This opponent (Rouen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rouen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.20
1.40
1.20
1.20
1.20
vs Stronger (19)
1.37
1.16
1.56
1.22
1.20
1.10
vs Similar (11)
1.18
1.27
1.17
1.17
1.20
1.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Amiens) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
68.9%
Under 1.5
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.2%
@ 1.95-7.1%
Under 2.5
58.8%
@ 1.82+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.7%
Under 3.5
79.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.3%
No
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
1-0 ✓
11.1%
0-0
11.0%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.5%
Amiens goals ↓
Rouen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
9.0%
5.5%
1.9%
0.5%
1
11%
14%
6.9%
2.5%
0.6%
2
7.8%
8.3%
4.4%
1.6%
0.4%
3
3.3%
3.5%
1.9%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.1%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Amiens goals (down), columns = Rouen goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Auxerre
1.93
Angers
1.85
Saint Etienne
1.73
Caen
1.55
Paris FC
1.51
Rodez
1.48
Amiens
1.43
Laval
1.40
Grenoble
1.38
Guingamp
1.38
Bastia
1.38
PAU
1.30
Bordeaux
1.30
Ajaccio
1.25
Annecy
1.25
Dunkerque
1.23
Estac Troyes
1.10
Concarneau
1.05
Quevilly
1.00
Rouen
1.00
Valenciennes
0.78
Amiens is 0.43 points better than Rouen in terms of average points per game (1.43 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Auxerre
1.95
Rodez
1.62
PAU
1.55
Angers
1.50
Caen
1.40
Quevilly
1.34
Rouen
1.34
Bordeaux
1.30
Saint Etienne
1.29
Paris FC
1.29
Annecy
1.27
Guingamp
1.18
Grenoble
1.15
Estac Troyes
1.15
Bastia
1.12
Concarneau
1.05
Laval
1.05
Amiens
1.00
Dunkerque
0.95
Ajaccio
0.93
Valenciennes
0.70
Amiens is 0.34 goals worse than Rouen in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.34).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Saint Etienne
0.83
Amiens
0.97
Auxerre
1.05
Guingamp
1.05
Angers
1.10
Paris FC
1.12
Grenoble
1.15
Ajaccio
1.18
Bastia
1.20
Caen
1.23
Laval
1.23
Annecy
1.27
Estac Troyes
1.32
Dunkerque
1.35
Bordeaux
1.38
Valenciennes
1.40
Quevilly
1.45
Rouen
1.45
Rodez
1.45
Concarneau
1.48
PAU
1.52
Amiens is 0.47 goals better than Rouen in terms of goals conceded per game (0.97 vs 1.45).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Bordeaux
60%
Auxerre
57%
Paris FC
56%
Concarneau
53%
Saint Etienne
53%
Angers
53%
Dunkerque
51%
Caen
51%
Estac Troyes
50%
Grenoble
50%
Ajaccio
49%
PAU
49%
Valenciennes
49%
Bastia
47%
Guingamp
47%
Quevilly
47%
Amiens
46%
Rodez
46%
Laval
44%
Annecy
43%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Amiens
For 6.5 · Against 9.0 · Total 15.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 11.5 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rouen
For 4.5 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 13.7 · Total 25.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Amiens
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.4
9.4
0.8
0.7
0.8
25.1
26.0
24.4
vs Stronger (12)
6.8
6.5
7.0
1.3
1.5
1.2
22.5
28.0
17.0
vs Similar (36)
9.2
8.5
9.5
0.5
0.3
0.6
27.2
26.0
27.8
vs Weaker (2)
15.5
17.0
14.0
2.5
3.0
2.0
24.0
22.0
26.0
% over line
33%
40%
29%
10%
8%
12%
92%
100%
86%
% under line
67%
60%
71%
90%
92%
88%
8%
0%
14%
This opponent (Rouen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rouen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.8
7.5
8.2
3.9
4.2
3.5
29.1
29.6
28.6
