Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Result & Analysis

Celje are the clear favourites, the model giving them a 76% chance of victory and a 16% chance of a draw, while the away side has only a 7% chance of triumph. The prediction favours a 2-0 scoreline, the most likely outcome at 12.7%. With an expected total of 3.2 goals, the match is projected to see a moderate flurry of action. Celje’s home form shows they average 2.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded against weaker opposition, while Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s away record against this tier is not highlighted, suggesting a defensive edge for the hosts. The model’s selections include Over 1.5 goals at 83.9%, Over 2.5 cards at 78.5%, Home win at 76.4% (missed), Over 19.5 fouls at 76.4%, Under 5.5 cards at 75.9%, Under 11.5 corners at 71.8%, and Under 25.5 fouls at 70.6%. The match’s venue advantage and Celje’s recent form, coming off a defeat, underline the model’s confidence in a home victory.

Celje’s run of two wins and a draw was halted as they fell 1-1 to Egnatia Rrogozhinë, ending their recent form streak. The pre-match favourite was Celje, with a 76.4% probability, but the model’s call was wrong, as the match finished in a draw. The model’s other selections were Over 1.5 goals, which hit at 83.9%, and the Home win pick, which missed. The final score of 1-1 matched the actual result, confirming the draw. The predicted total of 3.2 goals and the most likely score of 2-0 were not realised, but the over 1.5 outcome was correct.