This opponent (Nancy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nancy
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.70
0.87
1.40
0.73
2.00
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
1.33
2.00
0.50
0.50
1.75
vs Similar (24)
0.75
1.79
0.69
1.54
0.82
2.09
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Dijon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.7%
Under 1.5
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.4%
@ 1.86-2.4%
Under 2.5
51.6%
@ 1.92+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.6%
Under 3.5
73.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.9%
No
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.7%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.0%
Dijon goals ↓
Nancy goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.6%
6.7%
4.3%
1.5%
0.4%
1
10%
13%
6.5%
2.3%
0.6%
2
8.7%
9.3%
5.0%
1.8%
0.5%
3
4.4%
4.8%
2.6%
0.9%
0.2%
4
1.7%
1.8%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dijon goals (down), columns = Nancy goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Toulouse
2.08
Ajaccio
1.97
Auxerre
1.95
Paris FC
1.84
Sochaux
1.79
Guingamp
1.53
Le Havre
1.32
Caen
1.32
Nimes
1.29
PAU
1.29
Dijon
1.24
Niort
1.21
Bastia
1.21
Valenciennes
1.16
Amiens
1.16
Grenoble
1.16
Rodez
1.13
Rouen
1.05
Dunkerque
0.82
Nancy
0.71
Dijon is 0.53 points better than Nancy in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 0.71).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Toulouse
2.16
Auxerre
1.61
Paris FC
1.42
Guingamp
1.37
Caen
1.34
Dijon
1.26
Sochaux
1.24
Nimes
1.16
Amiens
1.13
PAU
1.08
Niort
1.03
Ajaccio
1.03
Le Havre
1.00
Bastia
1.00
Valenciennes
0.89
Rouen
0.87
Nancy
0.84
Rodez
0.84
Grenoble
0.84
Dunkerque
0.74
Dijon is 0.42 goals better than Nancy in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 0.84).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ajaccio
0.50
Toulouse
0.87
Sochaux
0.89
Paris FC
0.92
Bastia
0.95
Auxerre
1.03
Le Havre
1.08
Amiens
1.08
Niort
1.11
Caen
1.11
Rodez
1.11
Grenoble
1.16
Valenciennes
1.24
Guingamp
1.26
PAU
1.29
Rouen
1.32
Nimes
1.34
Dunkerque
1.39
Dijon
1.39
Nancy
1.82
Dijon is 0.42 goals better than Nancy in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 1.82).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Dijon
For 4.8 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 1.8 · Total 2.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 12.5 · Total 25.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Nancy
For 4.2 · Against 6.2 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 13.9 · Total 26.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dijon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.6
8.7
4.0
4.1
4.0
27.5
26.6
28.4
vs Stronger (28)
9.2
10.0
8.5
3.7
3.9
3.5
26.4
24.9
27.7
vs Similar (22)
9.0
9.1
9.0
4.5
4.3
4.7
28.9
28.5
29.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
44%
48%
40%
50%
52%
48%
78%
76%
80%
% under line
56%
52%
60%
50%
48%
52%
22%
24%
20%
This opponent (Nancy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nancy
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
10.0
9.1
3.7
3.3
4.0
29.7
28.2
31.2
vs Stronger (11)
10.0
10.8
9.6
3.9
3.8
4.0
27.1
27.0
27.1
vs Similar (39)
9.4
9.9
8.9
3.6
3.2
4.1
30.5
28.4
32.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
45%
54%
36%
50%
36%
64%
96%
96%
96%
% under line
55%
46%
64%
50%
64%
36%
4%
4%
4%
This opponent (Dijon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Toulouse
10.0
Nimes
9.5
Nancy
9.5
Sochaux
9.1
Dijon
9.1
Guingamp
9.1
Rouen
9.1
PAU
9.1
Auxerre
9.0
Valenciennes
8.8
Caen
8.8
Paris FC
8.8
Bastia
8.8
Niort
8.6
Dunkerque
8.4
Amiens
8.4
Grenoble
8.3
Ajaccio
8.3
Le Havre
7.9
Rodez
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Valenciennes
4.6
Caen
4.3
Sochaux
4.2
Ajaccio
4.1
Grenoble
4.1
PAU
4.1
Guingamp
4.1
Dijon
4.0
Rodez
4.0
Toulouse
3.9
Amiens
3.9
Bastia
3.9
Nimes
3.9
Le Havre
3.9
Nancy
3.8
Rouen
3.8
Dunkerque
3.8
Niort
3.4
Auxerre
3.4
Paris FC
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Valenciennes
31.6
Dunkerque
31.2
Rouen
30.1
Nancy
29.7
Caen
28.9
Rodez
28.9
Guingamp
28.6
Ajaccio
28.3
Amiens
28.2
Nimes
28.1
Toulouse
27.9
Niort
27.7
Dijon
27.5
Bastia
27.1
Grenoble
26.9
PAU
26.9
Sochaux
26.7
Le Havre
26.0
Paris FC
25.4
Auxerre
23.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
48.3%
Under 9.5
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
53.6%
Under 3.5
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
90.0%
Under 21.5
10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dijon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.50
0.40
0.47
0.47
0.53
vs Stronger (14)
0.57
0.50
0.71
0.14
0.43
0.86
vs Similar (16)
0.31
0.50
0.12
0.75
0.50
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Nancy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nancy
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.87
0.33
0.53
0.40
1.20
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
1.00
1.00
0.67
0.25
1.25
vs Similar (23)
0.30
0.83
0.17
0.50
0.45
1.18
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Dijon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dijon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dijon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dijon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nancy over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nancy over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nancy over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dijon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.63
0.87
0.53
0.80
0.73
vs Stronger (14)
0.79
1.07
1.00
0.86
0.57
1.29
vs Similar (16)
0.88
0.25
0.75
0.25
1.00
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Nancy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nancy
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.87
0.60
0.93
0.33
0.80
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.71
0.67
1.00
0.25
0.50
vs Similar (23)
0.48
0.91
0.58
0.92
0.36
0.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Dijon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dijon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dijon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dijon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nancy over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nancy over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nancy over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
90.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dijon · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jordan Marié25%
Adel Lembezat25%
Samy Chouchane25%
Paul Delecroix0%
Quentin Bernard0%
Mickaël Barreto0%
Yanis Barka0%
Júlio Tavares0%
Ismail Bouleghcha0%
Paul Bellon0%
Lenny Lacroix0%
Brandon Ndezi0%
Alexis Ntamack0%
Ylan Aka0%
Tyris Dong0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lenny Lacroix50%
Adel Lembezat25%
Paul Bellon25%
Brandon Ndezi25%
Tyris Dong25%
Paul Delecroix0%
Quentin Bernard0%
Mickaël Barreto0%
Yanis Barka0%
Jordan Marié0%
Júlio Tavares0%
Ismail Bouleghcha0%
Samy Chouchane0%
Alexis Ntamack0%
Ylan Aka0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Júlio Tavares25%
Paul Bellon25%
Paul Delecroix0%
Quentin Bernard0%
Mickaël Barreto0%
Yanis Barka0%
Jordan Marié0%
Adel Lembezat0%
Ismail Bouleghcha0%
Lenny Lacroix0%
Samy Chouchane0%
Brandon Ndezi0%
Alexis Ntamack0%
Ylan Aka0%
Tyris Dong0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexis Ntamack50%
Yanis Barka25%
Adel Lembezat25%
Samy Chouchane25%
Paul Delecroix0%
Quentin Bernard0%
Mickaël Barreto0%
Jordan Marié0%
Júlio Tavares0%
Ismail Bouleghcha0%
Paul Bellon0%
Lenny Lacroix0%
Brandon Ndezi0%
Ylan Aka0%
Tyris Dong0%
Nancy · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Brandon Bokangu50%
Nehemiah Fernandez25%
Enzo Basilio0%
Elydjah Mendy0%
Zakaria Fdaouch0%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Nordine Kandil0%
Walid Bouabdelli0%
Héliohdino Tavares0%
Ilyes Housni0%
Enzo Tacafred0%
Noam Obougou0%
Kouroufia Kébé0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nehemiah Fernandez50%
Héliohdino Tavares33%
Enzo Tacafred25%
Enzo Basilio0%
Elydjah Mendy0%
Zakaria Fdaouch0%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Nordine Kandil0%
Walid Bouabdelli0%
Brandon Bokangu0%
Ilyes Housni0%
Noam Obougou0%
Kouroufia Kébé0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ilyes Housni50%
Zakaria Fdaouch25%
Enzo Basilio0%
Elydjah Mendy0%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Nordine Kandil0%
Walid Bouabdelli0%
Brandon Bokangu0%
Nehemiah Fernandez0%
Héliohdino Tavares0%
Enzo Tacafred0%
Noam Obougou0%
Kouroufia Kébé0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Brandon Bokangu50%
Enzo Basilio0%
Elydjah Mendy0%
Zakaria Fdaouch0%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Nordine Kandil0%
Walid Bouabdelli0%
Nehemiah Fernandez0%
Héliohdino Tavares0%
Ilyes Housni0%
Enzo Tacafred0%
Noam Obougou0%
Kouroufia Kébé0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (37)
€176m
TOU (24)
€115m
AUX (29)
€84m
LH (25)
€55m
ROD (23)
€15m
PAU (20)
€14m
NAN (26)
€13m
GRE (27)
€12m
GUI (20)
€11m
DUN (21)
€11m
BAS (19)
€7m
SOC (20)
€7m
DIJ (20)
€5m
AMI (14)
€4m
CAE (18)
€4m
VAL (21)
€4m
ROU (14)
€3m
Dijon's squad is €8m less valuable than Nancy's (€5m vs €13m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (13)
€59m
TOU (7)
€30m
AUX (11)
€23m
LH (10)
€9m
PAU (6)
€6m
GRE (12)
€5m
NAN (9)
€5m
DUN (7)
€4m
BAS (9)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
GUI (4)
€3m
SOC (8)
€3m
CAE (8)
€2m
ROU (5)
€2m
DIJ (7)
€1m
VAL (8)
€1m
AMI (4)
€0m
Dijon's attack is €4m less valuable than Nancy's (€1m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (7)
€54m
TOU (7)
€39m
AUX (5)
€28m
LH (5)
€23m
GUI (8)
€4m
ROD (6)
€4m
GRE (5)
€3m
NAN (6)
€2m
PAU (4)
€2m
DIJ (6)
€2m
DUN (5)
€1m
BAS (3)
€1m
SOC (3)
€1m
VAL (3)
€1m
CAE (4)
€1m
AMI (2)
€0m
ROU (3)
€0m
Dijon and Nancy have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (17)
€62m
TOU (10)
€46m
AUX (13)
€33m
LH (10)
€23m
ROD (10)
€7m
NAN (11)
€6m
PAU (10)
€6m
DUN (9)
€5m
GRE (10)
€4m
AMI (8)
€4m
SOC (9)
€3m
GUI (8)
€3m
BAS (7)
€2m
VAL (10)
€2m
CAE (6)
€2m
DIJ (7)
€2m
ROU (6)
€1m
Dijon's defence is €4m less valuable than Nancy's (€2m vs €6m).
France: Ligue 2 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Toulouse
Ajaccio
Auxerre
Paris FC
Sochaux
Guingamp
Caen
Le Havre
Nimes
PAU
Bastia
Niort
Amiens
Grenoble
Valenciennes
Rodez
Rouen
Dunkerque