0 ✓
13.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-0
12.0%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
7.4%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
Ajaccio goals ↓
Valenciennes goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
7.4%
3.0%
0.7%
0.1%
1
16%
13%
4.2%
1.0%
0.2%
2
12%
8.4%
2.9%
0.7%
0.1%
3
5.6%
3.9%
1.4%
0.3%
0.1%
4
2.0%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ajaccio goals (down), columns = Valenciennes goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Toulouse
2.08
Ajaccio
1.97
Auxerre
1.95
Paris FC
1.84
Sochaux
1.79
Guingamp
1.53
Le Havre
1.32
Caen
1.32
Nimes
1.29
PAU
1.29
Dijon
1.24
Niort
1.21
Bastia
1.21
Valenciennes
1.16
Amiens
1.16
Grenoble
1.16
Rodez
1.13
Rouen
1.05
Dunkerque
0.82
Nancy
0.71
Ajaccio is 0.82 points better than Valenciennes in terms of average points per game (1.97 vs 1.16).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Toulouse
2.16
Auxerre
1.61
Paris FC
1.42
Guingamp
1.37
Caen
1.34
Dijon
1.26
Sochaux
1.24
Nimes
1.16
Amiens
1.13
PAU
1.08
Niort
1.03
Ajaccio
1.03
Le Havre
1.00
Bastia
1.00
Valenciennes
0.89
Rouen
0.87
Nancy
0.84
Rodez
0.84
Grenoble
0.84
Dunkerque
0.74
Ajaccio is 0.13 goals better than Valenciennes in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 0.89).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ajaccio
0.50
Toulouse
0.87
Sochaux
0.89
Paris FC
0.92
Bastia
0.95
Auxerre
1.03
Le Havre
1.08
Amiens
1.08
Niort
1.11
Caen
1.11
Rodez
1.11
Grenoble
1.16
Valenciennes
1.24
Guingamp
1.26
PAU
1.29
Rouen
1.32
Nimes
1.34
Dunkerque
1.39
Dijon
1.39
Nancy
1.82
Ajaccio is 0.74 goals better than Valenciennes in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 1.24).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Ajaccio
For 3.7 · Against 3.0 · Total 6.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.9 · Against 13.8 · Total 30.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Valenciennes
For 4.7 · Against 5.9 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.0 · Against 14.0 · Total 29.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ajaccio
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
8.5
9.0
4.2
5.1
3.2
28.4
29.8
27.0
vs Stronger (16)
9.6
8.4
10.6
4.9
5.4
4.4
28.2
28.6
27.9
vs Similar (34)
8.3
8.6
8.1
3.8
4.9
2.6
28.5
30.3
26.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
38%
32%
44%
56%
64%
48%
80%
76%
84%
% under line
62%
68%
56%
44%
36%
52%
20%
24%
16%
This opponent (Valenciennes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Valenciennes
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
9.0
8.6
4.5
4.5
4.4
32.3
32.0
32.6
vs Stronger (15)
8.5
8.2
9.0
4.0
3.9
4.2
31.8
31.9
31.7
vs Similar (35)
8.9
9.4
8.5
4.7
4.9
4.5
32.6
32.1
32.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
39%
40%
38%
70%
72%
68%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
61%
60%
62%
30%
28%
32%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Ajaccio) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rouen
10.3
Toulouse
9.8
Auxerre
9.7
Dijon
9.6
PAU
9.5
Nimes
9.5
Bastia
9.2
Guingamp
9.1
Caen
8.8
Valenciennes
8.8
Niort
8.8
Ajaccio
8.7
Amiens
8.7
Paris FC
8.6
Nancy
8.6
Sochaux
8.2
Grenoble
8.2
Le Havre
7.8
Dunkerque
7.7
Rodez
7.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Valenciennes
4.6
Amiens
4.4
Toulouse
4.3
Grenoble
4.3
Rouen
4.3
Ajaccio
4.2
Caen
4.1
Dunkerque
4.1
PAU
4.1
Nimes
4.0
Guingamp
4.0
Paris FC
4.0
Dijon
4.0
Sochaux
4.0
Rodez
3.9
Niort
3.9
Bastia
3.8
Nancy
3.8
Le Havre
3.6
Auxerre
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rouen
32.4
Valenciennes
32.3
Dunkerque
31.4
Nancy
31.4
Toulouse
30.6
Amiens
30.5
Rodez
29.7
Niort
29.6
Guingamp
29.3
Caen
28.8
Ajaccio
28.4
Sochaux
28.2
PAU
28.1
Paris FC
27.6
Le Havre
27.5
Grenoble
26.8
Nimes
26.7
Dijon
26.4
Bastia
26.3
Auxerre
24.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
39.2%
Under 9.5
60.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
64.1%
Under 3.5
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
93.9%
Under 21.5
6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ajaccio
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.20
0.60
0.20
0.33
0.20
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.17
0.50
vs Similar (22)
0.55
0.09
0.62
0.15
0.44
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
80% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Valenciennes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Valenciennes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.70
0.60
0.67
0.33
0.73
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
1.00
0.71
1.14
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (21)
0.43
0.57
0.50
0.25
0.38
0.77
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajaccio) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ajaccio over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajaccio over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajaccio over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valenciennes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valenciennes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valenciennes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ajaccio
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.60
0.73
0.40
0.33
0.80
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.67
vs Similar (22)
0.55
0.64
0.77
0.46
0.22
0.89
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Valenciennes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Valenciennes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
1.10
0.60
1.13
0.53
1.07
vs Stronger (9)
0.78
0.78
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (21)
0.48
1.24
0.25
1.25
0.62
1.23
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajaccio) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ajaccio over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajaccio over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajaccio over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valenciennes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valenciennes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valenciennes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ajaccio · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aboubakary Kanté25%
Ben Touré15%
Moussa Soumano15%
Yoann Touzghar11%
Christopher Ibayi11%
Axel Bamba10%
Everson Junior10%
Julien Anziani9%
Mickaël Barreto8%
Tim Jabol-Folcarelli7%
Benjamin Santelli4%
Tony Strata4%
Valentin Jacob0%
Francois-Joseph Sollacaro0%
Mohamed Youssouf0%
Thomas Mangani0%
Clement Vidal0%
Stephen Quemper0%
Matthieu Huard0%
Ghjuvanni Quilichini0%
Jesah Ayessa0%
Mehdi Puch-Herrantz0%
Ivane Chegra0%
Kan Guy Arsène Kouassi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Stephen Quemper40%
Everson Junior29%
Thomas Mangani26%
Mickaël Barreto25%
Clement Vidal22%
Benjamin Santelli22%
Christopher Ibayi21%
Tim Jabol-Folcarelli20%
Jesah Ayessa20%
Matthieu Huard18%
Ivane Chegra16%
Mohamed Youssouf15%
Francois-Joseph Sollacaro14%
Axel Bamba13%
Kan Guy Arsène Kouassi13%
Julien Anziani12%
Ben Touré10%
Mehdi Puch-Herrantz9%
Moussa Soumano7%
Tony Strata7%
Yoann Touzghar0%
Valentin Jacob0%
Aboubakary Kanté0%
Ghjuvanni Quilichini0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mickaël Barreto17%
Valentin Jacob14%
Kan Guy Arsène Kouassi9%
Moussa Soumano7%
Tony Strata7%
Thomas Mangani5%
Christopher Ibayi5%
Matthieu Huard5%
Benjamin Santelli4%
Aboubakary Kanté4%
Julien Anziani3%
Yoann Touzghar0%
Axel Bamba0%
Francois-Joseph Sollacaro0%
Mohamed Youssouf0%
Clement Vidal0%
Tim Jabol-Folcarelli0%
Stephen Quemper0%
Ghjuvanni Quilichini0%
Jesah Ayessa0%
Everson Junior0%
Mehdi Puch-Herrantz0%
Ben Touré0%
Ivane Chegra0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Julien Anziani26%
Christopher Ibayi16%
Moussa Soumano11%
Aboubakary Kanté8%
Ben Touré5%
Yoann Touzghar0%
Axel Bamba0%
Valentin Jacob0%
Mickaël Barreto0%
Francois-Joseph Sollacaro0%
Mohamed Youssouf0%
Thomas Mangani0%
Benjamin Santelli0%
Clement Vidal0%
Tim Jabol-Folcarelli0%
Stephen Quemper0%
Matthieu Huard0%
Ghjuvanni Quilichini0%
Jesah Ayessa0%
Everson Junior0%
Mehdi Puch-Herrantz0%
Ivane Chegra0%
Tony Strata0%
Kan Guy Arsène Kouassi0%
Valenciennes · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aymen Boutoutaou15%
Manga Foe Ondoa13%
Nick Venema13%
Giovino Flamarion11%
Andrew Jung8%
Makabi Lilepo7%
Ilyes Hamache7%
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde7%
Jonathan Buatu-Mananga6%
Anthony Knockaert5%
Joffrey Cuffaut5%
David Kruse5%
Allan Linguet4%
Lucas Woudenberg3%
Bruno Costa0%
Marius Noubissi0%
Taylor Moore0%
Jason Berthomier0%
Julien Masson0%
Jean Louchet0%
Ugo Bonnet0%
Halid Šabanović0%
Siriné Doucouré0%
Jordan Poha0%
Jean Eric Moursou0%
Lassana Diabaté0%
Sofiane Boudraa0%
Gabin Blancquart0%
Tidyane Diagouraga0%
Yacine El Amri0%
Sacha Banse0%
Joachim Kayi Sanda0%
Tanguy Lienard0%
Souleymane Basse0%
Sory Diallo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gabin Blancquart40%
Tanguy Lienard33%
Halid Šabanović25%
Anthony Knockaert24%
Sacha Banse23%
Allan Linguet22%
Julien Masson21%
Andrew Jung20%
Tidyane Diagouraga20%
Jonathan Buatu-Mananga19%
Jordan Poha17%
Joachim Kayi Sanda15%
Ugo Bonnet14%
Sofiane Boudraa14%
Souleymane Basse14%
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde13%
Manga Foe Ondoa13%
Jean Eric Moursou12%
Taylor Moore12%
Giovino Flamarion11%
Bruno Costa10%
Joffrey Cuffaut10%
David Kruse9%
Siriné Doucouré8%
Jean Louchet6%
Lucas Woudenberg6%
Nick Venema4%
Aymen Boutoutaou4%
Ilyes Hamache4%
Marius Noubissi0%
Jason Berthomier0%
Makabi Lilepo0%
Lassana Diabaté0%
Yacine El Amri0%
Sory Diallo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nick Venema13%
Giovino Flamarion11%
Bruno Costa10%
Anthony Knockaert10%
Andrew Jung8%
Sacha Banse8%
Allan Linguet7%
Makabi Lilepo7%
Ugo Bonnet7%
Manga Foe Ondoa7%
Aymen Boutoutaou4%
Ilyes Hamache4%
Marius Noubissi0%
Taylor Moore0%
Jason Berthomier0%
Joffrey Cuffaut0%
Julien Masson0%
Jean Louchet0%
Lucas Woudenberg0%
Jonathan Buatu-Mananga0%
Halid Šabanović0%
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde0%
Siriné Doucouré0%
David Kruse0%
Jordan Poha0%
Jean Eric Moursou0%
Lassana Diabaté0%
Sofiane Boudraa0%
Gabin Blancquart0%
Tidyane Diagouraga0%
Yacine El Amri0%
Joachim Kayi Sanda0%
Tanguy Lienard0%
Souleymane Basse0%
Sory Diallo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aymen Boutoutaou27%
Makabi Lilepo19%
Nick Venema17%
Andrew Jung12%
Siriné Doucouré8%
Manga Foe Ondoa7%
David Kruse5%
Sacha Banse4%
Bruno Costa0%
Marius Noubissi0%
Anthony Knockaert0%
Taylor Moore0%
Jason Berthomier0%
Joffrey Cuffaut0%
Allan Linguet0%
Julien Masson0%
Jean Louchet0%
Ugo Bonnet0%
Giovino Flamarion0%
Lucas Woudenberg0%
Jonathan Buatu-Mananga0%
Halid Šabanović0%
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde0%
Jordan Poha0%
Jean Eric Moursou0%
Ilyes Hamache0%
Lassana Diabaté0%
Sofiane Boudraa0%
Gabin Blancquart0%
Tidyane Diagouraga0%
Yacine El Amri0%
Joachim Kayi Sanda0%
Tanguy Lienard0%
Souleymane Basse0%
Sory Diallo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 2 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Toulouse
Auxerre
Paris FC
Sochaux
Guingamp
Caen
Le Havre
Nimes
PAU
Dijon
Bastia
Niort
Amiens
Grenoble
Rodez
Rouen
Dunkerque
Nancy