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Athletic Club vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: 03/12/2025
Time: 18:00
Final 0-3
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Vs
33%
31%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Spain: La Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Athletic Club win✗ Miss
33.0%
Avg Implied 22.7% · @ 4.17
Edge
+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.6%
Avg Implied 24.4% · @ 3.87
Edge
+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid win✓ Hit
36.4%
Avg Implied 52.9% · @ 1.79
Edge
-16.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Athletic ClubAthletic Club

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W00D31W01L23L02L10W04L00D20WH·MAL04/10A·ELC19/10H·QAR22/10H·GET25/10A·REA01/11A·NEW05/11H·OVI09/11A·BAR22/11A·SLA25/11A·LEV29/11
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.271.201.070.731.47
vs Stronger (5)0.202.800.002.500.333.00
vs Similar (15)1.131.331.801.400.801.30
vs Weaker (10)1.100.401.120.501.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridReal Madrid

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W10W10W21W40W01L00D22D43W11DH·VIL04/10A·GET19/10H·JUV22/10H·BAR26/10H·VAL01/11A·LIV04/11A·RAY09/11A·ELC23/11A·OLY26/11A·GIR30/11
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.971.072.000.691.941.35
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.382.251.331.001.403.00
vs Weaker (22)2.180.642.200.602.170.67
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Athletic Club) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.5%
Under 1.5
30.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
41.9%
@ 1.70-13.1%
Under 2.5
58.1%
@ 2.08+13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.2%
Under 3.5
78.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.2%
No
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
0-0
10.8%
0-1
10.2%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.2%
Athletic Club goals ↓
Real Madrid goals →
01234
011%10%7.0%2.8%0.9%
19.5%14%8.0%3.2%1.0%
26.2%7.5%4.6%1.8%0.6%
32.4%2.9%1.7%0.7%0.2%
40.7%0.8%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Athletic Club goals (down), columns = Real Madrid goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Barcelona
2.47
Real Madrid
2.26
Villarreal
1.89
Atletico Madrid
1.82
Real Betis
1.58
Celta Vigo
1.42
Getafe
1.34
Rayo Vallecano
1.32
Valencia
1.29
Real Sociedad
1.21
Espanyol
1.21
Athletic Club
1.18
Elche
1.13
Alaves
1.13
Sevilla
1.13
Levante
1.11
Mallorca
1.11
Osasuna
1.11
Girona
1.08
Oviedo
0.76
Athletic Club is 1.08 points worse than Real Madrid in terms of average points per game (1.18 vs 2.26).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Barcelona
2.50
Real Madrid
2.03
Villarreal
1.89
Atletico Madrid
1.63
Real Sociedad
1.55
Real Betis
1.55
Celta Vigo
1.39
Elche
1.29
Levante
1.24
Mallorca
1.24
Valencia
1.21
Sevilla
1.21
Osasuna
1.16
Alaves
1.16
Espanyol
1.13
Athletic Club
1.13
Rayo Vallecano
1.08
Girona
1.03
Getafe
0.84
Oviedo
0.68
Athletic Club is 0.89 goals worse than Real Madrid in terms of goals scored per game (1.13 vs 2.03).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Real Madrid
0.92
Barcelona
0.95
Getafe
1.00
Atletico Madrid
1.16
Rayo Vallecano
1.16
Villarreal
1.21
Real Betis
1.26
Celta Vigo
1.26
Osasuna
1.32
Valencia
1.45
Espanyol
1.45
Girona
1.45
Alaves
1.47
Elche
1.50
Mallorca
1.50
Athletic Club
1.53
Oviedo
1.58
Sevilla
1.58
Levante
1.61
Real Sociedad
1.61
Athletic Club is 0.61 goals worse than Real Madrid in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 0.92).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Barcelona
69%
Real Madrid
59%
Elche
58%
Rayo Vallecano
53%
Atletico Madrid
53%
Real Sociedad
51%
Sevilla
51%
Girona
51%
Celta Vigo
50%
Real Betis
50%
Athletic Club
49%
Alaves
48%
Valencia
48%
Mallorca
47%
Osasuna
47%
Oviedo
46%
Villarreal
45%
Levante
43%
Espanyol
42%
Getafe
40%
Athletic Club is 10.8 percentage points worse than Real Madrid in terms of average possession (49% vs 59%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Athletic ClubAthletic Club

For 4.6 · Against 3.9 · Total 8.5

🚩 Corners

120245275745226158326726712117861189A·LEVA·SLAA·BARH·OVIA·NEWA·REAH·GETH·QARA·ELCH·MAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

11023323112322332472155322555113A·LEVA·SLAA·BARH·OVIA·NEWA·REAH·GETA·ELCH·MALA·BOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.8 · Against 12.6 · Total 27.4

⚠️ Fouls

4301911222199128131182015141452014161330431820242829193429A·LEVA·SLAA·BARH·OVIA·NEWA·REAH·GETH·QARA·ELCH·MAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Real MadridReal Madrid

For 6.8 · Against 2.9 · Total 9.7

🚩 Corners

20052538285247112413741478101368162054A·GIRA·OLYA·ELCA·RAYA·LIVH·VALH·BARH·JUVA·GETH·VIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.1

🟨 Cards

12032115234111661162533655212177A·GIRA·OLYA·ELCA·RAYA·LIVH·VALH·BARH·JUVA·GETH·VIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 13.9 · Total 24.1

⚠️ Fouls

38013971281071711161471291018112791422191824272121283823A·GIRA·OLYA·ELCA·RAYA·LIVH·VALH·BARH·JUVA·GETH·VIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Athletic ClubAthletic Club

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.89.28.43.74.03.624.724.025.3
vs Stronger (6)8.56.09.83.22.53.524.732.021.0
vs Similar (29)8.89.88.33.63.33.824.822.325.9
vs Weaker (15)8.99.47.04.24.82.524.724.027.3
% over line38%36%38%54%61%48%65%55%73%
% under line62%64%62%46%39%52%35%45%27%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridReal Madrid

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.112.310.04.03.44.523.022.323.6
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (13)12.213.011.65.24.35.925.625.026.1
vs Weaker (37)10.612.09.33.63.14.022.021.422.6
% over line54%70%40%50%39%59%62%61%64%
% under line46%30%60%50%61%41%38%39%36%
This opponent (Athletic Club) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Rayo Vallecano
11.1
Real Madrid
11.0
Barcelona
10.8
Girona
10.0
Levante
9.9
Real Sociedad
9.9
Mallorca
9.9
Valencia
9.9
Atletico Madrid
9.9
Sevilla
9.7
Real Betis
9.7
Espanyol
9.6
Alaves
9.4
Osasuna
9.1
Oviedo
8.9
Villarreal
8.8
Athletic Club
8.7
Elche
8.5
Celta Vigo
8.4
Getafe
8.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Getafe
5.7
Alaves
5.5
Sevilla
5.3
Elche
5.1
Real Sociedad
5.0
Celta Vigo
5.0
Real Betis
4.8
Villarreal
4.8
Osasuna
4.7
Rayo Vallecano
4.7
Girona
4.7
Valencia
4.7
Levante
4.6
Oviedo
4.5
Mallorca
4.4
Barcelona
4.4
Real Madrid
4.4
Espanyol
4.2
Atletico Madrid
4.2
Athletic Club
4.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Alaves
29.7
Getafe
29.7
Elche
28.6
Oviedo
25.8
Sevilla
25.8
Real Sociedad
25.7
Real Betis
25.4
Athletic Club
24.9
Espanyol
24.8
Villarreal
24.8
Mallorca
24.5
Girona
24.5
Levante
24.3
Osasuna
24.3
Celta Vigo
24.0
Valencia
24.0
Rayo Vallecano
23.6
Real Madrid
22.9
Atletico Madrid
22.5
Barcelona
22.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
46.9%
Under 9.5
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
66.2%
Under 3.5
33.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
74.6%
Under 21.5
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Athletic ClubAthletic Club

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D11D00D11D01L10W02L00D20WH·MAL04/10A·ELC19/10H·QAR22/10H·GET25/10A·REA01/11A·NEW05/11H·OVI09/11A·BAR22/11A·SLA25/11A·LEV29/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.430.470.530.270.33
vs Stronger (5)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (15)0.530.470.801.000.400.20
vs Weaker (10)0.300.100.380.120.000.00
Clean sheet %70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridReal Madrid

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D00D21W30W00D00D00D31W01LH·VIL04/10A·GET19/10H·JUV22/10H·BAR26/10H·VAL01/11A·LIV04/11A·RAY09/11A·ELC23/11A·OLY26/11A·GIR30/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.430.920.310.880.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.751.000.670.330.801.40
vs Weaker (22)0.950.231.000.300.920.17
Clean sheet %70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Athletic Club) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Athletic Club over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athletic Club over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athletic Club over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Athletic ClubAthletic Club

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D20W01L12L01L00D02L00D00DH·MAL04/10A·ELC19/10H·QAR22/10H·GET25/10A·REA01/11A·NEW05/11H·OVI09/11A·BAR22/11A·SLA25/11A·LEV29/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.830.730.530.471.13
vs Stronger (5)0.201.800.001.500.332.00
vs Similar (15)0.600.871.000.400.401.10
vs Weaker (10)0.800.300.750.381.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridReal Madrid

