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Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund Result & Analysis

Date: 30/03/2024
Time: 17:30
Final 0-2
Bayern München
Bayern München
Vs
50%
24%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Germany: Bundesliga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The model projects a high-scoring encounter, with an expected 3.3 goals and a 3-goal total most likely. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying an 10.8% chance. Bayern Munich, playing at home against a weaker side, averages 3.4 goals scored and 0.67 conceded, while Dortmund, on the road against a stronger opponent, averages 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. The probabilities are 50% for a Bayern win, 24% for a draw, and 26% for a Dortmund win, making a home win the model’s pick. Suggested selections include Under 25.5 fouls at 87.9%, Over 1.5 goals at 84.8%, Under 5.5 cards at 79.7%, Under 23.5 fouls at 77.5%, Over 8.5 corners at 75.4%, and Over 2.5 cards at 75.1%. Bayern’s recent form shows a three-game winning streak, while Dortmund also boasts a three-game winning run.

Results analysis

The surprise came early, as Bayern Munich’s 3-game winning streak at home was halted by a 0-2 defeat to Borussia Dortmund, who were also riding a 3-game winning run. The pre-match favourite was a home win, given a 50% probability, but the model’s call was wrong as the away side emerged victorious. The model’s selections proved largely accurate: Under 25.5 fouls hit at 87.9%, Over 1.5 hit at 84.8%, Under 23.5 fouls hit at 77.5%, and Over 8.5 corners hit at 75.4%. The final score of 0-2 confirmed the away win, overturning the expected 3-goal total and the predicted 1-1 or 2-1 scorelines.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern München win✗ Miss
49.8%
Avg Implied 68.4% · @ 1.40
Edge
-18.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.1%
Avg Implied 16.8% · @ 5.71
Edge
+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Borussia Dortmund win✓ Hit
26.0%
Avg Implied 14.8% · @ 6.47
Edge
+11.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Bayern MünchenBayern München

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-832W31W03L01L23L21W22D30W81W52WA·FC 27/01H·BOR03/02A·BAY10/02A·LAZ14/02A·VFL18/02H·RB 24/02A·SC 01/03H·LAZ05/03H·FSV09/03A·SV 16/03
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.731.133.400.672.071.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (30)2.731.133.400.672.071.60
Clean sheet %37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Borussia Dortmund) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W00D30W11D11D23L20W21W20W31WH·VFL28/01A·1. 02/02H·SC 09/02A·VFL17/02A·PSV20/02H·18925/02A·UNI02/03A·WER09/03H·PSV13/03H·EIN17/03
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.071.931.201.730.93
vs Stronger (3)0.332.330.502.500.002.00
vs Similar (8)1.500.751.500.751.500.75
vs Weaker (19)2.211.002.441.112.000.90
Clean sheet %37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.8%
Under 1.5
15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
63.6%
@ 1.24-13.1%
Under 2.5
36.4%
@ 4.08+13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.5%
Under 3.5
58.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
64.3%
No
35.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.0%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
6.4%
1-0
6.3%
3-1
6.1%
0-0
4.8%
Bayern München goals ↓
Borussia Dortmund goals →
01234
04.8%4.1%3.5%1.6%0.5%
16.3%11%6.7%3.0%1.0%
27.0%9.5%6.4%2.9%1.0%
34.5%6.1%4.1%1.9%0.6%
42.2%2.9%2.0%0.9%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bayern München goals (down), columns = Borussia Dortmund goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Bayer Leverkusen
2.65
VfB Stuttgart
2.15
Bayern München
2.12
RB Leipzig
1.91
Borussia Dortmund
1.85
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.50
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.38
1899 Hoffenheim
1.35
Werder Bremen
1.24
SC Freiburg
1.24
1. FC Heidenheim
1.24
FC Augsburg
1.15
VfL Wolfsburg
1.09
FSV Mainz 05
1.03
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.00
VfL Bochum
1.00
Union Berlin
0.97
1. FC Köln
0.79
SV Darmstadt 98
0.50
Bayern München is 0.26 points better than Borussia Dortmund in terms of average points per game (2.12 vs 1.85).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bayern München
2.76
Bayer Leverkusen
2.62
VfB Stuttgart
2.29
RB Leipzig
2.26
Borussia Dortmund
2.00
1899 Hoffenheim
1.94
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.65
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.50
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.50
FC Augsburg
1.47
1. FC Heidenheim
1.47
Werder Bremen
1.41
SC Freiburg
1.32
VfL Bochum
1.25
VfL Wolfsburg
1.21
FSV Mainz 05
1.15
Union Berlin
0.97
SV Darmstadt 98
0.88
1. FC Köln
0.82
Bayern München is 0.76 goals better than Borussia Dortmund in terms of goals scored per game (2.76 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Bayer Leverkusen
0.71
RB Leipzig
1.15
VfB Stuttgart
1.15
Borussia Dortmund
1.26
Bayern München
1.32
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.47
FSV Mainz 05
1.50
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.50
Werder Bremen
1.59
1. FC Heidenheim
1.62
VfL Wolfsburg
1.65
Union Berlin
1.71
SC Freiburg
1.71
1. FC Köln
1.76
FC Augsburg
1.76
1899 Hoffenheim
1.94
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.97
VfL Bochum
2.14
SV Darmstadt 98
2.53
Bayern München is 0.06 goals worse than Borussia Dortmund in terms of goals conceded per game (1.32 vs 1.26).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Bayer Leverkusen
62%
Bayern München
61%
VfB Stuttgart
60%
Borussia Dortmund
58%
RB Leipzig
56%
Eintracht Frankfurt
52%
1899 Hoffenheim
50%
VfL Wolfsburg
48%
VfL Bochum
47%
Werder Bremen
47%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
47%
SC Freiburg
46%
1. FC Köln
46%
FSV Mainz 05
46%
SV Darmstadt 98
46%
FC Augsburg
44%
Union Berlin
43%
1. FC Heidenheim
42%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
38%
Bayern München is 3.1 percentage points better than Borussia Dortmund in terms of average possession (61% vs 58%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Bayern MünchenBayern München

For 6.4 · Against 3.9 · Total 10.3

🚩 Corners

130926763636494536465541113991013810119A·SV H·FSVH·LAZA·SC H·RB A·VFLA·LAZA·BAYH·BORA·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.8

🟨 Cards

8011132133522231621233672518A·SV H·FSVH·LAZA·SC H·RB A·VFLA·LAZA·BAYH·BORA·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 9.9 · Total 19.7

⚠️ Fouls

260698714971111101012871313109111215152318212215261923A·SV H·FSVH·LAZA·SC H·RB A·VFLA·LAZA·BAYH·BORA·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund

For 6.0 · Against 4.9 · Total 10.9

🚩 Corners

15083544117810344355364841191515138881012H·EINH·PSVA·WERA·UNIH·189A·PSVA·VFLH·SC A·1. H·VFL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.2

🟨 Cards

50122311223211322133243534224H·EINH·PSVA·WERA·UNIH·189A·PSVA·VFLH·SC A·1. H·VFL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.5 · Against 10.1 · Total 18.6

⚠️ Fouls

27059788681171015851813777101714151419172323201427H·EINH·PSVA·WERA·UNIH·189A·PSVA·VFLH·SC A·1. H·VFL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Bayern MünchenBayern München

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.89.99.62.72.43.019.217.920.5
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (3)10.08.513.04.75.53.019.019.019.0
vs Weaker (47)9.810.19.42.62.23.019.217.820.6
% over line51%53%50%28%19%38%35%26%44%
% under line49%47%50%72%81%62%65%74%56%
This opponent (Borussia Dortmund) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.810.211.42.82.63.121.821.422.2
vs Stronger (4)10.37.017.02.53.51.521.323.018.0
vs Similar (11)12.412.012.83.83.83.821.119.822.4
vs Weaker (35)10.210.010.32.52.13.122.121.822.4
% over line53%50%56%38%35%42%58%56%61%
% under line47%50%44%62%65%58%42%44%39%
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
1. FC Köln
11.2
Borussia Mönchengladbach
10.7
1. FC Heidenheim
10.6
Fortuna Düsseldorf
10.3
Borussia Dortmund
10.1
Werder Bremen
9.9
1899 Hoffenheim
9.9
Bayer Leverkusen
9.8
FSV Mainz 05
9.8
VfL Bochum
9.8
VfL Wolfsburg
9.8
FC Augsburg
9.8
Bayern München
9.4
RB Leipzig
9.3
SC Freiburg
9.2
VfB Stuttgart
9.1
SV Darmstadt 98
9.0
Eintracht Frankfurt
8.9
Union Berlin
8.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Werder Bremen
4.8
VfL Bochum
4.7
1899 Hoffenheim
4.6
SV Darmstadt 98
4.6
Union Berlin
4.6
1. FC Köln
4.5
FSV Mainz 05
4.5
RB Leipzig
4.4
Fortuna Düsseldorf
4.3
FC Augsburg
4.3
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4.2
VfL Wolfsburg
4.2
Bayer Leverkusen
4.1
SC Freiburg
4.0
Eintracht Frankfurt
4.0
Borussia Dortmund
3.8
1. FC Heidenheim
3.8
VfB Stuttgart
3.6
Bayern München
3.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FSV Mainz 05
26.7
FC Augsburg
25.0
VfL Bochum
25.0
SV Darmstadt 98
24.8
VfL Wolfsburg
24.5
Werder Bremen
24.2
Borussia Mönchengladbach
23.7
1. FC Köln
23.6
1899 Hoffenheim
23.0
Union Berlin
23.0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
22.7
RB Leipzig
22.5
VfB Stuttgart
22.3
1. FC Heidenheim
22.2
SC Freiburg
22.0
Borussia Dortmund
21.6
Eintracht Frankfurt
21.1
Bayer Leverkusen
20.6
Bayern München
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
64.2%
Under 9.5
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
55.2%
Under 3.5
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
37.2%
Under 21.5
62.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Bayern MünchenBayern München

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W11D01L00D12L00D11D20W31W21WA·FC 27/01H·BOR03/02A·BAY10/02A·LAZ14/02A·VFL18/02H·RB 24/02A·SC 01/03H·LAZ05/03H·FSV09/03A·SV 16/03
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.501.200.131.000.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (30)1.100.501.200.131.000.87
Clean sheet %63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Borussia Dortmund) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D20W10W10W21W10W20W10W11DH·VFL28/01A·1. 02/02H·SC 09/02A·VFL17/02A·PSV20/02H·18925/02A·UNI02/03A·WER09/03H·PSV13/03H·EIN17/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.570.930.731.000.40
vs Stronger (3)0.000.670.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (8)0.880.250.750.251.000.25
vs Weaker (19)1.160.681.220.891.100.50
Clean sheet %57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bayern München over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borussia Dortmund over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borussia Dortmund over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borussia Dortmund over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Bayern MünchenBayern München

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L20W02L01L11D21W11D10W50W31WA·FC 27/01H·BOR03/02A·BAY10/02A·LAZ14/02A·VFL18/02H·RB 24/02A·SC 01/03H·LAZ05/03H·FSV09/03A·SV 16/03
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.630.632.200.531.070.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (30)1.630.632.200.531.070.73
Clean sheet %57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Borussia Dortmund) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D10W01L01L02L10W01L10W20WH·VFL28/01A·1. 02/02H·SC 09/02A·VFL17/02A·PSV20/02H·18925/02A·UNI02/03A·WER09/03H·PSV13/03H·EIN17/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.501.000.470.730.53
vs Stronger (3)0.331.670.501.500.002.00
vs Similar (8)0.620.500.750.500.500.50
vs Weaker (19)1.050.321.220.220.900.40
Clean sheet %63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bayern München over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borussia Dortmund over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borussia Dortmund over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borussia Dortmund over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls87.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.584.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards79.7%--------
Under 23.5 fouls77.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners75.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards75.1%--------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Bayern München
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Harry Kane66%
Serge Gnabry29%
Jamal Musiala26%
Mathys Tel24%
Leroy Sané21%
Lovro Zvonarek20%
Kingsley Coman17%
Leon Goretzka12%
Thomas Müller12%
Raphaël Guerreiro11%
Aleksandar Pavlović9%
Alphonso Davies8%
Matthijs de Ligt7%
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting6%
Joshua Kimmich5%
Dayot Upamecano3%
Min-jae Kim3%
Eric Dier0%
Manuel Neuer0%
Sven Ulreich0%
Noussair Mazraoui0%
Konrad Laimer0%
Bouna Sarr0%
Frans Krätzig0%
Bryan Zaragoza0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aleksandar Pavlović27%
Matthijs de Ligt18%
Noussair Mazraoui15%
Sven Ulreich14%
Bryan Zaragoza14%
Leroy Sané13%
Leon Goretzka12%
Konrad Laimer12%
Min-jae Kim12%
Jamal Musiala9%
Alphonso Davies8%
Joshua Kimmich8%
Raphaël Guerreiro7%
Harry Kane7%
Dayot Upamecano6%
Mathys Tel5%
Eric Dier5%
Kingsley Coman4%
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting3%
Manuel Neuer3%
Serge Gnabry0%
Thomas Müller0%
Bouna Sarr0%
Frans Krätzig0%
Lovro Zvonarek0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Harry Kane25%
Leroy Sané23%
Thomas Müller20%
Joshua Kimmich18%
Leon Goretzka18%
Mathys Tel16%
Jamal Musiala14%
Kingsley Coman12%
Noussair Mazraoui11%
Alphonso Davies10%
Konrad Laimer10%
Aleksandar Pavlović9%
Raphaël Guerreiro7%
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting6%
Serge Gnabry6%
Matthijs de Ligt4%
Min-jae Kim3%
Eric Dier0%
Manuel Neuer0%
Sven Ulreich0%
Dayot Upamecano0%
Bouna Sarr0%
Frans Krätzig0%
Bryan Zaragoza0%
Lovro Zvonarek0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Harry Kane59%
Leroy Sané36%
Jamal Musiala14%
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting12%
Kingsley Coman12%
Serge Gnabry6%
Mathys Tel5%
Leon Goretzka5%
Thomas Müller5%
Dayot Upamecano3%
Raphaël Guerreiro0%
Eric Dier0%
Manuel Neuer0%
Sven Ulreich0%
Joshua Kimmich0%
Alphonso Davies0%
Matthijs de Ligt0%
Noussair Mazraoui0%
Konrad Laimer0%
Bouna Sarr0%
Min-jae Kim0%
Frans Krätzig0%
Bryan Zaragoza0%
Lovro Zvonarek0%
Aleksandar Pavlović0%
Borussia Dortmund
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Donyell Malen34%
Niclas Füllkrug31%
Marco Reus21%
Julian Brandt20%
Youssoufa Moukoko17%
Karim Adeyemi15%
Jadon Sancho14%
Ian Maatsen13%
Julian Ryerson13%
Marcel Sabitzer11%
Mats Hummels8%
Felix Nmecha7%
Jamie Bynoe-Gittens6%
Emre Can6%
Sébastien Haller6%
Nico Schlotterbeck4%
Niklas Süle3%
Marius Wolf0%
Thomas Meunier0%
Ramy Bensebaini0%
Salih Özcan0%
Gregor Kobel0%
Alexander Meyer0%
Mateu Morey0%
Giovanni Reyna0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ian Maatsen35%
Emre Can22%
Mats Hummels21%
Nico Schlotterbeck18%
Karim Adeyemi15%
Donyell Malen14%
Felix Nmecha14%
Ramy Bensebaini14%
Marcel Sabitzer14%
Julian Ryerson13%
Sébastien Haller11%
Marius Wolf11%
Salih Özcan9%
Giovanni Reyna8%
Marco Reus5%
Jadon Sancho5%
Julian Brandt5%
Youssoufa Moukoko4%
Niklas Süle3%
Jamie Bynoe-Gittens3%
Gregor Kobel3%
Niclas Füllkrug2%
Thomas Meunier0%
Alexander Meyer0%
Mateu Morey0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Julian Brandt27%
Niclas Füllkrug24%
Marcel Sabitzer19%
Marco Reus13%
Jamie Bynoe-Gittens12%
Jadon Sancho10%
Ian Maatsen9%
Felix Nmecha7%
Nico Schlotterbeck7%
Karim Adeyemi6%
Emre Can6%
Sébastien Haller6%
Marius Wolf4%
Julian Ryerson3%
Donyell Malen3%
Mats Hummels3%
Thomas Meunier0%
Niklas Süle0%
Ramy Bensebaini0%
Salih Özcan0%
Gregor Kobel0%
Alexander Meyer0%
Mateu Morey0%
Youssoufa Moukoko0%
Giovanni Reyna0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Donyell Malen29%
Niclas Füllkrug26%
Marcel Sabitzer16%
Marco Reus13%
Jamie Bynoe-Gittens6%
Mats Hummels5%
Jadon Sancho5%
Julian Brandt5%
Ramy Bensebaini5%
Youssoufa Moukoko4%
Marius Wolf0%
Thomas Meunier0%
Niklas Süle0%
Felix Nmecha0%
Emre Can0%
Sébastien Haller0%
Karim Adeyemi0%
Salih Özcan0%
Julian Ryerson0%
Gregor Kobel0%
Nico Schlotterbeck0%
Alexander Meyer0%
Mateu Morey0%
Ian Maatsen0%
Giovanni Reyna0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (29)
€1076m
BD (29)
€529m
RL (31)
€506m
BL (30)
€499m
VS (54)
€430m
EF (26)
€323m
1H (53)
€309m
SF (30)
€243m
FM0 (29)
€175m
FA (28)
€161m
VW (33)
€154m
1FK (74)
€133m
BM (29)
€129m
UB (29)
€123m
WB (33)
€119m
1FH (26)
€33m
SD9 (28)
€24m
VB (24)
€19m
FD (26)
€10m
Bayern München's squad is €547m more valuable than Borussia Dortmund's (€1076m vs €529m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (10)
€554m
BL (13)
€246m
RL (12)
€212m
VS (19)
€193m
EF (11)
€174m
BD (8)
€170m
1H (22)
€111m
SF (10)
€96m
1FK (25)
€72m
FA (12)
€64m
BM (11)
€58m
VW (10)
€56m
WB (13)
€50m
FM0 (11)
€49m
UB (10)
€46m
1FH (11)
€15m
SD9 (11)
€9m
VB (9)
€6m
FD (8)
€3m
Bayern München's attack is €384m more valuable than Borussia Dortmund's (€554m vs €170m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (6)
€187m
BD (7)
€146m
RL (6)
€109m
1H (11)
€105m
VS (10)
€92m
BL (5)
€91m
FM0 (5)
€80m
EF (4)
€78m
SF (5)
€36m
VW (8)
€32m
WB (5)
€28m
UB (6)
€26m
FA (6)
€23m
BM (5)
€22m
1FK (16)
€19m
1FH (4)
€7m
SD9 (4)
€6m
VB (4)
€5m
FD (5)
€2m
Bayern München's midfield is €41m more valuable than Borussia Dortmund's (€187m vs €146m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (13)
€336m
BD (14)
€214m
RL (13)
€185m
BL (12)
€162m
VS (25)
€145m
SF (15)
€110m
1H (20)
€92m
FA (10)
€74m
EF (11)
€72m
VW (15)
€66m
UB (13)
€50m
BM (13)
€49m
FM0 (13)
€47m
1FK (33)
€43m
WB (15)
€41m
1FH (11)
€12m
SD9 (13)
€8m
VB (11)
€8m
FD (13)
€5m
Bayern München's defence is €122m more valuable than Borussia Dortmund's (€336m vs €214m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
7
BM wins
1
Draws
0
BD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund · H/A from BM
DateH/AGameScore
04/11/23ABorussia Dortmund Vs BM0-4
01/04/23HBM Vs Borussia Dortmund4-2
08/10/22ABorussia Dortmund Vs BM2-2
23/04/22HBM Vs Borussia Dortmund3-1
04/12/21ABorussia Dortmund Vs BM2-3
06/03/21HBM Vs Borussia Dortmund4-2
07/11/20ABorussia Dortmund Vs BM2-3
26/05/20ABorussia Dortmund Vs BM0-1

Bayern MünchenBayern München

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/03/24ASV Darmstadt 98 Vs BM2-5
09/03/24HBM Vs FSV Mainz 058-1
05/03/24HBM Vs Lazio3-0
01/03/24ASC Freiburg Vs BM2-2
24/02/24HBM Vs RB Leipzig2-1
18/02/24AVfL Bochum Vs BM3-2
14/02/24ALazio Vs BM1-0
10/02/24ABayer Leverkusen Vs BM3-0
03/02/24HBM Vs Borussia Mönchengladbach3-1
27/01/24AFC Augsburg Vs BM2-3

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/03/24HBD Vs Eintracht Frankfurt3-1
13/03/24HBD Vs PSV Eindhoven2-0
09/03/24AWerder Bremen Vs BD1-2
02/03/24AUnion Berlin Vs BD0-2
25/02/24HBD Vs 1899 Hoffenheim2-3
20/02/24APSV Eindhoven Vs BD1-1
17/02/24AVfL Wolfsburg Vs BD1-1
09/02/24HBD Vs SC Freiburg3-0
02/02/24A1. FC Heidenheim Vs BD0-0
28/01/24HBD Vs VfL Bochum3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bayern München
Bayern München
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWW2.22
HomeWWWWW2.46
AwayLLLDW1.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %70%77%62%
AVG goals3.724.003.42
Over 1.5 %86%88%83%
Over 2.5 %78%73%83%
Over 3.5 %46%46%46%
Scored2.543.121.92
Conceded1.180.881.50
BTTS58%50%67%
Clean Sheet34%46%21%
Corners9.789.959.61
Cards3.683.324.06
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWW1.98
HomeWWLWW2.27
AwayDDDWW1.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%69%42%
AVG goals3.283.543.00
Over 1.5 %84%81%88%
Over 2.5 %58%65%50%
Over 3.5 %44%54%33%
Scored2.142.461.79
Conceded1.141.081.21
BTTS60%58%62%
Clean Sheet34%38%29%
Corners10.8110.2211.39
Cards3.923.724.11

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen3490
82%
2.6
8924+65
3.3
91%
74%
38%
10.2
56%
4.0
58%
19.4
32%
499
246911622.60.7
62%
2VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart3473
68%
2.1
7839+39
3.4
91%
74%
47%
9.1
38%
4.0
50%
21.2
41%
430
193921452.31.1
60%
3Bayern MünchenBayern München3472
68%
2.1
9445+49
4.1
91%
82%
59%
9.5
50%
3.6
38%
18.3
26%
1076
5541873362.81.3
61%
4RB LeipzigRB Leipzig3465
56%
1.9
7739+38
3.4
88%
68%
47%
10.0
56%
4.8
76%
22.3
50%
506
2121091852.31.1
56%
5Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund3463
53%
1.9
6843+25
3.3
85%
62%
44%
10.2
53%
4.1
61%
21.2
53%
529
1701462142.01.3
58%
6Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt3447
32%
1.4
5150+1
3.0
85%
59%
35%
9.3
53%
4.2
59%
20.4
32%
323
17478721.51.5
52%
71899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim3446
38%
1.4
6666+0
3.9
97%
79%
62%
10.1
47%
4.9
74%
21.5
53%
309
111105921.91.9
50%
81. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim3442
29%
1.2
5055-5
3.1
82%
53%
35%
10.4
53%
3.8
56%
23.1
56%
33
157121.51.6
42%
9Werder BremenWerder Bremen3442
32%
1.2
4854-6
3.0
85%
59%
35%
9.4
41%
5.0
64%
23.6
65%
119
5028411.41.6
47%
10SC FreiburgSC Freiburg3442
32%
1.2
4558-13
3.0
79%
65%
35%
9.4
47%
4.2
52%
22.1
44%
243
96361101.31.7
46%
11FC AugsburgFC Augsburg3439
29%
1.1
5060-10
3.2
88%
62%
35%
10.1
50%
4.2
61%
23.9
74%
161
6423741.51.8
44%
12VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg3437
29%
1.1
4156-15
2.9
85%
59%
35%
9.4
44%
5.1
74%
24.7
68%
154
5632661.21.6
48%
13VfL BochumVfL Bochum3636
22%
1.0
4577-32
3.4
89%
67%
47%
10.8
58%
5.1
78%
25.9
83%
19
6581.22.1
47%
14FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 053435
21%
1.0
3951-12
2.6
76%
44%
32%
9.5
41%
5.4
82%
26.7
79%
175
4980471.11.5
46%
15Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach3434
21%
1.0
5667-11
3.6
88%
76%
53%
11.2
74%
4.1
64%
21.4
50%
129
5822491.62.0
47%
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3433
26%
1.0
3358-25
2.7
74%
47%
26%
9.8
50%
4.2
62%
22.3
65%
123
4626501.01.7
43%
171. FC Köln1. FC Köln3427
15%
0.8
2860-32
2.6
82%
35%
24%
11.5
62%
4.7
67%
23.5
65%
133
7219430.81.8
46%
18SV Darmstadt 98SV Darmstadt 983417
9%
0.5
3086-56
3.4
76%
62%
47%
8.7
41%
4.4
62%
23.5
71%
24
9680.92.5
46%
19Fortuna DüsseldorfFortuna Düsseldorf23
50%
1.5
33+0
3.0
100%
100%
0%
18.5
100%
3.5
50%
31.5
100%
10
3251.51.5
38%
Germany: Bundesliga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: Bundesliga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches