This opponent (Drogheda United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Drogheda United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.97
1.21
0.79
1.00
1.12
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
1.30
0.60
1.20
0.60
1.40
vs Similar (19)
1.26
0.79
1.56
0.56
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
1.00
-
-
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Bohemians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
69.4%
Under 1.5
30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.9%
Under 2.5
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.2%
Under 3.5
78.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.7%
No
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
1-0
12.6%
0-0
10.7%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
0-1 ✓
7.3%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
4.9%
Bohemians goals ↓
Drogheda United goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
7.3%
3.8%
1.1%
0.3%
1
13%
14%
5.6%
1.7%
0.4%
2
10%
9.1%
4.1%
1.2%
0.3%
3
4.9%
4.4%
2.0%
0.6%
0.1%
4
1.8%
1.6%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bohemians goals (down), columns = Drogheda United goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shamrock Rovers
1.83
Derry City
1.75
Shelbourne
1.64
Bohemians
1.50
St Patrick's Athl.
1.44
Drogheda United
1.42
Sligo Rovers
1.14
Waterford
1.14
Galway United
1.08
Cork City
0.67
Bray Wanderers
0.00
Bohemians is 0.08 points better than Drogheda United in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.42).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Shamrock Rovers
1.56
Derry City
1.44
Shelbourne
1.33
Bohemians
1.33
Sligo Rovers
1.17
St Patrick's Athl.
1.17
Waterford
1.16
Drogheda United
1.06
Galway United
1.03
Bray Wanderers
1.00
Cork City
0.92
Bohemians is 0.28 goals better than Drogheda United in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.06).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
St Patrick's Athl.
0.89
Shamrock Rovers
0.92
Shelbourne
1.03
Drogheda United
1.06
Bohemians
1.08
Derry City
1.08
Galway United
1.22
Sligo Rovers
1.50
Waterford
1.65
Cork City
1.69
Bray Wanderers
2.00
Bohemians is 0.03 goals worse than Drogheda United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 1.06).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shamrock Rovers
60%
Shelbourne
57%
Bohemians
56%
St Patrick's Athl.
54%
Derry City
54%
Sligo Rovers
49%
Waterford
47%
Cork City
46%
Galway United
41%
Drogheda United
36%
Bohemians is 20.0 percentage points better than Drogheda United in terms of average possession (56% vs 36%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Bohemians
For 6.2 · Against 3.4 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 11.3 · Total 23.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Drogheda United
For 4.0 · Against 5.8 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 10.6 · Total 21.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bohemians
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
11.9
9.6
5.2
6.0
4.5
24.0
23.4
24.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (50)
10.7
11.9
9.6
5.2
6.0
4.5
24.0
23.4
24.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
55%
65%
46%
74%
83%
65%
68%
65%
71%
% under line
45%
35%
54%
26%
17%
35%
32%
35%
29%
This opponent (Drogheda United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Drogheda United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.9
10.1
4.2
5.0
3.5
22.0
22.5
21.4
vs Stronger (17)
9.7
9.0
10.4
4.6
5.5
3.8
21.6
22.5
20.6
vs Similar (32)
10.2
10.4
9.9
4.2
4.8
3.6
22.2
22.5
21.8
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
46%
46%
45%
58%
71%
46%
59%
62%
55%
% under line
54%
54%
55%
42%
29%
54%
41%
38%
45%
This opponent (Bohemians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Cork City
10.6
Bohemians
10.5
Waterford
10.2
Sligo Rovers
10.1
St Patrick's Athl.
10.1
Drogheda United
9.7
Galway United
9.5
Shamrock Rovers
9.3
Shelbourne
9.0
Derry City
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Derry City
5.7
Bohemians
5.7
Shelbourne
5.7
Waterford
5.6
Sligo Rovers
5.4
St Patrick's Athl.
5.3
Shamrock Rovers
5.2
Galway United
5.1
Cork City
5.0
Drogheda United
4.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cork City
24.7
Waterford
24.3
Bohemians
24.2
Derry City
24.1
Galway United
24.0
Sligo Rovers
23.8
St Patrick's Athl.
23.2
Shelbourne
22.6
Shamrock Rovers
22.0
Drogheda United
21.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
59.4%
Under 9.5
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
76.8%
Under 3.5
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
49.8%
Under 21.5
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bohemians
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.57
0.57
0.57
0.50
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.53
0.57
0.57
0.57
0.50
0.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Drogheda United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Drogheda United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.30
0.71
0.29
0.50
0.31
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
0.40
0.60
0.40
0.00
0.40
vs Similar (19)
0.68
0.26
0.78
0.22
0.60
0.30
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Bohemians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bohemians over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bohemians
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.40
0.79
0.36
0.62
0.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.70
0.40
0.79
0.36
0.62
0.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Drogheda United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Drogheda United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.67
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.81
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
0.90
0.00
0.80
0.60
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.58
0.53
0.78
0.33
0.40
0.70
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Bohemians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bohemians over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Bohemians
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Douglas James-Taylor30%
James Clarke19%
Ross Tierney18%
Dawson Devoy16%
Lys Mousset12%
Sean Grehan12%
Archie Meekison12%
Dayle Rooney12%
Colm Whelan10%
James McManus9%
Jordan Flores6%
Rhys Brennan6%
Connor Parsons5%
Robert Cornwall4%
Keith Buckley4%
Niall Morahan3%
Adam McDonnell0%
Liam Smith0%
John Mountney0%
James Talbot0%
Cian Byrne0%
Kacper Chorążka0%
Jubril Okedina0%
Leigh Kavanagh0%
Markuss Strods0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dawson Devoy28%
Robert Cornwall25%
Dayle Rooney24%
Adam McDonnell23%
Cian Byrne23%
Leigh Kavanagh21%
James Clarke19%
Jordan Flores19%
Sean Grehan19%
Liam Smith15%
Niall Morahan15%
Rhys Brennan12%
Ross Tierney12%
John Mountney12%
Douglas James-Taylor10%
Connor Parsons10%
Colm Whelan10%
James McManus9%
Keith Buckley7%
Kacper Chorążka4%
Lys Mousset0%
Archie Meekison0%
James Talbot0%
Jubril Okedina0%
Markuss Strods0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dayle Rooney18%
Ross Tierney12%
Archie Meekison12%
Leigh Kavanagh11%
Douglas James-Taylor10%
James Clarke10%
Dawson Devoy9%
Keith Buckley4%
Colm Whelan3%
Adam McDonnell0%
Lys Mousset0%
Liam Smith0%
Jordan Flores0%
John Mountney0%
James Talbot0%
Robert Cornwall0%
Niall Morahan0%
Cian Byrne0%
Kacper Chorążka0%
Jubril Okedina0%
Connor Parsons0%
Sean Grehan0%
James McManus0%
Markuss Strods0%
Rhys Brennan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ross Tierney33%
Douglas James-Taylor30%
James Clarke19%
Dayle Rooney18%
Dawson Devoy16%
Sean Grehan12%
Colm Whelan10%
Rhys Brennan6%
Leigh Kavanagh5%
Jordan Flores3%
Adam McDonnell0%
Lys Mousset0%
Archie Meekison0%
Liam Smith0%
John Mountney0%
James Talbot0%
Robert Cornwall0%
Keith Buckley0%
Niall Morahan0%
Cian Byrne0%
Kacper Chorążka0%
Jubril Okedina0%
Connor Parsons0%
James McManus0%
Markuss Strods0%
Drogheda United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Josh Thomas25%
Warren Davis19%
Dare Kareem19%
Douglas James-Taylor15%
Conor Keeley15%
Paul Doyle14%
Elicha Ahui12%
Darragh Markey10%
George Cooper8%
Ryan Brennan6%
Shane Farrell6%
Luke Heeney6%
Thomas Oluwa3%
Conor Kane0%
Luke Dennison0%
Jack Stretton0%
Andrew Quinn0%
Owen Lambe0%
Kieran Cruise0%
John O'Sullivan0%
Aaron Harper-Bailey0%
Steve Zishim Bawa0%
Bridel Bosakani0%
James Bolger0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Elicha Ahui38%
Ryan Brennan28%
Luke Heeney27%
Josh Thomas25%
Shane Farrell24%
Conor Keeley21%
Darragh Markey19%
Steve Zishim Bawa14%
Kieran Cruise12%
Andrew Quinn10%
Owen Lambe9%
Warren Davis9%
Conor Kane9%
Douglas James-Taylor8%
Thomas Oluwa6%
Dare Kareem6%
Luke Dennison6%
Paul Doyle0%
Jack Stretton0%
George Cooper0%
John O'Sullivan0%
Aaron Harper-Bailey0%
Bridel Bosakani0%
James Bolger0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Shane Farrell9%
Conor Keeley9%
Owen Lambe6%
Warren Davis6%
Conor Kane6%
Kieran Cruise6%
Thomas Oluwa3%
Darragh Markey3%
Andrew Quinn3%
Ryan Brennan3%
Luke Heeney3%
Douglas James-Taylor0%
Paul Doyle0%
Luke Dennison0%
Jack Stretton0%
Josh Thomas0%
George Cooper0%
John O'Sullivan0%
Elicha Ahui0%
Aaron Harper-Bailey0%
Steve Zishim Bawa0%
Bridel Bosakani0%
James Bolger0%
Dare Kareem0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Douglas James-Taylor38%
Josh Thomas25%
Conor Keeley9%
James Bolger8%
George Cooper8%
Thomas Oluwa6%
Owen Lambe3%
Warren Davis3%
Darragh Markey0%
Paul Doyle0%
Ryan Brennan0%
Shane Farrell0%
Luke Heeney0%
Conor Kane0%
Luke Dennison0%
Jack Stretton0%
Andrew Quinn0%
Kieran Cruise0%
John O'Sullivan0%
Elicha Ahui0%
Aaron Harper-Bailey0%
Steve Zishim Bawa0%
Bridel Bosakani0%
Dare Kareem0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (31)
€7m
SPA (22)
€5m
BOH (23)
€4m
DC (22)
€4m
SHE (22)
€4m
DU (19)
€3m
SR (21)
€3m
GU (21)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
CC (2)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
Bohemians's squad is €1m more valuable than Drogheda United's (€4m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (14)
€3m
SPA (6)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (7)
€1m
SHE (8)
€1m
SR (10)
€1m
WAT (6)
€1m
DU (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
CC (2)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
Bohemians and Drogheda United have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (7)
€2m
SPA (7)
€1m
DC (6)
€1m
BOH (5)
€1m
SHE (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
SR (3)
€1m
DU (4)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
Bohemians and Drogheda United have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (10)
€2m
SPA (9)
€2m
DU (11)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (9)
€2m
SHE (10)
€2m
SR (8)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
CC (0)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
Bohemians and Drogheda United have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Ireland: Premier Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: Premier Division stats & trends →
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Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
Cork City
Bray Wanderers