In a finely balanced match, the storyline is set to be dominated by Dinamo Zagreb's recent form, having won their last five games, including a 4-0 thrashing of Rudes. However, Viking's away form is not to be underestimated, having scored and conceded an average of a goal each in similar-strength opponents. Dinamo Zagreb's home win probability stands at 41%, with a draw at 26% and Viking's away win at 32%, with the model favouring a home win.
The expected total goals is 3.0, with a most likely total of 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 12.1%. Dinamo Zagreb has a strong home form, scoring an average of 1.67 goals and conceding 2.67, while Viking concedes an average of 1 goal when playing away against similar-strength opponents.
The model's selection is the home win, with Viking's away win at 32%. In suggested picks, the model selects Over 1.5 with a probability of 81.6%, and an edge of 3%.
Results analysis
Dinamo Zagreb’s unbeaten run of five games ended in a 2-2 draw with Viking, a result that stunned the pre-match favourite. The model had tipped a home win with a 41 % probability, but that call was wrong. The match delivered a draw, the most likely scoreline being 1-1 at 12.2 %. The model’s selections performed largely well: Away under 3.5 goals hit at 94.6 %, Home under 3.5 goals at 92.0 %, Home +2 handicap at 84.8 %, Away under 2.5 goals at 83.3 %, Over 1.5 at 81.3 %, Home over 0.5 goals at 80.0 % and Away +2 handicap at 78.4 %. Only Over 2.5 cards missed, finishing at 84.0 %. The game stayed within the 3.5-goal range, confirming the model’s under-3.5 prediction.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Dinamo Zagreb win✗ Miss
41.4%
Avg Implied 56.0% · @ 1.67
Edge
-14.7%
Best 5 market prices
SBO
1.74
Superbet
1.73
Dafabet
1.72
1xBet
1.71
Betano
1.70
Draw✓ Hit
26.3%
Avg Implied 23.5% · @ 4.00
Edge
+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
4.23
BetVictor
4.20
Unibet
4.10
Bet365
4.10
Dafabet
4.10
Viking win✗ Miss
32.3%
Avg Implied 20.5% · @ 4.57
Edge
+11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.91
1xBet
4.86
BetVictor
4.80
Unibet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.65
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Dinamo Zagreb
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.87
0.90
2.88
1.00
2.85
0.77
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
3.00
1.00
3.00
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.89
1.33
2.20
1.60
1.50
1.00
vs Weaker (20)
3.40
0.60
3.36
0.55
3.44
0.67
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Viking) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Viking
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.47
0.93
3.31
0.92
1.82
0.94
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
3.17
0.67
3.20
0.60
3.00
1.00
vs Weaker (24)
2.29
1.00
3.38
1.12
1.75
0.94
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.3%
@ 1.17+1.6%
Under 1.5
18.7%
@ 4.60-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Pinnacle
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Under
Pinnacle
4.82
BetVictor
4.80
Betfair
4.80
Superbet
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.9%
@ 1.60-1.0%
Under 2.5
42.1%
@ 2.30+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Betano
1.62
Pinnacle
1.62
Superbet
1.61
Under
Betano
2.37
1xBet
2.37
10Bet
2.35
Pinnacle
2.35
Superbet
2.32
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
35.5%
@ 2.43-2.9%
Under 3.5
64.5%
@ 1.51+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.53
Betano
2.52
Superbet
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Unibet
2.43
Under
10Bet
1.55
Betano
1.55
Pinnacle
1.54
Superbet
1.54
BetVictor
1.51
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.4%
@ 1.60+3.2%
No
38.6%
@ 2.22-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.61
888Sport
1.60
William Hil
1.60
Betano
1.60
No
Superbet
2.27
Betfair
2.25
10Bet
2.25
888Sport
2.25
William Hil
2.25
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%@ 7.20+6.1%
2-1
8.9%@ 7.39+3.0%
1-2
7.8%@ 12.80+4.3%
1-0
6.8%@ 8.10+1.4%
2-0
6.4%@ 8.66+1.3%
2-2 ✓
6.3%@ 12.07+2.6%
0-0
6.0%@ 13.29+2.7%
0-1
5.8%@ 13.99+2.6%
Dinamo Zagreb goals ↓
Viking goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.0%
5.8%
4.8%
2.3%
0.8%
1
6.8%
12%
7.8%
3.6%
1.3%
2
6.4%
8.9%
6.3%
2.9%
1.0%
3
3.4%
4.8%
3.4%
1.6%
0.5%
4
1.4%
1.9%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dinamo Zagreb goals (down), columns = Viking goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
European competition: teams are ranked by a cross-league strength score - each side's domestic attack and defence made comparable via the model's fitted league strengths (stronger leagues weighted up). Each side's actual domestic figures are shown below.
🏆 Cross-league strength
0-100 · adjusted for league strength · 67 teams
Arsenal
100
Manchester City
97
Bayern München
90
Manchester United
89
Liverpool
87
Barcelona
86
Aston Villa
86
Inter
84
Real Madrid
84
Como
82
Borussia Dortmund
82
Paris Saint Germain
81
AS Roma
80
Sporting CP
79
FC Porto
79
Villarreal
78
Napoli
77
VfB Stuttgart
76
Atletico Madrid
76
Lens
76
RB Leipzig
76
Real Betis
74
Lille
71
Lyon
70
Union St. Gilloise
70
Viking
70
Bodo/Glimt
67
Club Brugge KV
67
PSV Eindhoven
66
Galatasaray
64
Slavia Praha
62
Fenerbahçe
60
Feyenoord
60
NEC Nijmegen
58
Omonia Nicosia
56
Kauno Žalgiris
56
Dinamo Zagreb
55
Lech Poznan
54
Gornik Zabrze
53
Shakhtar Donetsk
49
Levski Sofia
49
FC Thun
47
Sabah FA
46
Sparta Praha
45
Slovan Bratislava
45
Aarhus
45
Hapoel Beer Sheva
44
Heart Of Midlothian
43
FK Crvena Zvezda
43
Sturm Graz
43
Celtic
42
Lask Linz
41
Olympiakos Piraeus
41
Universitatea Craiova
39
Mjallby AIF
36
Kairat Almaty
30
Vikingur Reykjavik
29
Celje
25
Shamrock Rovers
22
KuPS
21
Ararat-Armenia
19
AEK Athens FC
15
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
11
Larne
10
KI Klaksvik
7
Saburtalo
1
Lincoln Red Imps FC
0
Dinamo Zagreb is 15 pts weaker cross-league than Viking(55 vs 70 · ranks #37 vs #26 of 67).
Dinamo Zagreb 2.39 (Croatia: HNL) · Viking 2.50 (Norway: NM Cupen). Domestic-league average points per game; different leagues, so not a like-for-like verdict.
Dinamo Zagreb 2.58 (Croatia: HNL) · Viking 3.00 (Norway: NM Cupen). Domestic-league goals scored per game; different leagues, so not a like-for-like verdict.
Dinamo Zagreb 0.78 (Croatia: HNL) · Viking 0.17 (Norway: NM Cupen). Domestic-league goals conceded per game; different leagues, so not a like-for-like verdict.
⏱️ Possession
Not compared for European ties.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Dinamo Zagreb
For 6.8 · Against 3.6 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 11.0 · Total 22.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Viking
For 7.3 · Against 4.8 · Total 12.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 12.7 · Total 24.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dinamo Zagreb
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.4
9.9
3.8
3.9
3.6
23.6
22.9
24.5
vs Stronger (3)
8.7
10.0
6.0
4.3
5.0
3.0
20.3
21.5
18.0
vs Similar (16)
10.7
10.0
11.6
4.5
6.0
3.0
25.3
25.1
25.4
vs Weaker (31)
9.2
9.1
9.4
3.3
2.8
3.9
23.2
21.9
24.5
% over line
48%
48%
48%
46%
46%
46%
58%
60%
57%
% under line
52%
52%
52%
54%
54%
54%
42%
40%
43%
This opponent (Viking) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Viking
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.4
12.6
10.6
3.5
3.5
3.5
25.3
25.7
25.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
10.0
12.3
6.8
4.2
3.6
5.0
25.6
24.0
27.8
vs Weaker (38)
12.0
12.7
11.6
3.3
3.5
3.2
25.2
26.7
24.4
% over line
67%
78%
58%
54%
55%
53%
64%
61%
67%
% under line
33%
22%
42%
46%
45%
47%
36%
39%
33%
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Sabah FA
13.0
Viking
11.8
PSV Eindhoven
11.2
Larne
11.2
Fenerbahçe
11.0
Slavia Praha
10.8
Bodo/Glimt
10.8
Atletico Madrid
10.8
Celtic
10.8
Barcelona
10.8
Real Madrid
10.6
Club Brugge KV
10.6
Kairat Almaty
10.5
FC Thun
10.4
RB Leipzig
10.3
Lask Linz
10.3
Liverpool
10.3
Manchester City
10.2
Mjallby AIF
10.2
Lens
10.2
Gornik Zabrze
10.2
Lyon
10.2
Feyenoord
10.1
FK Crvena Zvezda
10.1
Ararat-Armenia
10.1
KI Klaksvik
10.1
Slovan Bratislava
10.1
Lech Poznan
10.0
Sporting CP
10.0
VfB Stuttgart
10.0
Heart Of Midlothian
9.9
KuPS
9.9
Omonia Nicosia
9.9
NEC Nijmegen
9.9
Dinamo Zagreb
9.9
Sparta Praha
9.9
Sturm Graz
9.7
Bayern München
9.7
Levski Sofia
9.7
Saburtalo
9.7
Lille
9.7
Aarhus
9.7
Manchester United
9.6
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
9.5
Aston Villa
9.5
Celje
9.4
Union St. Gilloise
9.3
Paris Saint Germain
9.3
Inter
9.2
Hapoel Beer Sheva
9.2
Villarreal
9.1
Real Betis
9.1
Galatasaray
9.1
Universitatea Craiova
9.1
Borussia Dortmund
9.0
Arsenal
9.0
FC Porto
8.9
Shakhtar Donetsk
8.9
AEK Athens FC
8.8
AS Roma
8.7
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.6
Vikingur Reykjavik
8.4
Napoli
8.4
Shamrock Rovers
8.3
Lincoln Red Imps FC
8.2
Kauno Žalgiris
8.0
Como
7.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ararat-Armenia
6.0
Fenerbahçe
5.8
AEK Athens FC
5.6
Sabah FA
5.6
FC Porto
5.4
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.4
Sporting CP
5.3
Saburtalo
5.3
Universitatea Craiova
5.1
FC Thun
5.0
Slovan Bratislava
5.0
Shamrock Rovers
5.0
Vikingur Reykjavik
4.9
Union St. Gilloise
4.9
Real Madrid
4.9
Sparta Praha
4.9
Lincoln Red Imps FC
4.8
Celje
4.8
Larne
4.8
Real Betis
4.8
Lyon
4.8
Como
4.7
Levski Sofia
4.7
Sturm Graz
4.7
Omonia Nicosia
4.6
Galatasaray
4.6
Heart Of Midlothian
4.5
Slavia Praha
4.5
Lens
4.4
Barcelona
4.4
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.4
KI Klaksvik
4.4
Viking
4.4
Villarreal
4.3
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
4.3
Lille
4.3
Dinamo Zagreb
4.3
AS Roma
4.3
Manchester United
4.2
Kairat Almaty
4.2
Atletico Madrid
4.1
Gornik Zabrze
4.1
NEC Nijmegen
4.1
VfB Stuttgart
4.1
Bayern München
3.9
Aarhus
3.9
Feyenoord
3.9
Lask Linz
3.9
Celtic
3.9
Lech Poznan
3.9
Mjallby AIF
3.8
Shakhtar Donetsk
3.8
Aston Villa
3.8
Manchester City
3.7
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.7
Kauno Žalgiris
3.7
Borussia Dortmund
3.6
Club Brugge KV
3.6
Liverpool
3.5
Arsenal
3.5
Napoli
3.5
RB Leipzig
3.5
PSV Eindhoven
3.5
Inter
3.4
KuPS
3.3
Paris Saint Germain
3.1
Bodo/Glimt
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Saburtalo
46.0
Sabah FA
30.6
AEK Athens FC
29.6
AS Roma
28.3
FC Thun
27.9
Hapoel Beer Sheva
27.8
Sporting CP
26.7
Slavia Praha
26.3
Como
26.3
Kairat Almaty
26.1
FC Porto
25.8
Ararat-Armenia
25.8
Larne
25.6
Lyon
25.5
Fenerbahçe
25.5
Vikingur Reykjavik
25.4
Slovan Bratislava
25.4
Olympiakos Piraeus
25.4
Mjallby AIF
25.3
Lincoln Red Imps FC
25.0
Lens
25.0
Celje
24.9
Universitatea Craiova
24.8
Viking
24.7
Levski Sofia
24.7
Omonia Nicosia
24.6
Villarreal
24.5
Sparta Praha
24.2
Inter
24.1
Real Madrid
24.0
NEC Nijmegen
24.0
Heart Of Midlothian
24.0
Lille
23.9
FK Crvena Zvezda
23.8
Sturm Graz
23.8
Aston Villa
23.7
Real Betis
23.7
Galatasaray
23.7
Lech Poznan
23.7
Aarhus
23.6
Dinamo Zagreb
23.6
Napoli
23.5
Shamrock Rovers
22.7
Gornik Zabrze
22.7
Feyenoord
22.7
VfB Stuttgart
22.6
Borussia Dortmund
22.1
Arsenal
22.1
Kauno Žalgiris
22.0
KuPS
21.9
Manchester United
21.9
Barcelona
21.8
Union St. Gilloise
21.6
Celtic
21.3
Manchester City
21.3
Liverpool
21.0
Lask Linz
20.7
Atletico Madrid
20.7
Club Brugge KV
20.0
RB Leipzig
19.9
Shakhtar Donetsk
19.4
Bodo/Glimt
19.2
Paris Saint Germain
19.2
KI Klaksvik
18.3
Bayern München
18.3
PSV Eindhoven
18.1
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
12.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.78
Unibet
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.68
Superbet
1.67
Under
Betano
2.15
Pinnacle
2.15
Marathonbet
2.13
Superbet
2.12
1xBet
2.07
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.83
Superbet
1.78
Under
Superbet
1.95
Betano
1.90
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.27
Under
1xBet
3.20
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Dinamo Zagreb or Draw✓ Hit
67.7%
Avg Implied 79.2% · @ 1.18
Edge
-11.5%
41%
26%
32%
covers Dinamo Zagreb + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Superbet
1.21
William Hil
1.18
Dinamo Zagreb or Viking✗ Miss
73.7%
Avg Implied 77.1% · @ 1.22
Edge
-3.4%
41%
26%
32%
covers Dinamo Zagreb + Viking
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.26
Superbet
1.25
Betano
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Draw or Viking✓ Hit
58.6%
Avg Implied 43.7% · @ 2.14
Edge
+14.9%
41%
26%
32%
covers Draw + Viking
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.24
Betano
2.20
Marathonbet
2.17
10Bet
2.15
BetVictor
2.15
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Dinamo Zagreb over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
80.0%
@ 1.11-3.8%
Under
20.0%
@ 5.72+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
888Sport
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Under
888Sport
6.00
Betfair
6.00
1xBet
5.80
BetVictor
5.75
Superbet
5.75
Dinamo Zagreb over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
47.8%
@ 1.59-10.8%
Under
52.2%
@ 2.25+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.62
Superbet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.60
1xBet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.60
Under
Pinnacle
2.40
Marathonbet
2.26
888Sport
2.25
BetVictor
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Dinamo Zagreb over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
21.9%
@ 2.85-10.8%
Under
78.1%
@ 1.38+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
2.90
1xBet
2.90
Superbet
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Under
BetVictor
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Betano
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Dinamo Zagreb over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.0%
@ 5.78-8.1%
Under
92.0%
@ 1.11+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.10
Betfair
6.00
Superbet
5.90
888Sport
5.75
Bet365
5.50
Under
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Superbet
1.11
888Sport
1.11
Viking over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
75.4%
@ 1.40+9.1%
Under
24.6%
@ 2.76-9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
Betano
1.42
Unibet
1.41
888Sport
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
2.93
Betfair
2.88
Superbet
2.82
10Bet
2.80
888Sport
2.80
Viking over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
40.8%
@ 2.93+9.1%
Under
59.2%
@ 1.36-9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.09
BetVictor
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Marathonbet
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Under
1xBet
1.39
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.39
10Bet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.36
Viking over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
16.7%
@ 7.17+3.7%
Under
83.3%
@ 1.07-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.50
Betfair
7.50
888Sport
7.50
1xBet
7.40
Superbet
7.10
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.07
BetVictor
1.06
Viking over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.4%
@ 17.12-0.2%
Under
94.6%
@ 1.01+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
26.00
Superbet
19.00
Bet365
12.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
888Sport
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Dinamo Zagreb, so a minus line means Dinamo Zagreb give that many goals of a start and Viking receive them. At -1, Dinamo Zagreb must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Dinamo Zagreb win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Dinamo Zagreb)Actual: Viking
Dinamo Zagreb -2
8.8%
@ 5.05-8.9%
Draw -2
12.7%
@ 4.78-6.0%
Viking +2
78.4%
@ 1.40+14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
5.50
Superbet
5.30
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Unibet
4.80
Draw
Superbet
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
4.75
10Bet
4.75
Bet365
4.75
Away
Superbet
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
Unibet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Handicap -1 (Dinamo Zagreb)Actual: Viking
Dinamo Zagreb -1
21.6%
@ 2.66-12.0%
Draw -1
19.8%
@ 3.63-4.7%
Viking +1
58.6%
@ 2.13+16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
2.80
10Bet
2.70
Betfair
2.70
Bet365
2.62
Marathonbet
2.57
Draw
Superbet
3.85
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.56
10Bet
3.55
Away
Marathonbet
2.17
10Bet
2.15
Unibet
2.15
Superbet
2.12
Bet365
2.10
Handicap +1 (Dinamo Zagreb)Actual: Dinamo Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb +1
67.7%
@ 1.19-7.9%
Draw +1
17.1%
@ 6.12+2.5%
Viking -1
15.2%
@ 9.25+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
Unibet
1.17
Draw
Betfair
6.50
Superbet
6.30
Marathonbet
6.15
Unibet
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Away
Betfair
11.00
Superbet
9.10
Unibet
9.00
10Bet
9.00
Marathonbet
8.90
Handicap +2 (Dinamo Zagreb)Actual: Dinamo Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb +2
84.8%
@ 1.04-5.0%
Draw +2
9.7%
@ 13.50+2.7%
Viking -2
5.5%
@ 28.50+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.03
Draw
Betfair
14.00
Bet365
13.00
Away
Betfair
34.00
Bet365
23.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dinamo Zagreb
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.47
1.06
0.59
1.46
0.31
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
0.00
3.00
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.00
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.25
vs Weaker (20)
1.40
0.25
1.18
0.18
1.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Viking) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Viking
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
0.47
1.62
0.38
1.18
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
1.83
0.50
2.00
0.40
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (24)
1.25
0.46
1.38
0.38
1.19
0.50
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dinamo Zagreb over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Zagreb over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Zagreb over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viking over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viking over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viking over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dinamo Zagreb
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
0.43
1.82
0.41
1.38
0.46
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.89
0.67
1.20
0.60
0.50
0.75
vs Weaker (20)
2.00
0.35
2.18
0.36
1.78
0.33
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Viking) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Viking
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.47
1.69
0.54
0.65
0.41
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
1.33
0.17
1.20
0.20
2.00
0.00
vs Weaker (24)
1.04
0.54
2.00
0.75
0.56
0.44
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dinamo Zagreb over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Zagreb over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Zagreb over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viking over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viking over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viking over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 3.5 goals
94.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
888Sport
1.01
-
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
92.0%
1.11
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Superbet
1.11
888Sport
1.11
+8.1%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
84.8%
1.04
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.03
-
-
-
-5.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
83.3%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.07
BetVictor
1.06
-3.7%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.3%
1.17
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Pinnacle
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
80.0%
1.11
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
888Sport
1.11
Betfair
1.10
-3.8%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
78.4%
1.40
Superbet
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
Unibet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
+14.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
78.1%
1.38
BetVictor
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Betano
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
+10.8%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
75.4%
1.40
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
Betano
1.42
Unibet
1.41
888Sport
1.40
+9.1%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
73.7%
1.22
1xBet
1.26
Superbet
1.25
Betano
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
-3.4%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dinamo Zagreb
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dion Drena Beljo71%
Smail Prevljak33%
Arber Hoxha29%
Lukas Kačavenda29%
Moris Valinčić20%
Mateo Lisica14%
Robert Mudražija0%
Mislav Oršić0%
Miha Zajc0%
Josip Mišić0%
Stjepan Radeljić0%
Bruno Goda0%
Ivan Nevistić0%
Scott McKenna0%
Niko Galešić0%
Paul Bismarck Tabinas0%
Luka Stojković0%
Matteo Pérez Vinlöf0%
Fran Topić0%
Sergi Domínguez0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Scott McKenna50%
Miha Zajc40%
Bruno Goda33%
Luka Stojković25%
Mislav Oršić20%
Moris Valinčić20%
Matteo Pérez Vinlöf20%
Fran Topić20%
Sergi Domínguez20%
Josip Mišić14%
Arber Hoxha14%
Lukas Kačavenda14%
Smail Prevljak0%
Robert Mudražija0%
Stjepan Radeljić0%
Ivan Nevistić0%
Dion Drena Beljo0%
Niko Galešić0%
Mateo Lisica0%
Paul Bismarck Tabinas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Matteo Pérez Vinlöf40%
Robert Mudražija33%
Dion Drena Beljo29%
Luka Stojković25%
Stjepan Radeljić20%
Moris Valinčić20%
Fran Topić20%
Josip Mišić14%
Smail Prevljak0%
Mislav Oršić0%
Miha Zajc0%
Bruno Goda0%
Ivan Nevistić0%
Scott McKenna0%
Arber Hoxha0%
Niko Galešić0%
Mateo Lisica0%
Paul Bismarck Tabinas0%
Lukas Kačavenda0%
Sergi Domínguez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dion Drena Beljo57%
Smail Prevljak33%
Arber Hoxha29%
Luka Stojković25%
Miha Zajc20%
Matteo Pérez Vinlöf20%
Fran Topić20%
Robert Mudražija0%
Mislav Oršić0%
Josip Mišić0%
Stjepan Radeljić0%
Bruno Goda0%
Ivan Nevistić0%
Scott McKenna0%
Niko Galešić0%
Mateo Lisica0%
Moris Valinčić0%
Paul Bismarck Tabinas0%
Lukas Kačavenda0%
Sergi Domínguez0%
Viking
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Peter Christiansen42%
Zlatko Tripić42%
Kristoffer Askildsen26%
Simen Kvia-Egeskog25%
Edvin Austbø23%
Gianni Stensness17%
Henrik Heggheim16%
Henrik Sælebakke Falchener14%
Tobias Moi8%
Sondre Flem Bjørshol7%
Niklas Kemp Fuglestad7%
Kristoffer Haugen6%
Arild Østbø0%
Anders Baertelsen0%
Viljar Vevatne0%
Joe Bell0%
Romano Postema0%
Herman Johan Haugen0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Ruben Alte0%
Hilmir Rafn Mikaelsson0%
Jakob Segadal Hansen0%
Ola Visted0%
Vetle Auklend0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kristoffer Askildsen42%
Zlatko Tripić37%
Tobias Moi31%
Henrik Heggheim26%
Ruben Alte25%
Gianni Stensness22%
Edvin Austbø15%
Sondre Flem Bjørshol14%
Joe Bell14%
Henrik Sælebakke Falchener14%
Arild Østbø11%
Peter Christiansen11%
Simen Kvia-Egeskog10%
Anders Baertelsen9%
Ola Visted8%
Kristoffer Haugen6%
Herman Johan Haugen6%
Viljar Vevatne0%
Romano Postema0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Hilmir Rafn Mikaelsson0%
Jakob Segadal Hansen0%
Niklas Kemp Fuglestad0%
Vetle Auklend0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Zlatko Tripić58%
Peter Christiansen21%
Henrik Sælebakke Falchener14%
Niklas Kemp Fuglestad13%
Kristoffer Askildsen11%
Henrik Heggheim11%
Simen Kvia-Egeskog10%
Edvin Austbø8%
Tobias Moi8%
Joe Bell7%
Kristoffer Haugen6%
Arild Østbø0%
Gianni Stensness0%
Anders Baertelsen0%
Sondre Flem Bjørshol0%
Viljar Vevatne0%
Romano Postema0%
Herman Johan Haugen0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Ruben Alte0%
Hilmir Rafn Mikaelsson0%
Jakob Segadal Hansen0%
Ola Visted0%
Vetle Auklend0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Peter Christiansen37%
Romano Postema20%
Zlatko Tripić16%
Edvin Austbø15%
Kristoffer Askildsen11%
Henrik Heggheim11%
Tobias Moi8%
Herman Johan Haugen6%
Gianni Stensness6%
Arild Østbø0%
Anders Baertelsen0%
Kristoffer Haugen0%
Sondre Flem Bjørshol0%
Viljar Vevatne0%
Joe Bell0%
Henrik Sælebakke Falchener0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Ruben Alte0%
Hilmir Rafn Mikaelsson0%
Simen Kvia-Egeskog0%
Jakob Segadal Hansen0%
Ola Visted0%
Niklas Kemp Fuglestad0%
Vetle Auklend0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (26)
€1477m
RM (27)
€1456m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
BAR (30)
€1282m
BM (29)
€1076m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
INT (25)
€694m
AM (25)
€653m
AVL (27)
€536m
BD (29)
€529m
RL (31)
€506m
COM (34)
€488m
AR (29)
€471m
FP (30)
€467m
NAP (33)
€459m
VS (54)
€430m
SC (31)
€414m
GAL (29)
€345m
FEN (39)
€332m
VIL (24)
€325m
LIL (27)
€312m
LYO (32)
€293m
PE (29)
€280m
RB (25)
€235m
FEY (30)
€229m
CBK (27)
€196m
LEN (27)
€187m
SD (33)
€186m
OP (29)
€175m
SP (38)
€123m
CEL (27)
€116m
FCZ (32)
€115m
USG (26)
€98m
SP (35)
€92m
AAF (26)
€85m
BOD (24)
€75m
DZ (34)
€66m
LP (25)
€58m
NN (29)
€54m
SG (26)
€52m
VIK (27)
€47m
LL (22)
€44m
LS (27)
€38m
UC (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SB (28)
€35m
GZ (27)
€29m
MA (24)
€26m
HOM (30)
€22m
HBS (26)
€20m
SF (24)
€17m
FT (25)
€17m
ON (23)
€15m
CEL (31)
€14m
KŽ (27)
€10m
KA (24)
€10m
ARA (26)
€8m
KUP (30)
€7m
SR (31)
€7m
ER (24)
€7m
SAB (22)
€6m
VR (26)
€5m
LAR (23)
€4m
KK (28)
€3m
LRI (25)
€2m
Dinamo Zagreb's squad is €18m more valuable than Viking's (€66m vs €47m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (10)
€842m
PSG (10)
€638m
MC (9)
€635m
ARS (13)
€608m
BAR (10)
€590m
BM (10)
€554m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
AM (9)
€290m
COM (13)
€261m
AVL (10)
€220m
INT (5)
€220m
FP (11)
€214m
RL (12)
€212m
NAP (12)
€206m
VS (19)
€193m
GAL (9)
€173m
BD (8)
€170m
FEN (14)
€162m
SC (9)
€146m
AR (6)
€138m
LIL (13)
€133m
RB (10)
€131m
VIL (8)
€124m
LYO (9)
€122m
SD (16)
€115m
PE (11)
€106m
FEY (11)
€93m
CBK (10)
€92m
OP (12)
€84m
FCZ (13)
€62m
CEL (11)
€56m
LEN (8)
€52m
AAF (11)
€44m
SP (14)
€43m
DZ (15)
€33m
USG (10)
€32m
SP (10)
€27m
SG (11)
€26m
NN (11)
€22m
BOD (7)
€22m
VIK (10)
€21m
LP (10)
€21m
GZ (13)
€17m
SB (12)
€15m
UC (10)
€14m
AAR (10)
€14m
LL (5)
€13m
HOM (12)
€12m
LS (10)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
ON (9)
€7m
CEL (12)
€7m
MA (9)
€7m
SF (7)
€5m
FT (7)
€4m
KŽ (11)
€4m
KA (9)
€4m
SR (14)
€3m
ARA (9)
€3m
VR (12)
€3m
SAB (7)
€3m
KUP (9)
€2m
ER (6)
€2m
LAR (6)
€1m
KK (9)
€1m
LRI (11)
€1m
Dinamo Zagreb's attack is €12m more valuable than Viking's (€33m vs €21m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (5)
€430m
BAR (8)
€324m
ARS (4)
€290m
RM (5)
€238m
MU (7)
€236m
INT (10)
€232m
LIV (6)
€201m
BM (6)
€187m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
AM (6)
€155m
BD (7)
€146m
AR (5)
€118m
RL (6)
€109m
FP (6)
€105m
LIL (4)
€102m
NAP (7)
€101m
VS (10)
€92m
SC (9)
€91m
COM (7)
€83m
LYO (8)
€82m
GAL (7)
€72m
FEN (7)
€62m
PE (5)
€60m
VIL (4)
€52m
OP (6)
€47m
FEY (4)
€43m
USG (7)
€38m
SP (8)
€35m
RB (5)
€33m
SP (10)
€27m
BOD (7)
€27m
LEN (5)
€24m
CBK (5)
€23m
FCZ (6)
€21m
CEL (5)
€20m
SD (4)
€19m
AAF (5)
€16m
AAR (10)
€14m
SG (4)
€14m
VIK (5)
€12m
LL (6)
€11m
MA (6)
€11m
UC (6)
€10m
LP (3)
€9m
LS (5)
€8m
SB (6)
€7m
GZ (4)
€6m
SF (7)
€5m
NN (5)
€5m
FT (8)
€5m
HBS (3)
€5m
HOM (6)
€4m
ON (4)
€3m
KUP (9)
€3m
KA (5)
€2m
DZ (2)
€2m
SR (7)
€2m
ARA (6)
€2m
KŽ (4)
€2m
SAB (5)
€2m
ER (5)
€1m
CEL (4)
€1m
KK (8)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
LAR (7)
€1m
LRI (4)
€0m
Dinamo Zagreb's midfield is €10m less valuable than Viking's (€2m vs €12m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
ARS (12)
€508m
PSG (11)
€409m
RM (12)
€377m
BAR (12)
€368m
BM (13)
€336m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
INT (10)
€242m
AR (18)
€215m
BD (14)
€214m
AM (10)
€208m
RL (13)
€185m
SC (13)
€176m
AVL (11)
€156m
NAP (14)
€152m
VIL (12)
€148m
FP (13)
€148m
VS (25)
€145m
COM (14)
€144m
PE (13)
€115m
LEN (14)
€112m
FEN (18)
€108m
GAL (13)
€100m
FEY (15)
€93m
LYO (15)
€89m
CBK (12)
€81m
LIL (10)
€76m
RB (10)
€70m
SP (20)
€61m
SD (13)
€52m
OP (11)
€44m
CEL (11)
€41m
FCZ (13)
€33m
DZ (17)
€30m
LP (12)
€28m
USG (9)
€28m
BOD (10)
€26m
NN (13)
€26m
AAF (10)
€26m
SP (11)
€22m
LL (11)
€20m
LS (12)
€19m
VIK (12)
€15m
UC (9)
€13m
SB (10)
€13m
SG (11)
€13m
MA (9)
€8m
AAR (8)
€8m
FT (10)
€8m
SF (10)
€7m
GZ (10)
€6m
CEL (15)
€6m
HOM (12)
€6m
HBS (10)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
KŽ (12)
€4m
ARA (11)
€4m
KA (10)
€4m
ER (13)
€3m
KUP (12)
€3m
SAB (10)
€2m
SR (10)
€2m
VR (10)
€2m
LAR (10)
€2m
KK (11)
€1m
LRI (10)
€1m
Dinamo Zagreb's defence is €15m more valuable than Viking's (€30m vs €15m).
World: UEFA Champions League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full World: UEFA Champions League stats & trends →
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Hapoel Beer Sheva
Fenerbahçe
Levski Sofia
Sabah FA
Slovan Bratislava
Bodo/Glimt
Celje
FK Crvena Zvezda
Aarhus
AEK Athens FC
Lyon
Kauno Žalgiris
Shamrock Rovers
Lask Linz
Celtic
Omonia Nicosia
Vikingur Reykjavik
Sturm Graz
Ararat-Armenia
Sparta Praha
Kairat Almaty
Union St. Gilloise
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Olympiakos Piraeus
NEC Nijmegen
FC Thun
Gornik Zabrze
Saburtalo
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Universitatea Craiova
KI Klaksvik
Mjallby AIF
Inter
FC Porto
Lille
Real Madrid
Slavia Praha
Como
Galatasaray
Barcelona
Paris Saint Germain
Feyenoord
Borussia Dortmund
Lens
Aston Villa
PSV Eindhoven
Club Brugge KV
Napoli
RB Leipzig
Shakhtar Donetsk
Villarreal
Real Betis
VfB Stuttgart
Bayern München
Liverpool
Atletico Madrid
Manchester City
Arsenal
Sporting CP
AS Roma
Manchester United
Heart Of Midlothian
KuPS
Lech Poznan
Larne