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Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: 29/09/2024
Time: 19:00
Final 1-1
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Vs
39%
29%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Spain: La Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atletico Madrid win✗ Miss
38.9%
Avg Implied 34.3% · @ 2.79
Edge
+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
28.9%
Avg Implied 27.8% · @ 3.44
Edge
+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid win✗ Miss
32.3%
Avg Implied 37.9% · @ 2.52
Edge
-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L20W22D30W00D10W30W21W11D10WH·OSA19/05A·REA25/05A·VIL19/08H·GIR25/08H·ESP28/08A·ATH31/08H·VAL15/09H·RB 19/09A·RAY22/09A·CEL26/09
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.032.070.931.201.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.291.711.501.501.002.00
vs Weaker (23)1.740.832.270.731.250.92
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridReal Madrid

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D20W11D30W11D20W20W31W41W32WH·REA25/05A·BOR01/06A·MAL18/08H·VAL25/08A·LAS29/08H·REA01/09A·REA14/09H·VFB17/09H·ESP21/09H·ALA24/09
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.330.832.690.691.931.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)2.201.802.672.001.501.50
vs Weaker (25)2.360.642.690.382.000.92
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Atletico Madrid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.3%
Under 1.5
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.9%
@ 1.79-5.6%
Under 2.5
52.1%
@ 2.06+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.2%
Under 3.5
73.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.8%
No
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.8%
1-0
9.0%
0-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
5.6%
Atletico Madrid goals ↓
Real Madrid goals →
01234
08.8%7.9%5.6%2.3%0.7%
19.0%14%7.7%3.1%1.0%
27.0%8.6%5.2%2.1%0.7%
33.2%3.9%2.4%1.0%0.3%
41.1%1.3%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Atletico Madrid goals (down), columns = Real Madrid goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Barcelona
2.32
Real Madrid
2.21
Atletico Madrid
2.00
Villarreal
1.84
Athletic Club
1.84
Real Betis
1.58
Celta Vigo
1.45
Rayo Vallecano
1.37
Osasuna
1.37
Mallorca
1.26
Valencia
1.21
Real Sociedad
1.21
Getafe
1.11
Espanyol
1.11
Alaves
1.11
Girona
1.08
Sevilla
1.08
Leganes
1.05
Las Palmas
0.84
Valladolid
0.42
Atletico Madrid is 0.21 points worse than Real Madrid in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 2.21).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Barcelona
2.68
Real Madrid
2.05
Villarreal
1.87
Atletico Madrid
1.79
Celta Vigo
1.55
Real Betis
1.50
Athletic Club
1.42
Osasuna
1.26
Valencia
1.16
Girona
1.16
Sevilla
1.11
Rayo Vallecano
1.08
Espanyol
1.05
Las Palmas
1.05
Leganes
1.03
Alaves
1.00
Real Sociedad
0.92
Mallorca
0.92
Getafe
0.89
Valladolid
0.68
Atletico Madrid is 0.26 goals worse than Real Madrid in terms of goals scored per game (1.79 vs 2.05).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Athletic Club
0.76
Atletico Madrid
0.79
Real Madrid
1.00
Getafe
1.03
Barcelona
1.03
Mallorca
1.16
Rayo Vallecano
1.18
Real Sociedad
1.21
Alaves
1.26
Real Betis
1.32
Villarreal
1.34
Espanyol
1.34
Osasuna
1.37
Valencia
1.42
Sevilla
1.45
Leganes
1.47
Celta Vigo
1.50
Girona
1.58
Las Palmas
1.61
Valladolid
2.37
Atletico Madrid is 0.21 goals better than Real Madrid in terms of goals conceded per game (0.79 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Barcelona
69%
Real Madrid
60%
Girona
56%
Real Sociedad
54%
Celta Vigo
54%
Atletico Madrid
53%
Real Betis
53%
Rayo Vallecano
52%
Las Palmas
51%
Sevilla
51%
Athletic Club
48%
Valencia
48%
Villarreal
48%
Mallorca
47%
Osasuna
46%
Alaves
45%
Valladolid
43%
Leganes
42%
Getafe
41%
Espanyol
40%
Atletico Madrid is 7.9 percentage points worse than Real Madrid in terms of average possession (53% vs 60%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid

For 4.8 · Against 3.9 · Total 8.7

🚩 Corners

120324382732293193248755710104121051212A·CELA·RAYH·RB H·VALA·ATHH·ESPH·GIRA·VILA·REAH·OSA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.8

🟨 Cards

9022341213213316322344734244947A·CELH·RB H·VALA·ATHH·ESPH·GIRA·VILA·REAH·OSAA·GET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 10.9 · Total 22.0

⚠️ Fouls

34011111291313108913691111127151912922212618221522193421A·CELA·RAYH·RB H·VALA·ATHH·ESPH·GIRA·VILA·REAH·OSA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Real MadridReal Madrid

For 6.6 · Against 5.2 · Total 11.8

🚩 Corners

17044941066673625578894581316121081015179H·ALAH·ESPH·VFBA·REAH·REAA·LASH·VALA·MALA·BORH·REA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.6

🟨 Cards

70443411422111113214755222243H·ALAH·ESPH·VFBA·REAH·REAA·LASH·VALA·MALA·BORH·REA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.0 · Against 11.8 · Total 20.8

⚠️ Fouls

290710751399129171316101561181281117122221262925172019H·ALAH·ESPH·VFBA·REAH·REAA·LASH·VALA·MALA·BORH·REA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.410.38.54.44.14.622.622.023.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (12)10.712.39.05.15.05.222.122.022.2
vs Weaker (38)9.19.78.44.13.94.422.822.123.6
% over line46%62%29%62%62%62%48%46%50%
% under line54%38%71%38%38%38%52%54%50%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridReal Madrid

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.29.710.94.13.94.422.721.723.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (9)11.69.414.23.63.24.022.721.224.5
vs Weaker (41)10.09.710.24.24.04.522.721.823.7
% over line56%50%62%62%58%67%52%50%54%
% under line44%50%38%38%42%33%48%50%46%
This opponent (Atletico Madrid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Real Betis
10.5
Real Madrid
10.2
Barcelona
10.2
Sevilla
9.9
Las Palmas
9.7
Athletic Club
9.7
Villarreal
9.6
Celta Vigo
9.5
Atletico Madrid
9.4
Real Sociedad
9.4
Espanyol
9.4
Valladolid
9.3
Osasuna
9.3
Alaves
9.2
Rayo Vallecano
9.2
Mallorca
9.0
Girona
8.7
Leganes
8.6
Valencia
8.5
Getafe
8.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Getafe
6.5
Villarreal
6.0
Rayo Vallecano
5.6
Espanyol
5.4
Valladolid
5.4
Alaves
5.3
Sevilla
5.3
Real Sociedad
5.2
Barcelona
5.1
Osasuna
5.0
Leganes
4.9
Valencia
4.9
Real Betis
4.8
Las Palmas
4.8
Girona
4.8
Athletic Club
4.6
Atletico Madrid
4.6
Celta Vigo
4.6
Mallorca
4.4
Real Madrid
4.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Getafe
29.2
Rayo Vallecano
28.7
Espanyol
27.7
Real Sociedad
27.2
Valladolid
26.0
Leganes
25.9
Valencia
25.6
Alaves
25.6
Mallorca
25.5
Athletic Club
25.4
Villarreal
25.2
Las Palmas
25.2
Celta Vigo
25.1
Real Betis
25.0
Sevilla
24.9
Osasuna
24.4
Barcelona
23.3
Girona
23.2
Real Madrid
22.7
Atletico Madrid
22.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
57.9%
Under 9.5
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
63.8%
Under 3.5
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
63.2%
Under 21.5
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W22D10W00D00D10W11D01L00DH·OSA19/05A·REA25/05A·VIL19/08H·GIR25/08H·ESP28/08A·ATH31/08H·VAL15/09H·RB 19/09A·RAY22/09A·CEL26/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.571.000.470.530.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.570.861.000.750.001.00
vs Weaker (23)0.830.481.000.360.670.58
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridReal Madrid

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W00D01L00D00D00D00D20WH·REA25/05A·BOR01/06A·MAL18/08H·VAL25/08A·LAS29/08H·REA01/09A·REA14/09H·VFB17/09H·ESP21/09H·ALA24/09
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.270.750.121.000.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)1.000.401.000.671.000.00
vs Weaker (25)0.840.240.690.001.000.50
Clean sheet %77% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Atletico Madrid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Atletico Madrid over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L10W00D20W00D10W20W10W10W10WH·OSA19/05A·REA25/05A·VIL19/08H·GIR25/08H·ESP28/08A·ATH31/08H·VAL15/09H·RB 19/09A·RAY22/09A·CEL26/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.471.070.470.670.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.710.860.500.751.001.00
vs Weaker (23)0.910.351.270.360.580.33
Clean sheet %67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridReal Madrid

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D20W01L30W10W20W20W31W41W12LH·REA25/05A·BOR01/06A·MAL18/08H·VAL25/08A·LAS29/08H·REA01/09A·REA14/09H·VFB17/09H·ESP21/09H·ALA24/09
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.470.571.940.560.930.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)1.201.401.671.330.501.50
vs Weaker (25)1.520.402.000.381.000.42
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Atletico Madrid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Atletico Madrid over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards81.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls77.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.574.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards72.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners70.0%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Atletico Madrid
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Julián Álvarez42%
Alexander Sørloth35%
Antoine Griezmann25%
Ángel Correa16%
Marcos Llorente11%
Samuel Lino9%
Clément Lenglet9%
Conor Gallagher9%
Giuliano Simeone9%
Rodrigo de Paul6%
César Azpilicueta5%
Rodrigo Riquelme4%
Robin Le Normand3%
José María Giménez3%
Pablo Barrios2%
Koke2%
Nahuel Molina2%
Axel Witsel0%
Jan Oblak0%
Thomas Lemar0%
Juan Musso0%
Reinildo Mandava0%
Javi Galán0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Clément Lenglet32%
Javi Galán31%
Robin Le Normand30%
José María Giménez26%
Reinildo Mandava21%
César Azpilicueta20%
Rodrigo de Paul18%
Pablo Barrios15%
Giuliano Simeone13%
Koke12%
Ángel Correa11%
Julián Álvarez11%
Alexander Sørloth10%
Axel Witsel10%
Samuel Lino7%
Conor Gallagher7%
Nahuel Molina5%
Antoine Griezmann4%
Marcos Llorente2%
Jan Oblak0%
Thomas Lemar0%
Juan Musso0%
Rodrigo Riquelme0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Samuel Lino18%
Giuliano Simeone17%
Antoine Griezmann17%
Rodrigo de Paul16%
Marcos Llorente15%
Javi Galán14%
Julián Álvarez13%
Conor Gallagher13%
Pablo Barrios10%
Ángel Correa9%
Nahuel Molina7%
Clément Lenglet6%
Axel Witsel5%
Koke5%
Alexander Sørloth4%
Rodrigo Riquelme4%
José María Giménez3%
Jan Oblak0%
Thomas Lemar0%
César Azpilicueta0%
Juan Musso0%
Reinildo Mandava0%
Robin Le Normand0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexander Sørloth27%
Julián Álvarez23%
Antoine Griezmann15%
Samuel Lino11%
Pablo Barrios7%
Ángel Correa7%
Conor Gallagher4%
Marcos Llorente2%
Rodrigo de Paul2%
Axel Witsel0%
Jan Oblak0%
José María Giménez0%
Thomas Lemar0%
Koke0%
Clément Lenglet0%
César Azpilicueta0%
Juan Musso0%
Nahuel Molina0%
Reinildo Mandava0%
Robin Le Normand0%
Javi Galán0%
Rodrigo Riquelme0%
Giuliano Simeone0%
Real Madrid
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kylian Mbappé54%
Vinícius Júnior31%
Jude Bellingham27%
Gonzalo García25%
Jacobo Ramón20%
Rodrygo19%
Endrick16%
Federico Valverde15%
Brahim Díaz12%
Daniel Carvajal10%
Arda Güler10%
Luka Modrić7%
Antonio Rüdiger7%
Éder Militão6%
Eduardo Camavinga6%
Lucas Vázquez4%
Aurélien Tchouaméni4%
David Alaba0%
Ferland Mendy0%
Thibaut Courtois0%
Fran García0%
Jesús Vallejo0%
Dani Ceballos0%
Andriy Lunin0%
Lorenzo Aguado0%
Raúl Asencio0%
Chema Andrés0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jacobo Ramón40%
Vinícius Júnior27%
Éder Militão25%
Luka Modrić20%
Lucas Vázquez19%
Aurélien Tchouaméni19%
Eduardo Camavinga19%
Jude Bellingham19%
Raúl Asencio18%
David Alaba14%
Dani Ceballos14%
Antonio Rüdiger13%
Endrick11%
Daniel Carvajal10%
Federico Valverde9%
Kylian Mbappé8%
Ferland Mendy7%
Arda Güler2%
Thibaut Courtois2%
Brahim Díaz2%
Fran García0%
Jesús Vallejo0%
Rodrygo0%
Andriy Lunin0%
Gonzalo García0%
Lorenzo Aguado0%
Chema Andrés0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jesús Vallejo25%
Gonzalo García25%
Jude Bellingham23%
Vinícius Júnior21%
Rodrygo19%
Luka Modrić17%
Arda Güler15%
Federico Valverde15%
Lucas Vázquez13%
Brahim Díaz12%
Daniel Carvajal10%
Kylian Mbappé8%
Ferland Mendy7%
Andriy Lunin7%
Fran García7%
Éder Militão6%
Eduardo Camavinga6%
Dani Ceballos5%
Raúl Asencio5%
Aurélien Tchouaméni2%
David Alaba0%
Thibaut Courtois0%
Antonio Rüdiger0%
Lorenzo Aguado0%
Endrick0%
Jacobo Ramón0%
Chema Andrés0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kylian Mbappé67%
Vinícius Júnior40%
Jude Bellingham23%
Arda Güler17%
Endrick14%
Rodrygo13%
Brahim Díaz8%
Federico Valverde7%
Éder Militão6%
Eduardo Camavinga3%
Antonio Rüdiger2%
Aurélien Tchouaméni2%
David Alaba0%
Ferland Mendy0%
Thibaut Courtois0%
Daniel Carvajal0%
Fran García0%
Jesús Vallejo0%
Dani Ceballos0%
Luka Modrić0%
Lucas Vázquez0%
Andriy Lunin0%
Gonzalo García0%
Lorenzo Aguado0%
Raúl Asencio0%
Jacobo Ramón0%
Chema Andrés0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (27)
€1456m
BAR (30)
€1282m
AM (25)
€653m
VIL (24)
€325m
RS (24)
€247m
AC (29)
€241m
RB (25)
€235m
CV (24)
€163m
SEV (25)
€134m
VAL (27)
€125m
ESP (24)
€119m
GIR (28)
€114m
GET (24)
€90m
RV (23)
€76m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALA (25)
€68m
MAL (26)
€48m
LEG (26)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
VAL (29)
€26m
Atletico Madrid's squad is €804m less valuable than Real Madrid's (€653m vs €1456m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (10)
€842m
BAR (10)
€590m
AM (9)
€290m
RB (10)
€131m
VIL (8)
€124m
RS (10)
€110m
AC (10)
€106m
GIR (12)
€64m
CV (9)
€57m
SEV (8)
€45m
VAL (10)
€40m
ESP (9)
€39m
GET (5)
€36m
RV (10)
€30m
OSA (8)
€25m
ALA (8)
€24m
MAL (11)
€23m
LP (12)
€14m
LEG (11)
€14m
VAL (11)
€10m
Atletico Madrid's attack is €552m less valuable than Real Madrid's (€290m vs €842m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (8)
€324m
RM (5)
€238m
AM (6)
€155m
RS (5)
€58m
AC (7)
€57m
VIL (4)
€52m
VAL (5)
€46m
CV (3)
€35m
RB (5)
€33m
ESP (5)
€31m
GIR (7)
€28m
GET (6)
€28m
SEV (5)
€23m
ALA (8)
€22m
OSA (4)
€12m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€9m
LEG (5)
€8m
VAL (6)
€6m
LP (5)
€3m
Atletico Madrid's midfield is €82m less valuable than Real Madrid's (€155m vs €238m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (12)
€377m
BAR (12)
€368m
AM (10)
€208m
VIL (12)
€148m
RS (9)
€79m
AC (12)
€77m
CV (12)
€71m
RB (10)
€70m
SEV (12)
€65m
ESP (10)
€48m
VAL (12)
€39m
RV (9)
€36m
OSA (10)
€33m
GET (13)
€26m
GIR (9)
€22m
ALA (9)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
LP (10)
€13m
VAL (12)
€10m
LEG (10)
€8m
Atletico Madrid's defence is €170m less valuable than Real Madrid's (€208m vs €377m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
AM wins
3
Draws
3
RM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid · H/A from AM
DateH/AGameScore
04/02/24AReal Madrid Vs AM1-1
24/09/23HAM Vs Real Madrid3-1
25/02/23AReal Madrid Vs AM1-1
18/09/22HAM Vs Real Madrid1-2
08/05/22HAM Vs Real Madrid1-0
12/12/21AReal Madrid Vs AM2-0
07/03/21HAM Vs Real Madrid1-1
12/12/20AReal Madrid Vs AM2-0

Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/09/24ACelta Vigo Vs AM0-1
22/09/24ARayo Vallecano Vs AM1-1
19/09/24HAM Vs RB Leipzig2-1
15/09/24HAM Vs Valencia3-0
31/08/24AAthletic Club Vs AM0-1
28/08/24HAM Vs Espanyol0-0
25/08/24HAM Vs Girona3-0
19/08/24AVillarreal Vs AM2-2
25/05/24AReal Sociedad Vs AM0-2
19/05/24HAM Vs Osasuna1-4

Real MadridReal Madrid

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/09/24HRM Vs Alaves3-2
21/09/24HRM Vs Espanyol4-1
17/09/24HRM Vs VfB Stuttgart3-1
14/09/24AReal Sociedad Vs RM0-2
01/09/24HRM Vs Real Betis2-0
29/08/24ALas Palmas Vs RM1-1
25/08/24HRM Vs Valladolid3-0
18/08/24AMallorca Vs RM1-1
01/06/24ABorussia Dortmund Vs RM0-2
25/05/24HRM Vs Real Betis0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Spain: La Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDW2.06
HomeLWDWW2.62
AwayWDWDW1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%85%42%
AVG goals2.923.232.58
Over 1.5 %78%85%71%
Over 2.5 %60%77%42%
Over 3.5 %30%35%25%
Scored1.842.271.38
Conceded1.080.961.21
BTTS50%58%42%
Clean Sheet36%38%33%
Corners9.4410.278.54
Cards4.644.285.05
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Spain: La Liga
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW2.44
HomeWWWWW2.62
AwayDWDDW2.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %72%81%62%
AVG goals3.163.382.92
Over 1.5 %84%85%83%
Over 2.5 %56%65%46%
Over 3.5 %40%50%29%
Scored2.342.691.96
Conceded0.820.690.96
BTTS54%46%62%
Clean Sheet46%54%38%
Corners10.249.6510.88
Cards4.123.884.38

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BarcelonaBarcelona3888
74%
2.3
10239+63
3.7
82%
71%
47%
10.9
74%
4.2
57%
22.3
47%
1282
5903243682.71.0
69%
2Real MadridReal Madrid3884
68%
2.2
7838+40
3.1
89%
58%
26%
10.6
55%
4.2
54%
22.8
63%
1456
8422383772.11.0
60%
3Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid3876
58%
2.0
6830+38
2.6
71%
45%
24%
8.8
39%
4.1
64%
22.7
63%
653
2901552081.80.8
53%
4Athletic ClubAthletic Club3870
50%
1.8
5429+25
2.2
63%
37%
16%
9.2
42%
4.2
62%
23.4
66%
241
10657771.40.8
48%
5VillarrealVillarreal3870
53%
1.8
7151+20
3.2
84%
66%
34%
9.6
50%
5.4
79%
24.7
76%
325
124521481.91.3
48%
6Real BetisReal Betis3860
42%
1.6
5750+7
2.8
82%
55%
29%
9.4
61%
5.1
73%
25.9
71%
235
13133701.51.3
53%
7Celta VigoCelta Vigo3855
42%
1.4
5957+2
3.1
82%
63%
34%
8.1
24%
5.0
65%
24.1
74%
163
5735711.61.5
54%
8OsasunaOsasuna3852
32%
1.4
4852-4
2.6
79%
45%
26%
9.6
39%
4.7
65%
24.0
66%
71
2512331.31.4
46%
9Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano3852
34%
1.4
4145-4
2.3
66%
45%
18%
10.3
58%
4.9
84%
24.8
82%
76
309361.11.2
52%
10MallorcaMallorca3848
34%
1.3
3544-9
2.1
61%
39%
11%
10.2
45%
4.2
61%
24.1
66%
48
239160.91.2
47%
11ValenciaValencia3846
29%
1.2
4454-10
2.6
74%
45%
18%
9.9
50%
4.7
65%
24.1
68%
125
4046391.21.4
48%
12Real SociedadReal Sociedad3846
34%
1.2
3546-11
2.1
63%
42%
16%
10.4
63%
4.8
69%
24.9
71%
247
11058790.91.2
54%
13GetafeGetafe3842
29%
1.1
3439-5
1.9
61%
34%
5%
7.7
29%
5.9
82%
29.8
92%
90
3628260.91.0
41%
14AlavesAlaves3842
26%
1.1
3848-10
2.3
61%
37%
21%
9.4
39%
5.9
87%
29.7
89%
68
2422221.01.3
45%
15EspanyolEspanyol3842
29%
1.1
4051-11
2.4
71%
39%
21%
9.8
53%
4.1
63%
25.1
76%
119
3931481.11.3
40%
16SevillaSevilla3841
26%
1.1
4255-13
2.6
68%
39%
24%
9.2
45%
5.3
68%
24.4
68%
134
4523651.11.4
51%
17GironaGirona3841
29%
1.1
4460-16
2.7
76%
55%
26%
9.3
37%
4.8
74%
23.6
66%
114
6428221.21.6
56%
18LeganesLeganes3840
24%
1.1
3956-17
2.5
68%
42%
21%
9.3
53%
4.3
63%
26.2
76%
30
14881.01.5
42%
19Las PalmasLas Palmas3832
21%
0.8
4061-21
2.7
74%
50%
32%
9.4
42%
5.6
73%
24.7
76%
30
143131.11.6
51%
20ValladolidValladolid3816
11%
0.4
2690-64
3.1
74%
66%
29%
9.2
39%
5.0
73%
25.3
74%
26
106100.72.4
43%
Spain: La Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: La Liga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches