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Arouca vs Nacional Result & Analysis

Date: 21/02/2026
Time: 15:30
Final 3-0
Arouca
Arouca
Vs
35%
30%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Nacional
Nacional
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arouca win✓ Hit
34.6%
Avg Implied 40.3% · @ 2.30
Edge
-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.8%
Avg Implied 28.2% · @ 3.29
Edge
+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Nacional win✗ Miss
35.7%
Avg Implied 31.5% · @ 2.94
Edge
+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AroucaArouca

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L10W00D22D13L10W12L30W32W23LA·EST07/12H·ALV14/12A·SAN21/12H·GIL28/12A·TON03/01A·AVS17/01H·SPO24/01A·RIO31/01H·GUI07/02A·CAS14/02
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.931.361.711.252.12
vs Stronger (8)0.883.251.003.000.753.50
vs Similar (21)1.331.481.221.221.421.67
vs Weaker (1)4.001.004.001.00--
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NacionalNacional

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L31W22D12L33D12L40W12L00D01LA·ALV07/12H·TON15/12A·AVS21/12A·GUI02/01H·SAN11/01A·GIL17/01H·RIO25/01A·SPO01/02H·CAS08/02H·FC 15/02
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.601.431.861.121.38
vs Stronger (12)0.671.920.602.000.711.86
vs Similar (17)1.591.411.891.781.251.00
vs Weaker (1)3.001.00--3.001.00
Clean sheet %17% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Arouca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.0%
Under 1.5
28.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.9%
@ 1.86-4.8%
Under 2.5
55.1%
@ 1.84+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.6%
Under 3.5
76.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.6%
No
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
0-0
9.7%
0-1
9.2%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.3%
Arouca goals ↓
Nacional goals →
01234
09.7%9.2%6.6%2.7%0.9%
19.1%14%8.0%3.3%1.0%
26.3%7.9%4.9%2.0%0.6%
32.6%3.2%2.0%0.8%0.3%
40.8%1.0%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Arouca goals (down), columns = Nacional goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Porto
2.59
Sporting CP
2.41
Benfica
2.35
SC Braga
1.74
Famalicao
1.65
GIL Vicente
1.47
Moreirense
1.26
Guimaraes
1.24
Arouca
1.24
Alverca
1.15
Estoril
1.15
Santa Clara
1.06
Rio Ave
1.06
Nacional
1.00
Casa Pia
0.94
Estrela
0.88
Tondela
0.82
AVS
0.62
Torreense
0.50
Arouca is 0.24 points better than Nacional in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.62
Benfica
2.18
FC Porto
1.94
SC Braga
1.88
Estoril
1.59
GIL Vicente
1.38
Arouca
1.38
Famalicao
1.24
Guimaraes
1.15
Estrela
1.12
Moreirense
1.09
Nacional
1.09
Alverca
1.03
Rio Ave
1.03
Santa Clara
0.94
Casa Pia
0.92
AVS
0.79
Tondela
0.79
Torreense
0.00
Arouca is 0.29 goals better than Nacional in terms of goals scored per game (1.38 vs 1.09).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Porto
0.53
Sporting CP
0.71
Benfica
0.74
Famalicao
0.85
Torreense
1.00
SC Braga
1.06
GIL Vicente
1.12
Santa Clara
1.21
Nacional
1.32
Moreirense
1.44
Guimaraes
1.50
Alverca
1.53
Casa Pia
1.58
Tondela
1.62
Estrela
1.65
Estoril
1.68
Rio Ave
1.68
Arouca
1.88
AVS
1.97
Arouca is 0.56 goals worse than Nacional in terms of goals conceded per game (1.88 vs 1.32).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
SC Braga
63%
Sporting CP
62%
Torreense
60%
Benfica
58%
FC Porto
55%
Estoril
53%
Guimaraes
51%
Famalicao
51%
Arouca
50%
GIL Vicente
50%
Moreirense
50%
Santa Clara
48%
Rio Ave
47%
Estrela
47%
Nacional
46%
Alverca
45%
Tondela
44%
Casa Pia
41%
AVS
39%
Arouca is 4.1 percentage points better than Nacional in terms of average possession (50% vs 46%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AroucaArouca

For 4.4 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.8

🚩 Corners

13032165547329248428535571011511126138A·CASH·GUIA·RIOH·SPOA·AVSA·TONH·GILA·SANH·ALVA·EST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 3.3 · Total 6.2

🟨 Cards

1002514124564135222156175391047467A·CASH·GUIA·RIOH·SPOA·AVSA·TONH·GILA·SANH·ALVA·EST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 12.5 · Total 25.3

⚠️ Fouls

340821191515111112121171213514151511141229342623231918292626A·CASH·GUIA·RIOH·SPOA·AVSA·TONH·GILA·SANH·ALVA·EST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NacionalNacional

For 3.9 · Against 6.3 · Total 10.2

🚩 Corners

1305812111555728322931022131311101210511134H·FC H·CASA·SPOH·RIOA·GILH·SANA·GUIA·AVSH·TONA·ALV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.7

🟨 Cards

130423332144312671145333842132H·FC H·CASA·SPOH·RIOA·GILH·SANA·GUIA·AVSH·TONA·ALV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.2 · Against 11.5 · Total 26.7

⚠️ Fouls

3801311151115121861871411182011101117191024262724252538212829H·FC H·CASA·SPOH·RIOA·GILH·SANA·GUIA·AVSH·TONA·ALV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AroucaArouca

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.510.18.85.35.25.427.228.525.9
vs Stronger (14)10.510.011.05.46.04.723.624.722.4
vs Similar (34)9.010.08.05.14.95.228.829.927.5
vs Weaker (2)9.513.06.08.03.013.029.032.026.0
% over line45%54%35%76%72%80%81%88%74%
% under line55%46%65%24%28%20%19%12%26%
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NacionalNacional

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.510.810.15.16.24.026.926.727.0
vs Stronger (19)10.212.18.64.76.63.325.224.825.5
vs Similar (30)10.710.211.25.55.94.827.927.628.2
vs Weaker (1)---0.0-0.0---
% over line60%64%57%62%80%44%85%84%87%
% under line40%36%43%38%20%56%15%16%13%
This opponent (Arouca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Nacional
10.6
Famalicao
10.5
Torreense
10.5
Sporting CP
9.7
Benfica
9.7
Arouca
9.7
Rio Ave
9.6
Tondela
9.5
Casa Pia
9.4
GIL Vicente
9.3
Guimaraes
9.3
AVS
9.2
Estoril
9.1
Estrela
9.1
Santa Clara
8.8
FC Porto
8.8
SC Braga
8.5
Alverca
8.2
Moreirense
8.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Santa Clara
6.7
Torreense
5.9
Sporting CP
5.8
Casa Pia
5.7
FC Porto
5.7
Arouca
5.6
Guimaraes
5.6
Famalicao
5.4
AVS
5.4
Estrela
5.3
Benfica
5.3
Nacional
5.3
Moreirense
5.1
GIL Vicente
5.1
Rio Ave
5.1
Tondela
5.0
Alverca
5.0
Estoril
4.5
SC Braga
4.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Famalicao
31.7
Estrela
31.0
Moreirense
30.7
Santa Clara
30.7
Guimaraes
29.0
GIL Vicente
28.2
Rio Ave
28.1
Casa Pia
28.0
Estoril
28.0
AVS
27.2
Arouca
27.2
Nacional
27.1
Sporting CP
26.7
FC Porto
26.5
Benfica
25.7
SC Braga
24.5
Tondela
21.2
Alverca
18.6
Torreense
13.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
49.1%
Under 9.5
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
75.7%
Under 3.5
24.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
87.3%
Under 21.5
12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AroucaArouca

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D00D21W12L10W01L10W12L23LA·EST07/12H·ALV14/12A·SAN21/12H·GIL28/12A·TON03/01A·AVS17/01H·SPO24/01A·RIO31/01H·GUI07/02A·CAS14/02
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.000.570.860.561.12
vs Stronger (8)0.251.750.251.750.251.75
vs Similar (21)0.570.710.440.440.670.92
vs Weaker (1)3.001.003.001.00--
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NacionalNacional

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D02L00D22D11D10W00D00D00DA·ALV07/12H·TON15/12A·AVS21/12A·GUI02/01H·SAN11/01A·GIL17/01H·RIO25/01A·SPO01/02H·CAS08/02H·FC 15/02
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.670.360.790.620.56
vs Stronger (12)0.170.580.200.400.140.71
vs Similar (17)0.590.760.441.000.750.50
vs Weaker (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Arouca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arouca over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arouca over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arouca over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AroucaArouca

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W00D01L01L00D11D20W20W00DA·EST07/12H·ALV14/12A·SAN21/12H·GIL28/12A·TON03/01A·AVS17/01H·SPO24/01A·RIO31/01H·GUI07/02A·CAS14/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.930.790.860.691.00
vs Stronger (8)0.621.500.751.250.501.75
vs Similar (21)0.760.760.780.780.750.75
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NacionalNacional

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L31W20W12L11D01L30W12L00D01LA·ALV07/12H·TON15/12A·AVS21/12A·GUI02/01H·SAN11/01A·GIL17/01H·RIO25/01A·SPO01/02H·CAS08/02H·FC 15/02
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.931.071.070.500.81
vs Stronger (12)0.501.330.401.600.571.14
vs Similar (17)1.000.651.440.780.500.50
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Arouca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arouca over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arouca over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arouca over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls94.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards88.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls87.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls76.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.576.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards75.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners74.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.0%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Arouca
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ivan Barbero26%
Alfonso Trezza25%
Hyun-ju Lee23%
Naïs Djouahra15%
Taichi Fukui12%
Tiago Esgaio10%
Espen Van Ee8%
Jose Fontán7%
Bas Kuipers6%
Boris Popović6%
Dylan Nandín5%
Miguel Puche4%
Pablo Gozálbez4%
Javi Sánchez0%
David Simão0%
Nico Mantl0%
João Valido0%
Alex Pinto0%
Ignacio de Arruabarrena0%
Amadou Dante0%
Arnau Solà0%
Brian Mansilla0%
Matías Rocha0%
Fally Mayulu0%
Diogo Monteiro0%
Pedro Santos0%
Yellu Santiago0%
Omar Fayed0%
Mateo Flores0%
José Silva0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Omar Fayed50%
Javi Sánchez40%
Matías Rocha36%
Tiago Esgaio34%
Ignacio de Arruabarrena31%
Alex Pinto29%
Espen Van Ee27%
Jose Fontán27%
David Simão25%
Pedro Santos25%
Hyun-ju Lee23%
Bas Kuipers18%
Boris Popović18%
Mateo Flores17%
Ivan Barbero16%
Miguel Puche15%
Pablo Gozálbez14%
Diogo Monteiro12%
Arnau Solà10%
Dylan Nandín10%
Alfonso Trezza6%
Taichi Fukui6%
Naïs Djouahra6%
Brian Mansilla5%
Nico Mantl0%
João Valido0%
Amadou Dante0%
Fally Mayulu0%
Yellu Santiago0%
José Silva0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tiago Esgaio17%
Bas Kuipers12%
Arnau Solà10%
Jose Fontán10%
Hyun-ju Lee10%
Dylan Nandín10%
Taichi Fukui9%
Naïs Djouahra9%
Pablo Gozálbez7%
Javi Sánchez7%
Ivan Barbero6%
Alfonso Trezza6%
Espen Van Ee4%
Miguel Puche4%
David Simão0%
Nico Mantl0%
João Valido0%
Alex Pinto0%
Ignacio de Arruabarrena0%
Amadou Dante0%
Boris Popović0%
Brian Mansilla0%
Matías Rocha0%
Fally Mayulu0%
Diogo Monteiro0%
Pedro Santos0%
Yellu Santiago0%
Omar Fayed0%
Mateo Flores0%
José Silva0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ivan Barbero13%
Alfonso Trezza12%
Hyun-ju Lee7%
Dylan Nandín5%
Espen Van Ee4%
Naïs Djouahra3%
Javi Sánchez0%
David Simão0%
Nico Mantl0%
João Valido0%
Alex Pinto0%
Bas Kuipers0%
Ignacio de Arruabarrena0%
Tiago Esgaio0%
Amadou Dante0%
Miguel Puche0%
Pablo Gozálbez0%
Arnau Solà0%
Boris Popović0%
Brian Mansilla0%
Jose Fontán0%
Matías Rocha0%
Fally Mayulu0%
Diogo Monteiro0%
Taichi Fukui0%
Pedro Santos0%
Yellu Santiago0%
Omar Fayed0%
Mateo Flores0%
José Silva0%
Nacional
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jesús Ramírez42%
Ze Vitor13%
Paulinho Bóia12%
Léo Santos10%
Gabriel Veron8%
Miguel Baeza7%
Filipe Soares6%
Alan Núñez5%
Witiness Quembo4%
José Gomes4%
Chiheb Labidi4%
Liziero0%
Lucas João0%
Lenny Vallier0%
João Aurélio0%
Lucas França0%
André Sousa0%
Ulisses0%
Matheus Dias0%
Kaique0%
Daniel Júnior0%
Martim Gustavo Watts0%
Francisco Gonçalves0%
Joel Silva0%
Motez Nourani0%
Pablo Ruan0%
Deivison Souza Brito0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ulisses60%
Léo Santos39%
Lenny Vallier36%
Ze Vitor27%
Chiheb Labidi25%
Deivison Souza Brito25%
Matheus Dias23%
Liziero21%
Francisco Gonçalves20%
Paulinho Bóia18%
Jesús Ramírez18%
Daniel Júnior18%
Lucas França17%
Filipe Soares17%
Motez Nourani17%
Gabriel Veron15%
João Aurélio14%
Martim Gustavo Watts14%
Pablo Ruan13%
Witiness Quembo12%
José Gomes11%
Kaique11%
Alan Núñez10%
André Sousa8%
Miguel Baeza7%
Joel Silva6%
Lucas João5%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
José Gomes19%
André Sousa17%
Liziero14%
Alan Núñez10%
Léo Santos6%
Paulinho Bóia6%
Daniel Júnior6%
Lucas João5%
Witiness Quembo4%
Chiheb Labidi4%
Ze Vitor3%
Matheus Dias3%
Lenny Vallier0%
João Aurélio0%
Lucas França0%
Filipe Soares0%
Ulisses0%
Jesús Ramírez0%
Miguel Baeza0%
Gabriel Veron0%
Kaique0%
Martim Gustavo Watts0%
Francisco Gonçalves0%
Joel Silva0%
Motez Nourani0%
Pablo Ruan0%
Deivison Souza Brito0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jesús Ramírez48%
Paulinho Bóia12%
Miguel Baeza7%
Ze Vitor7%
Pablo Ruan4%
Witiness Quembo4%
Chiheb Labidi4%
Liziero0%
Léo Santos0%
Lucas João0%
Lenny Vallier0%
João Aurélio0%
Lucas França0%
Filipe Soares0%
José Gomes0%
André Sousa0%
Ulisses0%
Gabriel Veron0%
Matheus Dias0%
Alan Núñez0%
Kaique0%
Daniel Júnior0%
Martim Gustavo Watts0%
Francisco Gonçalves0%
Joel Silva0%
Motez Nourani0%
Deivison Souza Brito0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
ALV (30)
€39m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
TOR (32)
€19m
TON (20)
€10m
AVS (20)
€7m
Arouca's squad is €8m more valuable than Nacional's (€28m vs €20m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ALV (8)
€15m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
TOR (12)
€7m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
MOR (5)
€5m
AVS (8)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
Arouca's attack is €6m more valuable than Nacional's (€11m vs €6m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
ALV (8)
€6m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
EST (5)
€3m
TOR (5)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
Arouca's midfield is €3m more valuable than Nacional's (€8m vs €5m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
ALV (14)
€18m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
TOR (15)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
TON (9)
€6m
AVS (10)
€3m
Arouca and Nacional have a similar defence value (both €8m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
5
ARO wins
2
Draws
0
NAC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Arouca vs Nacional · H/A from ARO
DateH/AGameScore
20/09/25ANacional Vs ARO1-2
01/02/25ANacional Vs ARO1-2
25/08/24HARO Vs Nacional1-0
28/01/17ANacional Vs ARO1-1
21/08/16HARO Vs Nacional2-0
01/05/16HARO Vs Nacional3-0
02/01/16ANacional Vs ARO2-2

AroucaArouca

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/02/26ACasa Pia Vs ARO3-2
07/02/26HARO Vs Guimaraes3-2
31/01/26ARio Ave Vs ARO0-3
24/01/26HARO Vs Sporting CP1-2
17/01/26AAVS Vs ARO0-1
03/01/26ATondela Vs ARO3-1
28/12/25HARO Vs GIL Vicente2-2
21/12/25ASanta Clara Vs ARO0-0
14/12/25HARO Vs Alverca1-0
07/12/25AEstrela Vs ARO3-1

NacionalNacional

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/02/26HNAC Vs FC Porto0-1
08/02/26HNAC Vs Casa Pia0-0
01/02/26ASporting CP Vs NAC2-1
25/01/26HNAC Vs Rio Ave4-0
17/01/26AGIL Vicente Vs NAC2-1
11/01/26HNAC Vs Santa Clara3-3
02/01/26AGuimaraes Vs NAC2-1
21/12/25AAVS Vs NAC2-2
15/12/25HNAC Vs Tondela3-1
07/12/25AAlverca Vs NAC1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Arouca
Arouca
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWL1.14
HomeLWDLW1.16
AwayDLWWL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%28%28%
AVG goals2.962.723.20
Over 1.5 %82%80%84%
Over 2.5 %60%48%72%
Over 3.5 %38%32%44%
Scored1.241.161.32
Conceded1.721.561.88
BTTS62%56%68%
Clean Sheet20%20%20%
Corners9.4910.128.83
Cards5.605.385.83
Nacional
Nacional
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDL1.06
HomeWDWDL1.28
AwayLDLLL0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%36%20%
AVG goals2.662.882.44
Over 1.5 %76%76%76%
Over 2.5 %52%60%44%
Over 3.5 %26%36%16%
Scored1.201.440.96
Conceded1.461.441.48
BTTS52%52%52%
Clean Sheet20%24%16%
Corners10.4810.8410.09
Cards5.276.164.30

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC PortoFC Porto3488
82%
2.6
6618+48
2.5
71%
56%
24%
8.6
35%
5.5
82%
26.4
71%
467
2141051481.90.5
55%
2Sporting CPSporting CP3482
74%
2.4
8924+65
3.3
91%
71%
35%
9.9
53%
5.2
62%
25.9
79%
414
146911762.60.7
62%
3BenficaBenfica3480
68%
2.4
7425+49
2.9
88%
71%
32%
10.0
56%
5.3
73%
26.8
74%
357
172771082.20.7
58%
4SC BragaSC Braga3459
47%
1.7
6436+28
2.9
76%
68%
38%
8.4
32%
5.0
79%
23.5
62%
165
4156681.91.1
63%
5FamalicaoFamalicao3456
44%
1.6
4229+13
2.1
53%
38%
24%
10.4
56%
5.1
68%
32.1
94%
57
1620221.20.9
51%
6GIL VicenteGIL Vicente3450
38%
1.5
4738+9
2.5
76%
53%
26%
9.5
50%
5.1
67%
28.2
85%
29
118111.41.1
50%
7MoreirenseMoreirense3443
35%
1.3
3749-12
2.5
74%
50%
21%
8.4
35%
4.9
68%
29.2
94%
22
5891.11.4
50%
8GuimaraesGuimaraes3442
35%
1.2
3951-12
2.6
76%
44%
24%
8.4
38%
5.2
74%
29.6
88%
46
2211121.11.5
51%
9AroucaArouca3442
35%
1.2
4764-17
3.3
79%
68%
50%
9.0
44%
5.7
79%
25.9
79%
28
11881.41.9
50%
10EstorilEstoril3439
29%
1.1
5457-3
3.3
76%
62%
53%
9.3
41%
4.9
88%
25.8
82%
42
248101.61.7
53%
11AlvercaAlverca3439
29%
1.1
3552-17
2.6
76%
50%
24%
8.9
44%
4.9
64%
26.4
71%
39
156181.01.5
45%
12Santa ClaraSanta Clara3436
26%
1.1
3241-9
2.1
56%
35%
15%
9.0
50%
6.1
85%
29.5
94%
27
96120.91.2
48%
13Rio AveRio Ave3436
24%
1.1
3557-22
2.7
82%
59%
29%
10.8
68%
5.2
62%
27.4
79%
37
88211.01.7
47%
14NacionalNacional3434
26%
1.0
3745-8
2.4
74%
41%
18%
10.8
68%
5.7
74%
27.2
88%
20
6591.11.3
46%
15Casa PiaCasa Pia3634
19%
0.9
3357-24
2.5
75%
42%
28%
10.0
50%
5.6
83%
29.8
92%
27
96120.91.6
41%
16EstrelaEstrela3430
18%
0.9
3856-18
2.8
74%
53%
38%
9.1
35%
5.6
82%
29.7
97%
20
63111.11.6
47%
17TondelaTondela3428
18%
0.8
2755-28
2.4
68%
50%
29%
9.8
50%
5.4
71%
26.8
82%
10
2160.81.6
44%
18AVSAVS3421
9%
0.6
2767-40
2.8
79%
59%
38%
9.5
47%
5.0
67%
24.7
71%
7
3230.82.0
39%
19TorreenseTorreense21
0%
0.5
02-2
1.0
50%
0%
0%
11.5
50%
6.5
100%
25.5
100%
19
72100.01.0
60%
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches