This opponent (Niort) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Niort
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.33
1.07
1.40
0.73
1.27
vs Stronger (16)
1.00
1.56
1.30
1.40
0.50
1.83
vs Similar (14)
0.79
1.07
0.60
1.40
0.89
0.89
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Caen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.4%
Under 1.5
33.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
38.3%
@ 2.36-1.6%
Under 2.5
61.7%
@ 1.57+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.5%
Under 3.5
81.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.8%
No
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
0-0
12.2%
1-0
12.1%
0-1
9.4%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
0-2 ✓
5.3%
Caen goals ↓
Niort goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
9.4%
5.3%
1.7%
0.4%
1
12%
15%
6.5%
2.1%
0.5%
2
8.3%
8.2%
4.0%
1.3%
0.3%
3
3.4%
3.4%
1.7%
0.5%
0.1%
4
1.0%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Caen goals (down), columns = Niort goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Toulouse
2.08
Ajaccio
1.97
Auxerre
1.95
Paris FC
1.84
Sochaux
1.79
Guingamp
1.53
Le Havre
1.32
Caen
1.32
Nimes
1.29
PAU
1.29
Dijon
1.24
Niort
1.21
Bastia
1.21
Valenciennes
1.16
Amiens
1.16
Grenoble
1.16
Rodez
1.13
Rouen
1.05
Dunkerque
0.82
Nancy
0.71
Caen is 0.11 points better than Niort in terms of average points per game (1.32 vs 1.21).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Toulouse
2.16
Auxerre
1.61
Paris FC
1.42
Guingamp
1.37
Caen
1.34
Dijon
1.26
Sochaux
1.24
Nimes
1.16
Amiens
1.13
PAU
1.08
Niort
1.03
Ajaccio
1.03
Le Havre
1.00
Bastia
1.00
Valenciennes
0.89
Rouen
0.87
Nancy
0.84
Rodez
0.84
Grenoble
0.84
Dunkerque
0.74
Caen is 0.32 goals better than Niort in terms of goals scored per game (1.34 vs 1.03).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ajaccio
0.50
Toulouse
0.87
Sochaux
0.89
Paris FC
0.92
Bastia
0.95
Auxerre
1.03
Le Havre
1.08
Amiens
1.08
Niort
1.11
Caen
1.11
Rodez
1.11
Grenoble
1.16
Valenciennes
1.24
Guingamp
1.26
PAU
1.29
Rouen
1.32
Nimes
1.34
Dunkerque
1.39
Dijon
1.39
Nancy
1.82
Caen and Niort are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.11).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Caen
For 4.4 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 12.1 · Total 26.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Niort
For 3.2 · Against 6.0 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 2.4 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 13.7 · Total 26.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Caen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
8.5
8.7
4.2
4.1
4.3
28.7
28.8
28.6
vs Stronger (11)
9.4
8.2
10.8
4.0
4.2
3.8
26.0
26.7
25.2
vs Similar (38)
8.4
8.7
8.2
4.3
4.0
4.5
29.4
29.4
29.5
vs Weaker (1)
7.0
-
7.0
3.0
-
3.0
30.0
-
30.0
% over line
40%
38%
42%
56%
54%
58%
86%
92%
79%
% under line
60%
62%
58%
44%
46%
42%
14%
8%
21%
This opponent (Niort) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Niort
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
9.7
8.3
3.7
3.2
4.2
29.3
28.7
30.0
vs Stronger (26)
8.3
8.6
8.0
3.5
3.1
4.0
28.7
28.4
29.0
vs Similar (24)
9.7
11.3
8.6
4.0
3.4
4.4
30.1
29.0
30.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
39%
52%
27%
60%
46%
73%
88%
83%
92%
% under line
61%
48%
73%
40%
54%
27%
12%
17%
8%
This opponent (Caen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rouen
9.7
Bastia
9.6
Toulouse
9.5
Auxerre
9.4
Nimes
9.4
PAU
9.3
Dijon
9.3
Guingamp
8.9
Valenciennes
8.8
Niort
8.8
Nancy
8.7
Paris FC
8.6
Caen
8.6
Amiens
8.5
Sochaux
8.4
Ajaccio
8.4
Grenoble
8.1
Dunkerque
7.8
Le Havre
7.7
Rodez
7.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Valenciennes
4.5
Toulouse
4.3
Guingamp
4.2
Grenoble
4.2
Nimes
4.2
Caen
4.2
Dijon
4.2
Rouen
4.1
Dunkerque
4.1
Sochaux
4.1
Rodez
4.0
Amiens
4.0
PAU
3.9
Ajaccio
3.9
Paris FC
3.8
Nancy
3.8
Niort
3.8
Bastia
3.8
Le Havre
3.7
Auxerre
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Valenciennes
31.9
Nancy
31.0
Dunkerque
30.8
Rouen
30.3
Guingamp
30.1
Toulouse
30.0
Rodez
30.0
Amiens
29.6
Niort
29.4
Caen
28.7
Ajaccio
28.3
Sochaux
27.6
Le Havre
27.5
Grenoble
27.1
Nimes
27.0
PAU
27.0
Dijon
26.8
Paris FC
26.8
Bastia
26.1
Auxerre
23.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
35.9%
Under 9.5
64.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
59.5%
Under 3.5
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
90.4%
Under 21.5
9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Caen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.50
0.60
0.40
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
0.83
0.33
0.33
1.33
1.33
vs Similar (23)
0.52
0.43
0.67
0.42
0.36
0.45
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Niort) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Niort
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.50
0.40
0.53
0.40
0.47
vs Stronger (16)
0.31
0.62
0.40
0.50
0.17
0.83
vs Similar (14)
0.50
0.36
0.40
0.60
0.56
0.22
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Caen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Caen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Caen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Caen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niort over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niort over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niort over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Caen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.73
0.60
0.53
0.40
0.93
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.83
0.33
0.67
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.52
0.65
0.67
0.50
0.36
0.82
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Niort) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Niort
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.83
0.67
0.87
0.33
0.80
vs Stronger (16)
0.69
0.94
0.90
0.90
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (14)
0.29
0.71
0.20
0.80
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Caen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Caen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Caen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Caen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niort over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niort over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niort over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Caen · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alexandre Mendy23%
Gabin Tomé20%
Ilyes Najim15%
Noe Lebreton12%
Samuel Grandsir11%
Kalifa Coulibaly11%
Bilal Brahimi10%
Tidiam Gomis10%
Romain Thomas8%
Godson Kyeremeh7%
Yann M'Vila5%
Lorenzo Rajot4%
Yassine Benrahou0%
Valentin Henry0%
Mathias Autret0%
Quentin Lecoeuche0%
Anthony Mandrea0%
Yannis Clementia0%
Mickaël Le Bihan0%
Adriel D'Avila Ba Loua0%
Emmanuel Ntim0%
Hugo Vandermersch0%
Daylam Meddah0%
Jules Gaudin0%
Lamine Sy0%
Brahim Traoré0%
Alex Moucketou-Moussounda0%
Didí Gaucho0%
Diabe Bolumbu0%
Robin Verhaeghe0%
Mohamed Hafid0%
Héliohdino Tavares0%
Léo Milliner0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yann M'Vila37%
Hugo Vandermersch33%
Daylam Meddah33%
Didí Gaucho33%
Héliohdino Tavares33%
Jules Gaudin27%
Valentin Henry26%
Quentin Lecoeuche24%
Yannis Clementia22%
Noe Lebreton21%
Lorenzo Rajot15%
Diabe Bolumbu14%
Alexandre Mendy13%
Léo Milliner12%
Brahim Traoré12%
Emmanuel Ntim11%
Alex Moucketou-Moussounda11%
Kalifa Coulibaly11%
Mathias Autret8%
Mickaël Le Bihan8%
Bilal Brahimi6%
Romain Thomas4%
Godson Kyeremeh3%
Yassine Benrahou0%
Anthony Mandrea0%
Samuel Grandsir0%
Adriel D'Avila Ba Loua0%
Lamine Sy0%
Ilyes Najim0%
Robin Verhaeghe0%
Mohamed Hafid0%
Gabin Tomé0%
Tidiam Gomis0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Adriel D'Avila Ba Loua17%
Bilal Brahimi16%
Yassine Benrahou14%
Tidiam Gomis10%
Jules Gaudin9%
Ilyes Najim8%
Godson Kyeremeh7%
Alexandre Mendy6%
Yann M'Vila5%
Mickaël Le Bihan4%
Brahim Traoré4%
Didí Gaucho3%
Noe Lebreton3%
Kalifa Coulibaly0%
Valentin Henry0%
Mathias Autret0%
Quentin Lecoeuche0%
Lorenzo Rajot0%
Anthony Mandrea0%
Romain Thomas0%
Yannis Clementia0%
Samuel Grandsir0%
Emmanuel Ntim0%
Hugo Vandermersch0%
Daylam Meddah0%
Lamine Sy0%
Alex Moucketou-Moussounda0%
Diabe Bolumbu0%
Robin Verhaeghe0%
Mohamed Hafid0%
Héliohdino Tavares0%
Gabin Tomé0%
Léo Milliner0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexandre Mendy39%
Samuel Grandsir11%
Emmanuel Ntim11%
Yann M'Vila5%
Tidiam Gomis5%
Mickaël Le Bihan4%
Godson Kyeremeh3%
Bilal Brahimi3%
Yassine Benrahou0%
Kalifa Coulibaly0%
Valentin Henry0%
Mathias Autret0%
Quentin Lecoeuche0%
Lorenzo Rajot0%
Anthony Mandrea0%
Romain Thomas0%
Yannis Clementia0%
Adriel D'Avila Ba Loua0%
Hugo Vandermersch0%
Daylam Meddah0%
Jules Gaudin0%
Lamine Sy0%
Ilyes Najim0%
Brahim Traoré0%
Alex Moucketou-Moussounda0%
Didí Gaucho0%
Diabe Bolumbu0%
Noe Lebreton0%
Robin Verhaeghe0%
Mohamed Hafid0%
Héliohdino Tavares0%
Gabin Tomé0%
Léo Milliner0%
Niort · 2022/23
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bilal Boutobba29%
Moataz Zemzemi17%
Nesta Elphege17%
Junior Flemmings12%
Oumar Ngom12%
Amadou Sagna11%
Junior Olaitan9%
Samuel Renel8%
Kevin Rocheteau6%
Bryan Passi5%
Ibrahima Sory Conté5%
Lenny Vallier4%
Yanis Merdji4%
Samy Benchama3%
Charles Kabore0%
Quentin Bernard0%
Guy-Marcelin Kilama0%
Mathieu Michel0%
Jean Louchet0%
Joris Moutachy0%
Dylan Durivaux0%
Tyron Tormin0%
Godwin Bentil0%
Bradley Matufueni M'bondo0%
Nacim El Hassani0%
Ryan Bakayoko0%
Landry Manga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Charles Kabore30%
Dylan Durivaux21%
Bilal Boutobba17%
Joris Moutachy15%
Ibrahima Sory Conté14%
Moataz Zemzemi13%
Junior Flemmings12%
Oumar Ngom12%
Junior Olaitan12%
Quentin Bernard12%
Lenny Vallier11%
Yanis Merdji11%
Bryan Passi11%
Bradley Matufueni M'bondo7%
Guy-Marcelin Kilama6%
Samy Benchama6%
Kevin Rocheteau6%
Amadou Sagna5%
Samuel Renel4%
Mathieu Michel3%
Jean Louchet0%
Tyron Tormin0%
Godwin Bentil0%
Nacim El Hassani0%
Ryan Bakayoko0%
Nesta Elphege0%
Landry Manga0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Amadou Sagna14%
Bilal Boutobba11%
Ryan Bakayoko9%
Junior Olaitan9%
Charles Kabore7%
Ibrahima Sory Conté5%
Samuel Renel4%
Moataz Zemzemi3%
Quentin Bernard0%
Guy-Marcelin Kilama0%
Mathieu Michel0%
Yanis Merdji0%
Jean Louchet0%
Bryan Passi0%
Lenny Vallier0%
Kevin Rocheteau0%
Junior Flemmings0%
Samy Benchama0%
Joris Moutachy0%
Dylan Durivaux0%
Tyron Tormin0%
Godwin Bentil0%
Bradley Matufueni M'bondo0%
Nacim El Hassani0%
Nesta Elphege0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Landry Manga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bilal Boutobba20%
Junior Olaitan18%
Junior Flemmings12%
Ryan Bakayoko9%
Amadou Sagna5%
Yanis Merdji4%
Charles Kabore0%
Quentin Bernard0%
Ibrahima Sory Conté0%
Guy-Marcelin Kilama0%
Mathieu Michel0%
Jean Louchet0%
Bryan Passi0%
Moataz Zemzemi0%
Lenny Vallier0%
Kevin Rocheteau0%
Samy Benchama0%
Samuel Renel0%
Joris Moutachy0%
Dylan Durivaux0%
Tyron Tormin0%
Godwin Bentil0%
Bradley Matufueni M'bondo0%
Nacim El Hassani0%
Nesta Elphege0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Landry Manga0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 2 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Toulouse
Ajaccio
Auxerre
Paris FC
Sochaux
Guingamp
Le Havre
Nimes
PAU
Dijon
Bastia
Amiens
Grenoble
Valenciennes
Rodez
Rouen
Dunkerque
Nancy