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Arouca vs Moreirense Result & Analysis

Date: 16/08/2026
Time: 17:00
Final 4-0
Arouca
Arouca
Vs
47%
26%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Moreirense
Moreirense
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table18 Who played
Match preview & prediction

Arouca's recent form has been impressive, with the team on a 3-game winning run, including a 1-0 victory over Guimaraes. However, Moreirense has shown resilience, drawing their last match against SC Braga. The model predicts a home win for Arouca, with a 48% chance of victory. The probability of a draw is 26%, while Moreirense's away win is also 26%.

The expected total number of goals is 3.0, with the most likely total number of goals being 2. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 12.1% probability.

Arouca's home form is strong, with 2.0 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per match against similar opponents. Moreirense's away form is less impressive, with 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match against similar opponents.

The model's selection is Over 1.5, with an 80.8% probability. This selection offers an edge of 12%. The model also suggests Over 21.5 fouls (90.2%) and Over 3.5 cards (82.3%).

Arouca has a 48% chance of winning, a 26% chance of drawing, and a 26% chance of losing. The model's suggested picks have the following probabilities: Over 1.5 (80.8%), Over 21.5 fouls (90.2%), and Over 3.5 cards (82.3%).

Results analysis

Arouca's 4-0 win extends their 4-game winning run, with the win coming against Moreirense, who are coming off a defeat. The model's call of a home win was correct, with a pre-match probability of 47%. The model's selection, a home win, proved to be the actual result. The model's selection of Over 1.5 goals hit, with a probability of 80.4%, while Over 3.5 cards also hit, with the same probability. However, Over 21.5 fouls was the model's selection that missed, with a probability of 88.1%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arouca win✓ Hit
47.2%
Avg Implied 46.7% · @ 2.01
Edge
+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.08
SBO
2.08
Unibet
2.04
1xBet
2.03
Dafabet
2.03
Draw✗ Miss
26.1%
Avg Implied 28.8% · @ 3.26
Edge
-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.40
Dafabet
3.40
1xBet
3.39
Pinnacle
3.36
Unibet
3.35
Moreirense win✗ Miss
26.8%
Avg Implied 24.5% · @ 3.83
Edge
+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.18
1xBet
4.11
Betano
4.05
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AroucaArouca

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L10W32W01L10W12L22D31W31W10WH·BEN14/03A·MOR21/03H·EST06/04A·SC 12/04H·EST19/04A·ALV24/04H·SAN02/05A·GIL11/05H·TON16/05A·GUI08/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.631.621.541.241.71
vs Stronger (8)0.882.381.252.500.502.25
vs Similar (22)1.591.361.781.111.461.54
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Moreirense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MoreirenseMoreirense

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L01L01L11D10W14L32W02L00D22DA·FC 15/03H·ARO21/03H·SC 04/04A·FAM10/04H·EST20/04A·BEN25/04H·EST02/05A·TON11/05H·AVS16/05H·SC 09/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.501.001.401.071.60
vs Stronger (8)0.622.620.602.400.673.00
vs Similar (22)1.181.091.200.901.171.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Arouca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.4%
@ 1.35+11.2%
Under 1.5
19.6%
@ 3.02-11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
BetVictor
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.23
Unibet
3.15
Betfair
3.10
Betano
3.05
888Sport
3.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.5%
@ 2.12+11.9%
Under 2.5
43.5%
@ 1.70-11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.20
SBO
2.19
Pinnacle
2.17
1xBet
2.16
Bet365
2.15
Under
1xBet
1.76
Pinnacle
1.75
Unibet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.71
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.1%
@ 3.77+9.3%
Under 3.5
65.9%
@ 1.24-9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.10
Pinnacle
3.92
Betano
3.85
10Bet
3.85
888Sport
3.80
Under
Pinnacle
1.27
Betano
1.27
Unibet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.3%
@ 1.85+9.1%
No
40.7%
@ 1.86-9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.95
Betfair
1.90
Betano
1.88
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
No
Unibet
1.94
888Sport
1.91
William Hil
1.91
Betfair
1.90
Betano
1.85

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%@ 5.87+4.6%
2-1
9.5%@ 8.06+4.0%
1-0
7.8%@ 6.18+0.6%
2-0
7.6%@ 8.81+2.6%
1-2
6.9%@ 11.75+3.1%
0-0
6.4%@ 8.25+1.0%
2-2
5.9%@ 14.09+2.7%
0-1
5.4%@ 9.15+0.5%
Arouca goals ↓
Moreirense goals →
01234
06.4%5.4%4.0%1.7%0.5%
17.8%12%6.9%2.9%0.9%
27.6%9.5%5.9%2.4%0.8%
34.3%5.4%3.3%1.4%0.4%
41.9%2.3%1.4%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Arouca goals (down), columns = Moreirense goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Porto
2.59
Sporting CP
2.41
Benfica
2.35
SC Braga
1.74
Famalicao
1.65
GIL Vicente
1.47
Moreirense
1.26
Arouca
1.24
Guimaraes
1.24
Estoril
1.15
Alverca
1.15
Maritimo
1.12
Academico Viseu
1.10
Rio Ave
1.06
Santa Clara
1.06
Nacional
1.00
Casa Pia
0.94
Estrela
0.88
Arouca is 0.03 points worse than Moreirense in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.26).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.62
Benfica
2.18
FC Porto
1.94
SC Braga
1.88
Estoril
1.59
Arouca
1.38
GIL Vicente
1.38
Famalicao
1.24
Guimaraes
1.15
Estrela
1.12
Moreirense
1.09
Nacional
1.09
Maritimo
1.08
Academico Viseu
1.06
Rio Ave
1.03
Alverca
1.03
Santa Clara
0.94
Casa Pia
0.92
Arouca is 0.29 goals better than Moreirense in terms of goals scored per game (1.38 vs 1.09).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Porto
0.53
Sporting CP
0.71
Benfica
0.74
Famalicao
0.85
SC Braga
1.06
GIL Vicente
1.12
Santa Clara
1.21
Nacional
1.32
Moreirense
1.44
Guimaraes
1.50
Alverca
1.53
Maritimo
1.55
Academico Viseu
1.58
Casa Pia
1.58
Estrela
1.65
Estoril
1.68
Rio Ave
1.68
Arouca
1.88
Arouca is 0.44 goals worse than Moreirense in terms of goals conceded per game (1.88 vs 1.44).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
SC Braga
63%
Sporting CP
62%
Benfica
58%
FC Porto
55%
Estoril
53%
Guimaraes
51%
Famalicao
51%
Arouca
50%
GIL Vicente
50%
Moreirense
50%
Santa Clara
48%
Rio Ave
47%
Estrela
47%
Nacional
46%
Alverca
45%
Casa Pia
41%
Arouca is 0.6 percentage points better than Moreirense in terms of average possession (50% vs 50%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AroucaArouca

For 3.8 · Against 5.9 · Total 9.7

🚩 Corners

170255626563643563373215711811971161017A·GUIH·TONA·GILH·SANA·ALVH·ESTA·SC H·ESTA·MORH·BEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.8 · Against 2.2 · Total 6.0

🟨 Cards

130623112436512332216784376655313A·GUIH·TONA·GILH·SANA·ALVH·ESTA·SC H·ESTA·MORH·BEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 11.0 · Total 24.2

⚠️ Fouls

3107912121713158128151112913181211171116243023202621312328A·GUIH·TONA·GILH·SANA·ALVH·ESTA·SC H·ESTA·MORH·BEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MoreirenseMoreirense

For 3.3 · Against 5.3 · Total 8.6

🚩 Corners

1304253811429511349371468951161313105H·SC H·AVSA·TONH·ESTA·BENH·ESTA·FAMH·SC H·AROA·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.8

🟨 Cards

11041234144222653121155584211332H·SC H·AVSA·TONH·ESTA·BENH·ESTA·FAMH·SC H·AROA·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 14.4 · Total 27.4

⚠️ Fouls

3601520101291418181413141215159141112151435222336272630232329H·SC H·AVSA·TONH·ESTA·BENH·ESTA·FAMH·SC H·AROA·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AroucaArouca

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.19.68.65.56.54.626.227.824.7
vs Stronger (15)9.810.09.75.97.54.923.225.221.9
vs Similar (34)8.79.37.95.46.34.427.428.426.3
vs Weaker (1)13.013.0-3.03.0-32.032.0-
% over line42%50%33%76%88%65%77%88%67%
% under line58%50%67%24%12%35%23%12%33%
This opponent (Moreirense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MoreirenseMoreirense

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.08.47.75.05.05.029.629.329.8
vs Stronger (12)9.09.09.03.43.23.628.229.227.6
vs Similar (37)7.78.27.15.45.25.630.029.330.7
vs Weaker (1)9.09.0-11.011.0-30.030.0-
% over line29%28%29%70%68%72%96%92%100%
% under line71%72%71%30%32%28%4%8%0%
This opponent (Arouca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Famalicao
10.7
Nacional
10.3
Rio Ave
10.3
Benfica
10.1
Sporting CP
10.0
Academico Viseu
9.9
Casa Pia
9.8
GIL Vicente
9.1
Arouca
9.0
Alverca
9.0
Estrela
9.0
FC Porto
8.9
Santa Clara
8.9
Estoril
8.9
Guimaraes
8.7
Maritimo
8.3
SC Braga
8.3
Moreirense
8.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Santa Clara
6.0
Maritimo
5.9
Academico Viseu
5.8
Casa Pia
5.8
Arouca
5.7
Estrela
5.6
Nacional
5.5
FC Porto
5.4
Famalicao
5.4
Guimaraes
5.4
Benfica
5.3
Sporting CP
5.3
Rio Ave
5.1
Moreirense
5.1
SC Braga
4.9
Alverca
4.9
GIL Vicente
4.8
Estoril
4.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Famalicao
32.3
Santa Clara
30.2
Estrela
30.1
Moreirense
29.5
Casa Pia
29.3
Guimaraes
28.9
GIL Vicente
27.9
Nacional
27.4
Estoril
27.0
Rio Ave
27.0
Sporting CP
26.7
Arouca
26.5
FC Porto
25.8
Benfica
25.8
Academico Viseu
24.8
SC Braga
24.1
Alverca
23.6
Maritimo
22.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
42.4%
@ 2.11-1.5%
Under 9.5
57.6%
@ 1.65+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.16
Marathonbet
2.15
Betano
2.15
Pinnacle
2.15
1xBet
2.09
Under
Bet365
1.73
10Bet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.67
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.63
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
80.4%
Under 3.5
19.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
88.1%
Under 21.5
11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Arouca or Draw✓ Hit
73.2%
Avg Implied -
47%
26%
27%
covers Arouca + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Arouca or Moreirense✓ Hit
73.9%
Avg Implied -
47%
26%
27%
covers Arouca + Moreirense
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Moreirense✗ Miss
52.8%
Avg Implied -
47%
26%
27%
covers Draw + Moreirense
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AroucaArouca

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D22D00D00D01L11D00D10W00DH·BEN14/03A·MOR21/03H·EST06/04A·SC 12/04H·EST19/04A·ALV24/04H·SAN02/05A·GIL11/05H·TON16/05A·GUI08/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.870.620.920.470.82
vs Stronger (8)0.251.250.501.500.001.00
vs Similar (22)0.640.730.670.670.620.77
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Moreirense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MoreirenseMoreirense

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D01L10W10W12L12L01L00D11DA·FC 15/03H·ARO21/03H·SC 04/04A·FAM10/04H·EST20/04A·BEN25/04H·EST02/05A·TON11/05H·AVS16/05H·SC 09/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.630.400.600.530.67
vs Stronger (8)0.381.120.400.800.331.67
vs Similar (22)0.500.450.400.500.580.42
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Arouca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arouca over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arouca over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arouca over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AroucaArouca

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L10W10W01L10W11D11D31W21W10WH·BEN14/03A·MOR21/03H·EST06/04A·SC 12/04H·EST19/04A·ALV24/04H·SAN02/05A·GIL11/05H·TON16/05A·GUI08/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.771.000.620.760.88
vs Stronger (8)0.621.120.751.000.501.25
vs Similar (22)0.950.641.110.440.850.77
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Moreirense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MoreirenseMoreirense

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L00D01L00D02L20W01L00D11DA·FC 15/03H·ARO21/03H·SC 04/04A·FAM10/04H·EST20/04A·BEN25/04H·EST02/05A·TON11/05H·AVS16/05H·SC 09/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.870.600.800.530.93
vs Stronger (8)0.251.500.201.600.331.33
vs Similar (22)0.680.640.800.400.580.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Arouca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arouca over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arouca over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arouca over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls94.5%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards91.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls88.1%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.580.4%1.35
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
BetVictor
1.36
Betfair
1.36
+11.2%✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards80.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners79.5%1.19
Betano
1.22
Unibet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.16
-+3.3%✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls78.0%-------✗ Miss
Home or Away73.9%-------✓ Hit
Home or Draw73.2%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Arouca
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ivan Barbero75%
Jose Fontán25%
Dylan Nandín25%
Espen Van Ee25%
Javi Sánchez0%
Orest Lebedenko0%
Naïs Djouahra0%
Ignacio de Arruabarrena0%
Tiago Esgaio0%
Pablo Gozálbez0%
Brian Mansilla0%
Alfonso Trezza0%
Taichi Fukui0%
Pedro Santos0%
Hyun-ju Lee0%
Mateo Flores0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Javi Sánchez50%
Dylan Nandín50%
Hyun-ju Lee33%
Ivan Barbero25%
Orest Lebedenko25%
Ignacio de Arruabarrena25%
Naïs Djouahra0%
Tiago Esgaio0%
Pablo Gozálbez0%
Brian Mansilla0%
Jose Fontán0%
Alfonso Trezza0%
Taichi Fukui0%
Pedro Santos0%
Mateo Flores0%
Espen Van Ee0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Naïs Djouahra50%
Hyun-ju Lee33%
Pablo Gozálbez25%
Alfonso Trezza25%
Javi Sánchez0%
Ivan Barbero0%
Orest Lebedenko0%
Ignacio de Arruabarrena0%
Tiago Esgaio0%
Brian Mansilla0%
Jose Fontán0%
Dylan Nandín0%
Taichi Fukui0%
Pedro Santos0%
Mateo Flores0%
Espen Van Ee0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ivan Barbero25%
Naïs Djouahra25%
Taichi Fukui25%
Javi Sánchez0%
Orest Lebedenko0%
Ignacio de Arruabarrena0%
Tiago Esgaio0%
Pablo Gozálbez0%
Brian Mansilla0%
Jose Fontán0%
Alfonso Trezza0%
Dylan Nandín0%
Pedro Santos0%
Hyun-ju Lee0%
Mateo Flores0%
Espen Van Ee0%
Moreirense
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nile John33%
João Veloso33%
Kiko33%
André Ferreira0%
Guilherme Liberato0%
Alexandre Parsemain0%
Gilberto Batista0%
Rodrigo Alonso0%
Mateja Stjepanović0%
Landerson0%
Leandro Santos0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nile John67%
Kiko67%
Guilherme Liberato33%
Gilberto Batista33%
Rodrigo Alonso33%
Leandro Santos33%
André Ferreira0%
Alexandre Parsemain0%
João Veloso0%
Mateja Stjepanović0%
Landerson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alexandre Parsemain33%
João Veloso33%
André Ferreira0%
Nile John0%
Guilherme Liberato0%
Gilberto Batista0%
Rodrigo Alonso0%
Kiko0%
Mateja Stjepanović0%
Landerson0%
Leandro Santos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
André Ferreira0%
Nile John0%
Guilherme Liberato0%
Alexandre Parsemain0%
Gilberto Batista0%
Rodrigo Alonso0%
João Veloso0%
Kiko0%
Mateja Stjepanović0%
Landerson0%
Leandro Santos0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
ALV (30)
€39m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
AV (27)
€16m
MAR (27)
€16m
Arouca's squad is €5m more valuable than Moreirense's (€28m vs €22m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ALV (8)
€15m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
AV (11)
€8m
MAR (10)
€7m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
MOR (5)
€5m
Arouca's attack is €7m more valuable than Moreirense's (€11m vs €5m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
ALV (8)
€6m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
MAR (6)
€3m
EST (5)
€3m
AV (6)
€3m
Arouca and Moreirense have a similar midfield value (both €8m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
ALV (14)
€18m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
MAR (11)
€6m
AV (10)
€6m
Arouca and Moreirense have a similar defence value (both €8m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
ARO wins
1
Draws
5
MOR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Arouca vs Moreirense · H/A from ARO
DateH/AGameScore
21/03/26AMoreirense Vs ARO0-1
02/11/25HARO Vs Moreirense0-2
24/01/25HARO Vs Moreirense1-0
18/08/24AMoreirense Vs ARO3-1
17/03/24AMoreirense Vs ARO1-0
27/10/23HARO Vs Moreirense0-1
26/02/22HARO Vs Moreirense1-1
25/09/21AMoreirense Vs ARO2-1

AroucaArouca

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/08/26AGuimaraes Vs ARO0-1
16/05/26HARO Vs Tondela3-1
11/05/26AGIL Vicente Vs ARO1-3
02/05/26HARO Vs Santa Clara2-2
24/04/26AAlverca Vs ARO2-1
19/04/26HARO Vs Estrela1-0
12/04/26ASC Braga Vs ARO1-0
06/04/26HARO Vs Estoril3-2
21/03/26AMoreirense Vs ARO0-1
14/03/26HARO Vs Benfica1-2

MoreirenseMoreirense

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/08/26HMOR Vs SC Braga2-2
16/05/26HMOR Vs AVS0-0
11/05/26ATondela Vs MOR2-0
02/05/26HMOR Vs Estrela3-2
25/04/26ABenfica Vs MOR4-1
20/04/26HMOR Vs Estoril1-0
10/04/26AFamalicao Vs MOR1-1
04/04/26HMOR Vs SC Braga0-1
21/03/26HMOR Vs Arouca0-1
15/03/26AFC Porto Vs MOR3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Arouca
Arouca
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWW1.26
HomeLWWDW1.42
AwayWLLWW1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%38%31%
AVG goals3.023.082.96
Over 1.5 %78%83%73%
Over 2.5 %62%62%62%
Over 3.5 %42%46%38%
Scored1.341.501.19
Conceded1.681.581.77
BTTS58%58%58%
Clean Sheet22%21%23%
Corners9.109.628.58
Cards5.716.464.96
Moreirense
Moreirense
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDD1.22
HomeLWWDD1.52
AwayDLDLL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%40%24%
AVG goals2.642.602.68
Over 1.5 %76%72%80%
Over 2.5 %50%52%48%
Over 3.5 %28%32%24%
Scored1.161.281.04
Conceded1.481.321.64
BTTS52%56%48%
Clean Sheet24%24%24%
Corners8.028.367.67
Cards5.125.045.21

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC PortoFC Porto412
100%
3.0
90+9
2.2
100%
25%
0%
11.0
75%
1.7
33%
22.5
75%
467
2141051482.20.0
55%
2Sporting CPSporting CP410
75%
2.5
125+7
4.2
100%
100%
100%
5.2
0%
4.2
50%
24.0
50%
414
146911763.01.2
62%
3AroucaArouca49
75%
2.2
73+4
2.5
75%
50%
25%
8.5
25%
4.8
50%
19.0
25%
28
11881.80.8
50%
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara48
50%
2.0
53+2
2.0
50%
25%
25%
9.5
50%
3.8
75%
27.5
100%
27
96121.20.8
48%
5BenficaBenfica37
67%
2.3
113+8
4.7
100%
100%
67%
8.3
33%
3.7
67%
25.3
100%
357
172771083.71.0
58%
6GIL VicenteGIL Vicente37
67%
2.3
30+3
1.0
33%
0%
0%
7.7
0%
4.3
67%
24.7
100%
29
118111.00.0
50%
7MaritimoMaritimo47
50%
1.8
65+1
2.8
75%
75%
25%
7.0
0%
4.5
50%
26.2
75%
16
7361.51.2
-
8EstrelaEstrela35
33%
1.7
76+1
4.3
100%
100%
100%
6.0
0%
4.7
67%
23.3
67%
20
63112.32.0
47%
9SC BragaSC Braga24
50%
2.0
32+1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
5.0
0%
5.0
100%
32.0
100%
165
4156681.51.0
63%
10NacionalNacional44
25%
1.0
66+0
3.0
75%
50%
50%
8.2
25%
4.2
50%
25.5
75%
20
6591.51.5
46%
11MoreirenseMoreirense34
33%
1.3
36-3
3.0
67%
67%
67%
6.3
0%
5.3
100%
28.3
67%
22
5891.02.0
50%
12GuimaraesGuimaraes43
25%
0.8
35-2
2.0
25%
25%
25%
6.0
0%
6.0
75%
26.0
75%
46
2211120.81.2
51%
13Rio AveRio Ave43
25%
0.8
27-5
2.2
75%
25%
25%
8.2
25%
3.0
33%
19.8
50%
37
88210.51.8
47%
14FamalicaoFamalicao42
0%
0.5
24-2
1.5
50%
25%
0%
9.5
50%
4.0
50%
28.2
100%
57
1620220.51.0
51%
15Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu42
0%
0.5
48-4
3.0
75%
75%
50%
7.2
25%
4.5
75%
28.8
100%
16
8361.02.0
-
16AlvercaAlverca42
0%
0.5
48-4
3.0
100%
50%
50%
8.2
50%
4.2
50%
20.8
75%
39
156181.02.0
45%
17EstorilEstoril41
0%
0.2
27-5
2.2
100%
25%
0%
10.5
50%
3.2
25%
25.5
100%
42
248100.51.8
53%
18Casa PiaCasa Pia40
0%
0.0
011-11
2.8
50%
25%
25%
6.0
0%
3.5
75%
27.0
100%
27
96120.02.8
41%
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Arouca
93'Javi Sánchez7.2
93'Orest Lebedenko7.2
93'Naïs Djouahra2A8.5
93'Ignacio de Arruabarrena7.0
93'Tiago Esgaio7.3
93'Jose Fontán⚽8.3
80'Espen Van Ee7.0
79'Taichi Fukui7.2
72'Alfonso Trezza6.9
72'Hyun-ju Lee1A6.6
59'Ivan Barbero⚽6.9
34'Dylan Nandín⚽6.7
21'Brian Mansilla6.5
21'Pablo Gozálbez7.2
14'Pedro Santos6.9
13'Mateo Flores6.3
Moreirense
93'Maracás4.9
93'André Ferreira5.9
93'Nile John6.3
93'Alexandre Parsemain6.0
93'Gilberto Batista7.0
93'Kiko5.5
85'Leandro Santos6.2
72'Rodrigo Alonso6.3
63'Landerson6.2
45'Afonso Vieira6.0
45'Guilherme Liberato6.3
48'João Veloso6.7
48'Dinis Pinto6.5
30'Kiko Bondoso6.6
21'Mateja Stjepanović6.3
8'Michael Dacosta Gonzalez6.3
Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

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