This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cosenza
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.27
0.73
1.00
1.00
1.53
vs Stronger (22)
0.86
1.50
0.73
1.18
1.00
1.82
vs Similar (8)
0.88
0.62
0.75
0.50
1.00
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Catanzaro) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.2%
Under 1.5
26.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.5%
@ 2.16+3.1%
Under 2.5
53.5%
@ 1.66-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
25.0%
Under 3.5
75.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.5%
No
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
9.1%
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
5.0%
Catanzaro goals ↓
Cosenza goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.1%
6.5%
3.8%
1.2%
0.3%
1
11%
13%
5.9%
1.9%
0.5%
2
9.6%
9.4%
4.6%
1.5%
0.4%
3
5.0%
4.9%
2.4%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.9%
1.9%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Catanzaro goals (down), columns = Cosenza goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sassuolo
2.16
Pisa
1.95
Spezia
1.74
Cremonese
1.62
Juve Stabia
1.49
Catanzaro
1.37
Cesena
1.36
Palermo
1.33
Bari
1.26
Sudtirol
1.21
Modena
1.18
Carrarese
1.18
Reggiana
1.16
Mantova
1.16
Brescia
1.13
Frosinone
1.13
Sampdoria
1.13
Salernitana
1.08
Cittadella
1.05
Cosenza
0.89
Catanzaro is 0.47 points better than Cosenza in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 0.89).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sassuolo
2.05
Cremonese
1.64
Pisa
1.63
Spezia
1.55
Palermo
1.33
Sudtirol
1.32
Catanzaro
1.29
Modena
1.26
Mantova
1.24
Cesena
1.18
Brescia
1.11
Reggiana
1.11
Juve Stabia
1.10
Bari
1.08
Carrarese
1.03
Sampdoria
1.03
Frosinone
0.97
Salernitana
0.95
Cosenza
0.84
Cittadella
0.82
Catanzaro is 0.45 goals better than Cosenza in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 0.84).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Spezia
0.88
Pisa
0.97
Sassuolo
1.00
Bari
1.05
Juve Stabia
1.10
Palermo
1.13
Cremonese
1.14
Catanzaro
1.20
Cesena
1.23
Salernitana
1.26
Sampdoria
1.26
Brescia
1.26
Carrarese
1.29
Frosinone
1.32
Modena
1.32
Reggiana
1.37
Cittadella
1.42
Cosenza
1.47
Mantova
1.47
Sudtirol
1.50
Catanzaro is 0.28 goals better than Cosenza in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 1.47).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Mantova
62%
Cremonese
60%
Catanzaro
55%
Sassuolo
52%
Salernitana
52%
Juve Stabia
52%
Bari
51%
Spezia
50%
Palermo
49%
Carrarese
49%
Cosenza
49%
Cesena
49%
Modena
48%
Sampdoria
48%
Frosinone
47%
Brescia
46%
Pisa
46%
Cittadella
45%
Reggiana
44%
Sudtirol
44%
Catanzaro is 6.1 percentage points better than Cosenza in terms of average possession (55% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Catanzaro
For 3.5 · Against 5.0 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 16.1 · Total 29.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cosenza
For 4.9 · Against 5.3 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.5 · Against 2.5 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.3 · Against 16.0 · Total 32.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Catanzaro
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
9.2
8.8
4.9
4.7
5.2
28.8
28.5
29.0
vs Stronger (1)
11.0
11.0
-
4.0
4.0
-
26.0
26.0
-
vs Similar (32)
9.0
8.9
9.2
4.9
4.6
5.2
28.2
27.8
28.8
vs Weaker (17)
8.8
9.6
8.2
5.1
5.0
5.1
29.9
30.7
29.3
% over line
40%
42%
38%
78%
77%
79%
96%
92%
100%
% under line
60%
58%
62%
22%
23%
21%
4%
8%
0%
This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cosenza
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.4
10.7
6.3
6.0
6.6
29.5
30.0
29.0
vs Stronger (35)
10.4
10.5
10.3
6.0
5.9
6.1
29.6
29.2
30.1
vs Similar (15)
10.9
10.2
11.3
7.0
6.2
7.6
29.5
32.8
27.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
60%
60%
60%
94%
96%
92%
88%
88%
88%
% under line
40%
40%
40%
6%
4%
8%
12%
12%
12%
This opponent (Catanzaro) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Palermo
10.8
Cosenza
10.5
Juve Stabia
10.3
Spezia
9.6
Frosinone
9.5
Brescia
9.5
Bari
9.3
Cremonese
9.3
Salernitana
9.2
Modena
9.2
Cittadella
9.1
Cesena
9.0
Carrarese
9.0
Sassuolo
9.0
Catanzaro
9.0
Sampdoria
9.0
Sudtirol
8.8
Mantova
8.7
Reggiana
8.5
Pisa
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cosenza
6.3
Juve Stabia
6.1
Spezia
6.0
Reggiana
5.8
Mantova
5.8
Sampdoria
5.5
Bari
5.4
Modena
5.3
Pisa
5.3
Cremonese
5.2
Cittadella
5.1
Brescia
5.0
Catanzaro
5.0
Cesena
4.9
Frosinone
4.9
Carrarese
4.9
Sudtirol
4.9
Palermo
4.7
Salernitana
4.7
Sassuolo
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Mantova
35.1
Spezia
34.1
Juve Stabia
33.8
Reggiana
31.2
Cittadella
31.1
Sudtirol
30.6
Bari
30.2
Sampdoria
29.8
Cosenza
29.5
Cesena
29.3
Brescia
29.1
Cremonese
29.0
Palermo
28.8
Catanzaro
28.8
Frosinone
28.6
Pisa
28.6
Modena
28.6
Carrarese
28.3
Salernitana
27.3
Sassuolo
24.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
45.6%
Under 9.5
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
80.6%
Under 3.5
19.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
94.5%
Under 21.5
5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Catanzaro
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.73
0.80
0.60
0.27
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.62
0.81
1.00
0.64
0.20
1.00
vs Weaker (9)
0.33
0.56
0.25
0.50
0.40
0.60
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cosenza
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.53
0.47
0.47
0.47
0.60
vs Stronger (22)
0.41
0.68
0.45
0.55
0.36
0.82
vs Similar (8)
0.62
0.12
0.50
0.25
0.75
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Catanzaro) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Catanzaro over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Catanzaro over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Catanzaro over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Catanzaro
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.43
0.60
0.27
0.80
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.62
0.52
0.45
0.36
0.80
0.70
vs Weaker (9)
0.89
0.22
1.00
0.00
0.80
0.40
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cosenza
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.73
0.27
0.53
0.53
0.93
vs Stronger (22)
0.45
0.82
0.27
0.64
0.64
1.00
vs Similar (8)
0.25
0.50
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Catanzaro) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Catanzaro over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Catanzaro over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Catanzaro over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
94.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
88.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 25.5 fouls
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Catanzaro
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pietro Iemmello36%
Federico Bonini20%
Tommaso Biasci17%
Giacomo Quagliata11%
Marco Pompetti11%
Mattia Compagnon9%
Simone Pontisso9%
Andrea La Mantia6%
Tommaso Cassandro6%
Nicolò Buso6%
Filippo Pittarello5%
Mamadou Coulibaly4%
Mario Šitum4%
Nicolò Brighenti3%
Stefano Scognamillo3%
Enrico Brignola0%
Marco D'Alessandro0%
Jacopo Petriccione0%
Mirko Pigliacelli0%
Matias Antonini0%
Giovanni Volpe0%
Ilias Koutsoupias0%
Rareș Ilie0%
Demba Seck0%
Andrea Ceresoli0%
Riccardo Pagano0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nicolò Brighenti32%
Stefano Scognamillo26%
Matias Antonini24%
Simone Pontisso20%
Rareș Ilie20%
Enrico Brignola17%
Jacopo Petriccione16%
Pietro Iemmello15%
Andrea Ceresoli14%
Filippo Pittarello14%
Mamadou Coulibaly13%
Andrea La Mantia12%
Giacomo Quagliata11%
Marco Pompetti11%
Federico Bonini10%
Tommaso Cassandro9%
Ilias Koutsoupias9%
Mattia Compagnon9%
Mario Šitum8%
Nicolò Buso6%
Demba Seck6%
Mirko Pigliacelli5%
Riccardo Pagano5%
Tommaso Biasci3%
Marco D'Alessandro0%
Giovanni Volpe0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Simone Pontisso23%
Rareș Ilie13%
Federico Bonini12%
Mario Šitum12%
Giacomo Quagliata11%
Riccardo Pagano10%
Andrea La Mantia6%
Marco D'Alessandro6%
Nicolò Brighenti6%
Tommaso Biasci6%
Demba Seck6%
Marco Pompetti5%
Stefano Scognamillo5%
Jacopo Petriccione5%
Tommaso Cassandro3%
Pietro Iemmello3%
Enrico Brignola0%
Mamadou Coulibaly0%
Mirko Pigliacelli0%
Matias Antonini0%
Giovanni Volpe0%
Nicolò Buso0%
Ilias Koutsoupias0%
Mattia Compagnon0%
Filippo Pittarello0%
Andrea Ceresoli0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Pietro Iemmello31%
Mattia Compagnon14%
Ilias Koutsoupias9%
Simone Pontisso9%
Filippo Pittarello8%
Federico Bonini8%
Andrea La Mantia6%
Tommaso Biasci6%
Marco Pompetti3%
Stefano Scognamillo3%
Jacopo Petriccione3%
Mario Šitum0%
Enrico Brignola0%
Marco D'Alessandro0%
Nicolò Brighenti0%
Mamadou Coulibaly0%
Mirko Pigliacelli0%
Matias Antonini0%
Giacomo Quagliata0%
Tommaso Cassandro0%
Giovanni Volpe0%
Nicolò Buso0%
Rareș Ilie0%
Demba Seck0%
Andrea Ceresoli0%
Riccardo Pagano0%
Cosenza
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gabriele Artistico29%
Tommaso Fumagalli16%
Manuel Ricciardi12%
Simone Mazzocchi12%
Massimo Zilli12%
Tommaso D'Orazio8%
Aldo Florenzi7%
Andrea Rizzo Pinna6%
Luca Strizzolo6%
Mario Gargiulo6%
Andrea Hristov5%
Michael Venturi4%
Charlys4%
Riccardo Ciervo3%
José Mauri0%
Luca Garritano0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Christian Kouan0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Giacomo Ricci0%
Alessandro Caporale0%
Juan Manuel Cruz0%
Christian Dalle Mura0%
Mohamed Sankoh0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Pietro Martino0%
Christos Kourfalidis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aldo Florenzi40%
Tommaso D'Orazio35%
Pietro Martino29%
Charlys29%
Christian Kouan26%
Luca Strizzolo25%
Mario Gargiulo24%
Gabriele Artistico24%
Giacomo Ricci23%
Christian Dalle Mura22%
Luca Garritano20%
Filippo Sgarbi20%
Christos Kourfalidis20%
Manuel Ricciardi19%
Michael Venturi18%
Alessandro Caporale18%
Juan Manuel Cruz17%
Tommaso Fumagalli16%
Simone Mazzocchi15%
José Mauri13%
Michele Camporese12%
Mohamed Sankoh11%
Alessandro Micai11%
Andrea Hristov10%
Massimo Zilli8%
Riccardo Ciervo6%
Andrea Rizzo Pinna0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Baldovino Cimino14%
Luca Strizzolo12%
Aldo Florenzi7%
Riccardo Ciervo6%
Mario Gargiulo6%
Gabriele Artistico6%
Andrea Hristov5%
Christian Dalle Mura4%
Tommaso Fumagalli4%
Massimo Zilli4%
Tommaso D'Orazio4%
Michael Venturi4%
Alessandro Caporale4%
Charlys4%
Andrea Rizzo Pinna3%
Manuel Ricciardi3%
Christian Kouan3%
José Mauri0%
Simone Mazzocchi0%
Luca Garritano0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Giacomo Ricci0%
Juan Manuel Cruz0%
Mohamed Sankoh0%
Pietro Martino0%
Christos Kourfalidis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gabriele Artistico29%
Tommaso Fumagalli20%
Simone Mazzocchi12%
Tommaso D'Orazio12%
Aldo Florenzi10%
Andrea Rizzo Pinna6%
Luca Strizzolo6%
Charlys4%
Manuel Ricciardi3%
Christian Kouan3%
José Mauri0%
Andrea Hristov0%
Luca Garritano0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Giacomo Ricci0%
Mario Gargiulo0%
Michael Venturi0%
Alessandro Caporale0%
Juan Manuel Cruz0%
Christian Dalle Mura0%
Riccardo Ciervo0%
Mohamed Sankoh0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Massimo Zilli0%
Pietro Martino0%
Christos Kourfalidis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →