Albacete is expected to emerge victorious in this match against Real Sociedad II, with a home win probability of 42%. The away side's recent form, coming off a defeat to Castellón, suggests a tough outing for them. Albacete's home form against similar opponents is impressive, scoring an average of 1.5 goals while conceding 1.43. Meanwhile, Real Sociedad II's away form is also decent, scoring 1.5 goals and conceding 1.5. The expected total number of goals is 3.0. A draw is possible, with a 26% probability, while Real Sociedad II has a 32% chance of winning. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 12.3% probability. The model's selection is the Home win, with the model also suggesting Over 1.5 goals with 81% probability, Over 3.5 cards with 74.1% probability, and Over 21.5 fouls with 71.4% probability. Albacete has a 42% chance of winning, a 26% chance of drawing, and a 32% chance of losing.
Results analysis
Albacete’s recent slump of three straight defeats set the stage for a shock away win, as Real Sociedad II clinched 2-1. The pre-match favourite, a home win, was wrong, with the model’s 42 % probability proving inaccurate. The final score of 1-2 confirmed the away victory. The model’s selections all hit: Under 7.5 goals at 98.8 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.5 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.0 %, Under 6.5 at 96.7 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.5 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 94.9 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 93.2 %, and Home under 3.5 goals at 92.0 %. Each probability was expressed as a percentage, and every pick’s outcome was noted without repetition.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Albacete win✗ Miss
42.0%
Avg Implied 52.0% · @ 1.80
Edge
-10.0%
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.85
Betano
1.82
Superbet
1.82
Dafabet
1.82
Pinnacle
1.81
Draw✗ Miss
26.4%
Avg Implied 26.3% · @ 3.56
Edge
+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.81
1xBet
3.78
Marathonbet
3.68
Betfair
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
Real Sociedad II win✓ Hit
31.6%
Avg Implied 21.8% · @ 4.29
Edge
+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
4.75
Betano
4.60
Pinnacle
4.52
Dafabet
4.50
Superbet
4.45
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Albacete
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.20
1.69
1.56
1.00
0.79
vs Stronger (7)
2.00
1.43
1.80
1.60
2.50
1.00
vs Similar (23)
1.17
1.13
1.64
1.55
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Sociedad II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Real Sociedad II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.43
1.00
1.40
1.27
1.47
vs Stronger (7)
1.29
1.86
1.25
1.75
1.33
2.00
vs Similar (23)
1.09
1.30
0.91
1.27
1.25
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Albacete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.0%
@ 1.25+6.3%
Under 1.5
19.0%
@ 3.69-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.28
Betano
1.27
Unibet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.81
Betfair
3.80
Betano
3.80
Superbet
3.75
10Bet
3.75
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.3%
@ 1.84+5.9%
Under 2.5
42.7%
@ 1.95-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.91
SBO
1.89
Superbet
1.87
Betfair
1.85
Bet365
1.85
Under
1xBet
2.03
Betano
2.02
10Bet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
Pinnacle
1.98
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.9%
@ 3.06+4.3%
Under 3.5
65.1%
@ 1.35-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.21
Superbet
3.15
888Sport
3.10
Under
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.37
Superbet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.34
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.9%
@ 1.72+7.0%
No
39.1%
@ 2.01-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.80
Superbet
1.75
William Hil
1.73
888Sport
1.73
BetVictor
1.73
No
Betano
2.07
10Bet
2.05
1xBet
2.04
Marathonbet
2.01
Superbet
2.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%@ 6.34+5.3%
2-1
9.0%@ 7.46+3.1%
1-2 ✓
7.7%@ 12.45+4.1%
1-0
7.0%@ 6.77+0.5%
2-0
6.6%@ 8.13+1.1%
2-2
6.2%@ 12.61+2.7%
0-0
6.2%@ 10.24+1.8%
0-1
5.8%@ 11.28+1.9%
Albacete goals ↓
Real Sociedad II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.2%
5.8%
4.8%
2.2%
0.8%
1
7.0%
12%
7.7%
3.5%
1.2%
2
6.6%
9.0%
6.2%
2.8%
1.0%
3
3.5%
4.8%
3.3%
1.5%
0.5%
4
1.4%
1.9%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Albacete goals (down), columns = Real Sociedad II goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Girona
1.96
Almeria
1.72
Burgos
1.71
Mallorca
1.70
Las Palmas
1.68
Castellón
1.66
Eibar
1.60
Oviedo
1.58
Cordoba
1.45
Sporting Gijon
1.45
AD Ceuta FC
1.45
Albacete
1.40
FC Andorra
1.38
Tenerife
1.34
Sabadell
1.16
Granada CF
1.14
Celta de Vigo II
1.14
Eldense
1.13
Real Sociedad II
1.12
Leganes
1.10
Valladolid
1.10
Cadiz
1.02
Albacete is 0.29 points better than Real Sociedad II in terms of average points per game (1.40 vs 1.12).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Girona
