This opponent (Martigues) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Martigues
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.53
0.50
1.50
1.19
1.56
vs Stronger (23)
0.74
1.74
0.58
1.42
0.91
2.09
vs Similar (6)
0.67
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
5.00
0.00
-
-
5.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Bastia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
63.4%
Under 1.5
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
35.2%
@ 2.04-10.8%
Under 2.5
64.8%
@ 1.74+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.3%
Under 3.5
83.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
38.6%
No
61.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0 ✓
16.2%
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.0%
2-0
12.4%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
7.1%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
4.0%
Bastia goals ↓
Martigues goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
7.1%
2.8%
0.6%
0.1%
1
16%
13%
4.0%
0.9%
0.2%
2
12%
8.4%
2.9%
0.6%
0.1%
3
5.9%
4.0%
1.4%
0.3%
0.1%
4
2.1%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bastia goals (down), columns = Martigues goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lorient
2.14
Paris FC
2.08
Metz
1.86
Dunkerque
1.66
Annecy
1.58
Boulogne
1.50
Laval
1.50
Guingamp
1.49
Bastia
1.44
Estac Troyes
1.33
PAU
1.33
Grenoble
1.31
Amiens
1.28
Ajaccio
1.25
Red Star
1.12
RED Star FC 93
1.12
Rodez
1.11
Clermont Foot
1.00
Martigues
0.89
Caen
0.67
Bastia is 0.56 points better than Martigues in terms of average points per game (1.44 vs 0.89).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lorient
2.00
Metz
1.81
Paris FC
1.72
Guingamp
1.65
Rodez
1.58
Boulogne
1.50
Dunkerque
1.34
Laval
1.33
PAU
1.28
Grenoble
1.22
Bastia
1.22
Annecy
1.22
Amiens
1.14
Estac Troyes
1.14
Red Star
1.09
RED Star FC 93
1.09
Clermont Foot
0.95
Caen
0.94
Ajaccio
0.89
Martigues
0.81
Bastia is 0.42 goals better than Martigues in terms of goals scored per game (1.22 vs 0.81).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lorient
0.92
Paris FC
0.97
Estac Troyes
1.00
Metz
1.00
Bastia
1.03
Laval
1.08
Dunkerque
1.11
Annecy
1.19
Ajaccio
1.22
Grenoble
1.31
Clermont Foot
1.34
Guingamp
1.43
Amiens
1.44
Red Star
1.50
RED Star FC 93
1.50
PAU
1.53
Rodez
1.58
Martigues
1.61
Caen
1.69
Boulogne
2.00
Bastia is 0.58 goals better than Martigues in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.61).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Paris FC
61%
Metz
58%
Dunkerque
57%
Lorient
56%
Guingamp
55%
Caen
54%
RED Star FC 93
52%
Bastia
52%
Clermont Foot
51%
Boulogne
50%
PAU
49%
Ajaccio
46%
Grenoble
45%
Estac Troyes
45%
Amiens
44%
Martigues
44%
Laval
44%
Annecy
43%
Rodez
43%
Bastia is 8.0 percentage points better than Martigues in terms of average possession (52% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Bastia
For 3.2 · Against 3.6 · Total 6.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 3.1 · Total 6.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.9 · Against 15.7 · Total 30.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Martigues
For 3.5 · Against 4.1 · Total 7.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 13.7 · Total 27.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bastia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
8.4
9.7
5.1
5.0
5.1
28.0
28.3
27.8
vs Stronger (4)
10.0
10.0
-
5.2
5.2
-
23.3
23.3
-
vs Similar (38)
9.0
8.5
9.4
5.0
5.1
4.9
28.7
29.5
27.9
vs Weaker (8)
9.1
5.0
10.8
5.1
4.0
5.5
26.7
25.5
27.2
% over line
56%
41%
70%
72%
68%
76%
85%
86%
83%
% under line
44%
59%
30%
28%
32%
24%
15%
14%
17%
This opponent (Martigues) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Martigues
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (30)
10.0
11.0
8.8
3.6
4.0
3.2
25.4
25.1
25.8
vs Stronger (23)
10.0
10.0
9.9
3.7
4.1
3.2
25.3
25.7
24.8
vs Similar (6)
10.0
17.0
5.3
3.8
3.5
4.0
26.2
22.0
29.0
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
52%
64%
38%
57%
64%
50%
78%
64%
92%
% under line
48%
36%
62%
43%
36%
50%
22%
36%
8%
This opponent (Bastia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rodez
10.7
RED Star FC 93
10.4
Grenoble
10.1
Red Star
10.0
Martigues
10.0
Clermont Foot
9.9
Caen
9.9
PAU
9.8
Laval
9.7
Lorient
9.6
Amiens
9.4
Metz
9.4
Guingamp
9.3
Annecy
9.3
Bastia
9.1
Paris FC
9.0
Estac Troyes
8.9
Dunkerque
8.6
Ajaccio
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bastia
5.3
PAU
4.3
Estac Troyes
4.3
Clermont Foot
4.2
Lorient
4.2
Dunkerque
4.1
Martigues
4.1
Laval
4.1
Amiens
4.0
Caen
4.0
Ajaccio
3.9
Annecy
3.9
Paris FC
3.9
Metz
3.9
Rodez
3.8
Guingamp
3.6
Red Star
3.5
Grenoble
3.3
RED Star FC 93
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Caen
28.5
Ajaccio
28.0
Bastia
27.9
Laval
27.6
Amiens
27.3
Guingamp
27.2
Annecy
27.1
Estac Troyes
26.5
Red Star
26.5
PAU
25.8
Dunkerque
25.8
Martigues
25.4
Metz
25.4
Paris FC
25.4
Lorient
24.9
Clermont Foot
24.5
RED Star FC 93
24.5
Grenoble
24.1
Rodez
23.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
36.1%
Under 9.5
63.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
70.4%
Under 3.5
29.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
85.9%
Under 21.5
14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bastia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.33
0.81
0.31
0.43
0.36
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.33
0.67
0.33
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.70
0.39
0.92
0.33
0.45
0.45
vs Weaker (4)
0.25
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Martigues) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Martigues
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.53
0.36
0.36
0.44
0.69
vs Stronger (23)
0.43
0.61
0.42
0.33
0.45
0.91
vs Similar (6)
0.17
0.33
0.00
0.50
0.25
0.25
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Bastia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bastia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bastia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bastia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Martigues over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Martigues over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Martigues over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bastia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.43
0.75
0.25
0.57
0.64
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.33
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.65
0.52
0.92
0.25
0.36
0.82
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Martigues) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Martigues
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
1.00
0.14
1.14
0.75
0.88
vs Stronger (23)
0.30
1.13
0.17
1.08
0.45
1.18
vs Similar (6)
0.50
0.67
0.00
1.50
0.75
0.25
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
0.00
-
-
4.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Bastia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bastia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bastia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bastia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Martigues over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Martigues over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Martigues over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Bastia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lamine Cissé28%
Felix Tomi22%
Christophe Vincent18%
Amine Boutrah18%
Clement Rodrigues18%
Maxime Blé17%
Tom Ducrocq9%
Julien Maggiotti8%
Jeremy Sebas8%
Christ Inao Oulaï6%
Dominique Guidi5%
Lisandru Tramoni4%
Zakaria Ariss3%
Anthony Roncaglia0%
Gustave Akueson0%
Florian Bohnert0%
Johny Placide0%
Dylan Tavares0%
Loïc Etoga0%
Juan Guevara0%
Tom Meynadier0%
Ayman Aiki0%
Jocelyn Janneh0%
Mohamed Amine Boumaaoui0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Christ Inao Oulaï31%
Gustave Akueson29%
Loïc Etoga25%
Juan Guevara25%
Zakaria Ariss23%
Christophe Vincent21%
Jocelyn Janneh20%
Dominique Guidi19%
Tom Ducrocq18%
Dylan Tavares17%
Julien Maggiotti15%
Jeremy Sebas15%
Johny Placide12%
Clement Rodrigues12%
Maxime Blé11%
Tom Meynadier11%
Florian Bohnert10%
Anthony Roncaglia8%
Lisandru Tramoni8%
Amine Boutrah6%
Felix Tomi4%
Lamine Cissé0%
Ayman Aiki0%
Mohamed Amine Boumaaoui0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tom Ducrocq12%
Lisandru Tramoni12%
Loïc Etoga6%
Juan Guevara6%
Lamine Cissé6%
Felix Tomi4%
Jocelyn Janneh4%
Julien Maggiotti4%
Christophe Vincent4%
Zakaria Ariss3%
Amine Boutrah3%
Dominique Guidi0%
Anthony Roncaglia0%
Gustave Akueson0%
Florian Bohnert0%
Johny Placide0%
Dylan Tavares0%
Clement Rodrigues0%
Maxime Blé0%
Tom Meynadier0%
Ayman Aiki0%
Jeremy Sebas0%
Mohamed Amine Boumaaoui0%
Christ Inao Oulaï0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lamine Cissé31%
Amine Boutrah24%
Maxime Blé17%
Felix Tomi13%
Loïc Etoga12%
Clement Rodrigues12%
Lisandru Tramoni8%
Jeremy Sebas8%
Christophe Vincent7%
Tom Ducrocq6%
Dominique Guidi0%
Anthony Roncaglia0%
Gustave Akueson0%
Florian Bohnert0%
Julien Maggiotti0%
Johny Placide0%
Dylan Tavares0%
Juan Guevara0%
Tom Meynadier0%
Ayman Aiki0%
Zakaria Ariss0%
Jocelyn Janneh0%
Mohamed Amine Boumaaoui0%
Christ Inao Oulaï0%
Martigues
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Oualid Orinel23%
Karim Tlilli22%
Oucasse Mendy17%
Abdoul Diawara17%
Romain Montiel12%
Steve Solvet11%
Milan Robin10%
Ayoub Amraoui7%
Alain Ipiele6%
Yanis Hadjem4%
Mahamé Siby3%
Simon Falette0%
Yan Marillat0%
Francois Kembolo Luyeye0%
Bevic Moussiti Oko0%
Steve Shamal0%
Jeremy Aymes0%
Nathanaël Saintini0%
Samir Belloumou0%
Leandro Morante0%
Akim Djaha0%
Yannick Etilé0%
Ilyes Zouaoui0%
Mohamed Bamba0%
Vignon Ouotro0%
Luan Gautier0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Francois Kembolo Luyeye31%
Luan Gautier29%
Yan Marillat27%
Steve Solvet22%
Leandro Morante19%
Nathanaël Saintini18%
Akim Djaha18%
Yanis Hadjem17%
Simon Falette12%
Samir Belloumou12%
Oucasse Mendy10%
Jeremy Aymes8%
Oualid Orinel8%
Yannick Etilé8%
Ilyes Zouaoui7%
Milan Robin6%
Alain Ipiele6%
Romain Montiel6%
Karim Tlilli4%
Bevic Moussiti Oko4%
Ayoub Amraoui3%
Mahamé Siby0%
Steve Shamal0%
Abdoul Diawara0%
Mohamed Bamba0%
Vignon Ouotro0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ayoub Amraoui13%
Alain Ipiele9%
Yanis Hadjem8%
Oualid Orinel8%
Nathanaël Saintini7%
Romain Montiel6%
Mohamed Bamba6%
Karim Tlilli4%
Samir Belloumou4%
Steve Solvet4%
Mahamé Siby3%
Oucasse Mendy3%
Milan Robin3%
Simon Falette3%
Yan Marillat0%
Francois Kembolo Luyeye0%
Bevic Moussiti Oko0%
Steve Shamal0%
Jeremy Aymes0%
Abdoul Diawara0%
Leandro Morante0%
Akim Djaha0%
Yannick Etilé0%
Ilyes Zouaoui0%
Vignon Ouotro0%
Luan Gautier0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Romain Montiel12%
Oucasse Mendy10%
Karim Tlilli9%
Oualid Orinel8%
Ilyes Zouaoui7%
Yanis Hadjem4%
Steve Solvet4%
Simon Falette0%
Mahamé Siby0%
Yan Marillat0%
Francois Kembolo Luyeye0%
Bevic Moussiti Oko0%
Steve Shamal0%
Jeremy Aymes0%
Nathanaël Saintini0%
Abdoul Diawara0%
Samir Belloumou0%
Leandro Morante0%
Akim Djaha0%
Milan Robin0%
Yannick Etilé0%
Alain Ipiele0%
Ayoub Amraoui0%
Mohamed Bamba0%
Vignon Ouotro0%
Luan Gautier0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 2 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Lorient
Paris FC
Metz
Dunkerque
Annecy
Guingamp
Laval
Estac Troyes
PAU
Grenoble
Amiens
Ajaccio
Rodez
RED Star FC 93
Clermont Foot
Caen
Boulogne