The contest between Albacete and Oviedo feels razor-thin, with the model tipping a narrow away win. Home chances sit at 36 %, a draw at 26 %, and the visitors at 38 %. The expected total is 3.1 goals, yet the most probable aggregate is two goals, a 22 % chance. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 11.7 % probability. Albacete, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 1.75 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. Oviedo, on the road, has similar figures against a stronger opponent. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.5 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.2 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.9 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.7 % with a 3 % edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.1 % with a 1 % edge), Under 6.5 (95.9 %), Home under 3.5 goals (92.8 % with a 2 % edge), and Away under 3.5 goals (92.2 %). Both sides have struggled recently, with Albacete’s last five games ending in three losses and Oviedo’s ending in a defeat. The match promises a tight, low-scoring affair.
Results analysis
The win extends Albacete’s run of four straight defeats, while Oviedo comes off a victory. The model’s pre-match favourite was an away win at 38 percent, and that call proved correct as Oviedo edged Albacete 0-1. The most likely scoreline was 1-1, but the match settled for 0-1, a result the model had not listed. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 goals hit at 98.5 percent, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.1 percent, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.8 percent, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.1 percent, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.2 percent, Under 6.5 at 95.9 percent, Home under 3.5 goals at 92.7 percent, and Away under 3.5 goals at 92.3 percent. All selections were correct, confirming the model’s strong predictive performance.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Albacete win✗ Miss
36.5%
Avg Implied 38.7% · @ 2.40
Edge
-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.51
Dafabet
2.48
Betano
2.47
Superbet
2.47
Bet365
2.45
Draw✗ Miss
25.8%
Avg Implied 30.3% · @ 3.06
Edge
-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.20
1xBet
3.17
Dafabet
3.15
Superbet
3.15
Betano
3.15
Oviedo win✓ Hit
37.7%
Avg Implied 31.0% · @ 3.00
Edge
+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.17
10Bet
3.15
1xBet
3.15
Marathonbet
3.06
Betano
3.05
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Albacete
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.27
1.65
1.59
1.00
0.85
vs Stronger (7)
2.00
1.43
1.80
1.60
2.50
1.00
vs Similar (23)
1.17
1.22
1.58
1.58
0.73
0.82
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Oviedo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oviedo
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.40
0.44
0.56
0.86
2.36
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
1.90
0.75
1.25
0.50
2.33
vs Similar (20)
0.65
1.15
0.33
0.33
1.12
2.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Albacete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
83.2%
@ 1.44+18.5%
Under 1.5
16.8%
@ 2.65-18.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.47
BetVictor
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Under
Pinnacle
2.79
Betfair
2.75
10Bet
2.70
Superbet
2.67
Betano
2.67
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.9%
@ 2.39+21.6%
Under 2.5
39.1%
@ 1.55-21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.52
Superbet
2.47
Betano
2.47
Bet365
2.40
Betfair
2.40
Under
1xBet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.59
Betano
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.6%
@ 4.55+18.1%
Under 3.5
61.4%
@ 1.17-18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.92
Betfair
4.80
BetVictor
4.80
Superbet
4.75
Betano
4.60
Under
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
Superbet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.9%
@ 1.98+17.2%
No
36.1%
@ 1.74-17.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
2.05
Betano
2.05
Bet365
2.00
BetVictor
2.00
Unibet
2.00
No
1xBet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.76
10Bet
1.75
Betfair
1.75
William Hil
1.75
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%@ 5.52+3.8%
1-2
8.4%@ 10.23+4.2%
2-1
8.3%@ 8.90+3.4%
2-2
6.6%@ 15.05+3.7%
0-1 ✓
5.8%@ 6.98-0.5%
1-0
5.6%@ 6.00-1.7%
0-2
5.4%@ 12.65+2.0%
0-0
5.4%@ 6.91-1.0%
Albacete goals ↓
Oviedo goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.4%
5.8%
5.4%
2.9%
1.1%
1
5.6%
12%
8.4%
4.5%
1.8%
2
5.2%
8.3%
6.6%
3.5%
1.4%
3
2.7%
4.3%
3.4%
1.8%
0.7%
4
1.1%
1.7%
1.3%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Albacete goals (down), columns = Oviedo goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Girona
1.96
Almeria
1.72
Burgos
1.71
Mallorca
1.70
Las Palmas
1.68
Castellón
1.66
Eibar
1.60
Oviedo
1.58
Cordoba
1.45
Sporting Gijon
1.45
AD Ceuta FC
1.45
Albacete
1.40
FC Andorra
1.38
Tenerife
1.34
Sabadell
1.16
Granada CF
1.14
Celta de Vigo II
1.14
Eldense
1.13
Real Sociedad II
1.12
Leganes
1.10
Valladolid
1.10
Cadiz
1.02
Albacete is 0.17 points worse than Oviedo in terms of average points per game (1.40 vs 1.58).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Girona
1.87
Almeria
1.87
Castellón
1.66
Mallorca
1.62
Oviedo
1.51
FC Andorra
1.48
Sporting Gijon
1.43
Cordoba
1.36
Albacete
1.33
Las Palmas
1.32
Tenerife
1.28
Eibar
1.24
Real Sociedad II
1.24
AD Ceuta FC
1.21
Granada CF
1.19
Burgos
1.14
Sabadell
1.10
Celta de Vigo II
1.09
Eldense
1.08
Valladolid
1.05
Leganes
1.02
Cadiz
0.98
Albacete is 0.17 goals worse than Oviedo in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.51).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Burgos
0.79
Girona
0.92
Eibar
0.95
Las Palmas
0.95
Mallorca
1.06
Oviedo
1.14
Leganes
1.21
Castellón
1.25
FC Andorra
1.29
Sporting Gijon
1.29
Albacete
1.31
Granada CF
1.33
Tenerife
1.35
Valladolid
1.36
Cordoba
1.45
Cadiz
1.45
Real Sociedad II
1.45
Almeria
1.48
AD Ceuta FC
1.50
Sabadell
1.56
Celta de Vigo II
1.58
Eldense
1.59
Albacete is 0.17 goals worse than Oviedo in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.14).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Andorra
61%
Cordoba
58%
Las Palmas
56%
Castellón
55%
Almeria
52%
Leganes
51%
AD Ceuta FC
51%
Granada CF
50%
Valladolid
50%
Eibar
49%
Burgos
46%
Cadiz
46%
Sporting Gijon
46%
Real Sociedad II
44%
Albacete
42%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Albacete
For 5.0 · Against 6.3 · Total 11.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 9.9 · Total 21.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Oviedo
For 4.6 · Against 3.4 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 11.4 · Total 23.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Albacete
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
10.4
11.2
4.3
3.7
5.0
21.9
20.4
23.4
vs Stronger (10)
11.6
11.0
12.5
4.5
3.5
6.0
23.8
23.7
24.0
vs Similar (39)
10.6
10.2
10.9
4.4
3.7
5.0
21.4
19.4
23.2
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
62%
60%
65%
66%
56%
76%
51%
36%
67%
% under line
38%
40%
35%
34%
44%
24%
49%
64%
33%
This opponent (Oviedo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oviedo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.3
9.3
4.1
3.9
4.2
25.1
23.8
26.4
vs Stronger (14)
9.9
9.4
10.4
2.5
3.1
1.9
20.6
20.7
20.4
vs Similar (35)
8.9
9.2
8.6
4.7
4.2
5.2
26.9
25.0
28.9
vs Weaker (1)
12.0
-
12.0
4.0
-
4.0
26.0
-
26.0
% over line
48%
48%
48%
62%
64%
60%
68%
64%
72%
% under line
52%
52%
52%
38%
36%
40%
32%
36%
28%
This opponent (Albacete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Albacete
10.9
Cordoba
10.6
Mallorca
10.2
Castellón
10.0
Sporting Gijon
9.7
Cadiz
9.6
Almeria
9.6
Leganes
9.6
Real Sociedad II
9.4
Eldense
9.4
Eibar
9.3
Oviedo
9.3
Girona
9.3
Granada CF
9.2
Tenerife
9.1
Valladolid
9.0
FC Andorra
8.9
AD Ceuta FC
8.8
Sabadell
8.8
Burgos
8.4
Las Palmas
8.3
Celta de Vigo II
7.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Celta de Vigo II
6.5
Castellón
6.0
Real Sociedad II
5.9
Cordoba
5.7
Burgos
5.6
Valladolid
5.6
Granada CF
5.5
Almeria
5.5
FC Andorra
5.5
Sporting Gijon
5.2
Eibar
5.2
Leganes
5.2
AD Ceuta FC
5.2
Cadiz
5.1
Tenerife
4.8
Sabadell
4.6
Las Palmas
4.6
Albacete
4.6
Girona
4.5
Eldense
4.5
Mallorca
4.3
Oviedo
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Celta de Vigo II
32.0
Cordoba
29.6
Real Sociedad II
28.7
Valladolid
28.3
Castellón
28.3
FC Andorra
27.8
AD Ceuta FC
27.8
Sabadell
27.6
Las Palmas
27.3
Tenerife
27.1
Granada CF
27.0
Burgos
26.5
Almeria
26.4
Leganes
26.2
Eibar
25.7
Cadiz
25.5
Girona
25.4
Oviedo
25.1
Eldense
24.4
Mallorca
24.3
Sporting Gijon
22.6
Albacete
21.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
47.6%
@ 1.96+0.0%
Under 9.5
52.4%
@ 1.78-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.00
Pinnacle
2.00
Unibet
2.00
1xBet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.94
Under
Betano
1.82
Superbet
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.79
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
69.4%
@ 1.32+0.3%
Under 3.5
30.6%
@ 2.96-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
Superbet
1.27
Under
Superbet
3.00
Betano
2.92
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
70.1%
Under 21.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Albacete or Draw✗ Miss
62.3%
Avg Implied 69.1% · @ 1.35
Edge
-6.8%
37%
26%
38%
covers Albacete + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.39
1xBet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
William Hil
1.36
Albacete or Oviedo✓ Hit
74.2%
Avg Implied 69.9% · @ 1.34
Edge
+4.3%
37%
26%
38%
covers Albacete + Oviedo
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.37
Superbet
1.37
William Hil
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.34
Draw or Oviedo✓ Hit
63.5%
Avg Implied 61.0% · @ 1.53
Edge
+2.5%
37%
26%
38%
covers Draw + Oviedo
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.57
10Bet
1.57
1xBet
1.57
William Hil
1.55
Marathonbet
1.54
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Albacete over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
79.0%
@ 1.35+10.1%
Under
21.0%
@ 2.98-10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.37
1xBet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.16
Marathonbet
3.08
BetVictor
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Albacete over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
46.2%
@ 2.69+11.6%
Under
53.8%
@ 1.42-11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.91
Superbet
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Betfair
2.75
BetVictor
2.70
Under
Marathonbet
1.46
10Bet
1.45
Betano
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
Superbet
1.42
Albacete over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
20.6%
@ 6.56+6.4%
Under
79.4%
@ 1.08-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.20
Bet365
7.00
Superbet
6.70
Betfair
6.50
BetVictor
6.50
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
Albacete over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.3%
@ 16.67+1.6%
Under
92.7%
@ 1.01-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Superbet
18.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Oviedo over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
79.6%
@ 1.45+15.3%
Under
20.4%
@ 2.60-15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.49
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.47
10Bet
1.45
1xBet
1.45
Under
Betfair
2.75
Pinnacle
2.74
Bet365
2.62
Marathonbet
2.61
BetVictor
2.60
Oviedo over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
47.1%
@ 3.21+18.2%
Under
52.9%
@ 1.31-18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.44
Bet365
3.40
Unibet
3.20
Betfair
3.20
10Bet
3.20
Under
Marathonbet
1.33
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Superbet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
Oviedo over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
21.3%
@ 8.50+10.4%
Under
78.7%
@ 1.05-10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
1xBet
8.70
Betfair
8.50
Marathonbet
8.40
Superbet
8.20
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
Oviedo over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.7%
@ 20.33+3.0%
Under
92.3%
@ 1.01-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
26.00
Superbet
23.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Albacete, so a minus line means Albacete give that many goals of a start and Oviedo receive them. At -1, Albacete must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Albacete win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Albacete)Actual: Oviedo
Albacete -2
7.2%
@ 10.65-1.0%
Draw -2
11.1%
@ 6.30-2.9%
Oviedo +2
81.6%
@ 1.13+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
12.00
Unibet
10.50
Marathonbet
7.10
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Superbet
6.70
Unibet
6.25
Marathonbet
4.75
Away
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Unibet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
Handicap -1 (Albacete)Actual: Oviedo
Albacete -1
18.4%
@ 4.92+0.2%
Draw -1
18.2%
@ 3.79-5.4%
Oviedo +1
63.5%
@ 1.53+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.00
Superbet
4.90
Marathonbet
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.84
Superbet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Away
10Bet
1.57
Unibet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.54
Superbet
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Handicap +1 (Albacete)Actual: Draw
Albacete +1
62.3%
@ 1.35-3.8%
Draw +1
18.5%
@ 4.38-1.9%
Oviedo -1
19.2%
@ 6.62+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
10Bet
1.35
Unibet
1.33
Draw
Marathonbet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Superbet
4.30
Unibet
4.25
Away
Bet365
7.00
Unibet
6.75
Marathonbet
6.65
10Bet
6.50
Superbet
6.20
Handicap +2 (Albacete)Actual: Albacete
Albacete +2
80.8%
@ 1.10-4.4%
Draw +2
11.5%
@ 9.50+1.7%
Oviedo -2
7.7%
@ 19.00+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.10
Draw
Bet365
9.50
Away
Bet365
19.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Albacete
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.57
0.76
0.65
0.38
0.46
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
0.57
0.40
0.60
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (23)
0.61
0.57
0.92
0.67
0.27
0.45
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Oviedo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oviedo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.63
0.19
0.31
0.43
1.00
vs Stronger (10)
0.10
0.70
0.25
0.25
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.40
0.60
0.17
0.33
0.75
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Albacete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
68.5%
@ 1.50+6.4%
Under 0.5
31.5%
@ 2.46-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.57
Superbet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.53
BetVictor
1.51
Bet365
1.50
Under
Betfair
2.63
Pinnacle
2.52
William Hil
2.50
Bet365
2.50
10Bet
2.45
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
32.7%
@ 3.38+5.1%
Under 1.5
67.3%
@ 1.29-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.60
Superbet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
BetVictor
3.50
1xBet
3.30
Under
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.5%
@ 9.40+0.6%
Under 2.5
89.5%
@ 1.04-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
BetVictor
10.00
Betfair
9.50
William Hil
9.50
Superbet
9.50
Under
Betano
1.06
William Hil
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Albacete over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
44.7%
@ 2.21+2.8%
Under
55.3%
@ 1.60-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.32
Betano
2.30
Superbet
2.25
1xBet
2.16
Marathonbet
2.16
Under
10Bet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.62
Unibet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.60
1xBet
1.60
Albacete over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.1%
@ 7.32-1.5%
Under
88.9%
@ 1.06+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.60
1xBet
7.60
Superbet
7.40
Betano
7.00
10Bet
7.00
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Albacete over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.2%
@ 20.25-2.6%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.01+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
28.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Oviedo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
38.4%
@ 2.47+0.9%
Under
61.6%
@ 1.49-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.62
Betano
2.50
Superbet
2.47
Unibet
2.45
Marathonbet
2.43
Under
10Bet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
Betano
1.50
Marathonbet
1.48
1xBet
1.48
Oviedo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.0%
@ 8.64-0.8%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.04+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.40
1xBet
9.40
Superbet
8.60
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.80
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Oviedo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 35.00-98.1%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
35.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Albacete
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.70
0.88
0.94
0.62
0.38
vs Stronger (7)
1.43
0.86
1.40
1.00
1.50
0.50
vs Similar (23)
0.57
0.65
0.67
0.92
0.45
0.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Oviedo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oviedo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.77
0.25
0.25
0.43
1.36
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
1.20
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.33
vs Similar (20)
0.25
0.55
0.17
0.00
0.38
1.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Albacete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
76.5%
@ 1.33+6.2%
Under 0.5
23.5%
@ 3.16-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.35
Betano
1.35
William Hil
1.35
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.25
1xBet
3.22
Marathonbet
3.22
Betano
3.15
Superbet
3.10
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
41.6%
@ 2.53+4.9%
Under 1.5
58.4%
@ 1.47-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.62
Bet365
2.62
Unibet
2.55
Betano
2.52
William Hil
2.50
Under
Betano
1.50
Marathonbet
1.49
1xBet
1.49
Superbet
1.47
William Hil
1.44
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.0%
@ 5.92+1.3%
Under 2.5
83.0%
@ 1.10-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
Superbet
6.30
William Hil
6.00
Betano
5.60
Marathonbet
5.55
Under
Betano
1.14
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Marathonbet
1.08
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Albacete over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
55.0%
@ 1.86+5.3%
Under
45.0%
@ 1.84-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.92
Betano
1.88
Marathonbet
1.83
10Bet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Under
10Bet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Superbet
1.78
Albacete over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.2%
@ 5.27-1.4%
Under
83.8%
@ 1.12+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.55
Marathonbet
5.35
1xBet
5.35
Betano
5.10
10Bet
5.00
Under
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Albacete over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.9%
@ 14.67-3.6%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.01+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
18.00
10Bet
15.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Oviedo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
47.3%
@ 2.06+2.3%
Under
52.7%
@ 1.68-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.10
Betano
2.07
Superbet
2.07
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.02
Under
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.69
10Bet
1.67
Superbet
1.67
Oviedo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.4%
@ 6.40-0.1%
Under
85.6%
@ 1.08+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.60
Marathonbet
6.60
10Bet
6.50
Superbet
6.40
Betano
5.90
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
Oviedo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.8%
@ 19.92-1.1%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.01+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
22.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.8%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
95.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
92.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-1.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
92.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-3.0%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
90.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-5.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.0%
1.04
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.5%
1.04
Betano
1.06
William Hil
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
-0.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.9%
1.06
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
85.6%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
+0.1%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
83.8%
1.12
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.2%
1.44
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.47
BetVictor
1.45
10Bet
1.45
+18.5%
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.0%
1.10
Betano
1.14
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Marathonbet
1.08
-1.3%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
81.6%
1.13
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Unibet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
-
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
80.8%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-4.4%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
79.6%
1.45
Pinnacle
1.49
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.47
10Bet
1.45
1xBet
1.45
+15.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
79.4%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
-6.4%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
79.0%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.05
10Bet
1.05
BetVictor
1.03
-11.0%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
79.0%
1.35
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.37
1xBet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
+10.1%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
78.7%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
-10.4%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.5%
1.33
Superbet
1.35
Betano
1.35
William Hil
1.35
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.30
+6.2%
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
75.3%
1.26
Superbet
1.33
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.24
Unibet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
+3.1%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
74.2%
1.34
1xBet
1.37
Superbet
1.37
William Hil
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.34
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Albacete
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Daniel Bernabeu33%
Carlos Neva0%
Fran Gámez0%
Diego Mariño0%
José Corpas0%
Lluís López0%
Mario Soberón0%
Sergio Ortuño0%
Pepe Sánchez0%
Tomás Inglés0%
Alex Rubio0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alex Rubio67%
Lluís López33%
Mario Soberón33%
Sergio Ortuño33%
Carlos Neva0%
Fran Gámez0%
Diego Mariño0%
José Corpas0%
Pepe Sánchez0%
Tomás Inglés0%
Daniel Bernabeu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Carlos Neva0%
Fran Gámez0%
Diego Mariño0%
José Corpas0%
Lluís López0%
Mario Soberón0%
Sergio Ortuño0%
Pepe Sánchez0%
Tomás Inglés0%
Alex Rubio0%
Daniel Bernabeu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
José Corpas67%
Carlos Neva0%
Fran Gámez0%
Diego Mariño0%
Lluís López0%
Mario Soberón0%
Sergio Ortuño0%
Pepe Sánchez0%
Tomás Inglés0%
Alex Rubio0%
Daniel Bernabeu0%
Oviedo
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pablo Sáenz33%
Alexandru Ișfan0%
Nacho Vidal0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Costas0%
Jacobo González0%
Daniel Villahermosa0%
Youness Lachhab0%
Samu Rodríguez0%
Aisar Ahmed0%
Víctor Mingo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alexandru Ișfan67%
Youness Lachhab67%
Samu Rodríguez33%
Nacho Vidal0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Costas0%
Jacobo González0%
Daniel Villahermosa0%
Pablo Sáenz0%
Aisar Ahmed0%
Víctor Mingo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alexandru Ișfan33%
Nacho Vidal0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Costas0%
Jacobo González0%
Daniel Villahermosa0%
Youness Lachhab0%
Pablo Sáenz0%
Samu Rodríguez0%
Aisar Ahmed0%
Víctor Mingo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexandru Ișfan33%
Jacobo González33%
Víctor Mingo33%
Nacho Vidal0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Costas0%
Daniel Villahermosa0%
Youness Lachhab0%
Pablo Sáenz0%
Samu Rodríguez0%
Aisar Ahmed0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (28)
€114m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
OVI (23)
€30m
LEG (26)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
CAD (29)
€27m
VAL (29)
€26m
RSI (25)
€23m
CAS (28)
€21m
ALB (27)
€18m
BUR (22)
€17m
GC (18)
€17m
COR (26)
€16m
EIB (24)
€15m
FA (26)
€15m
TEN (28)
€12m
ACF (22)
€10m
SAB (28)
€8m
CDV (22)
€8m
ELD (20)
€7m
Albacete's squad is €12m less valuable than Oviedo's (€18m vs €30m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (12)
€64m
ALM (11)
€38m
MAL (11)
€23m
RSI (10)
€15m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
LEG (11)
€14m
CAD (12)
€11m
CAS (10)
€11m
VAL (11)
€10m
ALB (10)
€8m
BUR (7)
€8m
EIB (8)
€7m
GC (5)
€6m
FA (10)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
TEN (13)
€5m
COR (9)
€4m
CDV (9)
€4m
SAB (11)
€3m
ELD (8)
€3m
Albacete's attack is €6m less valuable than Oviedo's (€8m vs €15m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (7)
€28m
MAL (5)
€9m
LEG (5)
€8m
VAL (6)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
COR (5)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
RSI (6)
€4m
BUR (6)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
EIB (6)
€3m
GC (3)
€3m
CAS (6)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
FA (5)
€3m
SAB (6)
€2m
ACF (4)
€1m
ELD (3)
€1m
CDV (3)
€1m
Albacete's midfield is €2m less valuable than Oviedo's (€4m vs €6m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (9)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
LP (10)
€13m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
VAL (12)
€10m
OVI (8)
€10m
SG (10)
€9m
GC (10)
€9m
LEG (10)
€8m
CAS (12)
€8m
COR (12)
€7m
FA (11)
€7m
BUR (9)
€6m
ALB (10)
€5m
EIB (10)
€5m
RSI (9)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
SAB (11)
€3m
ELD (9)
€3m
ACF (8)
€3m
CDV (10)
€2m
Albacete's defence is €5m less valuable than Oviedo's (€5m vs €10m).
Spain: Segunda División 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
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Granada CF
Castellón
Leganes
Sporting Gijon
Mallorca
Tenerife
Las Palmas
Eibar
Sabadell
Girona
Celta de Vigo II
Burgos
Real Sociedad II
FC Andorra
Almeria
Cadiz
Cordoba
Valladolid
Eldense
AD Ceuta FC