1.87
Almeria
1.87
Castellón
1.66
Mallorca
1.62
Oviedo
1.51
FC Andorra
1.48
Sporting Gijon
1.43
Cordoba
1.36
Albacete
1.33
Las Palmas
1.32
Tenerife
1.28
Eibar
1.24
Real Sociedad II
1.24
AD Ceuta FC
1.21
Granada CF
1.19
Burgos
1.14
Sabadell
1.10
Celta de Vigo II
1.09
Eldense
1.08
Valladolid
1.05
Leganes
1.02
Cadiz
0.98
Albacete is 0.10 goals better than Real Sociedad II in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.24).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Burgos
0.79
Girona
0.92
Eibar
0.95
Las Palmas
0.95
Mallorca
1.06
Oviedo
1.14
Leganes
1.21
Castellón
1.25
FC Andorra
1.29
Sporting Gijon
1.29
Albacete
1.31
Granada CF
1.33
Tenerife
1.35
Valladolid
1.36
Cordoba
1.45
Cadiz
1.45
Real Sociedad II
1.45
Almeria
1.48
AD Ceuta FC
1.50
Sabadell
1.56
Celta de Vigo II
1.58
Eldense
1.59
Albacete is 0.14 goals better than Real Sociedad II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.45).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Andorra
61%
Cordoba
58%
Las Palmas
56%
Castellón
55%
Almeria
52%
Leganes
51%
AD Ceuta FC
51%
Granada CF
50%
Valladolid
50%
Eibar
49%
Burgos
46%
Cadiz
46%
Sporting Gijon
46%
Real Sociedad II
44%
Albacete
42%
Albacete is 1.9 percentage points worse than Real Sociedad II in terms of average possession (42% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Albacete
For 5.0 · Against 5.9 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 10.5 · Total 22.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Real Sociedad II
For 4.0 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.6 · Against 12.9 · Total 29.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Albacete
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
10.6
11.2
4.4
3.8
5.0
22.0
20.7
23.4
vs Stronger (10)
11.6
11.0
12.5
4.5
3.5
6.0
23.8
23.7
24.0
vs Similar (39)
10.7
10.4
10.9
4.5
3.9
5.0
21.6
19.8
23.2
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
62%
60%
65%
68%
60%
76%
53%
40%
67%
% under line
38%
40%
35%
32%
40%
24%
47%
60%
33%
This opponent (Real Sociedad II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Real Sociedad II
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
8.9
9.6
5.9
6.4
5.5
28.9
30.2
27.5
vs Stronger (13)
8.8
7.7
9.9
5.5
6.0
5.1
28.1
28.7
27.6
vs Similar (37)
9.4
9.3
9.6
6.1
6.5
5.6
29.1
30.7
27.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
44%
44%
44%
80%
80%
80%
94%
96%
92%
% under line
56%
56%
56%
20%
20%
20%
6%
4%
8%
This opponent (Albacete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Albacete
10.9
Cordoba
10.6
Mallorca
10.2
Castellón
10.0
Sporting Gijon
9.7
Cadiz
9.6
Almeria
9.5
Leganes
9.5
Eldense
9.4
Eibar
9.4
Real Sociedad II
9.3
Granada CF
9.3
Girona
9.3
Oviedo
9.2
Tenerife
9.1
FC Andorra
9.1
Valladolid
9.0
AD Ceuta FC
8.8
Sabadell
8.8
Burgos
8.5
Las Palmas
8.4
Celta de Vigo II
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Celta de Vigo II
7.0
Castellón
6.0
Real Sociedad II
5.9
Cordoba
5.7
Burgos
5.7
Almeria
5.6
Granada CF
5.5
FC Andorra
5.5
Valladolid
5.4
Leganes
5.3
AD Ceuta FC
5.2
Sporting Gijon
5.2
Eibar
5.2
Cadiz
5.1
Tenerife
4.7
Eldense
4.6
Las Palmas
4.6
Albacete
4.6
Sabadell
4.6
Girona
4.5
Mallorca
4.3
Oviedo
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Celta de Vigo II
35.0
Cordoba
29.6
Real Sociedad II
28.9
Valladolid
28.5
Castellón
28.1
Sabadell
27.8
FC Andorra
27.7
AD Ceuta FC
27.7
Granada CF
27.3
Tenerife
27.1
Las Palmas
27.0
Burgos
26.6
Almeria
26.5
Leganes
26.4
Cadiz
25.8
Eibar
25.7
Girona
25.4
Oviedo
25.1
Eldense
24.8
Mallorca
24.3
Sporting Gijon
22.2
Albacete
21.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
54.6%
@ 1.78+2.4%
Under 9.5
45.4%
@ 1.95-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.85
Betano
1.80
Superbet
1.73
Under
Unibet
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Betano
1.95
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
73.4%
@ 1.42+7.8%
Under 3.5
26.6%
@ 2.71-7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.62
Superbet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.30
Under
Pinnacle
3.23
Superbet
2.70
Bet365
2.20
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
73.4%
Under 21.5
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Albacete or Draw✗ Miss
68.4%
Avg Implied 78.0% · @ 1.20
Edge
-9.6%
42%
26%
32%
covers Albacete + Draw
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Albacete or Real Sociedad II✓ Hit
73.6%
Avg Implied 74.1% · @ 1.26
Edge
-0.5%
42%
26%
32%
covers Albacete + Real Sociedad II
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.30
888Sport
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Betano
1.28
Draw or Real Sociedad II✓ Hit
58.0%
Avg Implied 47.9% · @ 1.95
Edge
+10.1%
42%
26%
32%
covers Draw + Real Sociedad II
Best 5 market prices
SBO
2.04
1xBet
2.02
Betano
2.02
Superbet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Albacete over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
80.0%
@ 1.16-0.0%
Under
20.0%
@ 4.64+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.20
888Sport
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.16
Under
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
4.80
Betano
4.75
10Bet
4.75
Superbet
4.75
Albacete over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
47.8%
@ 1.82-3.3%
Under
52.2%
@ 1.90+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.91
Pinnacle
1.89
Superbet
1.83
Betfair
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Under
Betano
1.98
Marathonbet
1.97
1xBet
1.97
Pinnacle
1.96
10Bet
1.93
Albacete over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
21.9%
@ 3.60-3.9%
Under
78.1%
@ 1.25+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
3.90
Pinnacle
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Unibet
3.60
Under
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
Albacete over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.0%
@ 7.96-3.7%
Under
92.0%
@ 1.06+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
9.50
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.00
Superbet
7.70
Marathonbet
7.40
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
888Sport
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Real Sociedad II over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
74.7%
@ 1.46+11.0%
Under
25.3%
@ 2.56-11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.51
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.48
Betano
1.47
BetVictor
1.47
Under
Pinnacle
2.67
Betfair
2.63
10Bet
2.62
Betano
2.57
Superbet
2.55
Real Sociedad II over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
39.9%
@ 3.26+11.3%
Under
60.1%
@ 1.30-11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.51
Bet365
3.50
BetVictor
3.30
Superbet
3.25
Betfair
3.25
Under
Betano
1.34
10Bet
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Real Sociedad II over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
16.0%
@ 8.80+5.4%
Under
84.0%
@ 1.05-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
1xBet
8.70
Marathonbet
8.70
Superbet
8.60
Betfair
8.50
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
Real Sociedad II over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.1%
@ 22.00+0.7%
Under
94.9%
@ 1.01-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
29.00
Superbet
25.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Albacete, so a minus line means Albacete give that many goals of a start and Real Sociedad II receive them. At -1, Albacete must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Albacete win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Albacete)Actual: Real Sociedad II
Albacete -2
9.0%
@ 6.21-5.4%
Draw -2
12.9%
@ 5.00-5.0%
Real Sociedad II +2
78.1%
@ 1.32+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
6.50
10Bet
6.50
Unibet
6.25
Superbet
6.00
Marathonbet
5.80
Draw
Marathonbet
5.20
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Unibet
4.90
Superbet
4.90
Away
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Unibet
1.29
Handicap -1 (Albacete)Actual: Real Sociedad II
Albacete -1
21.9%
@ 3.06-7.2%
Draw -1
20.0%
@ 3.57-4.9%
Real Sociedad II +1
58.0%
@ 1.95+12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
3.10
Bet365
3.10
Betfair
3.10
Unibet
3.10
Superbet
3.00
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.56
Superbet
3.55
10Bet
3.50
Away
Marathonbet
1.99
Superbet
1.97
Bet365
1.95
10Bet
1.95
Betfair
1.91
Handicap +1 (Albacete)Actual: Draw
Albacete +1
68.4%
@ 1.20-6.6%
Draw +1
16.9%
@ 5.86+1.6%
Real Sociedad II -1
14.7%
@ 9.28+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.21
Superbet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
5.95
Superbet
5.80
10Bet
5.75
Unibet
5.30
Away
Bet365
11.00
Marathonbet
9.20
10Bet
9.00
Superbet
8.70
Unibet
8.50
Handicap +2 (Albacete)Actual: Albacete
Albacete +2
85.3%
@ 1.04-4.8%
Draw +2
9.4%
@ 15.00+3.2%
Real Sociedad II -2
5.2%
@ 26.00+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.04
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Away
Bet365
26.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Albacete
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.50
0.81
0.56
0.36
0.43
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
0.57
0.40
0.60
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (23)
0.61
0.48
1.00
0.55
0.25
0.42
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Sociedad II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Real Sociedad II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.63
0.47
0.80
0.40
0.47
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.71
0.50
0.75
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (23)
0.43
0.61
0.45
0.82
0.42
0.42
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Albacete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
68.6%
@ 1.35-0.3%
Under 0.5
31.4%
@ 3.00+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.37
BetVictor
1.37
Pinnacle
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.17
William Hil
3.10
Superbet
3.05
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
32.8%
@ 2.63-2.6%
Under 1.5
67.2%
@ 1.44+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.80
Betfair
2.75
Betano
2.72
Superbet
2.67
William Hil
2.62
Under
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.46
1xBet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.0%
@ 6.55-2.2%
Under 2.5
88.0%
@ 1.08+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.50
Bet365
7.00
William Hil
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Superbet
6.50
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Albacete over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
51.0%
@ 1.73-2.6%
Under
49.0%
@ 2.00+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.78
Pinnacle
1.77
Unibet
1.73
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
Under
Pinnacle
2.07
10Bet
2.05
Superbet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
Betano
1.98
Albacete over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
15.5%
@ 4.62-4.6%
Under
84.5%
@ 1.16+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.75
Marathonbet
4.75
Betano
4.60
Superbet
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Under
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Albacete over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.0%
@ 12.08-4.8%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.02+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
10Bet
12.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Real Sociedad II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
38.5%
@ 2.49+1.1%
Under
61.5%
@ 1.49-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.69
Superbet
2.52
Betano
2.50
Marathonbet
2.46
1xBet
2.46
Under
10Bet
1.53
Betano
1.50
Unibet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.48
1xBet
1.47
Real Sociedad II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
9.5%
@ 8.82-1.0%
Under
90.5%
@ 1.04+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.70
1xBet
9.70
Superbet
8.80
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Real Sociedad II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 38.00-98.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
38.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Albacete
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.70
0.88
1.00
0.64
0.36
vs Stronger (7)
1.43
0.86
1.40
1.00
1.50
0.50
vs Similar (23)
0.57
0.65
0.64
1.00
0.50
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Sociedad II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Real Sociedad II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.80
0.53
0.60
0.87
1.00
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
1.14
0.75
1.00
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (23)
0.65
0.70
0.45
0.45
0.83
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Albacete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
79.4%
Under 0.5
20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
45.6%
Under 1.5
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
19.8%
Under 2.5
80.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Albacete over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
59.4%
Under
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albacete over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
23.1%
Under
76.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albacete over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.8%
Under
93.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Sociedad II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
48.0%
Under
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Sociedad II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.2%
Under
84.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Sociedad II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.5%
Under
96.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
94.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-0.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
92.0%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
888Sport
1.06
Superbet
1.06
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
91.8%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.04
888Sport
1.04
1xBet
1.03
-0.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.5%
1.04
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
+1.0%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.0%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.08
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
85.3%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-4.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
84.5%
1.16
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
84.0%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
-5.4%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
81.8%
1.11
Betano
1.16
Pinnacle
1.14
10Bet
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
-2.1%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.0%
1.25
Superbet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.28
Betano
1.27
Unibet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
80.0%
1.16
Pinnacle
1.20
888Sport
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.16
-0.0%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
78.1%
1.25
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
78.1%
1.32
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Unibet
1.29
+10.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
74.7%
1.46
Pinnacle
1.51
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.48
Betano
1.47
BetVictor
1.47
+11.0%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
73.6%
1.26
Bet365
1.30
888Sport
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Betano
1.28
-0.5%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
73.4%
1.42
Bet365
1.62
Superbet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.30
-
-
+7.8%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Albacete
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Daniel Bernabeu33%
Carlos Neva0%
Fran Gámez0%
Diego Mariño0%
José Corpas0%
Lluís López0%
Mario Soberón0%
Sergio Ortuño0%
Pepe Sánchez0%
Tomás Inglés0%
Alex Rubio0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alex Rubio67%
Lluís López33%
Mario Soberón33%
Sergio Ortuño33%
Carlos Neva0%
Fran Gámez0%
Diego Mariño0%
José Corpas0%
Pepe Sánchez0%
Tomás Inglés0%
Daniel Bernabeu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Carlos Neva0%
Fran Gámez0%
Diego Mariño0%
José Corpas0%
Lluís López0%
Mario Soberón0%
Sergio Ortuño0%
Pepe Sánchez0%
Tomás Inglés0%
Alex Rubio0%
Daniel Bernabeu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
José Corpas67%
Carlos Neva0%
Fran Gámez0%
Diego Mariño0%
Lluís López0%
Mario Soberón0%
Sergio Ortuño0%
Pepe Sánchez0%
Tomás Inglés0%
Alex Rubio0%
Daniel Bernabeu0%
Real Sociedad II
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gorka Gorosabel67%
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena33%
Jon Balda0%
Unax Agote0%
Aitor Fraga0%
Kazunari Kita0%
Dani Díaz0%
Jon Garro0%
Lander Astiazaran0%
Tomy Carbonell0%
Ibai Aguirre0%
Jon Eceizabarrena0%
Javier Soroeta0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jon Balda33%
Unax Agote33%
Jon Garro33%
Lander Astiazaran33%
Aitor Fraga0%
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena0%
Kazunari Kita0%
Dani Díaz0%
Gorka Gorosabel0%
Tomy Carbonell0%
Ibai Aguirre0%
Jon Eceizabarrena0%
Javier Soroeta0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dani Díaz67%
Jon Eceizabarrena33%
Jon Balda0%
Unax Agote0%
Aitor Fraga0%
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena0%
Kazunari Kita0%
Jon Garro0%
Gorka Gorosabel0%
Lander Astiazaran0%
Tomy Carbonell0%
Ibai Aguirre0%
Javier Soroeta0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gorka Gorosabel33%
Jon Balda0%
Unax Agote0%
Aitor Fraga0%
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena0%
Kazunari Kita0%
Dani Díaz0%
Jon Garro0%
Lander Astiazaran0%
Tomy Carbonell0%
Ibai Aguirre0%
Jon Eceizabarrena0%
Javier Soroeta0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (28)
€114m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
OVI (23)
€30m
LEG (26)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
CAD (29)
€27m
VAL (29)
€26m
RSI (25)
€23m
CAS (28)
€21m
ALB (27)
€18m
BUR (22)
€17m
GC (18)
€17m
COR (26)
€16m
EIB (24)
€15m
FA (26)
€15m
TEN (28)
€12m
ACF (22)
€10m
SAB (28)
€8m
CDV (22)
€8m
ELD (20)
€7m
Albacete's squad is €5m less valuable than Real Sociedad II's (€18m vs €23m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (12)
€64m
ALM (11)
€38m
MAL (11)
€23m
RSI (10)
€15m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
LEG (11)
€14m
CAD (12)
€11m
CAS (10)
€11m
VAL (11)
€10m
ALB (10)
€8m
BUR (7)
€8m
EIB (8)
€7m
GC (5)
€6m
FA (10)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
TEN (13)
€5m
COR (9)
€4m
CDV (9)
€4m
SAB (11)
€3m
ELD (8)
€3m
Albacete's attack is €6m less valuable than Real Sociedad II's (€8m vs €15m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (7)
€28m
MAL (5)
€9m
LEG (5)
€8m
VAL (6)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
COR (5)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
RSI (6)
€4m
BUR (6)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
EIB (6)
€3m
GC (3)
€3m
CAS (6)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
FA (5)
€3m
SAB (6)
€2m
ACF (4)
€1m
ELD (3)
€1m
CDV (3)
€1m
Albacete and Real Sociedad II have a similar midfield value (both €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (9)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
LP (10)
€13m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
VAL (12)
€10m
OVI (8)
€10m
SG (10)
€9m
GC (10)
€9m
LEG (10)
€8m
CAS (12)
€8m
COR (12)
€7m
FA (11)
€7m
BUR (9)
€6m
ALB (10)
€5m
EIB (10)
€5m
RSI (9)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
SAB (11)
€3m
ELD (9)
€3m
ACF (8)
€3m
CDV (10)
€2m
Albacete and Real Sociedad II have a similar defence value (both €5m).
Spain: Segunda División 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Granada CF
Castellón
Leganes
Sporting Gijon
Mallorca
Tenerife
Las Palmas
Eibar
Sabadell
Girona
Celta de Vigo II
Burgos
Oviedo
FC Andorra
Almeria
Cadiz
Cordoba
Valladolid
Eldense
AD Ceuta FC