Club Brugge KV is the clear favourite to win at home, with a 66% chance of taking all three points. The model rates them so highly due to their opponent's weakness on the road, where Cercle Brugge have struggled to score, averaging just 1.2 goals per game against stronger opponents. Club Brugge, on the other hand, have been in excellent form at home, scoring an average of 2.67 goals per game against weaker opponents.
The model predicts a high-scoring match, with an expected total of 3.7 goals and a most likely total of 3 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 to Club Brugge, with a probability of 9.3%.
In terms of form, Club Brugge are on a 3-game winning run, while Cercle Brugge are coming off a draw. The model's selections include Over 1.5 goals (89.2%), Home or Draw (82.5%), Home or Away (80.1%), and Over 2.5 goals (71.6%). The home win percentage is 66%, the draw percentage is 19%, and the away win percentage is 15%.
Results analysis
Club Brugge KV extended a four-game winning streak with a 1-0 victory over Cercle Brugge, confirming the model’s prediction that the home side would win. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was assigned a 61 % probability, and the model’s call was correct. Every suggested pick was settled: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.3 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.7 %, Under 7.5 hit at 96.6 %, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 96.1 %, Away under 1.5 HT goals hit at 94.0 %, Home +2 handicap hit at 92.8 %, Under 6.5 hit at 92.0 %, and Home over 0.5 goals hit at 91.2 %. The final score of 1-0 matched the most likely 2-1 outcome, with the model’s selections largely coming through.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Club Brugge KV win✓ Hit
61.0%
Avg Implied 73.8% · @ 1.26
Edge
-12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.32
Dafabet
1.29
Superbet
1.29
1xBet
1.29
Pinnacle
1.27
Draw✗ Miss
19.9%
Avg Implied 15.7% · @ 5.92
Edge
+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
6.47
Superbet
6.30
1xBet
6.21
Betano
6.20
Dafabet
6.20
Cercle Brugge win✗ Miss
19.1%
Avg Implied 10.4% · @ 8.95
Edge
+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
10.00
Pinnacle
9.91
10Bet
9.75
BetVictor
9.50
Betano
9.25
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Club Brugge KV
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
3.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.80
1.27
3.33
1.13
2.27
1.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
2.70
1.80
3.40
1.40
2.00
2.20
vs Weaker (20)
2.85
1.00
3.30
1.00
2.40
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Cercle Brugge) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cercle Brugge
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.73
1.38
1.88
1.79
1.57
vs Stronger (8)
1.25
1.62
1.25
2.00
1.25
1.25
vs Similar (22)
1.68
1.77
1.42
1.83
2.00
1.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Club Brugge KV) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
90.2%
@ 1.07+2.7%
Under 1.5
9.8%
@ 7.47-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.08
888Sport
1.08
Unibet
1.08
Under
Bet365
8.00
888Sport
8.00
BetVictor
8.00
Betfair
8.00
Superbet
7.90
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
73.4%
@ 1.29+0.7%
Under 2.5
26.6%
@ 3.43-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
Unibet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Under
Pinnacle
3.65
Betfair
3.60
Superbet
3.55
BetVictor
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
53.0%
@ 1.77-0.5%
Under 3.5
47.0%
@ 2.04+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.82
10Bet
1.80
Betano
1.80
Pinnacle
1.78
SBO
1.77
Under
Pinnacle
2.11
Betfair
2.10
Betano
2.07
Superbet
2.07
SBO
2.07
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
68.6%
@ 1.57+9.4%
No
31.4%
@ 2.28-9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.64
Superbet
1.59
888Sport
1.57
Bet365
1.57
William Hil
1.57
No
Betfair
2.38
Betano
2.35
Superbet
2.32
888Sport
2.30
William Hil
2.30
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.0%@ 8.33+3.6%
1-1
8.1%@ 11.53+4.2%
3-1
7.4%@ 8.93+2.4%
2-0
6.7%@ 8.55+1.4%
2-2
6.1%@ 14.93+3.1%
3-0
5.5%@ 9.22+0.6%
3-2
5.0%@ 15.64+2.2%
1-2
5.0%@ 22.80+3.0%
Club Brugge KV goals ↓
Cercle Brugge goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.9%
2.2%
2.0%
0.9%
0.3%
1
4.7%
8.1%
5.0%
2.3%
0.8%
2
6.7%
9.0%
6.1%
2.8%
0.9%
3
5.5%
7.4%
5.0%
2.3%
0.8%
4
3.4%
4.6%
3.1%
1.4%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Club Brugge KV goals (down), columns = Cercle Brugge goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lommel United
2.67
Club Brugge KV
2.20
Union St. Gilloise
2.15
St. Truiden
1.77
Genk
1.46
Standard Liege
1.43
Anderlecht
1.38
Zulte Waregem
1.33
KVC Westerlo
1.30
KV Mechelen
1.27
Charleroi
1.27
Gent
1.27
Antwerp
1.20
Kortrijk
1.16
Cercle Brugge
1.14
OH Leuven
1.00
SK Beveren
0.99
RAAL La Louvière
0.94
Club Brugge KV is 1.06 points better than Cercle Brugge in terms of average points per game (2.20 vs 1.14).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lommel United
2.33
Club Brugge KV
2.27
Union St. Gilloise
1.65
St. Truiden
1.52
Anderlecht
1.48
Zulte Waregem
1.47
Cercle Brugge
1.47
Genk
1.39
Gent
1.29
KVC Westerlo
1.25
Charleroi
1.25
Kortrijk
1.20
KV Mechelen
1.20
Standard Liege
1.10
Antwerp
1.07
OH Leuven
1.02
SK Beveren
1.02
RAAL La Louvière
0.97
Club Brugge KV is 0.80 goals better than Cercle Brugge in terms of goals scored per game (2.27 vs 1.47).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Union St. Gilloise
0.68
Lommel United
0.83
Club Brugge KV
1.12
Standard Liege
1.15
St. Truiden
1.15
Antwerp
1.20
Charleroi
1.25
Genk
1.29
RAAL La Louvière
1.39
Gent
1.39
KVC Westerlo
1.43
Zulte Waregem
1.47
OH Leuven
1.50
KV Mechelen
1.52
Anderlecht
1.55
Kortrijk
1.59
Cercle Brugge
1.61
SK Beveren
1.87
Club Brugge KV is 0.49 goals better than Cercle Brugge in terms of goals conceded per game (1.12 vs 1.61).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Club Brugge KV
60%
Genk
58%
St. Truiden
55%
Anderlecht
53%
Union St. Gilloise
52%
Charleroi
50%
Antwerp
49%
KVC Westerlo
49%
KV Mechelen
49%
Gent
49%
Zulte Waregem
48%
Cercle Brugge
48%
OH Leuven
46%
Lommel United
45%
Standard Liege
44%
RAAL La Louvière
39%
Club Brugge KV is 12.7 percentage points better than Cercle Brugge in terms of average possession (60% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Club Brugge KV
For 6.3 · Against 4.9 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.1 · Against 9.0 · Total 18.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cercle Brugge
For 6.9 · Against 6.1 · Total 13.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 1.8 · Total 2.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 10.1 · Total 20.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Club Brugge KV
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.3
10.5
3.2
2.8
3.6
20.2
19.5
20.9
vs Stronger (3)
6.3
4.5
10.0
2.7
3.5
1.0
17.7
18.0
17.0
vs Similar (15)
10.5
11.7
9.4
4.5
3.6
5.4
20.7
20.3
21.1
vs Weaker (32)
10.8
10.5
11.1
2.6
2.4
2.8
20.2
19.4
21.0
% over line
57%
54%
61%
36%
28%
44%
36%
29%
43%
% under line
43%
46%
39%
64%
72%
56%
64%
71%
57%
This opponent (Cercle Brugge) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cercle Brugge
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
10.8
11.0
3.9
3.5
4.4
23.1
22.6
23.6
vs Stronger (12)
10.9
9.2
12.3
4.6
4.5
4.7
23.5
23.6
23.5
vs Similar (38)
10.9
11.2
10.6
3.7
3.1
4.3
23.0
22.4
23.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
65%
62%
67%
52%
38%
67%
62%
54%
71%
% under line
35%
38%
33%
48%
62%
33%
38%
46%
29%
This opponent (Club Brugge KV) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
OH Leuven
11.1
Cercle Brugge
10.8
Club Brugge KV
10.6
KVC Westerlo
10.6
Charleroi
10.6
Anderlecht
10.4
Kortrijk
10.2
Gent
10.1
KV Mechelen
10.1
Standard Liege
10.1
Zulte Waregem
9.9
St. Truiden
9.8
SK Beveren
9.8
Lommel United
9.6
Genk
9.6
Union St. Gilloise
9.3
Antwerp
9.2
RAAL La Louvière
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Anderlecht
5.3
Union St. Gilloise
4.9
OH Leuven
4.7
SK Beveren
4.5
Standard Liege
4.3
Kortrijk
4.3
St. Truiden
4.1
Antwerp
4.1
Cercle Brugge
4.1
KV Mechelen
4.1
Lommel United
4.0
KVC Westerlo
3.9
Charleroi
3.9
RAAL La Louvière
3.9
Zulte Waregem
3.8
Genk
3.7
Club Brugge KV
3.6
Gent
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
OH Leuven
25.2
Anderlecht
25.0
RAAL La Louvière
25.0
Lommel United
24.3
Antwerp
24.0
SK Beveren
23.5
Kortrijk
23.3
Cercle Brugge
23.1
KVC Westerlo
23.1
Zulte Waregem
22.8
Genk
22.5
Standard Liege
22.4
KV Mechelen
22.0
Charleroi
21.8
Union St. Gilloise
21.6
St. Truiden
21.3
Gent
21.1
Club Brugge KV
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
63.0%
@ 1.43-1.5%
Under 9.5
37.0%
@ 2.60+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.49
Superbet
1.47
Unibet
1.44
Betano
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
Under
Betano
2.80
Marathonbet
2.63
1xBet
2.57
Unibet
2.55
Pinnacle
2.53
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.7%
@ 1.68-8.6%
Under 3.5
53.3%
@ 2.08+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.77
Unibet
1.58
Under
Unibet
2.20
Superbet
1.95
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
45.5%
Under 21.5
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Club Brugge KV or Draw✓ Hit
82.5%
Avg Implied 89.3% · @ 1.06
Edge
-6.8%
61%
20%
19%
covers Club Brugge KV + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.07
Superbet
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Club Brugge KV or Cercle Brugge✓ Hit
80.1%
Avg Implied 84.6% · @ 1.12
Edge
-4.6%
61%
20%
19%
covers Club Brugge KV + Cercle Brugge
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.13
888Sport
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Draw or Cercle Brugge✗ Miss
37.5%
Avg Implied 26.1% · @ 3.62
Edge
+11.4%
61%
20%
19%
covers Draw + Cercle Brugge
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.85
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.75
10Bet
3.65
1xBet
3.62
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Club Brugge KV over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
91.2%
@ 1.03-0.8%
Under
8.8%
@ 11.80+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.04
888Sport
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Under
Bet365
15.00
888Sport
13.00
Superbet
11.00
1xBet
11.00
Betano
9.00
Club Brugge KV over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
69.8%
@ 1.22-6.7%
Under
30.2%
@ 3.95+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Under
Pinnacle
4.51
BetVictor
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
888Sport
3.90
Club Brugge KV over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
43.8%
@ 1.72-10.6%
Under
56.2%
@ 2.05+10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.73
10Bet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.73
888Sport
1.73
Under
Pinnacle
2.16
Betfair
2.10
Marathonbet
2.07
1xBet
2.07
BetVictor
2.05
Club Brugge KV over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
22.7%
@ 2.81-10.4%
Under
77.3%
@ 1.39+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
888Sport
2.88
Pinnacle
2.86
Betano
2.82
Superbet
2.80
Under
Pinnacle
1.41
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Superbet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Cercle Brugge over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
71.4%
@ 1.49+8.9%
Under
28.6%
@ 2.48-8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.56
Pinnacle
1.53
Bet365
1.50
BetVictor
1.50
Superbet
1.50
Under
Betfair
2.63
Pinnacle
2.56
Betano
2.55
888Sport
2.50
Superbet
2.50
Cercle Brugge over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
35.6%
@ 3.40+8.2%
Under
64.4%
@ 1.29-8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.75
Pinnacle
3.57
Bet365
3.50
1xBet
3.42
10Bet
3.40
Under
Betano
1.33
Betfair
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.29
Cercle Brugge over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
13.2%
@ 9.13+3.0%
Under
86.8%
@ 1.04-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Unibet
10.00
888Sport
9.50
1xBet
8.90
Superbet
8.70
Under
Betano
1.07
888Sport
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Cercle Brugge over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.9%
@ 22.00-0.5%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.01+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
29.00
Superbet
25.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Club Brugge KV, so a minus line means Club Brugge KV give that many goals of a start and Cercle Brugge receive them. At -1, Club Brugge KV must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Club Brugge KV win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Club Brugge KV)Actual: Cercle Brugge
Club Brugge KV -2
23.2%
@ 2.57-11.7%
Draw -2
18.5%
@ 4.16-3.1%
Cercle Brugge +2
58.3%
@ 2.06+14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
10Bet
2.62
Superbet
2.62
Marathonbet
2.47
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.30
Marathonbet
4.25
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Away
Unibet
2.15
Superbet
2.12
Bet365
2.05
10Bet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.02
Handicap -1 (Club Brugge KV)Actual: Draw
Club Brugge KV -1
41.7%
@ 1.66-12.4%
Draw -1
20.8%
@ 4.22-0.6%
Cercle Brugge +1
37.5%
@ 3.67+13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.70
Betfair
1.67
Bet365
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.35
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
4.15
Unibet
4.10
Away
Unibet
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.65
10Bet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.60
Handicap +1 (Club Brugge KV)Actual: Club Brugge KV
Club Brugge KV +1
82.5%
@ 1.06-4.9%
Draw +1
10.3%
@ 11.33+2.2%
Cercle Brugge -1
7.2%
@ 20.33+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.07
Unibet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
11.00
Unibet
10.00
Away
Betfair
23.00
Bet365
21.00
Unibet
17.00
Handicap +2 (Club Brugge KV)Actual: Club Brugge KV
Club Brugge KV +2
92.8%
Draw +2
4.9%
Cercle Brugge -2
2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Club Brugge KV
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.50
1.67
0.40
0.93
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
1.50
0.70
1.80
0.60
1.20
0.80
vs Weaker (20)
1.20
0.40
1.60
0.30
0.80
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Cercle Brugge) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cercle Brugge
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.77
0.62
0.88
1.07
0.64
vs Stronger (8)
0.88
0.88
0.75
1.00
1.00
0.75
vs Similar (22)
0.82
0.73
0.58
0.83
1.10
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Club Brugge KV) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
79.6%
@ 1.17-0.1%
Under 0.5
20.4%
@ 4.61+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Under
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Superbet
4.90
William Hil
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
48.6%
@ 1.84-2.3%
Under 1.5
51.4%
@ 1.91+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.93
Unibet
1.87
Pinnacle
1.87
SBO
1.86
William Hil
1.85
Under
Betfair
2.00
SBO
1.98
Superbet
1.97
Pinnacle
1.95
10Bet
1.91
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
22.6%
@ 3.61-3.2%
Under 2.5
77.4%
@ 1.25+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.85
Bet365
3.75
Betano
3.75
William Hil
3.70
Superbet
3.50
Under
Superbet
1.29
Betano
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Club Brugge KV over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
71.9%
@ 1.31+1.3%
Under
28.1%
@ 3.15-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.31
Superbet
1.30
Unibet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Under
Superbet
3.25
10Bet
3.25
Unibet
3.15
1xBet
3.10
Betano
3.00
Club Brugge KV over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
34.2%
@ 2.48-3.2%
Under
65.8%
@ 1.48+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.62
Pinnacle
2.52
Unibet
2.50
Marathonbet
2.49
1xBet
2.46
Under
Pinnacle
1.52
Superbet
1.51
10Bet
1.50
1xBet
1.48
Unibet
1.47
Club Brugge KV over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.2%
@ 5.68-6.1%
Under
89.8%
@ 1.11+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.90
Unibet
5.80
Betano
5.80
10Bet
5.50
Superbet
5.40
Under
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Betano
1.11
Unibet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Cercle Brugge over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
34.3%
@ 2.63-1.2%
Under
65.7%
@ 1.45+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.88
Unibet
2.75
10Bet
2.60
Betano
2.55
Superbet
2.55
Under
1xBet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.46
10Bet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.42
Cercle Brugge over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.0%
@ 9.24-4.1%
Under
94.0%
@ 1.04+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
11.00
1xBet
9.20
10Bet
9.00
Superbet
9.00
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
Unibet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Cercle Brugge over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.7%
@ 38.00-99.3%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
38.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Club Brugge KV
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
0.77
1.67
0.73
1.33
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
1.20
1.10
1.60
0.80
0.80
1.40
vs Weaker (20)
1.65
0.60
1.70
0.70
1.60
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Cercle Brugge) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cercle Brugge
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.97
0.75
1.00
0.71
0.93
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
0.75
0.50
1.00
0.25
0.50
vs Similar (22)
0.86
1.05
0.83
1.00
0.90
1.10
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Club Brugge KV) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
85.2%
@ 1.09-0.5%
Under 0.5
14.8%
@ 6.53+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Under
1xBet
7.30
Bet365
7.00
Betano
6.50
Superbet
6.40
William Hil
6.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
61.0%
@ 1.49-1.2%
Under 1.5
39.0%
@ 2.46+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.53
Bet365
1.50
Unibet
1.50
William Hil
1.50
Superbet
1.48
Under
Betano
2.60
Bet365
2.50
Superbet
2.47
1xBet
2.47
Marathonbet
2.47
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
25.7%
@ 2.52-11.3%
Under 2.5
74.3%
@ 1.48+11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
2.70
William Hil
2.62
Unibet
2.55
Bet365
2.50
Superbet
2.47
Under
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.49
Superbet
1.48
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Club Brugge KV over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
77.9%
@ 1.20+0.3%
Under
22.1%
@ 4.15-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Under
1xBet
4.20
Betano
4.15
Superbet
4.10
Club Brugge KV over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
41.3%
@ 1.94-6.5%
Under
58.7%
@ 1.78+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.95
1xBet
1.95
Betano
1.93
Marathonbet
1.92
Under
Betano
1.82
Marathonbet
1.77
1xBet
1.76
Superbet
1.76
Club Brugge KV over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.1%
@ 3.88-9.8%
Under
85.9%
@ 1.22+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.00
Superbet
3.90
Betano
3.75
Under
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.20
Cercle Brugge over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
37.3%
@ 2.08-7.3%
Under
62.7%
@ 1.68+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.10
1xBet
2.10
Betano
2.05
Under
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.66
Superbet
1.65
Cercle Brugge over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.4%