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W10W10W00D10W01L00D22D12L10WH·VIL04/10A·GET19/10H·JUV22/10H·BAR26/10H·VAL01/11A·LIV04/11A·RAY09/11A·ELC23/11A·OLY26/11A·GIR30/11
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.631.080.381.060.82
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.621.250.670.670.601.60
vs Weaker (22)1.230.411.200.301.250.50
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Athletic Club) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Athletic Club over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athletic Club over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athletic Club over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls86.2%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards82.9%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.578.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners75.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls74.6%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Athletic Club
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gorka Guruzeta28%
Robert Navarro19%
Oihan Sancet16%
Nico Williams16%
Iñaki Williams11%
Maroan Sannadi9%
Nico Serrano8%
Aitor Paredes7%
Urko Izeta6%
Mikel Jauregizar6%
Unai Gómez6%
Álex Berenguer5%
Dani Vivian2%
Alejandro Rego Mora2%
Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta2%
Aymeric Laporte0%
Unai Simón0%
Yeray Álvarez0%
Yuri Berchiche0%
Íñigo Lekue0%
Andoni Gorosabel0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Jesús Areso0%
Alex Padilla0%
Adama Boiro0%
Asier Hierro0%
Selton Sanchez0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aitor Paredes31%
Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta27%
Dani Vivian22%
Mikel Jauregizar21%
Urko Izeta19%
Alejandro Rego Mora18%
Gorka Guruzeta17%
Aymeric Laporte17%
Yuri Berchiche15%
Jesús Areso15%
Oihan Sancet14%
Álex Berenguer13%
Andoni Gorosabel12%
Íñigo Lekue11%
Maroan Sannadi9%
Unai Gómez8%
Nico Williams6%
Mikel Vesga6%
Iñaki Williams5%
Adama Boiro4%
Robert Navarro2%
Unai Simón2%
Yeray Álvarez0%
Nico Serrano0%
Alex Padilla0%
Asier Hierro0%
Selton Sanchez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Yuri Berchiche15%
Nico Williams12%
Selton Sanchez8%
Iñaki Williams8%
Álex Berenguer8%
Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta7%
Andoni Gorosabel6%
Robert Navarro5%
Gorka Guruzeta4%
Aitor Paredes3%
Aymeric Laporte3%
Jesús Areso3%
Unai Gómez3%
Oihan Sancet3%
Alejandro Rego Mora2%
Mikel Jauregizar2%
Unai Simón0%
Yeray Álvarez0%
Íñigo Lekue0%
Dani Vivian0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Urko Izeta0%
Nico Serrano0%
Maroan Sannadi0%
Alex Padilla0%
Adama Boiro0%
Asier Hierro0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gorka Guruzeta30%
Nico Williams25%
Oihan Sancet16%
Iñaki Williams13%
Álex Berenguer13%
Nico Serrano12%
Unai Gómez6%
Aymeric Laporte3%
Robert Navarro2%
Mikel Jauregizar2%
Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta0%
Unai Simón0%
Yeray Álvarez0%
Yuri Berchiche0%
Íñigo Lekue0%
Dani Vivian0%
Andoni Gorosabel0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Jesús Areso0%
Urko Izeta0%
Aitor Paredes0%
Maroan Sannadi0%
Alex Padilla0%
Alejandro Rego Mora0%
Adama Boiro0%
Asier Hierro0%
Selton Sanchez0%
Real Madrid
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kylian Mbappé65%
Vinícius Júnior31%
Jude Bellingham21%
Gonzalo García14%
Federico Valverde13%
Arda Güler10%
Éder Militão10%
Franco Mastantuono9%
Rodrygo8%
Raúl Asencio6%
Álvaro Carreras5%
Dean Huijsen5%
Eduardo Camavinga5%
Brahim Díaz5%
Fran García5%
Aurélien Tchouaméni4%
Antonio Rüdiger4%
Trent Alexander-Arnold0%
David Alaba0%
Ferland Mendy0%
Thibaut Courtois0%
Daniel Carvajal0%
Dani Ceballos0%
Andriy Lunin0%
Manuel Ángel Morán0%
David Jiménez0%
Endrick0%
César Palacios0%
Thiago Pitarch Pinar0%
Jorge Cestero0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aurélien Tchouaméni23%
Dean Huijsen23%
Raúl Asencio22%
Álvaro Carreras21%
Rodrygo20%
Éder Militão19%
Vinícius Júnior18%
Trent Alexander-Arnold17%
Franco Mastantuono15%
César Palacios14%
Kylian Mbappé14%
Jude Bellingham13%
Thiago Pitarch Pinar12%
Eduardo Camavinga10%
Antonio Rüdiger8%
Brahim Díaz7%
David Alaba7%
Federico Valverde6%
Arda Güler6%
Gonzalo García5%
Dani Ceballos5%
Fran García5%
Thibaut Courtois2%
Ferland Mendy0%
Daniel Carvajal0%
Andriy Lunin0%
Manuel Ángel Morán0%
David Jiménez0%
Endrick0%
Jorge Cestero0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Arda Güler29%
Federico Valverde19%
Trent Alexander-Arnold17%
Brahim Díaz17%
Vinícius Júnior16%
Kylian Mbappé14%
Jude Bellingham13%
Rodrygo12%
Álvaro Carreras8%
Thiago Pitarch Pinar6%
Gonzalo García5%
Dean Huijsen5%
Éder Militão5%
Thibaut Courtois5%
Fran García5%
Daniel Carvajal4%
Aurélien Tchouaméni4%
Raúl Asencio3%
Eduardo Camavinga2%
David Alaba0%
Ferland Mendy0%
Dani Ceballos0%
Antonio Rüdiger0%
Andriy Lunin0%
Manuel Ángel Morán0%
David Jiménez0%
Endrick0%
César Palacios0%
Franco Mastantuono0%
Jorge Cestero0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kylian Mbappé72%
Vinícius Júnior39%
Éder Militão14%
Franco Mastantuono12%
Rodrygo12%
Federico Valverde11%
Jude Bellingham11%
Arda Güler8%
Gonzalo García5%
Brahim Díaz5%
Raúl Asencio3%
Aurélien Tchouaméni2%
Trent Alexander-Arnold0%
David Alaba0%
Ferland Mendy0%
Thibaut Courtois0%
Daniel Carvajal0%
Fran García0%
Dani Ceballos0%
Eduardo Camavinga0%
Antonio Rüdiger0%
Andriy Lunin0%
Álvaro Carreras0%
Manuel Ángel Morán0%
David Jiménez0%
Dean Huijsen0%
Endrick0%
César Palacios0%
Thiago Pitarch Pinar0%
Jorge Cestero0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (27)
€1456m
BAR (30)
€1282m
AM (25)
€653m
VIL (24)
€325m
RS (24)
€247m
AC (29)
€241m
RB (25)
€235m
CV (24)
€163m
SEV (25)
€134m
VAL (27)
€125m
ESP (24)
€119m
GIR (28)
€114m
GET (24)
€90m
LEV (26)
€89m
ELC (27)
€79m
RV (23)
€76m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALA (25)
€68m
MAL (26)
€48m
OVI (23)
€30m
Athletic Club's squad is €1216m less valuable than Real Madrid's (€241m vs €1456m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (10)
€842m
BAR (10)
€590m
AM (9)
€290m
RB (10)
€131m
VIL (8)
€124m
RS (10)
€110m
AC (10)
€106m
GIR (12)
€64m
CV (9)
€57m
LEV (10)
€51m
SEV (8)
€45m
VAL (10)
€40m
ESP (9)
€39m
GET (5)
€36m
ELC (13)
€34m
RV (10)
€30m
OSA (8)
€25m
ALA (8)
€24m
MAL (11)
€23m
OVI (11)
€15m
Athletic Club's attack is €736m less valuable than Real Madrid's (€106m vs €842m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (8)
€324m
RM (5)
€238m
AM (6)
€155m
RS (5)
€58m
AC (7)
€57m
VIL (4)
€52m
VAL (5)
€46m
CV (3)
€35m
RB (5)
€33m
ESP (5)
€31m
GIR (7)
€28m
GET (6)
€28m
SEV (5)
€23m
ALA (8)
€22m
LEV (5)
€16m
OSA (4)
€12m
ELC (5)
€12m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€9m
OVI (4)
€6m
Athletic Club's midfield is €180m less valuable than Real Madrid's (€57m vs €238m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (12)
€377m
BAR (12)
€368m
AM (10)
€208m
VIL (12)
€148m
RS (9)
€79m
AC (12)
€77m
CV (12)
€71m
RB (10)
€70m
SEV (12)
€65m
ESP (10)
€48m
VAL (12)
€39m
RV (9)
€36m
OSA (10)
€33m
ELC (9)
€33m
GET (13)
€26m
GIR (9)
€22m
LEV (11)
€22m
ALA (9)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
OVI (8)
€10m
Athletic Club's defence is €300m less valuable than Real Madrid's (€77m vs €377m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
AC wins
1
Draws
6
RM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Athletic Club vs Real Madrid · H/A from AC
DateH/AGameScore
20/04/25AReal Madrid Vs AC1-0
04/12/24HAC Vs Real Madrid2-1
31/03/24AReal Madrid Vs AC2-0
12/08/23HAC Vs Real Madrid0-2
04/06/23AReal Madrid Vs AC1-1
22/01/23HAC Vs Real Madrid0-2
22/12/21HAC Vs Real Madrid1-2
01/12/21AReal Madrid Vs AC1-0

Athletic ClubAthletic Club

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/11/25ALevante Vs AC0-2
25/11/25ASlavia Praha Vs AC0-0
22/11/25ABarcelona Vs AC4-0
09/11/25HAC Vs Oviedo1-0
05/11/25ANewcastle Vs AC2-0
01/11/25AReal Sociedad Vs AC3-2
25/10/25HAC Vs Getafe0-1
22/10/25HAC Vs Qarabag3-1
19/10/25AElche Vs AC0-0
04/10/25HAC Vs Mallorca2-1

Real MadridReal Madrid

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/11/25AGirona Vs RM1-1
26/11/25AOlympiakos Piraeus Vs RM3-4
23/11/25AElche Vs RM2-2
09/11/25ARayo Vallecano Vs RM0-0
04/11/25ALiverpool Vs RM1-0
01/11/25HRM Vs Valencia4-0
26/10/25HRM Vs Barcelona2-1
22/10/25HRM Vs Juventus1-0
19/10/25AGetafe Vs RM0-1
04/10/25HRM Vs Villarreal3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Spain: La Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDW1.46
HomeDWWLW1.87
AwayLLLDW1.11
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%57%26%
AVG goals2.342.612.11
Over 1.5 %62%65%59%
Over 2.5 %42%48%37%
Over 3.5 %26%30%22%
Scored1.181.610.81
Conceded1.161.001.30
BTTS42%43%41%
Clean Sheet36%35%37%
Corners8.779.238.38
Cards3.984.333.69
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Spain: La Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDWD2.16
HomeWWWWW2.52
AwayLDDWD1.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %68%83%56%
AVG goals3.163.263.07
Over 1.5 %78%87%70%
Over 2.5 %64%70%59%
Over 3.5 %34%35%33%
Scored2.042.261.85
Conceded1.121.001.22
BTTS58%70%48%
Clean Sheet34%30%37%
Corners11.0612.269.96
Cards4.353.595.04

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BarcelonaBarcelona3894
82%
2.5
9536+59
3.4
89%
74%
42%
11.3
68%
4.5
51%
21.4
50%
1282
5903243682.50.9
69%
2Real MadridReal Madrid3886
71%
2.3
7735+42
2.9
87%
55%
26%
9.9
55%
4.8
54%
24.4
68%
1456
8422383772.00.9
59%
3VillarrealVillarreal3872
58%
1.9
7246+26
3.1
92%
58%
37%
9.1
45%
4.3
58%
24.1
61%
325
124521481.91.2
45%
4Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid3869
55%
1.8
6244+18
2.8
74%
50%
26%
10.8
61%
4.4
59%
20.9
39%
653
2901552081.61.2
53%
5Real BetisReal Betis3860
39%
1.6
5948+11
2.8
89%
53%
26%
9.6
50%
4.6
65%
23.7
71%
235
13133701.61.3
50%
6Celta VigoCelta Vigo3854
37%
1.4
5348+5
2.7
79%
45%
24%
8.4
29%
4.4
58%
24.1
63%
163
5735711.41.3
50%
7GetafeGetafe3851
39%
1.3
3238-6
1.8
58%
26%
5%
8.9
37%
5.6
79%
29.8
100%
90
3628260.81.0
40%
8Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano3850
32%
1.3
4144-3
2.2
71%
37%
16%
10.9
66%
5.3
74%
24.5
76%
76
309361.11.2
53%
9ValenciaValencia3849
34%
1.3
4655-9
2.7
79%
42%
24%
9.9
45%
4.6
68%
24.2
66%
125
4046391.21.4
48%
10Real SociedadReal Sociedad3846
29%
1.2
5961-2
3.2
82%
58%
42%
10.1
53%
5.0
63%
26.6
76%
247
11058791.61.6
51%
11EspanyolEspanyol3846
32%
1.2
4355-12
2.6
76%
50%
24%
9.5
45%
5.2
70%
26.5
76%
119
3931481.11.4
42%
12Athletic ClubAthletic Club3845
34%
1.2
4358-15
2.7
74%
47%
21%
9.6
50%
4.6
67%
24.3
66%
241
10657771.11.5
49%
13ElcheElche3843
26%
1.1
4957-8
2.8
79%
58%
39%
8.3
34%
4.6
71%
28.3
92%
79
3412331.31.5
58%
14AlavesAlaves3843
29%
1.1
4456-12
2.6
71%
50%
24%
10.1
53%
4.9
74%
28.4
95%
68
2422221.21.5
48%
15SevillaSevilla3843
32%
1.1
4660-14
2.8
79%
55%
26%
9.3
50%
5.2
68%
27.6
82%
134
4523651.21.6
51%
16OsasunaOsasuna3842
29%
1.1
4450-6
2.5
68%
50%
26%
8.6
32%
5.1
79%
25.1
82%
71
2512331.21.3
47%
17MallorcaMallorca3842
29%
1.1
4757-10
2.7
84%
63%
21%
10.0
58%
4.7
62%
24.6
74%
48
239161.21.5
47%
18LevanteLevante3842
29%
1.1
4761-14
2.8
87%
45%
29%
10.2
47%
4.9
71%
25.3
76%
89
5116221.21.6
43%
19GironaGirona3841
24%
1.1
3955-16
2.5
79%
45%
16%
9.4
39%
4.4
50%
25.0
71%
114
6428221.01.4
51%
20OviedoOviedo3829
16%
0.8
2660-34
2.3
66%
39%
16%
9.5
47%
4.2
58%
24.1
63%
30
156100.71.6
46%
Spain: La Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: La Liga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches