This opponent (Shamrock Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Shamrock Rovers
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.23
1.47
0.93
1.13
1.53
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
2.57
0.00
2.00
1.00
2.80
vs Similar (15)
1.47
0.93
1.56
0.89
1.33
1.00
vs Weaker (8)
1.50
0.62
2.00
0.50
1.00
0.75
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Bohemians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
68.1%
Under 1.5
31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.3%
Under 2.5
59.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.0%
Under 3.5
80.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.7%
No
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
0-1
12.9%
0-0
11.3%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
8.9%
1-0 â
7.7%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
4.7%
Bohemians goals ↓
Shamrock Rovers goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
13%
10%
4.7%
1.7%
1
7.7%
14%
8.9%
4.2%
1.5%
2
4.0%
5.6%
3.9%
1.8%
0.6%
3
1.2%
1.6%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bohemians goals (down), columns = Shamrock Rovers goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Shamrock Rovers
1.83
Derry City
1.75
Shelbourne
1.64
Bohemians
1.50
St Patrick's Athl.
1.44
Drogheda United
1.42
Sligo Rovers
1.14
Waterford
1.14
Galway United
1.08
Cork City
0.67
Bray Wanderers
0.00
Bohemians is 0.33 points worse than Shamrock Rovers in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.83).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Shamrock Rovers
1.56
Derry City
1.44
Shelbourne
1.33
Bohemians
1.33
Sligo Rovers
1.17
St Patrick's Athl.
1.17
Waterford
1.16
Drogheda United
1.06
Galway United
1.03
Bray Wanderers
1.00
Cork City
0.92
Bohemians is 0.22 goals worse than Shamrock Rovers in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.56).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
St Patrick's Athl.
0.89
Shamrock Rovers
0.92
Shelbourne
1.03
Drogheda United
1.06
Bohemians
1.08
Derry City
1.08
Galway United
1.22
Sligo Rovers
1.50
Waterford
1.65
Cork City
1.69
Bray Wanderers
2.00
Bohemians is 0.17 goals worse than Shamrock Rovers in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 0.92).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Shamrock Rovers
60%
Shelbourne
57%
Bohemians
56%
St Patrick's Athl.
54%
Derry City
54%
Sligo Rovers
49%
Waterford
47%
Cork City
46%
Galway United
41%
Drogheda United
36%
Bohemians is 4.0 percentage points worse than Shamrock Rovers in terms of average possession (56% vs 60%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Bohemians
For 4.7 · Against 5.8 · Total 10.5
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 3.3 · Total 6.7
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.2 · Against 10.7 · Total 24.9
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Shamrock Rovers
For 4.6 · Against 5.2 · Total 9.8
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.7
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 11.1 · Total 22.3
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bohemians
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
11.0
11.1
5.4
6.0
4.8
24.7
24.5
25.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (50)
11.0
11.0
11.1
5.4
6.0
4.8
24.7
24.5
25.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
61%
62%
61%
78%
88%
67%
76%
73%
78%
% under line
39%
38%
39%
22%
12%
33%
24%
27%
22%
This opponent (Shamrock Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Shamrock Rovers
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.0
10.8
5.0
5.1
4.8
23.2
22.1
24.3
vs Stronger (7)
9.8
7.0
10.7
3.7
1.0
4.8
18.0
17.0
18.3
vs Similar (28)
9.4
8.2
10.9
5.1
5.3
4.8
24.0
22.4
26.0
vs Weaker (15)
10.8
10.9
10.8
5.3
5.9
4.9
23.3
22.3
24.1
% over line
53%
43%
64%
72%
75%
69%
58%
52%
64%
% under line
47%
57%
36%
28%
25%
31%
42%
48%
36%
This opponent (Bohemians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bohemians
11.0
Waterford
10.0
Shamrock Rovers
9.9
St Patrick's Athl.
9.8
Drogheda United
9.6
Galway United
9.6
Derry City
9.5
Cork City
9.2
Sligo Rovers
9.2
Shelbourne
8.5
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Shelbourne
6.2
Bohemians
5.7
Waterford
5.5
Sligo Rovers
5.3
St Patrick's Athl.