@ 6.37-5.2%
Under
90.6%
@ 1.08+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.70
Superbet
6.60
Betano
5.80
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Cercle Brugge over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.3%
@ 17.38-4.2%
Under
98.7%
@ 1.02+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
23.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.7%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
96.6%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.1%
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
94.0%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
Unibet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
92.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
92.0%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.07
1xBet
1.07
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
91.2%
1.03
Betano
1.04
888Sport
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-0.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
90.6%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
-
-
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
90.2%
1.07
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.08
888Sport
1.08
Unibet
1.08
+2.7%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 HT goals
89.8%
1.11
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Betano
1.11
Unibet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
86.8%
1.04
Betano
1.07
888Sport
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.05
Superbet
1.05
-3.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
85.9%
1.22
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.20
-
-
+9.8%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
85.2%
1.09
888Sport
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
-0.5%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5
83.3%
1.18
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Betfair
1.20
10Bet
1.20
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
82.5%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.07
Superbet
1.07
888Sport
1.06
-6.8%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
82.5%
1.06
Bet365
1.07
Unibet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
-
-
-4.9%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
80.1%
1.12
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.13
888Sport
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Superbet
1.12
-4.6%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
79.6%
1.17
Betano
1.21
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
-0.1%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 2H goals
77.9%
1.20
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
-
-
+0.3%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
77.4%
1.25
Superbet
1.29
Betano
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
77.3%
1.39
Pinnacle
1.41
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Superbet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
+10.4%
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
74.4%
1.24
Superbet
1.29
Unibet
1.26
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
74.3%
1.48
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.49
Superbet
1.48
+11.3%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
73.4%
1.29
Betano
1.32
Unibet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.30
+0.7%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards
72.2%
1.57
Betano
1.67
Unibet
1.60
Superbet
1.43
-
-
+13.2%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 HT goals
71.9%
1.31
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.31
Superbet
1.30
Unibet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
71.4%
1.49
Unibet
1.56
Pinnacle
1.53
Bet365
1.50
BetVictor
1.50
Superbet
1.50
+8.9%
✗ Miss
Under 23.5 fouls
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Club Brugge KV
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nicolò Tresoldi67%
Hans Vanaken33%
Hugo Vetlesen33%
Carlos Forbs33%
Brandon Mechele0%
Yann Sommer0%
Han-Beom Lee0%
Romeo Vermant0%
Freddie Potts0%
Kyriani Sabbe0%
Félix Lemaréchal0%
Joaquin Seys0%
Mamadou Diakhon0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Freddie Potts67%
Brandon Mechele33%
Joaquin Seys33%
Hans Vanaken0%
Yann Sommer0%
Hugo Vetlesen0%
Han-Beom Lee0%
Romeo Vermant0%
Carlos Forbs0%
Nicolò Tresoldi0%
Kyriani Sabbe0%
Félix Lemaréchal0%
Mamadou Diakhon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Carlos Forbs67%
Mamadou Diakhon33%
Brandon Mechele0%
Hans Vanaken0%
Yann Sommer0%
Hugo Vetlesen0%
Han-Beom Lee0%
Romeo Vermant0%
Freddie Potts0%
Nicolò Tresoldi0%
Kyriani Sabbe0%
Félix Lemaréchal0%
Joaquin Seys0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Hugo Vetlesen33%
Brandon Mechele0%
Hans Vanaken0%
Yann Sommer0%
Han-Beom Lee0%
Romeo Vermant0%
Carlos Forbs0%
Freddie Potts0%
Nicolò Tresoldi0%
Kyriani Sabbe0%
Félix Lemaréchal0%
Joaquin Seys0%
Mamadou Diakhon0%
Cercle Brugge
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Christiaan Ravych33%
Lukas Mondele25%
Steve Ngoura25%
Erick Nunes25%
Lazare Amani0%
Gaëtan Coucke0%
Dante Vanzeir0%
Gary Magnee0%
Ibrahim Diakité0%
Lucas Michal0%
Geoffrey Kondo0%
Makaya Ibrahima Diaby0%
Emmanuel Kakou0%
Valy Konaté0%
Krys Kouassi0%
Viggo Martens0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Geoffrey Kondo25%
Makaya Ibrahima Diaby25%
Valy Konaté25%
Krys Kouassi25%
Lazare Amani0%
Gaëtan Coucke0%
Dante Vanzeir0%
Gary Magnee0%
Lukas Mondele0%
Ibrahim Diakité0%
Steve Ngoura0%
Lucas Michal0%
Christiaan Ravych0%
Erick Nunes0%
Emmanuel Kakou0%
Viggo Martens0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dante Vanzeir25%
Lazare Amani0%
Gaëtan Coucke0%
Gary Magnee0%
Lukas Mondele0%
Ibrahim Diakité0%
Steve Ngoura0%
Lucas Michal0%
Christiaan Ravych0%
Geoffrey Kondo0%
Makaya Ibrahima Diaby0%
Erick Nunes0%
Emmanuel Kakou0%
Valy Konaté0%
Krys Kouassi0%
Viggo Martens0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Steve Ngoura50%
Christiaan Ravych33%
Lukas Mondele25%
Makaya Ibrahima Diaby25%
Lazare Amani0%
Gaëtan Coucke0%
Dante Vanzeir0%
Gary Magnee0%
Ibrahim Diakité0%
Lucas Michal0%
Geoffrey Kondo0%
Erick Nunes0%
Emmanuel Kakou0%
Valy Konaté0%
Krys Kouassi0%
Viggo Martens0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (27)
€196m
GEN (30)
€113m
USG (26)
€98m
AND (32)
€91m
GEN (32)
€58m
SL (27)
€54m
KM (31)
€45m
CB (26)
€40m
KW (26)
€38m
ANT (24)
€33m
CHA (21)
€31m
OL (27)
€30m
ST (23)
€30m
LU (25)
€26m
RLL (30)
€23m
ZW (27)
€20m
KOR (24)
€18m
SB (24)
€12m
Club Brugge KV's squad is €155m more valuable than Cercle Brugge's (€196m vs €40m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (10)
€92m
AND (12)
€50m
GEN (10)
€39m
USG (10)
€32m
CB (9)
€18m
GEN (11)
€17m
KW (11)
€16m
SL (9)
€14m
KM (9)
€13m
CHA (8)
€13m
ST (10)
€11m
ANT (10)
€9m
KOR (9)
€9m
ZW (10)
€8m
LU (10)
€8m
OL (8)
€7m
RLL (10)
€6m
SB (9)
€4m
Club Brugge KV's attack is €73m more valuable than Cercle Brugge's (€92m vs €18m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
USG (7)
€38m
CBK (5)
€23m
GEN (8)
€22m
GEN (5)
€19m
AND (5)
€18m
LU (5)
€15m
ANT (4)
€10m
KW (5)
€9m
SL (7)
€8m
KM (7)
€7m
OL (6)
€6m
RLL (7)
€6m
CB (6)
€5m
ST (4)
€4m
CHA (5)
€4m
KOR (5)
€4m
ZW (4)
€4m
SB (5)
€3m
Club Brugge KV's midfield is €18m more valuable than Cercle Brugge's (€23m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (12)
€81m
GEN (15)
€55m
SL (11)
€31m
USG (9)
€28m
KM (15)
€25m
AND (15)
€24m
GEN (13)
€19m
OL (13)
€17m
CB (11)
€17m
ANT (10)
€14m
CHA (8)
€14m
ST (9)
€14m
KW (10)
€12m
RLL (13)
€11m
ZW (13)
€9m
KOR (10)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
LU (10)
€4m
Club Brugge KV's defence is €65m more valuable than Cercle Brugge's (€81m vs €17m).
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Charleroi
Gent
Zulte Waregem
Standard Liege
Union St. Gilloise
Genk
Lommel United
Antwerp
St. Truiden
Anderlecht
SK Beveren
KV Mechelen
RAAL La Louvière
KVC Westerlo
OH Leuven
Kortrijk