Alaves face Villarreal in a match the model favours for the away side, with a 43% chance of a Villarreal win, 30% for Alaves and 27% for a draw. The expected goal count sits at 2.8, so a 2-goal total is the most likely, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1 at 12.9%. Alaves, playing at home against a stronger opponent, average only 0.5 goals scored and concede 1.75, while Villarreal, on the road against a weaker side, average 1.14 scored and 1.43 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards (90.4%), Over 19.5 fouls (90.1%), Over 21.5 fouls (80.5%), Over 3.5 cards (78.4%), Over 1.5 (78.2%) and Under 11.5 corners (71.1%). Alaves’ recent form shows a win-draw-win-loss-win streak, coming off a 1-0 victory over Villarreal, while Villarreal’s last five are loss-draw-draw-win-loss, after a 0-1 defeat to Alaves. The match is likely to stay tight, with both teams capable of scoring but Alaves struggling to convert home advantage.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, an away win for Villarreal, fell short as the match finished 1-1, a draw that surprised the model’s 43% probability for the away side. The final score of 1-1 matched the model’s prediction of a draw, but the favourite’s call was wrong. The model’s selection of Over 2.5 cards, with a 90.4% chance, missed, as did the Over 19.5 fouls (90.1%) and Over 21.5 fouls (80.5%). Over 3.5 cards (78.4%) also missed, while the Over 1.5 (78.2%) hit, and Under 11.5 corners (71.1%) missed. The game’s outcome reflected the teams’ recent form: Alaves, coming off a win, and Villarreal, coming off a defeat, both finished level.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Alaves win✗ Miss
29.8%
Avg Implied 43.3% · @ 2.21
Edge
-13.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.3%
Avg Implied 28.1% · @ 3.41
Edge
-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Villarreal win✗ Miss
42.9%
Avg Implied 28.6% · @ 3.35
Edge
+14.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Alaves
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.10
1.14
1.07
0.88
1.12
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
1.62
0.50
1.75
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (21)
1.10
0.90
1.40
0.80
0.82
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Villarreal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Villarreal
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.80
1.50
1.62
1.43
2.00
vs Stronger (5)
2.40
3.20
2.50
3.00
2.33
3.33
vs Similar (11)
1.45
2.00
1.57
2.00
1.25
2.00
vs Weaker (14)
1.14
1.14
1.14
0.86
1.14
1.43
Clean sheet %
17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Alaves) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.2%
Under 1.5
21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.3%
@ 2.01+5.8%
Under 2.5
46.7%
@ 1.82-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.0%
Under 3.5
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.6%
No
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.9%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
8.2%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.2%
0-0
7.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
5.7%
Alaves goals ↓
Villarreal goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.2%
8.2%
7.2%
3.7%
1.4%
1
6.4%
13%
9.1%
4.7%
1.8%
2
4.8%
7.4%
5.7%
3.0%
1.1%
3
2.0%
3.1%
2.4%
1.2%
0.5%
4
0.6%
1.0%
0.8%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Alaves goals (down), columns = Villarreal goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Real Madrid
2.50
Barcelona
2.24
Girona
2.13
Atletico Madrid
2.00
Athletic Club
1.79
Real Sociedad
1.58
Real Betis
1.50
Villarreal
1.39
Valencia
1.29
Alaves
1.21
Osasuna
1.18
Getafe
1.13
Celta Vigo
1.08
Sevilla
1.08
Mallorca
1.05
Las Palmas
1.05
Rayo Vallecano
1.00
Cadiz
0.87
Granada CF
0.55
Almeria
0.55
Alaves is 0.18 points worse than Villarreal in terms of average points per game (1.21 vs 1.39).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Real Madrid
2.29
Girona
2.24
Barcelona
2.08
Atletico Madrid
1.84
Villarreal
1.71
Athletic Club
1.61
Real Sociedad
1.34
Real Betis
1.26
Sevilla
1.26
Celta Vigo
1.21
Osasuna
1.18
Almeria
1.13
Getafe
1.11
Valencia
1.05
Granada CF
1.00
Alaves
0.95
Mallorca
0.87
Las Palmas
0.87
Rayo Vallecano
0.76
Cadiz
0.68
Alaves is 0.76 goals worse than Villarreal in terms of goals scored per game (0.95 vs 1.71).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Real Madrid
0.68
Athletic Club
0.97
Real Sociedad
1.03
Atletico Madrid
1.13
Mallorca
1.16
Barcelona
1.16
Valencia
1.18
Real Betis
1.18
Girona
1.21
Alaves
1.21
Las Palmas
1.24
Rayo Vallecano
1.26
Getafe
1.42
Sevilla
1.42
Cadiz
1.45
Osasuna
1.47
Celta Vigo
1.50
Villarreal
1.71
Almeria
1.97
Granada CF
2.08
Alaves is 0.50 goals better than Villarreal in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 1.71).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Barcelona
65%
Las Palmas
60%
Real Madrid
59%
Girona
57%
Real Sociedad
56%
Atletico Madrid
51%
Real Betis
50%
Sevilla
50%
Athletic Club
50%
Villarreal
50%
Rayo Vallecano
49%
Osasuna
47%
Celta Vigo
46%
Almeria
46%
Granada CF
46%
Getafe
45%
Mallorca
45%
Valencia
44%
Cadiz
43%
Alaves
41%
Alaves is 8.3 percentage points worse than Villarreal in terms of average possession (41% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Alaves
For 5.5 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 13.0 · Total 26.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Villarreal
For 4.3 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 13.3 · Total 26.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Alaves
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
9.5
8.6
2.4
2.2
2.6
25.8
26.3
25.4
vs Stronger (8)
9.0
9.8
8.2
5.8
5.2
6.2
24.1
25.0
23.2
vs Similar (34)
9.1
9.4
8.8
2.2
2.1
2.4
26.7
27.0
26.5
vs Weaker (8)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
30%
27%
33%
36%
40%
32%
83%
100%
67%
% under line
70%
73%
67%
64%
60%
68%
17%
0%
33%
This opponent (Villarreal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Villarreal
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.4
9.7
3.3
3.1
3.6
26.4
26.9
25.9
vs Stronger (7)
10.2
8.0
11.0
2.9
2.0
3.5
22.2
26.0
21.0
vs Similar (20)
10.2
10.9
9.0
3.4
3.4
3.2
27.2
29.1
24.0
vs Weaker (23)
10.0
10.3
9.7
3.5
3.1
3.8
26.9
24.6
29.3
% over line
61%
56%
67%
52%
50%
54%
87%
94%
80%
% under line
39%
44%
33%
48%
50%
46%
13%
6%
20%
This opponent (Alaves) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Atletico Madrid
10.3
Real Madrid
10.3
Real Betis
10.3
Sevilla
10.0
Barcelona
9.9
Almeria
9.8
Las Palmas
9.8
Rayo Vallecano
9.7
Villarreal
9.6
Athletic Club
9.4
Celta Vigo
9.3
Granada CF
9.3
Cadiz
9.2
Osasuna
9.1
Alaves
9.0
Mallorca
9.0
Valencia
8.8
Real Sociedad
8.7
Girona
8.7
Getafe
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Getafe
6.7
Valencia
6.6
Rayo Vallecano
5.7
Cadiz
5.7
Las Palmas
5.6
Granada CF
5.6
Sevilla
5.6
Mallorca
5.5
Villarreal
5.2
Atletico Madrid
5.2
Barcelona
5.2
Alaves
5.1
Real Sociedad
5.1
Athletic Club
5.0
Almeria
4.9
Celta Vigo
4.9
Girona
4.9
Osasuna
4.8
Real Betis
4.6
Real Madrid
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Valencia
29.7
Rayo Vallecano
28.9
Mallorca
28.4
Getafe
28.0
Cadiz
28.0
Las Palmas
27.8
Celta Vigo
26.7
Real Sociedad
26.6
Sevilla
26.4
Alaves
26.3
Granada CF
26.3
Athletic Club
26.2
Villarreal
25.5
Girona
25.3
Almeria
25.2
Real Betis
24.5
Osasuna
24.5
Atletico Madrid
23.1
Barcelona
22.6
Real Madrid
22.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
52.6%
Under 9.5
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
78.4%
Under 3.5
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
80.5%
Under 21.5
19.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Alaves
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.53
0.50
0.50
0.31
0.56
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
0.62
0.25
0.75
0.25
0.50
vs Similar (21)
0.48
0.48
0.60
0.40
0.36
0.55
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Villarreal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Villarreal
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.87
0.62
0.75
0.57
1.00
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
1.20
1.50
1.50
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (11)
0.55
1.00
0.71
1.00
0.25
1.00
vs Weaker (14)
0.50
0.64
0.29
0.29
0.71
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Alaves) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Alaves over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alaves over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alaves over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Alaves
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.57
0.64
0.57
0.56
0.56
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
1.00
0.25
1.00
0.75
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.62
0.43
0.80
0.40
0.45
0.45
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Villarreal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Villarreal
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.93
0.88
0.88
0.86
1.00
vs Stronger (5)
1.40
2.00
1.00
1.50
1.67
2.33
vs Similar (11)
0.91
1.00
0.86
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (14)
0.64
0.50
0.86
0.57
0.43
0.43
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Alaves) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Alaves over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alaves over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alaves over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
90.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Alaves
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Samuel Omorodion21%
Luis Rioja14%
Carlos Vicente11%
Carlos Benavídez10%
Aleksandar Sedlar9%
Rubén Duarte7%
Giuliano Simeone7%
Kike García6%
Jon Guridi6%
Abderrahman Rebbach4%
Nahuel Tenaglia4%
Javi López3%
Andoni Gorosabel3%
Ander Guevara3%
Ianis Hagi0%
Abdelkabir Abqar0%
Álex Sola0%
Antonio Sivera0%
Miguel de la Fuente0%
Xeber Alkain0%
Jesús Owono0%
Antonio Blanco0%
Rafa Marín0%
Joaquin Panichelli0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Abdelkabir Abqar37%
Rubén Duarte25%
Jesús Owono25%
Nahuel Tenaglia20%
Ander Guevara19%
Aleksandar Sedlar18%
Rafa Marín18%
Samuel Omorodion18%
Carlos Benavídez17%
Andoni Gorosabel17%
Antonio Blanco15%
Ianis Hagi14%
Luis Rioja11%
Xeber Alkain10%
Javi López9%
Kike García9%
Antonio Sivera9%
Giuliano Simeone7%
Álex Sola7%
Jon Guridi6%
Carlos Vicente6%
Abderrahman Rebbach4%
Miguel de la Fuente0%
Joaquin Panichelli0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Carlos Vicente22%
Giuliano Simeone14%
Álex Sola10%
Javi López9%
Ianis Hagi9%
Jon Guridi8%
Luis Rioja8%
Kike García6%
Rubén Duarte4%
Carlos Benavídez3%
Antonio Blanco3%
Samuel Omorodion3%
Nahuel Tenaglia0%
Aleksandar Sedlar0%
Abdelkabir Abqar0%
Andoni Gorosabel0%
Ander Guevara0%
Antonio Sivera0%
Miguel de la Fuente0%
Xeber Alkain0%
Jesús Owono0%
Abderrahman Rebbach0%
Rafa Marín0%
Joaquin Panichelli0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kike García33%
Samuel Omorodion29%
Ianis Hagi14%
Luis Rioja11%
Giuliano Simeone7%
Abderrahman Rebbach4%
Rubén Duarte4%
Carlos Benavídez3%
Antonio Blanco3%
Jon Guridi3%
Nahuel Tenaglia0%
Aleksandar Sedlar0%
Abdelkabir Abqar0%
Andoni Gorosabel0%
Álex Sola0%
Ander Guevara0%
Antonio Sivera0%
Miguel de la Fuente0%
Xeber Alkain0%
Jesús Owono0%
Javi López0%
Carlos Vicente0%
Rafa Marín0%
Joaquin Panichelli0%
Villarreal
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alexander Sørloth48%
Gerard Moreno28%
José Luis Morales17%
Yerson Mosquera17%
Gonçalo Guedes16%
Dani Parejo10%
Alejandro Baena10%
Bertrand Traoré9%
Jorge Cuenca9%
Ilias Akhomach8%
Juan Foyth7%
Alberto Moreno6%
Santi Comesaña6%
Étienne Capoue5%
Aïssa Mandi5%
Alfonso Pedraza4%
Raúl Albiol0%
Eric Bailly0%
Francis Coquelin0%
Denis Suárez0%
Pepe Reina0%
Manu Trigueros0%
Kiko Femenía0%
Ben Brereton Díaz0%
Matteo Gabbia0%
Adrià Altimira0%
Yéremy Pino0%
Carlos Romero0%
Ramón Terrats0%
Filip Jörgensen0%
Jorge Pascual0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yéremy Pino50%
Bertrand Traoré36%
Eric Bailly33%
Alejandro Baena33%
Alfonso Pedraza30%
Kiko Femenía30%
Yerson Mosquera28%
Adrià Altimira27%
Santi Comesaña26%
Raúl Albiol24%
Francis Coquelin24%
Jorge Cuenca24%
Étienne Capoue23%
Pepe Reina22%
Alberto Moreno19%
Aïssa Mandi19%
Ramón Terrats18%
Matteo Gabbia15%
Carlos Romero14%
Ilias Akhomach14%
Juan Foyth13%
Dani Parejo12%
Alexander Sørloth12%
Filip Jörgensen11%
Ben Brereton Díaz11%
Gerard Moreno3%
Gonçalo Guedes0%
Denis Suárez0%
Manu Trigueros0%
José Luis Morales0%
Jorge Pascual0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alejandro Baena36%
Gerard Moreno17%
Gonçalo Guedes16%
Alexander Sørloth12%
Alberto Moreno10%
Ramón Terrats9%
Alfonso Pedraza9%
Ilias Akhomach8%
Dani Parejo8%
Juan Foyth7%
Yerson Mosquera6%
Kiko Femenía4%
Raúl Albiol3%
Jorge Cuenca3%
José Luis Morales3%
Étienne Capoue3%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Eric Bailly0%
Francis Coquelin0%
Denis Suárez0%
Aïssa Mandi0%
Pepe Reina0%
Manu Trigueros0%
Ben Brereton Díaz0%
Santi Comesaña0%
Matteo Gabbia0%
Adrià Altimira0%
Yéremy Pino0%
Carlos Romero0%
Filip Jörgensen0%
Jorge Pascual0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexander Sørloth22%
Gerard Moreno22%
Bertrand Traoré18%
Alejandro Baena17%
Yéremy Pino10%
Jorge Cuenca6%
José Luis Morales6%
Yerson Mosquera6%
Ilias Akhomach6%
Gonçalo Guedes5%
Alberto Moreno3%
Étienne Capoue3%
Juan Foyth0%
Raúl Albiol0%
Eric Bailly0%
Francis Coquelin0%
Dani Parejo0%
Denis Suárez0%
Aïssa Mandi0%
Pepe Reina0%
Alfonso Pedraza0%
Manu Trigueros0%
Kiko Femenía0%
Ben Brereton Díaz0%
Santi Comesaña0%
Matteo Gabbia0%
Adrià Altimira0%
Carlos Romero0%
Ramón Terrats0%
Filip Jörgensen0%
Jorge Pascual0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (27)
€1456m
BAR (30)
€1282m
AM (25)
€653m
VIL (24)
€325m
RS (24)
€247m
AC (29)
€241m
RB (25)
€235m
CV (24)
€163m
SEV (25)
€134m
VAL (27)
€125m
GIR (28)
€114m
GET (24)
€90m
RV (23)
€76m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALA (25)
€68m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
LP (27)
€30m
CAD (29)
€27m
GC (18)
€17m
Alaves's squad is €256m less valuable than Villarreal's (€68m vs €325m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (10)
€842m
BAR (10)
€590m
AM (9)
€290m
RB (10)
€131m
VIL (8)
€124m
RS (10)
€110m
AC (10)
€106m
GIR (12)
€64m
CV (9)
€57m
SEV (8)
€45m
VAL (10)
€40m
ALM (11)
€38m
GET (5)
€36m
RV (10)
€30m
OSA (8)
€25m
ALA (8)
€24m
MAL (11)
€23m
LP (12)
€14m
CAD (12)
€11m
GC (5)
€6m
Alaves's attack is €100m less valuable than Villarreal's (€24m vs €124m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (8)
€324m
RM (5)
€238m
AM (6)
€155m
RS (5)
€58m
AC (7)
€57m
VIL (4)
€52m
VAL (5)
€46m
CV (3)
€35m
RB (5)
€33m
GIR (7)
€28m
GET (6)
€28m
SEV (5)
€23m
ALA (8)
€22m
OSA (4)
€12m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€9m
ALM (4)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
GC (3)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
Alaves's midfield is €30m less valuable than Villarreal's (€22m vs €52m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (12)
€377m
BAR (12)
€368m
AM (10)
€208m
VIL (12)
€148m
RS (9)
€79m
AC (12)
€77m
CV (12)
€71m
RB (10)
€70m
SEV (12)
€65m
VAL (12)
€39m
RV (9)
€36m
OSA (10)
€33m
GET (13)
€26m
GIR (9)
€22m
ALA (9)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
LP (10)
€13m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
GC (10)
€9m
Alaves's defence is €127m less valuable than Villarreal's (€22m vs €148m).
Spain: La Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: La Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Real Madrid
Barcelona
Girona
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
Real Sociedad
Real Betis
Valencia
Osasuna
Getafe
Sevilla
Celta Vigo
Mallorca
Las Palmas
Rayo Vallecano
Cadiz
Almeria
Granada CF