5.2
Derry City
5.2
Shamrock Rovers
5.1
Cork City
4.9
Galway United
4.7
Drogheda United
4.7
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Sligo Rovers
26.1
Shelbourne
25.8
Cork City
25.2
Bohemians
24.7
Waterford
24.7
St Patrick's Athl.
24.4
Galway United
24.3
Derry City
24.3
Shamrock Rovers
23.3
Drogheda United
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
66.4%
Under 9.5
33.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
82.9%
Under 3.5
17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
66.2%
Under 21.5
33.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bohemians
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.53
0.60
0.73
0.80
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.70
0.53
0.60
0.73
0.80
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Shamrock Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Shamrock Rovers
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.50
0.87
0.27
0.60
0.73
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
1.29
0.00
0.50
0.40
1.60
vs Similar (15)
0.93
0.40
0.89
0.33
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (8)
0.75
0.00
1.25
0.00
0.25
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Bohemians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bohemians over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shamrock Rovers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shamrock Rovers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shamrock Rovers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bohemians
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.57
0.33
0.60
0.40
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.37
0.57
0.33
0.60
0.40
0.53
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Shamrock Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Shamrock Rovers
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.73
0.60
0.67
0.53
0.80
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
1.29
0.00
1.50
0.60
1.20
vs Similar (15)
0.53
0.53
0.67
0.56
0.33
0.50
vs Weaker (8)
0.75
0.62
0.75
0.50
0.75
0.75
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Bohemians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bohemians over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shamrock Rovers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shamrock Rovers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shamrock Rovers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
92.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 3.5 cards
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 3.5
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 8.5 corners
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Bohemians
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Douglas James-Taylor30%
James Clarke19%
Ross Tierney18%
Dawson Devoy16%
Lys Mousset12%
Sean Grehan12%
Archie Meekison12%
Dayle Rooney12%
Colm Whelan10%
James McManus9%
Jordan Flores6%
Rhys Brennan6%
Connor Parsons5%
Robert Cornwall4%
Keith Buckley4%
Niall Morahan3%
Adam McDonnell0%
Liam Smith0%
John Mountney0%
James Talbot0%
Cian Byrne0%
Kacper ChorÄ Åžka0%
Jubril Okedina0%
Leigh Kavanagh0%
Markuss Strods0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dawson Devoy28%
Robert Cornwall25%
Dayle Rooney24%
Adam McDonnell23%
Cian Byrne23%
Leigh Kavanagh21%
James Clarke19%
Jordan Flores19%
Sean Grehan19%
Liam Smith15%
Niall Morahan15%
Rhys Brennan12%
Ross Tierney12%
John Mountney12%
Douglas James-Taylor10%
Connor Parsons10%
Colm Whelan10%
James McManus9%
Keith Buckley7%
Kacper ChorÄ Åžka4%
Lys Mousset0%
Archie Meekison0%
James Talbot0%
Jubril Okedina0%
Markuss Strods0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dayle Rooney18%
Ross Tierney12%
Archie Meekison12%
Leigh Kavanagh11%
Douglas James-Taylor10%
James Clarke10%
Dawson Devoy9%
Keith Buckley4%
Colm Whelan3%
Adam McDonnell0%
Lys Mousset0%
Liam Smith0%
Jordan Flores0%
John Mountney0%
James Talbot0%
Robert Cornwall0%
Niall Morahan0%
Cian Byrne0%
Kacper ChorÄ Åžka0%
Jubril Okedina0%
Connor Parsons0%
Sean Grehan0%
James McManus0%
Markuss Strods0%
Rhys Brennan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ross Tierney33%
Douglas James-Taylor30%
James Clarke19%
Dayle Rooney18%
Dawson Devoy16%
Sean Grehan12%
Colm Whelan10%
Rhys Brennan6%
Leigh Kavanagh5%
Jordan Flores3%
Adam McDonnell0%
Lys Mousset0%
Archie Meekison0%
Liam Smith0%
John Mountney0%
James Talbot0%
Robert Cornwall0%
Keith Buckley0%
Niall Morahan0%
Cian Byrne0%
Kacper ChorÄ Åžka0%
Jubril Okedina0%
Connor Parsons0%
James McManus0%
Markuss Strods0%
Shamrock Rovers
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rory Gaffney27%
Graham Burke25%
Aaron Greene22%
Joshua Honohan16%
Michael Noonan16%
Daniel Mandroiu10%
Daniel Grant10%
Dan Cleary9%
Connor Malley8%
Matthew Healy8%
Aaron McEneff8%
Lee Grace8%
John McGovern6%
Jack Byrne5%
Adam Matthews5%
Dylan Watts3%
Roberto Lopes3%
Sean Kavanagh0%
Trevor Clarke0%
Darragh Nugent0%
Edward McGinty0%
Gary O'Neill0%
John O'Sullivan0%
Cory O'Sullivan0%
Cian Barrett0%
Max Kovaleskis0%
Victor Ozhianvuna0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dan Cleary31%
Joshua Honohan29%
Gary O'Neill27%
Jack Byrne26%
Daniel Grant23%
Lee Grace23%
Darragh Nugent20%
Cory O'Sullivan20%
Graham Burke19%
Sean Kavanagh17%
John O'Sullivan17%
Matthew Healy16%
Adam Matthews15%
Trevor Clarke14%
Cian Barrett14%
Max Kovaleskis14%
Roberto Lopes11%
Rory Gaffney10%
Dylan Watts9%
Aaron Greene9%
Connor Malley8%
John McGovern6%
Daniel Mandroiu5%
Aaron McEneff4%
Edward McGinty0%
Michael Noonan0%
Victor Ozhianvuna0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jack Byrne21%
Daniel Mandroiu20%
Trevor Clarke14%
Graham Burke14%
Joshua Honohan13%
Lee Grace12%
Daniel Grant10%
Aaron McEneff8%
Dan Cleary6%
Michael Noonan6%
Dylan Watts6%
Matthew Healy5%
Adam Matthews5%
Aaron Greene4%
Rory Gaffney0%
Connor Malley0%
Sean Kavanagh0%
Roberto Lopes0%
Darragh Nugent0%
Edward McGinty0%
Gary O'Neill0%
John McGovern0%
John O'Sullivan0%
Cory O'Sullivan0%
Cian Barrett0%
Max Kovaleskis0%
Victor Ozhianvuna0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Graham Burke33%
Daniel Mandroiu15%
Rory Gaffney13%
Michael Noonan9%
Joshua Honohan6%
Lee Grace4%
Daniel Grant3%
Dan Cleary3%
Connor Malley0%
Adam Matthews0%
Jack Byrne0%
Sean Kavanagh0%
Roberto Lopes0%
Trevor Clarke0%
Aaron McEneff0%
Darragh Nugent0%
Dylan Watts0%
Aaron Greene0%
Edward McGinty0%
Gary O'Neill0%
John McGovern0%
Matthew Healy0%
John O'Sullivan0%
Cory O'Sullivan0%
Cian Barrett0%
Max Kovaleskis0%
Victor Ozhianvuna0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (31)
€7m
SPA (22)
€5m
BOH (23)
€4m
DC (22)
€4m
SHE (22)
€4m
DU (19)
€3m
SR (21)
€3m
GU (21)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
CC (2)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
Bohemians's squad is €2m less valuable than Shamrock Rovers's (€4m vs €7m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (14)
€3m
SPA (6)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (7)
€1m
SHE (8)
€1m
SR (10)
€1m
WAT (6)
€1m
DU (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
CC (2)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
Bohemians's attack is €2m less valuable than Shamrock Rovers's (€2m vs €3m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (7)
€2m
SPA (7)
€1m
DC (6)
€1m
BOH (5)
€1m
SHE (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
SR (3)
€1m
DU (4)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
Bohemians and Shamrock Rovers have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (10)
€2m
SPA (9)
€2m
DU (11)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (9)
€2m
SHE (10)
€2m
SR (8)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
CC (0)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
Bohemians and Shamrock Rovers have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Ireland: Premier Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: Premier Division stats & trends →
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Derry City
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
Cork City
Bray Wanderers