vs Stronger (31)
8.2
7.8
8.6
4.1
4.1
4.0
28.2
29.7
26.5
vs Similar (19)
7.3
7.2
7.4
3.5
4.2
2.8
30.8
29.5
32.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
22%
19%
26%
48%
50%
46%
90%
92%
87%
% under line
78%
81%
74%
52%
50%
54%
10%
8%
13%
This opponent (Amiens) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bordeaux
9.4
Saint Etienne
9.3
Estac Troyes
9.3
Guingamp
9.2
Caen
9.1
PAU
9.1
Angers
9.0
Auxerre
9.0
Paris FC
8.8
Valenciennes
8.8
Bastia
8.6
Amiens
8.6
Dunkerque
8.5
Grenoble
8.3
Ajaccio
8.2
Annecy
8.0
Rouen
7.8
Rodez
7.8
Laval
4.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Laval
7.0
Valenciennes
4.6
Estac Troyes
4.5
Caen
4.4
Bordeaux
4.4
Grenoble
4.2
Ajaccio
4.1
Guingamp
4.1
Angers
4.0
Saint Etienne
4.0
Bastia
3.9
Rouen
3.9
PAU
3.9
Amiens
3.9
Rodez
3.9
Dunkerque
3.7
Annecy
3.5
Auxerre
3.3
Paris FC
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Laval
34.0
Valenciennes
31.4
Dunkerque
31.0
Rouen
29.0
Caen
29.0
Ajaccio
28.2
Guingamp
28.1
Rodez
28.1
Bastia
27.8
Amiens
27.5
Grenoble
26.9
PAU
26.4
Estac Troyes
25.9
Saint Etienne
25.3
Angers
25.1
Paris FC
24.9
Annecy
24.0
Bordeaux
23.5
Auxerre
22.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
34.7%
Under 9.5
65.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
49.2%
Under 3.5
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
87.4%
Under 21.5
12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Amiens
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.63
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.93
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
0.20
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (23)
0.39
0.70
0.36
0.36
0.42
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Rouen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rouen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.27
0.67
0.27
0.53
0.27
vs Stronger (19)
0.63
0.16
0.67
0.11
0.60
0.20
vs Similar (11)
0.55
0.45
0.67
0.50
0.40
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
80% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Amiens) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Amiens over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amiens over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amiens over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Amiens
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.90
0.40
1.13
0.93
0.67
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
1.40
0.00
1.33
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (23)
0.70
0.83
0.55
1.09
0.83
0.58
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Rouen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rouen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.93
0.73
0.93
0.67
0.93
vs Stronger (19)
0.74
1.00
0.89
1.11
0.60
0.90
vs Similar (11)
0.64
0.82
0.50
0.67
0.80
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Amiens) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Amiens over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amiens over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amiens over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
94.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Amiens
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Louis Mafouta32%
Gaël Kakuta27%
Andy Carroll14%
Mathis Touho14%
Yvan Ikia Dimi11%
Antoine Leautey11%
Jack Lahne9%
Mounir Chouiar7%
Maxime Do Couto4%
Jérémy Gélin3%
Frank Boya3%
Sébastien Corchia0%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Nicholas Opoku0%
Sebastian Ring0%
Regis Gurtner0%
Kylian Kaiboue0%
Alexis Sauvage0%
Amadou Ciss0%
Abdoul Tapsoba0%
Youssouf Assogba0%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Ayman Ouhatti0%
Osaze Urhoghide0%
Owen Gene0%
Ayoub Amraoui0%
Kassoum Ouattara0%
Rayan Lutin0%
Mohamed Jaouab0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kylian Kaiboue39%
Sebastian Ring29%
Mohamed Jaouab27%
Youssouf Assogba20%
Frank Boya19%
Mamadou Fofana18%
Louis Mafouta18%
Osaze Urhoghide17%
Mamadou Fofana15%
Owen Gene15%
Andy Carroll14%
Amadou Ciss14%
Gaël Kakuta14%
Jérémy Gélin13%
Yvan Ikia Dimi11%
Kassoum Ouattara10%
Maxime Do Couto9%
Sébastien Corchia7%
Abdoul Tapsoba7%
Nicholas Opoku4%
Antoine Leautey3%
Mounir Chouiar0%
Regis Gurtner0%
Alexis Sauvage0%
Jack Lahne0%
Ayman Ouhatti0%
Ayoub Amraoui0%
Rayan Lutin0%
Mathis Touho0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sébastien Corchia14%
Antoine Leautey11%
Frank Boya10%
Gaël Kakuta9%
Jack Lahne9%
Owen Gene9%
Mohamed Jaouab9%
Mounir Chouiar7%
Jérémy Gélin7%
Abdoul Tapsoba7%
Kylian Kaiboue6%
Andy Carroll4%
Louis Mafouta3%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Nicholas Opoku0%
Sebastian Ring0%
Regis Gurtner0%
Alexis Sauvage0%
Amadou Ciss0%
Maxime Do Couto0%
Youssouf Assogba0%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Ayman Ouhatti0%
Osaze Urhoghide0%
Ayoub Amraoui0%
Kassoum Ouattara0%
Yvan Ikia Dimi0%
Rayan Lutin0%
Mathis Touho0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Louis Mafouta32%
Mounir Chouiar14%
Kylian Kaiboue13%
Antoine Leautey11%
Jack Lahne9%
Andy Carroll7%
Abdoul Tapsoba7%
Gaël Kakuta5%
Maxime Do Couto4%
Frank Boya3%
Sébastien Corchia0%
Jérémy Gélin0%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Nicholas Opoku0%
Sebastian Ring0%
Regis Gurtner0%
Alexis Sauvage0%
Amadou Ciss0%
Youssouf Assogba0%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Ayman Ouhatti0%
Osaze Urhoghide0%
Owen Gene0%
Ayoub Amraoui0%
Kassoum Ouattara0%
Yvan Ikia Dimi0%
Rayan Lutin0%
Mathis Touho0%
Mohamed Jaouab0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (37)
€176m
SE (30)
€93m
AUX (29)
€84m
ANG (23)
€73m
ET (23)
€36m
ROD (23)
€15m
PAU (20)
€14m
GRE (27)
€12m
GUI (20)
€11m
DUN (21)
€11m
ANN (21)
€10m
LAV (24)
€9m
BAS (19)
€7m
AMI (14)
€4m
CAE (18)
€4m
VAL (21)
€4m
CON (18)
€3m
ROU (14)
€3m
QUE (10)
€2m
Amiens's squad is €2m more valuable than Rouen's (€4m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (13)
€59m
SE (10)
€54m
ANG (9)
€30m
AUX (11)
€23m
ET (7)
€7m
PAU (6)
€6m
GRE (12)
€5m
DUN (7)
€4m
BAS (9)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
GUI (4)
€3m
ANN (7)
€3m
LAV (7)
€2m
CAE (8)
€2m
ROU (5)
€2m
VAL (8)
€1m
CON (7)
€1m
AMI (4)
€0m
QUE (2)
€0m
Amiens's attack is €1m less valuable than Rouen's (€0m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (7)
€54m
AUX (5)
€28m
ANG (3)
€11m
ET (6)
€11m
SE (7)
€11m
GUI (8)
€4m
ROD (6)
€4m
ANN (6)
€3m
LAV (7)
€3m
GRE (5)
€3m
PAU (4)
€2m
DUN (5)
€1m
BAS (3)
€1m
CON (5)
€1m
VAL (3)
€1m
CAE (4)
€1m
AMI (2)
€0m
QUE (2)
€0m
ROU (3)
€0m
Amiens and Rouen have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (17)
€62m
AUX (13)
€33m
ANG (11)
€32m
SE (13)
€28m
ET (10)
€17m
ROD (10)
€7m
PAU (10)
€6m
DUN (9)
€5m
LAV (10)
€4m
ANN (8)
€4m
GRE (10)
€4m
AMI (8)
€4m
GUI (8)
€3m
BAS (7)
€2m
VAL (10)
€2m
CAE (6)
€2m
QUE (6)
€1m
ROU (6)
€1m
CON (6)
€1m
Amiens's defence is €2m more valuable than Rouen's (€4m vs €1m).
France: Ligue 2 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →