AS Roma are the clear favourites, with a 47% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 25% for Fiorentina to triumph. The model predicts an average of 2.6 goals, most likely a 2-goal total, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1 at 13.5%. Roma’s home form shows they average 1.78 goals scored and only 0.89 conceded against similarly strong opponents, while Fiorentina’s away record is 1.44 scored and 1.44 conceded. The suggested picks are: Over 19.5 fouls86.9%, Under 11.5 corners86.8%, Over 2.5 cards81.6%, Under 10.5 corners78.9%, Over 21.5 fouls75.7%, Under 3.574.5%, Over 1.573.7%, and Under 5.5 cards71.8%. Roma’s recent five-game winning streak, highlighted by a 4-0 victory over Lecce, contrasts sharply with Fiorentina’s three-match slump that included a 0-3 loss to Frosinone. The match is expected to be a high-scoring affair, favouring the hosts.
Results analysis
The 1-0 win for AS Roma extended their five-game winning streak, confirming the model’s pre-match favourite of a home win at 47%. The prediction proved accurate. The model’s suggested picks were a mixed bag: Over 19.5 fouls (86.9%) missed, Under 11.5 corners (86.8%) hit, Over 2.5 cards (81.6%) hit, Under 10.5 corners (78.9%) missed, Over 21.5 fouls (75.7%) missed, Under 3.5 (74.5%) hit, Over 1.5 (73.7%) missed, and Under 5.5 cards (71.8%) hit. The final score of 1-0 matched the most likely 1-1 or 1-0 outcome, with the model’s 2-goal expectation slightly over-estimated. Overall, the model’s call on the winner was spot on, while most ancillary selections fell short.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
AS Roma win✓ Hit
46.5%
Avg Implied 57.5% · @ 1.65
Edge
-11.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.3%
Avg Implied 24.6% · @ 3.85
Edge
+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina win✗ Miss
25.2%
Avg Implied 17.8% · @ 5.32
Edge
+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
AS Roma
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
0.83
2.27
0.67
1.00
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
1.28
1.11
1.78
0.89
0.78
1.33
vs Weaker (12)
2.17
0.42
3.00
0.33
1.33
0.50
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fiorentina
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.20
1.88
0.94
1.36
1.50
vs Stronger (6)
1.67
1.50
2.00
1.00
1.33
2.00
vs Similar (18)
1.67
1.17
1.89
0.89
1.44
1.44
vs Weaker (6)
1.50
1.00
1.75
1.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Roma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
73.7%
Under 1.5
26.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.1%
@ 1.98-1.0%
Under 2.5
52.9%
@ 1.84+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.5%
Under 3.5
74.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.9%
No
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
1-0 ✓
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
9.0%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
4.9%
AS Roma goals ↓
Fiorentina goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.0%
6.9%
4.3%
1.5%
0.4%
1
10%
13%
6.5%
2.3%
0.6%
2
8.8%
9.2%
4.9%
1.7%
0.4%
3
4.4%
4.6%
2.4%
0.9%
0.2%
4
1.7%
1.8%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AS Roma goals (down), columns = Fiorentina goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Napoli
2.16
Inter
2.13
Atalanta
1.95
Juventus
1.84
AS Roma
1.82
Fiorentina
1.71
Lazio
1.71
AC Milan
1.66
Bologna
1.63
Como
1.29
Udinese
1.16
Torino
1.16
Genoa
1.13
Hellas Verona
0.97
Cagliari
0.95
Parma
0.95
Lecce
0.89
Empoli
0.82
Venezia
0.76
Monza
0.47
AS Roma is 0.11 points better than Fiorentina in terms of average points per game (1.82 vs 1.71).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Inter
2.08
Atalanta
2.05
Lazio
1.61
AC Milan
1.61
Fiorentina
1.58
Napoli
1.55
Juventus
1.53
Bologna
1.50
AS Roma
1.47
Como
1.29
Parma
1.16
Udinese
1.08
Cagliari
1.05
Torino
1.03
Genoa
0.97
Hellas Verona
0.89
Empoli
0.87
Venezia
0.84
Monza
0.74
Lecce
0.71
AS Roma is 0.11 goals worse than Fiorentina in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.58).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Napoli
0.71
Inter
0.92
Juventus
0.92
AS Roma
0.92
Atalanta
0.97
Fiorentina
1.08
AC Milan
1.13
Torino
1.18
Bologna
1.24
Genoa
1.29
Lazio
1.29
Como
1.37
Udinese
1.47
Venezia
1.47
Cagliari
1.47
Lecce
1.53
Parma
1.53
Empoli
1.55
Hellas Verona
1.74
Monza
1.82
AS Roma is 0.16 goals better than Fiorentina in terms of goals conceded per game (0.92 vs 1.08).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Inter
59%
Bologna
59%
Juventus
58%
Atalanta
55%
Lazio
55%
Como
55%
Napoli
55%
AC Milan
54%
AS Roma
54%
Fiorentina
51%
Monza
49%
Torino
47%
Udinese
47%
Genoa
46%
Venezia
45%
Cagliari
45%
Parma
44%
Lecce
44%
Empoli
41%
Hellas Verona
38%
AS Roma is 2.8 percentage points better than Fiorentina in terms of average possession (54% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
AS Roma
For 4.3 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.4 · Against 12.9 · Total 21.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Fiorentina
For 2.8 · Against 4.8 · Total 7.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.5 · Against 15.4 · Total 29.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AS Roma
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
8.4
9.3
4.6
4.2
4.9
23.6
23.5
23.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
9.2
8.2
10.1
5.6
5.4
5.7
23.9
24.8
23.2
vs Weaker (25)
8.4
8.5
8.3
3.6
3.2
3.9
23.3
22.5
24.2
% over line
40%
29%
50%
64%
54%
73%
62%
58%
65%
% under line
60%
71%
50%
36%
46%
27%
38%
42%
35%
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fiorentina
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.4
8.8
8.2
5.0
4.7
5.3
27.3
29.0
25.9
vs Stronger (6)
7.8
6.5
8.7
3.3
2.0
4.7
24.6
27.0
23.0
vs Similar (29)
8.5
8.3
8.7
5.3
5.7
4.9
28.1
30.0
26.4
vs Weaker (15)
8.5
10.4
6.9
5.1
3.7
6.2
26.7
27.4
26.1
% over line
33%
43%
23%
74%
67%
81%
86%
91%
81%
% under line
67%
57%
77%
26%
33%
19%
14%
9%
19%
This opponent (AS Roma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lecce
10.5
Udinese
10.3
Parma
10.2
Lazio
10.1
AC Milan
10.0
Empoli
10.0
Venezia
9.8
Napoli
9.7
Cagliari
9.5
Torino
9.4
Genoa
9.4
Hellas Verona
9.4
Juventus
9.3
Inter
9.2
Monza
8.9
AS Roma
8.8
Como
8.6
Fiorentina
8.4
Bologna
8.4
Atalanta
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lazio
5.8
Fiorentina
5.0
Bologna
5.0
Como
4.8
Udinese
4.7
AS Roma
4.7
Parma
4.6
Monza
4.4
Hellas Verona
4.4
AC Milan
4.3
Venezia
4.1
Torino
4.1
Lecce
4.1
Cagliari
4.0
Genoa
4.0
Empoli
3.9
Juventus
3.7
Napoli
3.4
Atalanta
3.4
Inter
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bologna
29.9
Empoli
27.9
Como
27.9
Monza
27.5
Fiorentina
27.4
Venezia
26.3
Hellas Verona
25.4
Udinese
25.0
Lazio
24.7
Genoa
24.6
Lecce
24.4
Cagliari
24.4
Torino
24.2
Parma
23.6
AS Roma
23.6
Napoli
22.7
Juventus
22.6
AC Milan
22.5
Atalanta
22.2
Inter
22.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
31.7%
Under 9.5
68.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
64.2%
Under 3.5
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
75.7%
Under 21.5
24.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
AS Roma
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.37
0.87
0.40
0.40
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.56
0.44
0.67
0.44
0.44
0.44
vs Weaker (12)
0.75
0.25
1.17
0.33
0.33
0.17
Clean sheet %
67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fiorentina
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.40
1.12
0.12
0.79
0.71
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.33
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (18)
1.00
0.44
1.11
0.11
0.89
0.78
vs Weaker (6)
1.17
0.00
1.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Roma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AS Roma over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Roma over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Roma over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
AS Roma
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.47
1.40
0.27
0.60
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.72
0.67
1.11
0.44
0.33
0.89
vs Weaker (12)
1.42
0.17
1.83
0.00
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fiorentina
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.80
0.75
0.81
0.57
0.79
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
0.83
1.33
0.67
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.72
0.78
0.78
0.56
0.67
vs Weaker (6)
0.33
1.00
0.25
1.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Roma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AS Roma over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Roma over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Roma over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
86.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
AS Roma
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Artem Dovbyk36%
Alexis Saelemaekers23%
Eldor Shomurodov19%
Paulo Dybala17%
Matías Soulé13%
Leandro Paredes12%
Saud Abdulhamid12%
Bryan Cristante11%
Lorenzo Pellegrini9%
Angeliño8%
Mario Hermoso8%
Niccolò Pisilli7%
Gianluca Mancini7%
Mats Hummels5%
Stephan El Shaarawy5%
Tommaso Baldanzi5%
Manu Koné4%
Zeki Çelik2%
Evan Ndicka2%
Mile Svilar0%
Victor Nelsson0%
Enzo Le Fée0%
Samuel Dahl0%
Anass Salah-Eddine0%
Devyne Rensch0%
Lucas Gourna-Douath0%
Nicola Zalewski0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lucas Gourna-Douath33%
Leandro Paredes25%
Bryan Cristante24%
Alexis Saelemaekers23%
Manu Koné20%
Niccolò Pisilli20%
Gianluca Mancini17%
Zeki Çelik16%
Mats Hummels15%
Lorenzo Pellegrini15%
Paulo Dybala11%
Matías Soulé10%
Enzo Le Fée10%
Tommaso Baldanzi10%
Eldor Shomurodov8%
Mario Hermoso8%
Devyne Rensch6%
Stephan El Shaarawy5%
Angeliño4%
Mile Svilar4%
Evan Ndicka4%
Artem Dovbyk2%
Victor Nelsson0%
Saud Abdulhamid0%
Samuel Dahl0%
Anass Salah-Eddine0%
Nicola Zalewski0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Anass Salah-Eddine33%
Alexis Saelemaekers16%
Eldor Shomurodov14%
Matías Soulé13%
Saud Abdulhamid12%
Paulo Dybala11%
Angeliño10%
Stephan El Shaarawy7%
Zeki Çelik7%
Artem Dovbyk7%
Manu Koné7%
Leandro Paredes6%
Lorenzo Pellegrini6%
Nicola Zalewski6%
Devyne Rensch6%
Bryan Cristante5%
Tommaso Baldanzi2%
Niccolò Pisilli2%
Gianluca Mancini2%
Evan Ndicka2%
Mats Hummels0%
Mile Svilar0%
Mario Hermoso0%
Victor Nelsson0%
Enzo Le Fée0%
Samuel Dahl0%
Lucas Gourna-Douath0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Paulo Dybala25%
Artem Dovbyk20%
Lorenzo Pellegrini18%
Matías Soulé15%
Eldor Shomurodov11%
Stephan El Shaarawy7%
Mats Hummels5%
Niccolò Pisilli5%
Evan Ndicka4%
Alexis Saelemaekers3%
Leandro Paredes3%
Bryan Cristante3%
Manu Koné2%
Gianluca Mancini2%
Angeliño2%
Mile Svilar0%
Mario Hermoso0%
Victor Nelsson0%
Enzo Le Fée0%
Zeki Çelik0%
Saud Abdulhamid0%
Samuel Dahl0%
Anass Salah-Eddine0%
Devyne Rensch0%
Lucas Gourna-Douath0%
Nicola Zalewski0%
Tommaso Baldanzi0%
Fiorentina
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Moise Kean48%
Lucas Martínez Quarta25%
Rolando Mandragora21%
Albert Guðmundsson21%
Robin Gosens17%
Riccardo Sottil16%
Yacine Adli14%
Jonathan Ikoné13%
Lucas Beltrán13%
Nicolò Fagioli10%
Cristiano Biraghi8%
Edoardo Bove7%
Luca Ranieri6%
Danilo Cataldi6%
Amir Richardson5%
Fabiano Parisi5%
Christian Kouamé4%
Andrea Colpani3%
Pietro Comuzzo2%
Sofyan Amrabat0%
Nicolò Zaniolo0%
David De Gea0%
Marin Pongračić0%
Pietro Terracciano0%
Dodô0%
Pablo Marí0%
Michael Folorunsho0%
Cher Ndour0%
Michael Kayode0%
Matias Moreno0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Michael Folorunsho42%
Nicolò Zaniolo31%
Dodô26%
Marin Pongračić25%
Lucas Martínez Quarta25%
Matias Moreno25%
Rolando Mandragora21%
Luca Ranieri21%
Moise Kean20%
Edoardo Bove20%
Amir Richardson18%
Robin Gosens17%
Pietro Comuzzo16%
Cristiano Biraghi15%
Pablo Marí15%
Fabiano Parisi15%
Christian Kouamé15%
Lucas Beltrán13%
Cher Ndour11%
Yacine Adli9%
Riccardo Sottil8%
Danilo Cataldi6%
Albert Guðmundsson6%
Nicolò Fagioli5%
Andrea Colpani3%
David De Gea2%
Sofyan Amrabat0%
Jonathan Ikoné0%
Pietro Terracciano0%
Michael Kayode0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Yacine Adli20%
Edoardo Bove20%
Robin Gosens20%
Christian Kouamé19%
Rolando Mandragora14%
Dodô11%
Lucas Beltrán9%
Luca Ranieri8%
Michael Kayode8%
Riccardo Sottil8%
Cristiano Biraghi8%
Moise Kean7%
Albert Guðmundsson6%
Michael Folorunsho5%
Fabiano Parisi5%
Nicolò Fagioli5%
Jonathan Ikoné4%
Marin Pongračić4%
Andrea Colpani3%
Amir Richardson3%
David De Gea2%
Sofyan Amrabat0%
Nicolò Zaniolo0%
Danilo Cataldi0%
Lucas Martínez Quarta0%
Pietro Terracciano0%
Pablo Marí0%
Cher Ndour0%
Pietro Comuzzo0%
Matias Moreno0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Moise Kean57%
Christian Kouamé15%
Riccardo Sottil12%
Rolando Mandragora12%
Michael Folorunsho11%
Jonathan Ikoné9%
Andrea Colpani6%
Lucas Martínez Quarta6%
Robin Gosens5%
Albert Guðmundsson3%
Pietro Comuzzo2%
Lucas Beltrán2%
Sofyan Amrabat0%
Nicolò Zaniolo0%
Nicolò Fagioli0%
David De Gea0%
Marin Pongračić0%
Yacine Adli0%
Danilo Cataldi0%
Pietro Terracciano0%
Cristiano Biraghi0%
Luca Ranieri0%
Dodô0%
Pablo Marí0%
Fabiano Parisi0%
Edoardo Bove0%
Cher Ndour0%
Amir Richardson0%
Michael Kayode0%
Matias Moreno0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (25)
€694m
AM (33)
€585m
JUV (28)
€569m
COM (34)
€488m
AR (29)
€471m
NAP (33)
€459m
ATA (26)
€438m
FIO (28)
€330m
LAZ (35)
€240m
BOL (25)
€218m
GEN (32)
€182m
UDI (30)
€157m
TOR (31)
€144m
PAR (28)
€142m
CAG (31)
€134m
VEN (36)
€117m
LEC (31)
€72m
MON (29)
€70m
HV (34)
€57m
EMP (27)
€20m
AS Roma's squad is €141m more valuable than Fiorentina's (€471m vs €330m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (13)
€261m
JUV (10)
€240m
AM (8)
€223m
INT (5)
€220m
NAP (12)
€206m
ATA (7)
€158m
AR (6)
€138m
FIO (9)
€125m
BOL (8)
€104m
LAZ (9)
€60m
GEN (9)
€54m
CAG (11)
€51m
UDI (8)
€46m
TOR (10)
€43m
VEN (9)
€39m
PAR (8)
€35m
MON (11)
€26m
LEC (9)
€20m
HV (10)
€13m
EMP (9)
€11m
AS Roma's attack is €13m more valuable than Fiorentina's (€138m vs €125m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€232m
AM (11)
€153m
JUV (6)
€140m
ATA (10)
€128m
AR (5)
€118m
FIO (6)
€107m
NAP (7)
€101m
LAZ (8)
€86m
COM (7)
€83m
PAR (8)
€60m
TOR (8)
€46m
GEN (6)
€44m
UDI (8)
€39m
BOL (5)
€34m
VEN (11)
€31m
CAG (9)
€31m
MON (7)
€24m
LEC (8)
€16m
HV (9)
€14m
EMP (9)
€6m
AS Roma's midfield is €11m more valuable than Fiorentina's (€118m vs €107m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€242m
AR (18)
€215m
AM (14)
€209m
JUV (12)
€189m
ATA (9)
€153m
NAP (14)
€152m
COM (14)
€144m
FIO (13)
€98m
LAZ (18)
€93m
GEN (17)
€84m
BOL (12)
€79m
UDI (14)
€72m
TOR (13)
€54m
CAG (11)
€52m
VEN (16)
€47m
PAR (12)
€46m
LEC (14)
€37m
HV (15)
€30m
MON (11)
€20m
EMP (9)
€4m
AS Roma's defence is €117m more valuable than Fiorentina's (€215m vs €98m).
Italy: Serie A 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie A stats & trends →
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Napoli
Inter
Atalanta
Juventus
Lazio
AC Milan
Bologna
Como
Torino
Udinese
Genoa
Hellas Verona
Parma
Cagliari
Lecce
Empoli
Venezia
Monza