This opponent (Nancy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nancy
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.40
1.44
1.31
1.50
1.50
vs Stronger (9)
1.67
2.11
1.20
2.00
2.25
2.25
vs Similar (21)
1.38
1.10
1.55
1.00
1.20
1.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Chambly) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.0%
Under 1.5
20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.9%
@ 2.11+11.2%
Under 2.5
44.1%
@ 1.70-11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.5%
Under 3.5
66.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.5%
No
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.5%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
7.6%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.0%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
6.0%
1-0
5.9%
Chambly goals ↓
Nancy goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.5%
7.6%
7.0%
3.8%
1.5%
1
5.9%
13%
9.2%
4.9%
2.0%
2
4.6%
7.4%
6.0%
3.2%
1.3%
3
2.0%
3.2%
2.6%
1.4%
0.6%
4
0.7%
1.1%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Chambly goals (down), columns = Nancy goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Estac Troyes
2.03
Clermont Foot
1.89
Toulouse
1.84
Grenoble
1.71
Paris FC
1.68
Auxerre
1.63
Sochaux
1.34
Le Havre
1.24
Guingamp
1.24
Valenciennes
1.24
Nancy
1.24
Amiens
1.24
Ajaccio
1.21
PAU
1.16
Rodez
1.13
Niort
1.08
Caen
1.08
Dunkerque
1.08
Chambly
1.00
Chateauroux
0.61
Chambly is 0.24 points worse than Nancy in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.24).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Toulouse
1.87
Auxerre
1.68
Clermont Foot
1.61
Estac Troyes
1.58
Nancy
1.39
Paris FC
1.39
Grenoble
1.34
Valenciennes
1.32
Sochaux
1.18
PAU
1.11
Chambly
1.08
Guingamp
1.08
Le Havre
1.00
Rodez
1.00
Niort
0.89
Caen
0.89
Amiens
0.89
Dunkerque
0.89
Ajaccio
0.89
Chateauroux
0.84
Chambly is 0.32 goals worse than Nancy in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 1.39).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Clermont Foot
0.66
Grenoble
0.92
Estac Troyes
0.95
Paris FC
0.97
Sochaux
0.97
Amiens
1.05
Toulouse
1.11
Guingamp
1.13
Auxerre
1.13
Ajaccio
1.13
Rodez
1.16
Dunkerque
1.24
Le Havre
1.26
Caen
1.29
PAU
1.29
Nancy
1.39
Niort
1.53
Chateauroux
1.53
Valenciennes
1.55
Chambly
1.68
Chambly is 0.29 goals worse than Nancy in terms of goals conceded per game (1.68 vs 1.39).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
C
Chambly
For 2.3 · Against 4.4 · Total 6.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 14.4 · Total 28.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Nancy
For 4.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.7 · Against 13.5 · Total 29.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
C
Chambly
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.5
7.0
8.0
4.5
4.8
4.2
31.2
32.4
30.0
vs Stronger (24)
7.2
7.0
7.4
4.3
5.2
3.3
29.4
32.3
26.5
vs Similar (26)
7.7
6.9
8.7
4.8
4.5
5.1
32.9
32.5
33.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
26%
15%
38%
68%
77%
58%
94%
92%
96%
% under line
74%
85%
62%
32%
23%
42%
6%
8%
4%
This opponent (Nancy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nancy
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
8.8
8.5
4.2
4.0
4.3
31.0
29.4
32.4
vs Stronger (15)
9.4
8.3
10.4
4.2
3.6
4.8
31.1
31.9
30.5
vs Similar (35)
8.3
8.9
7.7
4.1
4.1
4.2
30.9
28.4
33.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
38%
46%
31%
68%
62%
73%
96%
96%
96%
% under line
62%
54%
69%
32%
38%
27%
4%
4%
4%
This opponent (Chambly) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Auxerre
10.2
PAU
9.8
Guingamp
9.7
Toulouse
9.6
Chateauroux
9.5
Estac Troyes
9.3
Clermont Foot
9.1
Ajaccio
9.0
Niort
8.9
Caen
8.7
Nancy
8.6
Valenciennes
8.6
Sochaux
8.5
Grenoble
8.5
Amiens
8.5
Rodez
8.2
Le Havre
8.1
Paris FC
8.0
Dunkerque
7.6
Chambly
7.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Valenciennes
4.7
Estac Troyes
4.7
Paris FC
4.6
Caen
4.6
Amiens
4.5
Chambly
4.5
Rodez
4.5
PAU
4.4
Dunkerque
4.2
Nancy
4.2
Sochaux
4.2
Toulouse
4.1
Grenoble
4.1
Chateauroux
4.1
Niort
3.9
Clermont Foot
3.9
Guingamp
3.9
Le Havre
3.9
Auxerre
3.7
Ajaccio
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Valenciennes
31.7
Amiens
31.4
Chambly
31.2
Dunkerque
31.2
Nancy
31.0
Niort
30.4
Paris FC
30.3
Toulouse
30.3
Rodez
29.9
Chateauroux
29.8
Caen
29.8
Estac Troyes
29.4
Sochaux
29.3
PAU
29.0
Guingamp
28.4
Grenoble
28.4
Ajaccio
27.9
Le Havre
27.8
Clermont Foot
26.0
Auxerre
25.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
24.2%
Under 9.5
75.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
61.9%
Under 3.5
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
97.4%
Under 21.5
2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
C
Chambly
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.57
0.47
0.47
0.47
0.67
vs Stronger (14)
0.21
0.64
0.14
0.57
0.29
0.71
vs Similar (16)
0.69
0.50
0.75
0.38
0.62
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Nancy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nancy
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.67
0.81
0.62
0.50
0.71
vs Stronger (9)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.20
1.00
0.75
vs Similar (21)
0.52
0.52
0.73
0.36
0.30
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Chambly) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Chambly over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chambly over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chambly over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nancy over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nancy over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nancy over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
C
Chambly
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.17
0.73
0.93
0.53
1.40
vs Stronger (14)
0.50
1.07
0.43
0.86
0.57
1.29
vs Similar (16)
0.75
1.25
1.00
1.00
0.50
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Nancy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nancy
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.73
0.62
0.69
1.00
0.79
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
1.11
0.20
0.80
1.25
1.50
vs Similar (21)
0.86
0.57
0.82
0.64
0.90
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Chambly) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Chambly over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chambly over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chambly over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nancy over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nancy over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nancy over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
91.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 9.5 corners
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Nancy · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Brandon Bokangu50%
Nehemiah Fernandez25%
Enzo Basilio0%
Elydjah Mendy0%
Zakaria Fdaouch0%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Nordine Kandil0%
Walid Bouabdelli0%
Héliohdino Tavares0%
Ilyes Housni0%
Enzo Tacafred0%
Noam Obougou0%
Kouroufia Kébé0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nehemiah Fernandez50%
Héliohdino Tavares33%
Enzo Tacafred25%
Enzo Basilio0%
Elydjah Mendy0%
Zakaria Fdaouch0%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Nordine Kandil0%
Walid Bouabdelli0%
Brandon Bokangu0%
Ilyes Housni0%
Noam Obougou0%
Kouroufia Kébé0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ilyes Housni50%
Zakaria Fdaouch25%
Enzo Basilio0%
Elydjah Mendy0%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Nordine Kandil0%
Walid Bouabdelli0%
Brandon Bokangu0%
Nehemiah Fernandez0%
Héliohdino Tavares0%
Enzo Tacafred0%
Noam Obougou0%
Kouroufia Kébé0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Brandon Bokangu50%
Enzo Basilio0%
Elydjah Mendy0%
Zakaria Fdaouch0%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Nordine Kandil0%
Walid Bouabdelli0%
Nehemiah Fernandez0%
Héliohdino Tavares0%
Ilyes Housni0%
Enzo Tacafred0%
Noam Obougou0%
Kouroufia Kébé0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 2 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →