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Cagliari vs AC Milan Result & Analysis

Date: 02/01/2026
Time: 19:45
Final 0-1
Cagliari
Cagliari
Vs
25%
26%
49%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AC Milan
AC Milan
Italy: Serie A
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cagliari win✗ Miss
25.1%
Avg Implied 15.2% · @ 6.21
Edge
+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.7%
Avg Implied 24.1% · @ 3.90
Edge
+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
AC Milan win✓ Hit
49.2%
Avg Implied 60.7% · @ 1.55
Edge
-11.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

CagliariCagliari

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D12L02L00D33D12L10W12L22D21WA·HEL26/10H·SAS30/10A·LAZ03/11A·COM08/11H·GEN22/11A·JUV29/11H·AS 07/12A·ATA13/12H·PIS21/12A·TOR27/12
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.371.361.290.881.44
vs Stronger (10)0.401.600.331.000.431.86
vs Similar (20)1.451.251.641.361.221.11
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W22D11D10W22D10W10W32W22D30WH·FIO19/10H·PIS24/10A·ATA28/10H·AS 02/11A·PAR08/11A·INT23/11H·LAZ29/11A·TOR08/12H·SAS14/12H·HEL28/12
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.071.671.001.801.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.151.081.381.000.801.20
vs Weaker (17)2.181.062.001.002.301.10
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Cagliari) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
80.5%
Under 1.5
19.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.7%
@ 2.03+10.5%
Under 2.5
43.3%
@ 1.74-10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.3%
Under 3.5
65.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.9%
No
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
1-2
9.6%
0-1 ✓
8.0%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
6.6%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.8%
1-3
5.6%
Cagliari goals ↓
AC Milan goals →
01234
06.3%8.0%8.0%4.7%2.0%
15.2%12%9.6%5.6%2.5%
23.8%6.6%5.8%3.4%1.5%
31.5%2.6%2.3%1.4%0.6%
40.5%0.8%0.7%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cagliari goals (down), columns = AC Milan goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Inter
2.29
Napoli
2.00
AS Roma
1.92
Como
1.87
AC Milan
1.84
Juventus
1.82
Atalanta
1.55
Bologna
1.47
Lazio
1.42
Udinese
1.32
Sassuolo
1.29
Torino
1.18
Parma
1.18
Cagliari
1.13
Fiorentina
1.11
Genoa
1.08
Lecce
1.00
Cremonese
0.89
Hellas Verona
0.55
Pisa
0.47
Cagliari is 0.71 points worse than AC Milan in terms of average points per game (1.13 vs 1.84).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter
2.34
Como
1.71
Juventus
1.61
AS Roma
1.55
Napoli
1.53
AC Milan
1.39
Atalanta
1.34
Bologna
1.29
Sassuolo
1.21
Udinese
1.18
Torino
1.16
Genoa
1.08
Fiorentina
1.08
Lazio
1.08
Cagliari
1.05
Cremonese
0.84
Lecce
0.74
Parma
0.74
Pisa
0.68
Hellas Verona
0.66
Cagliari is 0.34 goals worse than AC Milan in terms of goals scored per game (1.05 vs 1.39).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Como
0.76
AS Roma
0.82
Juventus
0.89
Inter
0.92
AC Milan
0.92
Napoli
0.95
Atalanta
0.95
Lazio
1.05
Bologna
1.21
Parma
1.21
Udinese
1.26
Fiorentina
1.32
Lecce
1.32
Sassuolo
1.32
Genoa
1.34
Cagliari
1.39
Cremonese
1.50
Hellas Verona
1.61
Torino
1.66
Pisa
1.87
Cagliari is 0.47 goals worse than AC Milan in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 0.92).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Como
62%
Inter
60%
Napoli
59%
Juventus
58%
AS Roma
56%
Atalanta
55%
Bologna
55%
AC Milan
52%
Fiorentina
51%
Lazio
50%
Genoa
49%
Cremonese
46%
Sassuolo
46%
Udinese
46%
Cagliari
46%
Torino
44%
Parma
44%
Lecce
42%
Pisa
40%
Hellas Verona
40%
Cagliari is 6.3 percentage points worse than AC Milan in terms of average possession (46% vs 52%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

CagliariCagliari

For 3.4 · Against 4.8 · Total 8.2

🚩 Corners

120262645416162105737238895781012105A·TORH·PISA·ATAH·AS A·JUVH·GENA·COMA·LAZH·SASA·HEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.0

🟨 Cards

803322122514413244433534684287A·TORH·PISA·ATAH·AS A·JUVH·GENA·COMA·LAZH·SASA·HEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.4 · Against 16.1 · Total 32.5

⚠️ Fouls

41013141520151318161616221615211882021121627352834323836264128A·TORH·PISA·ATAH·AS A·JUVH·GENA·COMA·LAZH·SASA·HEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AC MilanAC Milan

For 4.1 · Against 4.7 · Total 8.8

🚩 Corners

15073734214193478496213101065107151384H·HELH·SASA·TORH·LAZA·INTA·PARH·AS A·ATAH·PISH·FIO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

7011312342111153113331437326446H·HELH·SASA·TORH·LAZA·INTA·PARH·AS A·ATAH·PISH·FIO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.5 · Against 13.1 · Total 22.6

⚠️ Fouls

29051512127161012971014121389821141220242322162425172926H·HELH·SASA·TORH·LAZA·INTA·PARH·AS A·ATAH·PISH·FIO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

CagliariCagliari

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.19.58.83.93.74.126.527.525.7
vs Stronger (18)9.68.910.03.42.14.224.324.424.2
vs Similar (32)8.99.87.94.24.44.127.828.926.8
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line40%30%48%56%61%52%74%74%74%
% under line60%70%52%44%39%48%26%26%26%
This opponent (AC Milan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AC MilanAC Milan

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.69.89.24.14.63.523.023.122.9
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (23)9.09.38.64.75.24.122.221.822.8
vs Weaker (27)10.010.49.73.53.93.123.724.423.0
% over line50%62%38%54%73%33%58%58%58%
% under line50%38%62%46%27%67%42%42%42%
This opponent (Cagliari) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Lecce
10.2
Udinese
9.6
Inter
9.6
Juventus
9.6
Lazio
9.6
AC Milan
9.6
Parma
9.5
Atalanta
9.4
Genoa
9.4
Hellas Verona
9.2
Napoli
9.1
Cagliari
9.1
Cremonese
9.1
Torino
8.9
Bologna
8.9
AS Roma
8.8
Fiorentina
8.7
Pisa
8.3
Sassuolo
8.2
Como
8.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Lazio
5.8
Fiorentina
5.1
Como
5.1
Bologna
5.0
Cremonese
4.8
AS Roma
4.7
Hellas Verona
4.4
Pisa
4.3
Parma
4.3
Sassuolo
4.3
Genoa
4.2
Cagliari
4.1
Lecce
4.1
AC Milan
4.1
Udinese
4.0
Torino
3.6
Juventus
3.6
Inter
3.6
Atalanta
3.3
Napoli
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bologna
30.7
Cremonese
29.7
Fiorentina
28.7
Como
28.1
Genoa
27.1
Pisa
27.0
Sassuolo
26.6
Cagliari
26.5
AS Roma
26.0
Lazio
25.7
Hellas Verona
25.6
Lecce
25.0
Udinese
25.0
Torino
24.4
Parma
24.0
Juventus
23.7
Napoli
23.7
Inter
23.4
AC Milan
23.0
Atalanta
20.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
39.3%
Under 9.5
60.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
57.0%
Under 3.5
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
84.6%
Under 21.5
15.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

CagliariCagliari

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D00D22D12L00D01L01L11DA·HEL26/10H·SAS30/10A·LAZ03/11A·COM08/11H·GEN22/11A·JUV29/11H·AS 07/12A·ATA13/12H·PIS21/12A·TOR27/12
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.630.570.570.440.69
vs Stronger (10)0.100.800.000.670.140.86
vs Similar (20)0.700.550.730.550.670.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AC MilanAC Milan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W11D10W21W00D00D12L11D10WH·FIO19/10H·PIS24/10A·ATA28/10H·AS 02/11A·PAR08/11A·INT23/11H·LAZ29/11A·TOR08/12H·SAS14/12H·HEL28/12
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.500.530.400.670.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.460.620.500.500.400.80
vs Weaker (17)0.710.410.570.290.800.50
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Cagliari) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cagliari over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cagliari over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cagliari over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

CagliariCagliari

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W12L02L00D11D00D10W11D21W10WA·HEL26/10H·SAS30/10A·LAZ03/11A·COM08/11H·GEN22/11A·JUV29/11H·AS 07/12A·ATA13/12H·PIS21/12A·TOR27/12
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.730.790.710.440.75
vs Stronger (10)0.300.800.330.330.291.00
vs Similar (20)0.750.700.910.820.560.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AC MilanAC Milan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W12L00D00D01L10W10W20W11D20WH·FIO19/10H·PIS24/10A·ATA28/10H·AS 02/11A·PAR08/11A·INT23/11H·LAZ29/11A·TOR08/12H·SAS14/12H·HEL28/12
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.571.130.601.130.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.690.460.880.500.400.40
vs Weaker (17)1.470.651.430.711.500.60
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Cagliari) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cagliari over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cagliari over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cagliari over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls92.5%-------✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls84.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners81.7%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.580.5%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards78.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards76.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls72.9%-------✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners72.4%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Cagliari
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mattia Felici21%
Sebastiano Esposito21%
Gennaro Borrelli17%
Nicolò Cavuoti17%
Semih Kılıçsoy16%
Andrea Belotti12%
Yael Trepy12%
Paul Mendy11%
Luca Mazzitelli10%
Gianluca Gaetano9%
Riyad Idrissi8%
Yerry Mina7%
Leonardo Pavoletti7%
Michael Folorunsho7%
Sulemana6%
Juan Rodríguez6%
Sebastiano Luperto5%
Matteo Prati5%
Marco Palestra3%
Michel Ndary Adopo2%
Gabriele Zappa0%
Alessandro Deiola0%
Elia Caprile0%
Alberto Dossena0%
Zé Pedro0%
Alessandro Di Pardo0%
Zito Luvumbo0%
Adam Obert0%
Joseph Liteta0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alberto Dossena42%
Zé Pedro25%
Adam Obert24%
Matteo Prati23%
Mattia Felici21%
Sebastiano Luperto19%
Juan Rodríguez17%
Sebastiano Esposito15%
Luca Mazzitelli15%
Yerry Mina15%
Gennaro Borrelli14%
Alessandro Deiola13%
Sulemana12%
Riyad Idrissi12%
Gianluca Gaetano11%
Paul Mendy11%
Michael Folorunsho11%
Michel Ndary Adopo10%
Marco Palestra8%
Leonardo Pavoletti7%
Gabriele Zappa6%
Elia Caprile5%
Semih Kılıçsoy4%
Andrea Belotti0%
Alessandro Di Pardo0%
Zito Luvumbo0%
Nicolò Cavuoti0%
Joseph Liteta0%
Yael Trepy0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sebastiano Esposito15%
Mattia Felici14%
Gianluca Gaetano11%
Marco Palestra11%
Luca Mazzitelli10%
Gabriele Zappa9%
Alessandro Deiola9%
Alberto Dossena8%
Adam Obert8%
Michel Ndary Adopo7%
Leonardo Pavoletti7%
Zé Pedro4%
Riyad Idrissi4%
Gennaro Borrelli3%
Sebastiano Luperto0%
Yerry Mina0%
Andrea Belotti0%
Elia Caprile0%
Alessandro Di Pardo0%
Michael Folorunsho0%
Zito Luvumbo0%
Matteo Prati0%
Nicolò Cavuoti0%
Semih Kılıçsoy0%
Sulemana0%
Juan Rodríguez0%
Joseph Liteta0%
Yael Trepy0%
Paul Mendy0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Zito Luvumbo14%
Andrea Belotti12%
Paul Mendy11%
Alessandro Deiola9%
Sebastiano Esposito8%
Mattia Felici7%
Michael Folorunsho7%
Gianluca Gaetano6%
Matteo Prati5%
Semih Kılıçsoy4%
Gennaro Borrelli3%
Adam Obert3%
Gabriele Zappa0%
Sebastiano Luperto0%
Yerry Mina0%
Michel Ndary Adopo0%
Leonardo Pavoletti0%
Elia Caprile0%
Luca Mazzitelli0%
Alberto Dossena0%
Zé Pedro0%
Alessandro Di Pardo0%
Nicolò Cavuoti0%
Sulemana0%
Marco Palestra0%
Riyad Idrissi0%
Juan Rodríguez0%
Joseph Liteta0%
Yael Trepy0%
AC Milan
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rafael Leão29%
Christian Pulišić24%
Christopher Nkunku21%
Adrien Rabiot16%
Strahinja Pavlović14%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek10%
Alexis Saelemaekers8%
Zachary Athekame7%
Youssouf Fofana6%
Luka Modrić6%
Santiago Giménez6%
Niclas Füllkrug5%
Pervis Estupiñán5%
Koni De Winter4%
Davide Bartesaghi3%
Samuele Ricci3%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Mike Maignan0%
Matteo Gabbia0%
Ardon Jashari0%
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien0%
David Odogu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pervis Estupiñán29%
Fikayo Tomori19%
Strahinja Pavlović16%
Adrien Rabiot16%
Rafael Leão16%
Alexis Saelemaekers13%
Matteo Gabbia13%
Samuele Ricci12%
Youssouf Fofana11%
Luka Modrić11%
Santiago Giménez11%
Zachary Athekame11%
Mike Maignan10%
Davide Bartesaghi9%
Koni De Winter7%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek6%
Christian Pulišić0%
Christopher Nkunku0%
Niclas Füllkrug0%
Ardon Jashari0%
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien0%
David Odogu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Adrien Rabiot13%
Christian Pulišić12%
Samuele Ricci12%
Youssouf Fofana11%
Santiago Giménez11%
Alexis Saelemaekers11%
Rafael Leão10%
Christopher Nkunku9%
Luka Modrić8%
Fikayo Tomori8%
Zachary Athekame7%
Ardon Jashari6%
Pervis Estupiñán5%
Koni De Winter4%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek3%
Davide Bartesaghi3%
Strahinja Pavlović3%
Mike Maignan0%
Niclas Füllkrug0%
Matteo Gabbia0%
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien0%
David Odogu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rafael Leão26%
Christian Pulišić21%
Santiago Giménez17%
Adrien Rabiot13%
Christopher Nkunku12%
Youssouf Fofana11%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek10%
Matteo Gabbia6%
Ardon Jashari6%
Alexis Saelemaekers5%
Samuele Ricci3%
Strahinja Pavlović3%
Luka Modrić0%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Mike Maignan0%
Niclas Füllkrug0%
Pervis Estupiñán0%
Koni De Winter0%
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
David Odogu0%
Zachary Athekame0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (25)
€694m
AM (33)
€585m
JUV (28)
€569m
COM (34)
€488m
AR (29)
€471m
NAP (33)
€459m
ATA (26)
€438m
FIO (28)
€330m
LAZ (35)
€240m
BOL (25)
€218m
SAS (38)
€194m
GEN (32)
€182m
UDI (30)
€157m
TOR (31)
€144m
PAR (28)
€142m
CAG (31)
€134m
LEC (31)
€72m
PIS (36)
€71m
HV (34)
€57m
CRE (30)
€49m
Cagliari's squad is €451m less valuable than AC Milan's (€134m vs €585m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (13)
€261m
JUV (10)
€240m
AM (8)
€223m
INT (5)
€220m
NAP (12)
€206m
ATA (7)
€158m
AR (6)
€138m
FIO (9)
€125m
BOL (8)
€104m
SAS (12)
€90m
LAZ (9)
€60m
GEN (9)
€54m
CAG (11)
€51m
UDI (8)
€46m
TOR (10)
€43m
PAR (8)
€35m
PIS (13)
€24m
LEC (9)
€20m
HV (10)
€13m
CRE (7)
€12m
Cagliari's attack is €172m less valuable than AC Milan's (€51m vs €223m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€232m
AM (11)
€153m
JUV (6)
€140m
ATA (10)
€128m
AR (5)
€118m
FIO (6)
€107m
NAP (7)
€101m
LAZ (8)
€86m
COM (7)
€83m
PAR (8)
€60m
SAS (9)
€53m
TOR (8)
€46m
GEN (6)
€44m
UDI (8)
€39m
BOL (5)
€34m
CAG (9)
€31m
PIS (9)
€26m
LEC (8)
€16m
CRE (10)
€15m
HV (9)
€14m
Cagliari's midfield is €122m less valuable than AC Milan's (€31m vs €153m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€242m
AR (18)
€215m
AM (14)
€209m
JUV (12)
€189m
ATA (9)
€153m
NAP (14)
€152m
COM (14)
€144m
FIO (13)
€98m
LAZ (18)
€93m
GEN (17)
€84m
BOL (12)
€79m
UDI (14)
€72m
TOR (13)
€54m
SAS (17)
€52m
CAG (11)
€52m
PAR (12)
€46m
LEC (14)
€37m
HV (15)
€30m
CRE (13)
€22m
PIS (14)
€22m
Cagliari's defence is €157m less valuable than AC Milan's (€52m vs €209m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
CAG wins
3
Draws
5
AM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Cagliari vs AC Milan · H/A from CAG
DateH/AGameScore
11/01/25AAC Milan Vs CAG1-1
09/11/24HCAG Vs AC Milan3-3
11/05/24AAC Milan Vs CAG5-1
27/09/23HCAG Vs AC Milan1-3
19/03/22HCAG Vs AC Milan0-1
29/08/21AAC Milan Vs CAG4-1
16/05/21AAC Milan Vs CAG0-0
18/01/21HCAG Vs AC Milan0-2

CagliariCagliari

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/12/25ATorino Vs CAG1-2
21/12/25HCAG Vs Pisa2-2
13/12/25AAtalanta Vs CAG2-1
07/12/25HCAG Vs AS Roma1-0
29/11/25AJuventus Vs CAG2-1
22/11/25HCAG Vs Genoa3-3
08/11/25AComo Vs CAG0-0
03/11/25ALazio Vs CAG2-0
30/10/25HCAG Vs Sassuolo1-2
26/10/25AHellas Verona Vs CAG2-2

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/12/25HAM Vs Hellas Verona3-0
14/12/25HAM Vs Sassuolo2-2
08/12/25ATorino Vs AM2-3
29/11/25HAM Vs Lazio1-0
23/11/25AInter Vs AM0-1
08/11/25AParma Vs AM2-2
02/11/25HAM Vs AS Roma1-0
28/10/25AAtalanta Vs AM1-1
24/10/25HAM Vs Pisa2-2
19/10/25HAM Vs Fiorentina2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Cagliari
Cagliari
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDW1.04
HomeLLDWD1.26
AwayLDLLW0.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%35%19%
AVG goals2.602.872.37
Over 1.5 %80%83%78%
Over 2.5 %52%57%48%
Over 3.5 %20%22%19%
Scored1.161.430.93
Conceded1.441.431.44
BTTS56%52%59%
Clean Sheet18%22%15%
Corners9.129.528.78
Cards4.104.054.15
AC Milan
AC Milan
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDW1.82
HomeDWWDW1.96
AwayDDDWW1.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%54%50%
AVG goals2.622.352.92
Over 1.5 %76%69%83%
Over 2.5 %56%50%62%
Over 3.5 %24%19%29%
Scored1.581.501.67
Conceded1.040.851.25
BTTS58%58%58%
Clean Sheet36%38%33%
Corners9.569.859.25
Cards4.084.583.54

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1InterInter3887
71%
2.3
8935+54
3.3
84%
55%
37%
9.2
55%
3.5
38%
24.2
58%
694
2202322422.30.9
60%
2NapoliNapoli3876
61%
2.0
5836+22
2.5
68%
53%
26%
8.2
26%
3.5
42%
23.4
61%
459
2061011521.50.9
59%
3AS RomaAS Roma3873
61%
1.9
5931+28
2.4
66%
37%
18%
8.6
34%
4.1
66%
27.8
89%
471
1381182151.60.8
56%
4ComoComo3871
53%
1.9
6529+36
2.5
71%
45%
24%
7.7
24%
4.6
68%
25.9
79%
488
261831441.70.8
62%
5AC MilanAC Milan3870
53%
1.8
5335+18
2.3
66%
45%
18%
8.6
42%
3.8
58%
21.9
58%
585
2231532091.40.9
52%
6JuventusJuventus3869
50%
1.8
6134+27
2.5
74%
39%
24%
9.2
37%
3.7
59%
22.3
61%
569
2401401891.60.9
58%
7AtalantaAtalanta3859
39%
1.6
5136+15
2.3
74%
37%
18%
9.8
50%
3.4
47%
22.1
53%
438
1581281531.30.9
55%
8BolognaBologna3856
42%
1.5
4946+3
2.5
71%
45%
26%
8.7
34%
4.1
51%
27.8
89%
218
10434791.31.2
55%
9LazioLazio3854
37%
1.4
4140+1
2.1
66%
32%
16%
7.9
29%
4.9
76%
25.1
68%
240
6086931.11.1
50%
10UdineseUdinese3850
37%
1.3
4548-3
2.4
68%
45%
21%
9.3
39%
3.7
53%
25.1
79%
157
4639721.21.3
46%
11SassuoloSassuolo3849
37%
1.3
4650-4
2.5
74%
55%
21%
8.7
50%
4.5
65%
24.9
68%
194
9053521.21.3
46%
12ParmaParma3845
29%
1.2
2846-18
1.9
58%
29%
16%
8.8
37%
3.9
61%
24.3
79%
142
3560460.71.2
44%
13TorinoTorino3845
32%
1.2
4463-19
2.8
74%
63%
29%
8.5
42%
3.5
44%
24.5
68%
144
4346541.21.7
44%
14CagliariCagliari3843
29%
1.1
4053-13
2.4
76%
50%
18%
8.9
37%
4.1
58%
28.6
89%
134
5131521.11.4
46%
15FiorentinaFiorentina3842
24%
1.1
4150-9
2.4
71%
50%
24%
9.0
47%
4.8
78%
28.1
92%
330
125107981.11.3
51%
16GenoaGenoa3841
26%
1.1
4151-10
2.4
76%
53%
16%
8.6
37%
4.5
76%
27.4
87%
182
5444841.11.3
49%
17LecceLecce3838
26%
1.0
2850-22
2.1
61%
37%
13%
9.6
58%
3.8
50%
26.7
74%
72
2016370.71.3
42%
18CremoneseCremonese3834
21%
0.9
3257-25
2.3
68%
45%
24%
9.5
47%
3.8
46%
26.4
84%
49
1215220.81.5
46%
19Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3821
8%
0.6
2561-36
2.3
68%
50%
21%
9.0
42%
4.1
54%
25.3
74%
57
1314300.71.6
40%
20PisaPisa3818
5%
0.5
2671-45
2.6
66%
53%
32%
8.4
37%
3.8
53%
24.7
79%
71
2426220.71.9
40%
Italy: Serie A 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie A stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches