This opponent (Rodez) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rodez
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.27
1.06
1.25
0.71
1.29
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
1.67
1.00
1.75
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (22)
0.95
1.09
1.09
1.00
0.82
1.18
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Chambly) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
67.5%
Under 1.5
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.5%
@ 2.36-0.6%
Under 2.5
60.5%
@ 1.58+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.4%
Under 3.5
80.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.3%
No
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.7%
0-1
10.7%
1-0 ✓
10.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.3%
Chambly goals ↓
Rodez goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
11%
7.0%
2.7%
0.8%
1
10%
15%
7.7%
3.0%
0.9%
2
6.3%
7.4%
4.3%
1.7%
0.5%
3
2.3%
2.7%
1.6%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.6%
0.8%
0.4%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Chambly goals (down), columns = Rodez goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Estac Troyes
2.03
Clermont Foot
1.89
Toulouse
1.84
Grenoble
1.71
Paris FC
1.68
Auxerre
1.63
Sochaux
1.34
Le Havre
1.24
Guingamp
1.24
Valenciennes
1.24
Nancy
1.24
Amiens
1.24
Ajaccio
1.21
PAU
1.16
Rodez
1.13
Niort
1.08
Caen
1.08
Dunkerque
1.08
Chambly
1.00
Chateauroux
0.61
Chambly is 0.13 points worse than Rodez in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.13).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Toulouse
1.87
Auxerre
1.68
Clermont Foot
1.61
Estac Troyes
1.58
Nancy
1.39
Paris FC
1.39
Grenoble
1.34
Valenciennes
1.32
Sochaux
1.18
PAU
1.11
Chambly
1.08
Guingamp
1.08
Le Havre
1.00
Rodez
1.00
Niort
0.89
Caen
0.89
Amiens
0.89
Dunkerque
0.89
Ajaccio
0.89
Chateauroux
0.84
Chambly is 0.08 goals better than Rodez in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Clermont Foot
0.66
Grenoble
0.92
Estac Troyes
0.95
Paris FC
0.97
Sochaux
0.97
Amiens
1.05
Toulouse
1.11
Guingamp
1.13
Auxerre
1.13
Ajaccio
1.13
Rodez
1.16
Dunkerque
1.24
Le Havre
1.26
Caen
1.29
PAU
1.29
Nancy
1.39
Niort
1.53
Chateauroux
1.53
Valenciennes
1.55
Chambly
1.68
Chambly is 0.53 goals worse than Rodez in terms of goals conceded per game (1.68 vs 1.16).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
C
Chambly
For 3.7 · Against 4.2 · Total 7.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.9 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.6 · Against 16.7 · Total 34.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rodez
For 5.2 · Against 3.3 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.8 · Against 13.6 · Total 29.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
C
Chambly
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (40)
7.5
7.0
8.1
4.6
4.6
4.6
30.3
31.8
28.7
vs Stronger (19)
6.7
7.1
6.3
4.4
4.7
4.0
28.5
30.8
25.9
vs Similar (21)
8.2
6.9
9.6
4.8
4.5
5.2
32.0
32.6
31.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
22%
10%
37%
72%
71%
74%
98%
95%
100%
% under line
78%
90%
63%
28%
29%
26%
2%
5%
0%
This opponent (Rodez) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rodez
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (40)
9.1
8.5
9.7
4.5
5.0
4.1
27.6
26.9
28.3
vs Stronger (9)
10.6
9.7
12.3
4.9
4.7
5.3
27.7
27.8
27.3
vs Similar (28)
8.7
8.1
9.2
4.5
4.9
4.0
27.8
26.8
28.9
vs Weaker (3)
8.0
6.0
9.0
4.0
7.0
2.5
24.7
23.0
25.5
% over line
35%
19%
53%
68%
76%
58%
88%
86%
89%
% under line
65%
81%
47%
32%
24%
42%
12%
14%
11%
This opponent (Chambly) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
PAU
10.1
Guingamp
10.0
Toulouse
10.0
Auxerre
9.8
Le Havre
9.6
Estac Troyes
9.4
Valenciennes
9.4
Clermont Foot
9.3
Chateauroux
9.2
Grenoble
9.2
Nancy
9.1
Niort
9.1
Sochaux
9.1
Rodez
9.1
Caen
9.0
Ajaccio
8.8
Paris FC
8.4
Amiens
8.3
Chambly
7.5
Dunkerque
6.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
PAU
5.5
Paris FC
4.9
Estac Troyes
4.6
Chambly
4.6
Rodez
4.5
Le Havre
4.5
Amiens
4.5
Valenciennes
4.5
Caen
4.4
Nancy
4.4
Sochaux
4.3
Clermont Foot
4.2
Dunkerque
4.1
Ajaccio
4.0
Guingamp
3.9
Niort
3.9
Chateauroux
3.9
Toulouse
3.8
Grenoble
3.7
Auxerre
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Dunkerque
33.0
PAU
31.7
Chambly
30.3
Paris FC
30.3
Nancy
30.2
Caen
29.2
Amiens
29.0
Valenciennes
29.0
Niort
28.6
Sochaux
28.3
Ajaccio
28.2
Toulouse
28.2
Estac Troyes
28.1
Grenoble
27.8
Rodez
27.6
Chateauroux
27.0
Le Havre
26.7
Guingamp
26.3
Auxerre
26.1
Clermont Foot
26.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
30.2%
Under 9.5
69.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
63.8%
Under 3.5
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
97.4%
Under 21.5
2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
C
Chambly
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.73
0.31
0.75
0.64
0.71
vs Stronger (15)
0.47
1.00
0.12
0.88
0.86
1.14
vs Similar (15)
0.47
0.47
0.50
0.62
0.43
0.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Rodez) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rodez
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.40
0.56
0.38
0.14
0.43
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.75
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (22)
0.32
0.32
0.45
0.18
0.18
0.45
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Chambly) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Chambly over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chambly over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chambly over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rodez over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rodez over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rodez over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
C
Chambly
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.73
0.56
0.94
0.43
0.50
vs Stronger (15)
0.47
0.93
0.50
1.38
0.43
0.43
vs Similar (15)
0.53
0.53
0.62
0.50
0.43
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Rodez) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rodez
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.87
0.50
0.88
0.57
0.86
vs Stronger (6)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.64
0.77
0.64
0.82
0.64
0.73
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Chambly) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Chambly over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chambly over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chambly over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rodez over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rodez over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rodez over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
93.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Rodez · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ibrahima Baldé75%
Octave Joly50%
Corentin Issanchou Roubiou25%
Loni Laurent0%
Kenny Nagera0%
Lucas Margueron0%
Damjan Pavlović0%
Mathis Magnin0%
Raphaël Lipinski0%
Antonin Cartillier0%
Mathis Touho0%
Jordan Mendes Correia0%
Steven Luyambula Biwa0%
Evan’s Jean-Lambert0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Loni Laurent25%
Mathis Magnin25%
Ibrahima Baldé25%
Raphaël Lipinski25%
Jordan Mendes Correia25%
Corentin Issanchou Roubiou25%
Evan’s Jean-Lambert25%
Kenny Nagera0%
Lucas Margueron0%
Damjan Pavlović0%
Octave Joly0%
Antonin Cartillier0%
Mathis Touho0%
Steven Luyambula Biwa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Raphaël Lipinski50%
Kenny Nagera25%
Mathis Magnin25%
Jordan Mendes Correia25%
Loni Laurent0%
Lucas Margueron0%
Damjan Pavlović0%
Ibrahima Baldé0%
Octave Joly0%
Antonin Cartillier0%
Mathis Touho0%
Corentin Issanchou Roubiou0%
Steven Luyambula Biwa0%
Evan’s Jean-Lambert0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ibrahima Baldé50%
Mathis Touho50%
Corentin Issanchou Roubiou25%
Loni Laurent0%
Kenny Nagera0%
Lucas Margueron0%
Damjan Pavlović0%
Mathis Magnin0%
Raphaël Lipinski0%
Octave Joly0%
Antonin Cartillier0%
Jordan Mendes Correia0%
Steven Luyambula Biwa0%
Evan’s Jean-Lambert0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 2 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →