Como’s unbeaten run of five games, highlighted by a 2-1 win over Napoli, sets a positive tone as they host RB Leipzig, who are riding a win after a 3-0 triumph against Borussia Mönchengladbach. The model’s most confident outcome is a home win, with a 52% chance, followed by a 26% draw and a 21% away win. The expected total goals is 2.7, but the most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.6% probability. In the match-specific context, Como averages 1.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded against stronger opposition at home, while Leipzig’s away form shows 2.0 goals scored and 1.36 conceded against weaker opponents. The suggested selections span a range of outcomes: Under 7.5 (99.3%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.0% with a 5% edge), Under 6.5 (97.9% with a 3% edge), Under 5.5 (94.2% with a 4% edge), Home +2 handicap (91.9% with a 10% edge), Away under 2.5 goals (91.7% with an 8% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (90.7% with a 2% edge), and Under 4.5 (86.1% with a 5% edge).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Como win
52.3%
Avg Implied 45.2% · @ 2.08
Edge
+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.15
Dafabet
2.13
Betfair
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Betano
2.10
Draw
26.3%
Avg Implied 26.3% · @ 3.58
Edge
+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.76
Marathonbet
3.74
Pinnacle
3.65
Betfair
3.60
Dafabet
3.60
RB Leipzig win
21.4%
Avg Implied 28.5% · @ 3.31
Edge
-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.54
Marathonbet
3.52
Pinnacle
3.51
Betano
3.40
William Hil
3.30
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Como
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
0.83
1.86
0.86
1.88
0.81
vs Stronger (5)
1.40
1.80
1.50
2.00
1.33
1.67
vs Similar (18)
1.56
0.78
1.50
0.70
1.62
0.88
vs Weaker (7)
3.00
0.29
4.00
0.50
2.60
0.20
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (RB Leipzig) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
RB Leipzig
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.07
1.33
2.38
1.19
1.71
1.50
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
5.00
1.00
5.00
-
-
vs Similar (6)
1.33
2.00
2.00
2.00
0.67
2.00
vs Weaker (23)
2.30
1.00
2.58
0.67
2.00
1.36
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Como) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
76.5%
@ 1.20-1.4%
Under 1.5
23.5%
@ 4.23+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
BetVictor
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Under
Unibet
4.60
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.15
1xBet
4.15
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
50.9%
@ 1.68-5.5%
Under 2.5
49.1%
@ 2.17+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.68
Under
Unibet
2.25
SBO
2.23
1xBet
2.22
Betfair
2.20
Pinnacle
2.19
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
28.8%
@ 2.65-6.5%
Under 3.5
71.2%
@ 1.45+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.77
Bet365
2.75
10Bet
2.70
Unibet
2.65
Pinnacle
2.65
Under
Unibet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Both teams to score
Yes
53.1%
@ 1.58-6.1%
No
46.9%
@ 2.30+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.60
William Hil
1.60
Marathonbet
1.57
1xBet
1.57
No
Unibet
2.43
Betfair
2.38
William Hil
2.30
10Bet
2.30
1xBet
2.28
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%@ 6.74+5.7%
1-0
10.2%@ 8.90+4.9%
2-1
9.7%@ 8.18+4.0%
2-0
9.6%@ 10.94+5.3%
0-0
7.8%@ 12.77+4.1%
1-2
5.8%@ 10.55+1.4%
0-1
5.6%@ 11.37+1.5%
3-1
5.5%@ 14.22+2.2%
Como goals ↓
RB Leipzig goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.8%
5.6%
3.4%
1.1%
0.3%
1
10%
13%
5.8%
2.0%
0.5%
2
9.6%
9.7%
4.9%
1.7%
0.4%
3
5.4%
5.5%
2.8%
0.9%
0.2%
4
2.3%
2.3%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Como goals (down), columns = RB Leipzig goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
European competition: teams are ranked by a cross-league strength score - each side's domestic attack and defence made comparable via the model's fitted league strengths (stronger leagues weighted up). Each side's actual domestic figures are shown below.
🏆 Cross-league strength
0-100 · adjusted for league strength · 67 teams
Arsenal
100
Manchester City
97
Bayern München
90
Manchester United
89
Liverpool
87
Barcelona
86
Aston Villa
86
Inter
84
Real Madrid
84
Como
82
Borussia Dortmund
82
Paris Saint Germain
81
AS Roma
80
Sporting CP
79
FC Porto
79
Villarreal
78
Napoli
77
VfB Stuttgart
76
Atletico Madrid
76
Lens
76
RB Leipzig
76
Real Betis
74
Lille
71
Lyon
70
Union St. Gilloise
70
Viking
70
Bodo/Glimt
67
Club Brugge KV
67
PSV Eindhoven
66
Galatasaray
64
Slavia Praha
62
Fenerbahçe
60
Feyenoord
60
NEC Nijmegen
58
Omonia Nicosia
56
Kauno Žalgiris
56
Dinamo Zagreb
55
Lech Poznan
54
Gornik Zabrze
53
Shakhtar Donetsk
49
Levski Sofia
49
FC Thun
47
Sabah FA
46
Sparta Praha
45
Slovan Bratislava
45
Aarhus
45
Hapoel Beer Sheva
44
Heart Of Midlothian
43
FK Crvena Zvezda
43
Sturm Graz
43
Celtic
42
Lask Linz
41
Olympiakos Piraeus
41
Universitatea Craiova
39
Mjallby AIF
36
Kairat Almaty
30
Vikingur Reykjavik
29
Celje
25
Shamrock Rovers
22
KuPS
21
Ararat-Armenia
19
AEK Athens FC
15
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
11
Larne
10
KI Klaksvik
7
Saburtalo
1
Lincoln Red Imps FC
0
Como is 6 pts stronger cross-league than RB Leipzig(82 vs 76 · ranks #10 vs #21 of 67).
Como 1.87 (Italy: Serie A) · RB Leipzig 1.91 (Germany: Bundesliga). Domestic-league average points per game; different leagues, so not a like-for-like verdict.
Como 1.71 (Italy: Serie A) · RB Leipzig 1.94 (Germany: Bundesliga). Domestic-league goals scored per game; different leagues, so not a like-for-like verdict.
Como 0.76 (Italy: Serie A) · RB Leipzig 1.38 (Germany: Bundesliga). Domestic-league goals conceded per game; different leagues, so not a like-for-like verdict.
⏱️ Possession
Not compared for European ties.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Como
For 6.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 13.0 · Total 24.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
RB Leipzig
For 4.9 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 0.7 · Total 2.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.4 · Against 9.9 · Total 19.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Como
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.8
7.0
8.6
3.9
4.0
3.8
25.6
25.1
26.1
vs Stronger (10)
6.5
4.2
8.8
3.1
4.2
2.0
24.4
24.0
24.8
vs Similar (26)
8.3
7.9
8.6
4.3
4.3
4.2
25.1
24.1
26.0
vs Weaker (14)
7.8
7.0
8.5
3.9
3.4
4.3
27.5
27.8
27.2
% over line
27%
14%
39%
58%
58%
58%
78%
68%
87%
% under line
73%
86%
61%
42%
42%
42%
22%
32%
13%
This opponent (RB Leipzig) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
RB Leipzig
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.8
10.0
3.3
3.4
3.2
20.0
19.9
20.0
vs Stronger (3)
11.0
11.5
10.0
3.3
2.5
5.0
18.0
14.0
26.0
vs Similar (8)
11.4
11.2
11.7
3.9
4.0
3.7
22.1
22.0
22.3
vs Weaker (39)
10.1
10.6
9.7
3.2
3.4
3.0
19.7
20.0
19.3
% over line
59%
54%
65%
48%
42%
54%
37%
42%
30%
% under line
41%
46%
35%
52%
58%
46%
63%
58%
70%
This opponent (Como) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Sabah FA
12.0
Viking
12.0
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
11.5
Larne
11.4
PSV Eindhoven
11.3
Fenerbahçe
11.1
Celtic
11.0
Slavia Praha
11.0
Bodo/Glimt
10.9
Atletico Madrid
10.8
Barcelona
10.8
Real Madrid
10.7
Kairat Almaty
10.4
Club Brugge KV
10.4
RB Leipzig
10.4
Lask Linz
10.3
Lens
10.3
Heart Of Midlothian
10.3
Lech Poznan
10.3
Manchester City
10.3
Liverpool
10.2
KI Klaksvik
10.2
FC Thun
10.2
Gornik Zabrze
10.1
Feyenoord
10.1
VfB Stuttgart
10.0
Omonia Nicosia
10.0
Sturm Graz
10.0
Slovan Bratislava
9.9
NEC Nijmegen
9.9
Sparta Praha
9.9
Lyon
9.9
Mjallby AIF
9.8
Sporting CP
9.8
KuPS
9.8
FK Crvena Zvezda
9.7
Bayern München
9.7
Ararat-Armenia
9.6
Aarhus
9.6
Dinamo Zagreb
9.6
Lille
9.6
Manchester United
9.6
Levski Sofia
9.5
Celje
9.4
Inter
9.3
Aston Villa
9.3
Paris Saint Germain
9.3
Hapoel Beer Sheva
9.2
Villarreal
9.2
Kauno Žalgiris
9.1
Real Betis
9.0
Arsenal
9.0
Saburtalo
9.0
Union St. Gilloise
9.0
Galatasaray
8.9
Shakhtar Donetsk
8.9
FC Porto
8.9
Borussia Dortmund
8.9
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.9
Lincoln Red Imps FC
8.7
AEK Athens FC
8.7
Universitatea Craiova
8.7
AS Roma
8.6
Vikingur Reykjavik
8.6
Napoli
8.4
Shamrock Rovers
8.2
Como
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ararat-Armenia
5.8
Fenerbahçe
5.6
Sabah FA
5.6
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.4
AEK Athens FC
5.4
FC Porto
5.2
Larne
5.1
Vikingur Reykjavik
5.1
Lincoln Red Imps FC
5.1
Sporting CP
5.1
Universitatea Craiova
5.1
Slovan Bratislava
5.0
Real Madrid
4.9
FC Thun
4.9
Union St. Gilloise
4.9
Saburtalo
4.9
Celje
4.9
Shamrock Rovers
4.9
Sturm Graz
4.8
Sparta Praha
4.8
Lyon
4.6
Levski Sofia
4.6
Omonia Nicosia
4.6
Heart Of Midlothian
4.6
Real Betis
4.6
Galatasaray
4.5
Como
4.5
Lens
4.5
KI Klaksvik
4.4
Villarreal
4.4
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.4
Kairat Almaty
4.4
Lille
4.4
Slavia Praha
4.3
Barcelona
4.3
Dinamo Zagreb
4.3
Atletico Madrid
4.3
AS Roma
4.2
Viking
4.2
Manchester United
4.1
VfB Stuttgart
4.1
Gornik Zabrze
4.0
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
4.0
NEC Nijmegen
3.9
Bayern München
3.9
Lech Poznan
3.9
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.9
Aarhus
3.9
Celtic
3.8
Shakhtar Donetsk
3.8
Aston Villa
3.8
Lask Linz
3.7
Feyenoord
3.7
Mjallby AIF
3.7
Manchester City
3.7
Borussia Dortmund
3.7
Club Brugge KV
3.6
Liverpool
3.6
Kauno Žalgiris
3.6
Arsenal
3.5
PSV Eindhoven
3.5
RB Leipzig
3.4
Napoli
3.4
Inter
3.3
KuPS
3.2
Paris Saint Germain
3.2
Bodo/Glimt
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Saburtalo
30.0
Sabah FA
29.4
AEK Athens FC
29.3
AS Roma
28.0
FC Thun
28.0
Hapoel Beer Sheva
28.0
Slavia Praha
26.9
Sporting CP
26.2
FC Porto
26.1
Como
26.1
Kairat Almaty
26.1
Vikingur Reykjavik
25.7
Slovan Bratislava
25.5
Larne
25.4
Fenerbahçe
25.3
Mjallby AIF
25.1
Lyon
25.1
Celje
25.0
Olympiakos Piraeus
25.0
Omonia Nicosia
24.9
Lincoln Red Imps FC
24.9
Lens
24.8
Villarreal
24.8
Sparta Praha
24.7
Heart Of Midlothian
24.6
Viking
24.5
Levski Sofia
24.5
Aarhus
24.3
Lech Poznan
24.1
Lille
24.0
FK Crvena Zvezda
24.0
NEC Nijmegen
23.9
Inter
23.9
Sturm Graz
23.8
Universitatea Craiova
23.8
Real Madrid
23.6
Aston Villa
23.6
Galatasaray
23.5
Dinamo Zagreb
23.4
Real Betis
23.3
Napoli
23.3
Shamrock Rovers
22.9
Gornik Zabrze
22.8
Feyenoord
22.8
VfB Stuttgart
22.6
Ararat-Armenia
22.3
Borussia Dortmund
22.3
Arsenal
22.1
KuPS
22.0
Kauno Žalgiris
22.0
Barcelona
21.8
Union St. Gilloise
21.8
Manchester United
21.5
Celtic
21.4
Liverpool
21.4
Atletico Madrid
21.1
Manchester City
21.0
Lask Linz
21.0
Club Brugge KV
20.3
RB Leipzig
19.9
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
19.7
Shakhtar Donetsk
19.4
Paris Saint Germain
19.2
Bodo/Glimt
19.0
Bayern München
18.6
PSV Eindhoven
18.3
KI Klaksvik
18.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
38.0%
@ 1.90-10.4%
Under 9.5
62.0%
@ 1.78+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.90
Under
Unibet
1.78
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
54.8%
@ 1.50-6.5%
Under 3.5
45.2%
@ 2.38+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.50
Under
Unibet
2.38
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
54.0%
Under 21.5
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Como or Draw
78.6%
Avg Implied 71.4% · @ 1.32
Edge
+7.3%
52%
26%
21%
covers Como + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.34
Betano
1.34
Unibet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Como or RB Leipzig
73.7%
Avg Implied 74.2% · @ 1.27
Edge
-0.6%
52%
26%
21%
covers Como + RB Leipzig
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.28
Draw or RB Leipzig
47.7%
Avg Implied 54.4% · @ 1.73
Edge
-6.7%
52%
26%
21%
covers Draw + RB Leipzig
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.80
Betano
1.78
William Hil
1.73
Bet365
1.73
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Como over/under 0.5
Over
81.7%
@ 1.17+2.4%
Under
18.3%
@ 4.48-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Betfair
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Under
1xBet
4.60
BetVictor
4.60
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Como over/under 1.5
Over
50.6%
@ 1.87+0.7%
Under
49.4%
@ 1.86-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.91
10Bet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.89
Betano
1.88
BetVictor
1.87
Under
1xBet
1.94
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathonbet
1.92
Unibet
1.86
Betano
1.85
Como over/under 2.5
Over
24.2%
@ 3.72-0.8%
Under
75.8%
@ 1.24+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.80
BetVictor
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.75
Under
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Pinnacle
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Como over/under 3.5
Over
9.3%
@ 8.47-1.8%
Under
90.7%
@ 1.05+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
1xBet
8.80
Betfair
8.50
Marathonbet
8.30
Unibet
8.00
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Unibet
1.05
RB Leipzig over/under 0.5
Over
63.7%
@ 1.31-7.5%
Under
36.3%
@ 3.23+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.33
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Under
Unibet
3.35
Pinnacle
3.30
Betfair
3.25
Bet365
3.25
10Bet
3.25
RB Leipzig over/under 1.5
Over
26.9%
@ 2.50-10.6%
Under
73.1%
@ 1.50+10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.66
Marathonbet
2.60
BetVictor
2.50
Betfair
2.50
1xBet
2.50
Under
Unibet
1.53
1xBet
1.52
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Betano
1.50
RB Leipzig over/under 2.5
Over
8.3%
@ 5.92-7.5%
Under
91.7%
@ 1.11+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
1xBet
6.40
Marathonbet
6.30
Betfair
6.00
BetVictor
5.75
Under
Betano
1.12
Unibet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
RB Leipzig over/under 3.5
Over
2.0%
@ 14.75-4.5%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.02+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Como, so a minus line means Como give that many goals of a start and RB Leipzig receive them. At -1, Como must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Como win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Como)
Como -2
12.8%
@ 8.02+1.6%
Draw -2
16.4%
@ 5.89+1.1%
RB Leipzig +2
70.8%
@ 1.22-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.50
10Bet
8.00
Unibet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.10
Draw
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.95
10Bet
5.75
Unibet
5.75
Away
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
Unibet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Handicap -1 (Como)
Como -1
29.2%
@ 3.69+4.9%
Draw -1
23.1%
@ 3.87-0.1%
RB Leipzig +1
47.7%
@ 1.72-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Unibet
3.70
Marathonbet
3.50
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.82
Unibet
3.80
10Bet
3.75
Away
Marathonbet
1.80
Bet365
1.73
10Bet
1.70
Unibet
1.68
Betfair
1.67
Handicap +1 (Como)
Como +1
78.6%
@ 1.32+10.6%
Draw +1
13.3%
@ 4.93-5.0%
RB Leipzig -1
8.1%
@ 6.57-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Betfair
1.30
Draw
Marathonbet
5.20
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Unibet
4.70
Away
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.85
Betfair
6.50
Unibet
6.25
10Bet
6.25
Handicap +2 (Como)
Como +2
91.9%
@ 1.09+9.9%
Draw +2
5.8%
@ 8.17-5.1%
RB Leipzig -2
2.2%
@ 12.73-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Unibet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
9.50
Unibet
8.50
10Bet
8.00
Marathonbet
4.85
Away
Bet365
17.00
Betfair
14.00
10Bet
13.00
Unibet
13.00
Marathonbet
6.65
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Como
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.37
0.86
0.36
0.75
0.38
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
0.60
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.67
vs Similar (18)
0.61
0.39
0.50
0.30
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (7)
1.14
0.14
2.50
0.50
0.60
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (RB Leipzig) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
RB Leipzig
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.43
1.06
0.25
0.79
0.64
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.83
0.83
1.33
0.67
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (23)
0.96
0.35
1.00
0.17
0.91
0.55
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Como) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Como over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.83
10Bet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.76
1xBet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.73
Under
Pinnacle
2.05
10Bet
2.00
Unibet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.95
1xBet
1.95
Como over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
Marathonbet
4.95
Betano
4.85
10Bet
4.75
Unibet
4.70
Under
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
Unibet
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Como over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
RB Leipzig over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.23
Betano
2.20
10Bet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.14
Unibet
2.05
Under
Unibet
1.67
1xBet
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.63
Pinnacle
1.62
RB Leipzig over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.40
1xBet
7.00
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.60
Unibet
6.25
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.07
Unibet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
RB Leipzig over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Como
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.47
1.00
0.50
1.12
0.44
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.20
0.50
1.50
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.94
0.39
1.00
0.40
0.88
0.38
vs Weaker (7)
1.86
0.14
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.20
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (RB Leipzig) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
RB Leipzig
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.90
1.31
0.94
0.93
0.86
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
5.00
0.00
5.00
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.50
1.17
0.67
1.33
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (23)
1.35
0.65
1.58
0.50
1.09
0.82
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Como) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Como over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Under
Betano
2.40
1xBet
2.40
Como over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.55
1xBet
3.50
Betano
3.45
Under
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Como over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.02
RB Leipzig over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
Betano
1.80
Under
Betano
1.95
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.87
RB Leipzig over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.35
1xBet
5.20
10Bet
4.75
Betano
4.70
Under
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
RB Leipzig over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
98.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+4.5%
Under 6.5
97.9%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+3.1%
Under 5.5
94.2%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Unibet
1.05
BetVictor
1.03
1xBet
1.01
+4.3%
Home +2 handicap
91.9%
1.09
Bet365
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Unibet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
+9.9%
Away under 2.5 goals
91.7%
1.11
Betano
1.12
Unibet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
+7.5%
Home under 3.5 goals
90.7%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Unibet
1.05
+1.8%
Under 4.5
86.1%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Unibet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.13
+5.3%
Under 11.5 corners
82.6%
1.29
Unibet
1.29
-
-
-
-
+11.4%
Home over 0.5 goals
81.7%
1.17
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Betfair
1.17
1xBet
1.17
+2.4%
Under 5.5 cards
79.9%
1.35
Unibet
1.35
-
-
-
-
+12.1%
Home or Draw
78.6%
1.32
1xBet
1.34
Betano
1.34
Unibet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
+7.3%
Home +1 handicap
78.6%
1.32
Unibet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Betfair
1.30
+10.6%
Under 25.5 fouls
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
76.5%
1.20
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
BetVictor
1.20
Unibet
1.19
-1.4%
Home under 2.5 goals
75.8%
1.24
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Pinnacle
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
+0.8%
Over 2.5 cards
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
73.7%
1.27
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.28
-0.6%
Under 10.5 corners
73.5%
1.48
Unibet
1.48
-
-
-
-
+11.3%
Away under 1.5 goals
73.1%
1.50
Unibet
1.53
1xBet
1.52
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Betano
1.50
+10.6%
Under 3.5
71.2%
1.45
Unibet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
+6.5%
Away +2 handicap
70.8%
1.22
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
Unibet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Betfair
1.20
-2.7%
Over 19.5 fouls
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Como · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anastasios Douvikas32%
Nico Paz30%
Martin Baturina24%
Lucas Da Cunha17%
Jayden Addai12%
Marc-Oliver Kempf11%
Assane Diao10%
Alberto Moreno9%
Jesús Rodriguez8%
Máximo Perrone7%
Stefan Posch7%
Mërgim Vojvoda6%
Maxence Caqueret6%
Jacobo Ramón5%
Sergi Roberto4%
Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn4%
Álvaro Morata3%
Diego Carlos3%
Álex Valle3%
Jean Butez0%
Ivan Smolčić0%
Edoardo Goldaniga0%
Ignace Van der Brempt0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jacobo Ramón32%
Diego Carlos29%
Ivan Smolčić25%
Jayden Addai25%
Máximo Perrone22%
Sergi Roberto21%
Alberto Moreno17%
Nico Paz15%
Álvaro Morata13%
Ignace Van der Brempt13%
Assane Diao10%
Álex Valle10%
Lucas Da Cunha10%
Maxence Caqueret8%
Jesús Rodriguez8%
Marc-Oliver Kempf8%
Jean Butez7%
Stefan Posch7%
Mërgim Vojvoda6%
Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn4%
Martin Baturina3%
Anastasios Douvikas0%
Edoardo Goldaniga0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jesús Rodriguez25%
Maxence Caqueret19%
Nico Paz15%
Álex Valle13%
Martin Baturina12%
Lucas Da Cunha10%
Ignace Van der Brempt9%
Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn8%
Máximo Perrone7%
Mërgim Vojvoda6%
Assane Diao5%
Anastasios Douvikas5%
Alberto Moreno4%
Álvaro Morata3%
Diego Carlos3%
Ivan Smolčić3%
Marc-Oliver Kempf3%
Jean Butez2%
Sergi Roberto0%
Stefan Posch0%
Edoardo Goldaniga0%
Jayden Addai0%
Jacobo Ramón0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nico Paz45%
Anastasios Douvikas16%
Assane Diao10%
Jesús Rodriguez8%
Jacobo Ramón8%
Stefan Posch7%
Jayden Addai6%
Sergi Roberto4%
Álvaro Morata3%
Mërgim Vojvoda3%
Martin Baturina3%
Marc-Oliver Kempf3%
Alberto Moreno0%
Maxence Caqueret0%
Jean Butez0%
Ivan Smolčić0%
Diego Carlos0%
Edoardo Goldaniga0%
Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn0%
Ignace Van der Brempt0%
Lucas Da Cunha0%
Máximo Perrone0%
Álex Valle0%
RB Leipzig · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yan Diomande31%
Christoph Baumgartner30%
Rômulo28%
Assan Ouédraogo20%
Antonio Nusa14%
Brajan Gruda14%
Johan Bakayoko14%
Xaver Schlager10%
Conrad Harder9%
David Raum9%
Willi Orbán8%
Ezechiel Banzuzi7%
Max Finkgräfe7%
Benjamin Henrichs6%
Ridle Baku6%
Tidiam Gomis5%
Castello Lukeba3%
Loïs Openda0%
Péter Gulácsi0%
Lukas Klostermann0%
Kevin Kampl0%
Timo Werner0%
Maarten Vandevoordt0%
Nicolas Seiwald0%
El Chadaille Bitshiabu0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Andrija Maksimović0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Christoph Baumgartner30%
David Raum21%
Xaver Schlager20%
Ezechiel Banzuzi18%
Ridle Baku14%
Max Finkgräfe14%
Rômulo12%
Willi Orbán11%
Castello Lukeba10%
Conrad Harder9%
Nicolas Seiwald8%
Brajan Gruda7%
Maarten Vandevoordt6%
Yan Diomande6%
Tidiam Gomis5%
Johan Bakayoko5%
Péter Gulácsi4%
Loïs Openda0%
Benjamin Henrichs0%
Lukas Klostermann0%
Kevin Kampl0%
Timo Werner0%
El Chadaille Bitshiabu0%
Antonio Nusa0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Assan Ouédraogo0%
Andrija Maksimović0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
David Raum24%
Brajan Gruda21%
Yan Diomande19%
Christoph Baumgartner19%
Assan Ouédraogo15%
Lukas Klostermann14%
Rômulo12%
Conrad Harder12%
Ridle Baku11%
Antonio Nusa11%
Max Finkgräfe7%
Willi Orbán5%
Nicolas Seiwald5%
Ezechiel Banzuzi4%
Castello Lukeba3%
Xaver Schlager3%
Loïs Openda0%
Benjamin Henrichs0%
Péter Gulácsi0%
Kevin Kampl0%
Timo Werner0%
Maarten Vandevoordt0%
El Chadaille Bitshiabu0%
Johan Bakayoko0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Tidiam Gomis0%
Andrija Maksimović0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Christoph Baumgartner38%
Loïs Openda33%
Yan Diomande22%
Rômulo22%
Antonio Nusa20%
Conrad Harder16%
Brajan Gruda14%
Assan Ouédraogo10%
Johan Bakayoko9%
David Raum3%
Ridle Baku3%
Nicolas Seiwald3%
Benjamin Henrichs0%
Xaver Schlager0%
Péter Gulácsi0%
Lukas Klostermann0%
Willi Orbán0%
Kevin Kampl0%
Timo Werner0%
Maarten Vandevoordt0%
Castello Lukeba0%
El Chadaille Bitshiabu0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Ezechiel Banzuzi0%
Max Finkgräfe0%
Tidiam Gomis0%
Andrija Maksimović0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (26)
€1477m
RM (27)
€1456m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
BAR (30)
€1282m
BM (29)
€1076m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
INT (25)
€694m
AM (25)
€653m
AVL (27)
€536m
BD (29)
€529m
RL (31)
€506m
COM (34)
€488m
AR (29)
€471m
FP (30)
€467m
NAP (33)
€459m
VS (54)
€430m
SC (31)
€414m
GAL (29)
€345m
FEN (39)
€332m
VIL (24)
€325m
LIL (27)
€312m
LYO (32)
€293m
PE (29)
€280m
RB (25)
€235m
FEY (30)
€229m
CBK (27)
€196m
LEN (27)
€187m
SD (33)
€186m
OP (29)
€175m
SP (38)
€123m
CEL (27)
€116m
FCZ (32)
€115m
USG (26)
€98m
SP (35)
€92m
AAF (26)
€85m
BOD (24)
€75m
DZ (34)
€66m
LP (25)
€58m
NN (29)
€54m
SG (26)
€52m
VIK (27)
€47m
LL (22)
€44m
LS (27)
€38m
UC (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SB (28)
€35m
GZ (27)
€29m
MA (24)
€26m
HOM (30)
€22m
HBS (26)
€20m
SF (24)
€17m
FT (25)
€17m
ON (23)
€15m
CEL (31)
€14m
KŽ (27)
€10m
KA (24)
€10m
ARA (26)
€8m
KUP (30)
€7m
SR (31)
€7m
ER (24)
€7m
SAB (22)
€6m
VR (26)
€5m
LAR (23)
€4m
KK (28)
€3m
LRI (25)
€2m
Como's squad is €18m less valuable than RB Leipzig's (€488m vs €506m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (10)
€842m
PSG (10)
€638m
MC (9)
€635m
ARS (13)
€608m
BAR (10)
€590m
BM (10)
€554m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
AM (9)
€290m
COM (13)
€261m
AVL (10)
€220m
INT (5)
€220m
FP (11)
€214m
RL (12)
€212m
NAP (12)
€206m
VS (19)
€193m
GAL (9)
€173m
BD (8)
€170m
FEN (14)
€162m
SC (9)
€146m
AR (6)
€138m
LIL (13)
€133m
RB (10)
€131m
VIL (8)
€124m
LYO (9)
€122m
SD (16)
€115m
PE (11)
€106m
FEY (11)
€93m
CBK (10)
€92m
OP (12)
€84m
FCZ (13)
€62m
CEL (11)
€56m
LEN (8)
€52m
AAF (11)
€44m
SP (14)
€43m
DZ (15)
€33m
USG (10)
€32m
SP (10)
€27m
SG (11)
€26m
NN (11)
€22m
BOD (7)
€22m
VIK (10)
€21m
LP (10)
€21m
GZ (13)
€17m
SB (12)
€15m
UC (10)
€14m
AAR (10)
€14m
LL (5)
€13m
HOM (12)
€12m
LS (10)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
ON (9)
€7m
CEL (12)
€7m
MA (9)
€7m
SF (7)
€5m
FT (7)
€4m
KŽ (11)
€4m
KA (9)
€4m
SR (14)
€3m
ARA (9)
€3m
VR (12)
€3m
SAB (7)
€3m
KUP (9)
€2m
ER (6)
€2m
LAR (6)
€1m
KK (9)
€1m
LRI (11)
€1m
Como's attack is €48m more valuable than RB Leipzig's (€261m vs €212m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (5)
€430m
BAR (8)
€324m
ARS (4)
€290m
RM (5)
€238m
MU (7)
€236m
INT (10)
€232m
LIV (6)
€201m
BM (6)
€187m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
AM (6)
€155m
BD (7)
€146m
AR (5)
€118m
RL (6)
€109m
FP (6)
€105m
LIL (4)
€102m
NAP (7)
€101m
VS (10)
€92m
SC (9)
€91m
COM (7)
€83m
LYO (8)
€82m
GAL (7)
€72m
FEN (7)
€62m
PE (5)
€60m
VIL (4)
€52m
OP (6)
€47m
FEY (4)
€43m
USG (7)
€38m
SP (8)
€35m
RB (5)
€33m
SP (10)
€27m
BOD (7)
€27m
LEN (5)
€24m
CBK (5)
€23m
FCZ (6)
€21m
CEL (5)
€20m
SD (4)
€19m
AAF (5)
€16m
AAR (10)
€14m
SG (4)
€14m
VIK (5)
€12m
LL (6)
€11m
MA (6)
€11m
UC (6)
€10m
LP (3)
€9m
LS (5)
€8m
SB (6)
€7m
GZ (4)
€6m
SF (7)
€5m
NN (5)
€5m
FT (8)
€5m
HBS (3)
€5m
HOM (6)
€4m
ON (4)
€3m
KUP (9)
€3m
KA (5)
€2m
DZ (2)
€2m
SR (7)
€2m
ARA (6)
€2m
KŽ (4)
€2m
SAB (5)
€2m
ER (5)
€1m
CEL (4)
€1m
KK (8)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
LAR (7)
€1m
LRI (4)
€0m
Como's midfield is €26m less valuable than RB Leipzig's (€83m vs €109m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
ARS (12)
€508m
PSG (11)
€409m
RM (12)
€377m
BAR (12)
€368m
BM (13)
€336m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
INT (10)
€242m
AR (18)
€215m
BD (14)
€214m
AM (10)
€208m
RL (13)
€185m
SC (13)
€176m
AVL (11)
€156m
NAP (14)
€152m
VIL (12)
€148m
FP (13)
€148m
VS (25)
€145m
COM (14)
€144m
PE (13)
€115m
LEN (14)
€112m
FEN (18)
€108m
GAL (13)
€100m
FEY (15)
€93m
LYO (15)
€89m
CBK (12)
€81m
LIL (10)
€76m
RB (10)
€70m
SP (20)
€61m
SD (13)
€52m
OP (11)
€44m
CEL (11)
€41m
FCZ (13)
€33m
DZ (17)
€30m
LP (12)
€28m
USG (9)
€28m
BOD (10)
€26m
NN (13)
€26m
AAF (10)
€26m
SP (11)
€22m
LL (11)
€20m
LS (12)
€19m
VIK (12)
€15m
UC (9)
€13m
SB (10)
€13m
SG (11)
€13m
MA (9)
€8m
AAR (8)
€8m
FT (10)
€8m
SF (10)
€7m
GZ (10)
€6m
CEL (15)
€6m
HOM (12)
€6m
HBS (10)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
KŽ (12)
€4m
ARA (11)
€4m
KA (10)
€4m
ER (13)
€3m
KUP (12)
€3m
SAB (10)
€2m
SR (10)
€2m
VR (10)
€2m
LAR (10)
€2m
KK (11)
€1m
LRI (10)
€1m
Como's defence is €41m less valuable than RB Leipzig's (€144m vs €185m).
World: UEFA Champions League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full World: UEFA Champions League stats & trends →
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Hapoel Beer Sheva
Fenerbahçe
Levski Sofia
Sabah FA
Slovan Bratislava
Bodo/Glimt
Dinamo Zagreb
Celje
FK Crvena Zvezda
Aarhus
AEK Athens FC
Viking
Lyon
Kauno Žalgiris
Shamrock Rovers
Lask Linz
Celtic
Omonia Nicosia
Vikingur Reykjavik
Sturm Graz
Ararat-Armenia
Sparta Praha
Kairat Almaty
Union St. Gilloise
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Olympiakos Piraeus
NEC Nijmegen
FC Thun
Gornik Zabrze
Saburtalo
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Universitatea Craiova
KI Klaksvik
Mjallby AIF
Inter
FC Porto
Lille
Real Madrid
Slavia Praha
Galatasaray
Barcelona
Paris Saint Germain
Feyenoord
Borussia Dortmund
Lens
Aston Villa
PSV Eindhoven
Club Brugge KV
Napoli
Shakhtar Donetsk
Villarreal
Real Betis
VfB Stuttgart
Bayern München
Liverpool
Atletico Madrid
Manchester City
Arsenal
Sporting CP
AS Roma
Manchester United
Heart Of Midlothian
KuPS
Lech Poznan
Larne