This opponent (Clermont Foot) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Clermont Foot
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
0.67
1.73
0.73
1.00
0.60
vs Stronger (7)
1.00
0.71
1.33
1.33
0.75
0.25
vs Similar (19)
1.42
0.68
1.80
0.60
1.00
0.78
vs Weaker (4)
1.75
0.50
2.00
0.50
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Chateauroux) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
64.4%
Under 1.5
35.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
36.4%
@ 2.12-8.3%
Under 2.5
63.6%
@ 1.71+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.1%
Under 3.5
82.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
37.2%
No
62.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1 ✓
16.7%
0-2
13.7%
0-0
12.8%
1-1
12.1%
1-2
8.4%
0-3
7.0%
1-0
6.1%
1-3
4.3%
Chateauroux goals ↓
Clermont Foot goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
17%
14%
7.0%
2.7%
1
6.1%
12%
8.4%
4.3%
1.7%
2
2.2%
3.4%
2.6%
1.3%
0.5%
3
0.5%
0.7%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Chateauroux goals (down), columns = Clermont Foot goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Estac Troyes
2.03
Clermont Foot
1.89
Toulouse
1.84
Grenoble
1.71
Paris FC
1.68
Auxerre
1.63
Sochaux
1.34
Le Havre
1.24
Guingamp
1.24
Valenciennes
1.24
Nancy
1.24
Amiens
1.24
Ajaccio
1.21
PAU
1.16
Rodez
1.13
Niort
1.08
Caen
1.08
Dunkerque
1.08
Chambly
1.00
Chateauroux
0.61
Chateauroux is 1.29 points worse than Clermont Foot in terms of average points per game (0.61 vs 1.89).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Toulouse
1.87
Auxerre
1.68
Clermont Foot
1.61
Estac Troyes
1.58
Nancy
1.39
Paris FC
1.39
Grenoble
1.34
Valenciennes
1.32
Sochaux
1.18
PAU
1.11
Chambly
1.08
Guingamp
1.08
Le Havre
1.00
Rodez
1.00
Niort
0.89
Caen
0.89
Amiens
0.89
Dunkerque
0.89
Ajaccio
0.89
Chateauroux
0.84
Chateauroux is 0.76 goals worse than Clermont Foot in terms of goals scored per game (0.84 vs 1.61).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Clermont Foot
0.66
Grenoble
0.92
Estac Troyes
0.95
Paris FC
0.97
Sochaux
0.97
Amiens
1.05
Toulouse
1.11
Guingamp
1.13
Auxerre
1.13
Ajaccio
1.13
Rodez
1.16
Dunkerque
1.24
Le Havre
1.26
Caen
1.29
PAU
1.29
Nancy
1.39
Niort
1.53
Chateauroux
1.53
Valenciennes
1.55
Chambly
1.68
Chateauroux is 0.87 goals worse than Clermont Foot in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 0.66).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Chateauroux
For 4.5 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.6 · Against 15.1 · Total 30.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Clermont Foot
For 5.1 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.5 · Total 2.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 14.7 · Total 25.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Chateauroux
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
10.3
8.4
4.0
4.1
3.9
27.4
26.9
27.8
vs Stronger (28)
9.4
9.7
9.0
4.5
4.2
5.0
26.9
27.7
25.7
vs Similar (22)
9.3
11.6
7.9
3.4
4.0
3.1
28.0
25.2
29.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
64%
36%
58%
60%
56%
88%
88%
88%
% under line
50%
36%
64%
42%
40%
44%
12%
12%
12%
This opponent (Clermont Foot) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Clermont Foot
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.4
8.8
4.2
4.2
4.2
26.1
26.7
25.5
vs Stronger (13)
9.4
8.7
10.2
4.3
3.9
4.8
24.9
26.4
23.2
vs Similar (28)
9.5
10.1
8.8
4.2
4.3
4.2
26.3
26.8
25.8
vs Weaker (9)
7.6
7.7
7.5
3.9
4.7
3.5
27.0
26.7
27.2
% over line
44%
40%
48%
66%
68%
64%
84%
88%
80%
% under line
56%
60%
52%
34%
32%
36%
16%
12%
20%
This opponent (Chateauroux) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
PAU
10.2
Guingamp
10.0
Auxerre
10.0
Toulouse
9.9
Estac Troyes
9.7
Valenciennes
9.5
Chateauroux
9.4
Le Havre
9.3
Clermont Foot
9.1
Grenoble
9.0
Caen
9.0
Sochaux
8.9
Niort
8.9
Nancy
8.8
Rodez
8.8
Ajaccio
8.8
Paris FC
8.5
Amiens
8.4
Chambly
7.4
Dunkerque
6.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
PAU
5.2
Paris FC
4.8
Estac Troyes
4.6
Chambly
4.6
Rodez
4.6
Caen
4.6
Valenciennes
4.5
Le Havre
4.5
Amiens
4.5
Nancy
4.3
Dunkerque
4.3
Sochaux
4.2
Clermont Foot
4.2
Guingamp
4.0
Chateauroux
4.0
Ajaccio
4.0
Toulouse
3.9
Grenoble
3.9
Niort
3.9
Auxerre
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Dunkerque
32.2
PAU
30.9
Nancy
30.7
Chambly
30.6
Paris FC
30.3
Valenciennes
29.8
Amiens
29.6
Caen
29.4
Niort
28.9
Sochaux
28.9
Toulouse
28.5
Ajaccio
28.4
Estac Troyes
28.2
Rodez
28.0
Grenoble
27.9
Chateauroux
27.4
Guingamp
27.0
Le Havre
26.5
Auxerre
26.2
Clermont Foot
26.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
44.7%
Under 9.5
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
57.9%
Under 3.5
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
89.9%
Under 21.5
10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Chateauroux
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.67
0.38
0.94
0.43
0.36
vs Stronger (17)
0.29
0.88
0.30
1.00
0.29
0.71
vs Similar (13)
0.54
0.38
0.50
0.83
0.57
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Clermont Foot) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Clermont Foot
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.37
0.93
0.27
0.20
0.47
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.14
1.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (19)
0.58
0.47
1.00
0.30
0.11
0.67
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.25
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Chateauroux) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Chateauroux over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chateauroux over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chateauroux over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clermont Foot over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clermont Foot over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clermont Foot over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Chateauroux
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.90
0.56
1.00
0.50
0.79
vs Stronger (17)
0.53
1.00
0.40
1.40
0.71
0.43
vs Similar (13)
0.54
0.77
0.83
0.33
0.29
1.14
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Clermont Foot) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Clermont Foot
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.30
0.80
0.47
0.80
0.13
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
0.57
0.33
1.00
0.75
0.25
vs Similar (19)
0.84
0.21
0.80
0.30
0.89
0.11
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.25
1.50
0.50
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Chateauroux) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Chateauroux over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chateauroux over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chateauroux over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clermont Foot over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clermont Foot over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clermont Foot over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Clermont Foot · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ousmane Diop25%
Adrien Hunou0%
Yoann Salmier0%
Vital Nsimba0%
Junior Sambia0%
Théo Guivarch0%
Maïdine Douane0%
Ibrahim Coulibaly0%
Mohamed-Amine Bouchenna0%
Jean Grillot0%
El Hadj Koné0%
Ethan Kena Kabeya0%
Ivan M'Bahia0%
Arthur Saintorens0%
Christ Okou0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ivan M'Bahia33%
Yoann Salmier25%
Jean Grillot25%
Adrien Hunou0%
Vital Nsimba0%
Junior Sambia0%
Théo Guivarch0%
Maïdine Douane0%
Ibrahim Coulibaly0%
Mohamed-Amine Bouchenna0%
El Hadj Koné0%
Ousmane Diop0%
Ethan Kena Kabeya0%
Arthur Saintorens0%
Christ Okou0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Adrien Hunou25%
Junior Sambia25%
Yoann Salmier0%
Vital Nsimba0%
Théo Guivarch0%
Maïdine Douane0%
Ibrahim Coulibaly0%
Mohamed-Amine Bouchenna0%
Jean Grillot0%
El Hadj Koné0%
Ousmane Diop0%
Ethan Kena Kabeya0%
Ivan M'Bahia0%
Arthur Saintorens0%
Christ Okou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adrien Hunou0%
Yoann Salmier0%
Vital Nsimba0%
Junior Sambia0%
Théo Guivarch0%
Maïdine Douane0%
Ibrahim Coulibaly0%
Mohamed-Amine Bouchenna0%
Jean Grillot0%
El Hadj Koné0%
Ousmane Diop0%
Ethan Kena Kabeya0%
Ivan M'Bahia0%
Arthur Saintorens0%
Christ Okou0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (37)
€176m
TOU (24)
€115m
AUX (29)
€84m
LH (25)
€55m
ET (23)
€36m
ROD (23)
€15m
CF (21)
€15m
PAU (20)
€14m
NAN (26)
€13m
GRE (27)
€12m
GUI (20)
€11m
DUN (21)
€11m
SOC (20)
€7m
AMI (14)
€4m
CAE (18)
€4m
VAL (21)
€4m
CHA (5)
€1m
Chateauroux's squad is €14m less valuable than Clermont Foot's (€1m vs €15m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (13)
€59m
TOU (7)
€30m
AUX (11)
€23m
LH (10)
€9m
ET (7)
€7m
PAU (6)
€6m
GRE (12)
€5m
NAN (9)
€5m
DUN (7)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
GUI (4)
€3m
SOC (8)
€3m
CF (5)
€2m
CAE (8)
€2m
VAL (8)
€1m
AMI (4)
€0m
CHA (1)
€0m
Chateauroux's attack is €2m less valuable than Clermont Foot's (€0m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (7)
€54m
TOU (7)
€39m
AUX (5)
€28m
LH (5)
€23m
ET (6)
€11m
GUI (8)
€4m
ROD (6)
€4m
GRE (5)
€3m
CF (4)
€3m
NAN (6)
€2m
PAU (4)
€2m
DUN (5)
€1m
SOC (3)
€1m
VAL (3)
€1m
CAE (4)
€1m
AMI (2)
€0m
CHA (2)
€0m
Chateauroux's midfield is €2m less valuable than Clermont Foot's (€0m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (17)
€62m
TOU (10)
€46m
AUX (13)
€33m
LH (10)
€23m
ET (10)
€17m
CF (12)
€10m
ROD (10)
€7m
NAN (11)
€6m
PAU (10)
€6m
DUN (9)
€5m
GRE (10)
€4m
AMI (8)
€4m
SOC (9)
€3m
GUI (8)
€3m
VAL (10)
€2m
CAE (6)
€2m
CHA (2)
€0m
Chateauroux's defence is €10m less valuable than Clermont Foot's (€0m vs €10m).
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