This opponent (Dunkerque) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dunkerque
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.20
1.07
0.87
0.53
1.53
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (18)
0.61
1.61
0.78
1.11
0.44
2.11
vs Weaker (9)
1.33
0.56
1.80
0.40
0.75
0.75
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Chateauroux) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.2%
Under 1.5
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.9%
@ 2.34+3.8%
Under 2.5
56.1%
@ 1.57-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.8%
Under 3.5
77.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.8%
No
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.1%
1-0
9.5%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.0%
1-2 ✓
7.8%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.3%
Chateauroux goals ↓
Dunkerque goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
9.2%
6.3%
2.5%
0.8%
1
9.5%
14%
7.8%
3.1%
0.9%
2
6.7%
8.0%
4.8%
1.9%
0.6%
3
2.7%
3.3%
2.0%
0.8%
0.2%
4
0.8%
1.0%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Chateauroux goals (down), columns = Dunkerque goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Estac Troyes
2.03
Clermont Foot
1.89
Toulouse
1.84
Grenoble
1.71
Paris FC
1.68
Auxerre
1.63
Sochaux
1.34
Le Havre
1.24
Guingamp
1.24
Valenciennes
1.24
Nancy
1.24
Amiens
1.24
Ajaccio
1.21
PAU
1.16
Rodez
1.13
Niort
1.08
Caen
1.08
Dunkerque
1.08
Chambly
1.00
Chateauroux
0.61
Chateauroux is 0.47 points worse than Dunkerque in terms of average points per game (0.61 vs 1.08).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Toulouse
1.87
Auxerre
1.68
Clermont Foot
1.61
Estac Troyes
1.58
Nancy
1.39
Paris FC
1.39
Grenoble
1.34
Valenciennes
1.32
Sochaux
1.18
PAU
1.11
Chambly
1.08
Guingamp
1.08
Le Havre
1.00
Rodez
1.00
Niort
0.89
Caen
0.89
Amiens
0.89
Dunkerque
0.89
Ajaccio
0.89
Chateauroux
0.84
Chateauroux is 0.05 goals worse than Dunkerque in terms of goals scored per game (0.84 vs 0.89).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Clermont Foot
0.66
Grenoble
0.92
Estac Troyes
0.95
Paris FC
0.97
Sochaux
0.97
Amiens
1.05
Toulouse
1.11
Guingamp
1.13
Auxerre
1.13
Ajaccio
1.13
Rodez
1.16
Dunkerque
1.24
Le Havre
1.26
Caen
1.29
PAU
1.29
Nancy
1.39
Niort
1.53
Chateauroux
1.53
Valenciennes
1.55
Chambly
1.68
Chateauroux is 0.29 goals worse than Dunkerque in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 1.24).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Chateauroux
For 6.2 · Against 4.1 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.3 · Against 16.4 · Total 33.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dunkerque
For 3.9 · Against 3.8 · Total 7.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.5 · Against 14.5 · Total 30.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Chateauroux
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.9
9.0
4.2
4.4
4.0
29.2
28.8
29.7
vs Stronger (28)
9.1
9.3
8.8
4.4
4.2
4.5
28.3
27.5
29.2
vs Similar (22)
9.9
10.7
9.2
4.0
4.8
3.3
30.4
30.6
30.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
52%
60%
44%
66%
68%
64%
88%
88%
88%
% under line
48%
40%
56%
34%
32%
36%
12%
12%
12%
This opponent (Dunkerque) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dunkerque
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (30)
7.3
7.0
7.7
4.1
3.9
4.3
30.8
28.9
32.6
vs Stronger (3)
9.3
6.0
11.0
3.7
4.0
3.5
29.0
31.0
28.0
vs Similar (18)
7.1
7.1
7.0
3.8
3.8
3.9
29.6
28.6
30.7
vs Weaker (9)
7.2
7.0
7.5
4.9
4.2
5.8
33.7
29.2
39.2
% over line
23%
13%
33%
63%
67%
60%
93%
93%
93%
% under line
77%
87%
67%
37%
33%
40%
7%
7%
7%
This opponent (Chateauroux) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Auxerre
10.0
Guingamp
9.7
PAU
9.7
Chateauroux
9.5
Toulouse
9.4
Estac Troyes
9.1
Clermont Foot
9.0
Ajaccio
8.9
Amiens
8.8
Nancy
8.7
Niort
8.6
Caen
8.6
Valenciennes
8.6
Sochaux
8.5
Rodez
8.3
Grenoble
8.3
Le Havre
8.1
Paris FC
7.9
Chambly
7.5
Dunkerque
7.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Paris FC
4.8
Estac Troyes
4.7
Valenciennes
4.6
Caen
4.5
Amiens
4.5
PAU
4.5
Rodez
4.4
Chambly
4.4
Nancy
4.3
Sochaux
4.2
Chateauroux
4.2
Toulouse
4.2
Dunkerque
4.1
Grenoble
4.1
Niort
4.0
Le Havre
3.9
Clermont Foot
3.9
Guingamp
3.9
Auxerre
3.8
Ajaccio
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Nancy
31.7
Valenciennes
31.4
Chambly
30.8
Dunkerque
30.8
Paris FC
30.7
Amiens
30.7
Niort
30.6
Caen
30.1
Toulouse
29.9
Rodez
29.8
PAU
29.5
Estac Troyes
29.4
Sochaux
29.3
Chateauroux
29.2
Grenoble
28.5
Ajaccio
27.9
Guingamp
27.8
Le Havre
27.8
Clermont Foot
25.9
Auxerre
25.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
33.7%
Under 9.5
66.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
61.9%
Under 3.5
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
96.2%
Under 21.5
3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Chateauroux
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.60
0.33
0.80
0.40
0.40
vs Stronger (18)
0.22
0.72
0.11
0.78
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (12)
0.58
0.42
0.67
0.83
0.50
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunkerque) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dunkerque
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.47
0.53
0.33
0.13
0.60
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.33
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (18)
0.28
0.61
0.56
0.44
0.00
0.78
vs Weaker (9)
0.56
0.22
0.60
0.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Chateauroux) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Chateauroux over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chateauroux over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chateauroux over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunkerque over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunkerque over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunkerque over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Chateauroux
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
1.00
0.87
0.93
0.20
1.07
vs Stronger (18)
0.28
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.22
1.00
vs Similar (12)
0.92
1.00
1.67
0.83
0.17
1.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunkerque) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dunkerque
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.73
0.53
0.53
0.40
0.93
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (18)
0.33
1.00
0.22
0.67
0.44
1.33
vs Weaker (9)
0.78
0.33
1.20
0.40
0.25
0.25
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Chateauroux) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Chateauroux over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chateauroux over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chateauroux over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunkerque over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunkerque over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunkerque over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
91.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dunkerque · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Victor Mayela33%
Souleymane Keita33%
Thomas Robinet25%
Adrien Lebeau25%
Egor Prutsev25%
Marco Decherf25%
Opa Sangante0%
Allan Linguet0%
Maxence Prévot0%
Lenny Vallier0%
Bram Lagae0%
Alex Daho0%
Enzo Mayilla0%
Théna Massock0%
Khalil Ayari0%
Jordan Morel0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Souleymane Keita67%
Khalil Ayari50%
Opa Sangante25%
Allan Linguet25%
Thomas Robinet25%
Adrien Lebeau25%
Alex Daho25%
Enzo Mayilla25%
Marco Decherf25%
Maxence Prévot0%
Lenny Vallier0%
Egor Prutsev0%
Victor Mayela0%
Bram Lagae0%
Théna Massock0%
Jordan Morel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Thomas Robinet50%
Marco Decherf50%
Egor Prutsev25%
Alex Daho25%
Opa Sangante0%
Allan Linguet0%
Maxence Prévot0%
Lenny Vallier0%
Adrien Lebeau0%
Victor Mayela0%
Bram Lagae0%
Enzo Mayilla0%
Souleymane Keita0%
Théna Massock0%
Khalil Ayari0%
Jordan Morel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Thomas Robinet25%
Egor Prutsev25%
Opa Sangante0%
Allan Linguet0%
Maxence Prévot0%
Lenny Vallier0%
Adrien Lebeau0%
Victor Mayela0%
Bram Lagae0%
Alex Daho0%
Enzo Mayilla0%
Souleymane Keita0%
Théna Massock0%
Khalil Ayari0%
Jordan Morel0%
Marco Decherf0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (37)
€176m
TOU (24)
€115m
AUX (29)
€84m
LH (25)
€55m
ET (23)
€36m
ROD (23)
€15m
CF (21)
€15m
PAU (20)
€14m
NAN (26)
€13m
GRE (27)
€12m
GUI (20)
€11m
DUN (21)
€11m
SOC (20)
€7m
AMI (14)
€4m
CAE (18)
€4m
VAL (21)
€4m
CHA (5)
€1m
Chateauroux's squad is €10m less valuable than Dunkerque's (€1m vs €11m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (13)
€59m
TOU (7)
€30m
AUX (11)
€23m
LH (10)
€9m
ET (7)
€7m
PAU (6)
€6m
GRE (12)
€5m
NAN (9)
€5m
DUN (7)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
GUI (4)
€3m
SOC (8)
€3m
CF (5)
€2m
CAE (8)
€2m
VAL (8)
€1m
AMI (4)
€0m
CHA (1)
€0m
Chateauroux's attack is €4m less valuable than Dunkerque's (€0m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (7)
€54m
TOU (7)
€39m
AUX (5)
€28m
LH (5)
€23m
ET (6)
€11m
GUI (8)
€4m
ROD (6)
€4m
GRE (5)
€3m
CF (4)
€3m
NAN (6)
€2m
PAU (4)
€2m
DUN (5)
€1m
SOC (3)
€1m
VAL (3)
€1m
CAE (4)
€1m
AMI (2)
€0m
CHA (2)
€0m
Chateauroux and Dunkerque have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (17)
€62m
TOU (10)
€46m
AUX (13)
€33m
LH (10)
€23m
ET (10)
€17m
CF (12)
€10m
ROD (10)
€7m
NAN (11)
€6m
PAU (10)
€6m
DUN (9)
€5m
GRE (10)
€4m
AMI (8)
€4m
SOC (9)
€3m
GUI (8)
€3m
VAL (10)
€2m
CAE (6)
€2m
CHA (2)
€0m
Chateauroux's defence is €5m less valuable than Dunkerque's (€0m vs €5m).
France: Ligue 2 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Estac Troyes
Clermont Foot
Toulouse
Grenoble
Paris FC
Auxerre
Sochaux
Nancy
Guingamp
Amiens
Valenciennes
Le Havre
Ajaccio
PAU
Rodez
Caen
Niort